• 제목/요약/키워드: northwest Pacific

검색결과 182건 처리시간 0.024초

북서태평양 중기해양예측모형(OMIDAS) 해면수온 예측성능: 계절적인 차이 (Predictability of Sea Surface Temperature in the Northwestern Pacific simulated by an Ocean Mid-range Prediction System (OMIDAS): Seasonal Difference)

  • 정희석;김용선;신호정;장찬주
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제43권2호
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    • pp.53-63
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    • 2021
  • Changes in a marine environment have a broad socioeconomic implication on fisheries and their relevant industries so that there has been a growing demand for the medium-range (months to years) prediction of the marine environment Using a medium-range ocean prediction model (Ocean Mid-range prediction System, OMIDAS) for the northwest Pacific, this study attempted to assess seasonal difference in the mid-range predictability of the sea surface temperature (SST), focusing on the Korea seas characterized as a complex marine system. A three-month re-forecast experiment was conducted for each of the four seasons in 2016 starting from January, forced with Climate Forecast System version 2 (CFSv2) forecast data. The assessment using relative root-mean-square-error was taken for the last month SST of each experiment. Compared to the CFSv2, the OMIDAS revealed a better prediction skill for the Korea seas SST, particularly in the Yellow sea mainly due to a more realistic representation of the topography and current systems. Seasonally, the OMIDAS showed better predictability in the warm seasons (spring and summer) than in the cold seasons (fall and winter), suggesting seasonal dependency in predictability of the Korea seas. In addition, the mid-range predictability for the Korea seas significantly varies depending on regions: the predictability was higher in the East Sea than in the Yellow Sea. The improvement in the seasonal predictability for the Korea seas by OMIDAS highlights the importance of a regional ocean modeling system for a medium-range marine prediction.

대규모 기후인자와 관련된 우리나라 봄철 산불위험도 변동 (Spring Forest-Fire Variability over Korea Associated with Large-Scale Climate Factors)

  • 정지윤;우성호;손락훈;윤진호;정지훈;이석준;이병두
    • 대기
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    • 제28권4호
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    • pp.457-467
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    • 2018
  • This study investigated the variability of spring (March-May) forest fire risk in Korea for the period 1991~2017 and analyzed its relationship with large-scale climate factors. The Forest Weather Index (FWI) representing the meteorological risk for forest fire occurrences calculated based on observational data and its relationship with large-scale climate factors were analyzed. We performed the empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis on the spring FWI. The leading EOF mode of FWI accounting for about 70% of total variability was found to be highly correlated with total number of forest fire occurrences in Korea. The high FWI, forest fire occurrence risk, in Korea, is associated with warmer atmosphere temperature in midwest Eurasia-China-Korea peninsula, cyclonic circulation anomaly in northeastern China-Korea peninsula-northwest pacific, westerly wind anomaly in central China-Korea peninsula, and low humidity in Korea. These are further related with warmer sea surface temperature and enhanced outgoing longwave radiation over Western Pacific, which represents a typical condition for a La $Ni\tilde{n}a$ episode. This suggests that large-scale climate factors over East Asia and ENSO could have a significant influence on the occurrence of spring forest fires in Korea.

기상청 전지구예측시스템 자료에서의 2016~2017년 북반구 블로킹 예측성 분석 (Predictability of Northern Hemisphere Blocking in the KMA GDAPS during 2016~2017)

  • 노준우;조형오;손석우;백희정;부경온;이정경
    • 대기
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    • 제28권4호
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    • pp.403-414
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    • 2018
  • Predictability of Northern Hemisphere blocking in the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) Global Data Assimilation and Prediction System (GDAPS) is evaluated for the period of July 2016 to May 2017. Using the operational model output, blocking is defined by a meridional gradient reversal of 500-hPa geopotential height as Tibaldi-Molteni Index. Its predictability is quantified by computing the critical success index and bias score against ERA-Interim data. It turns out that Northwest Pacific blockings, among others, are reasonably well predicted with a forecast lead time of 2~3 days. The highest prediction skill is found in spring with 3.5 lead days, whereas the lowest prediction skill is observed in autumn with 2.25 lead days. Although further analyses are needed with longer dataset, this result suggests that Northern Hemisphere blocking is not well predicted in the operational weather prediction model beyond a short-term weather prediction limit. In the spring, summer, and autumn periods, there was a tendency to overestimate the Western North Pacific blocking.

기상청 국가태풍센터의 태풍 베스트트랙 생산체계 소개 (Algorithms for Determining Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA)'s Official Typhoon Best Tracks in the National Typhoon Center)

  • 김진연;황승언;김성수;오임용;함동주
    • 대기
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    • 제32권4호
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    • pp.381-394
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    • 2022
  • The Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) National Typhoon Center has been officially releasing reanalyzed best tracks for the previous year's northwest Pacific typhoons since 2015. However, while most typhoon researchers are aware of the data released by other institutions, such as the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) and the Regional Specialized Meteorological Center (RSMC) Tokyo, they are often unfamiliar with the KMA products. In this technical note, we describe the best track data released by KMA, and the algorithms that are used to generate it. We hope that this will increase the usefulness of the data to typhoon researchers, and help raise awareness of the product. The best track reanalysis process is initiated when the necessary database of observations-which includes satellite, synoptic, ocean, and radar observations-has become complete for the required year. Three categories of best track information-position (track), intensity (maximum sustained winds and central pressure), and size (radii of high-wind areas)-are estimated based on scientific processes. These estimates are then examined by typhoon forecasters and other internal and external experts, and issued as an official product when final approval has been given.

미국 서북부 Cheeka Peak에서의 수송에 따른 봄철 CO와 O3의 특성 (Characteristics of Springtime CO and O3 according to Transport at Cheeka Peak Observatory(CPO), Northwest of USA)

  • 전병일
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제11권6호
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    • pp.507-517
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    • 2002
  • Cheeka Peak is a unique site for monitoring the background chemistry and aerosol contents of pristine marine air at mid-latitude. During long-range onshore winds that occur frequently throughout the year, it is predicted to have the cleanest air in the northern hemisphere. Measurements of CO and O$_3$were conducted at Cheeka Peak Observatory(CPO) on the northwestern tip of Washington state, USA during March 6 ∼May 29, 2001. The data have been segregated to quantify the mixing ratio of these species in the Pacific marine atmosphere. Also the marine air masses were further classified into four categories based on 10-day backward isentropic trajectories; high, mid, and low latitude and those which had crossed over the Asian industrial region. The diurnal variation of CO and O$_3$at CPO showed a similar to tendency of background measurement site. When marine air mass flowed to CPO, CO concentration was lower and O$_3$was similar or higher than those of total data. The westerly flow from ocean, not easterly from continent occurred the high concentration of CO and O$_3$at CPO. Using the trajectory segregation of marine air mass, the comparison of concentration according to latitude calculated. the CO concentration of Asian trajectory was lower than other latitudes, O$_3$concentration was higher.

Review of Environmental Education in the US National Parks Service according to Social Transition : A Case Study on Two Pacific Northwest National Parks

  • Myers, Gene;Park, Chung-In
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.385-396
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    • 2013
  • National park, as a natural park, has a dual purpose, to promote both protection and enjoyment. The educational activities of the national park can be partly understood as one of the appropriate means to balance its double purposes. This study provides a review of environmental education in the US National Parks according to social transition. Taking historical perspective and case studies, environmental education has played roles in helping the balance between preservation and enjoyment. Since the environmental movement, environmental education goals, particularly understanding the natural processes observable at national parks, has become more a part of the interpretation and education missions of the parks. Also non-governmental and non-profit partners have played important educational-based roles in support of both the National Parks Service and environmental education goals. The two different models also differ in the public's perception of them. Federal employees are resented in some rural areas in the U.S., but the general population automatically attributes authority, friendliness, and national-interestedness to NPS Rangers. This may in turn limit how strongly such staff could serve as strong advocates for the environment. On the other hand, the non-profit may be seen by some as strongly liberally biased and associated with urban wealth. It is also not as universally recognized as the NPS. It can, however, go far to develop new partnerships and undertake public relations. Non-profits vary greatly in quality, also affecting public perception.

동아시아 해역의 조석 모형 (Modelling of Tides in the East Asian Marginal Seas)

  • 최병호;고진석
    • 한국해안해양공학회지
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.94-108
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    • 1994
  • 연근해에서의 위성고도계 자료의 정확도가 향상됨에 따라 기존에 잘 알려져 있는 Schwiderski의 전구적 모형보다 더 정확한 조석모형으로 위성고도계 자료에서의 조석성분에 대한 보정을 향상시킬 필요가 있다. 초기단계로 오오츠크해, 남중국해와 북서태평양역을 포함하는 동아시아 전 해역에 대해 기존의 조석모형보다 해상도가 높은 1/6도 격자체계의 조석모형을 수립하여 반일주조(M$_2$, S$_2$, $N_2$, $K_2$)와 일주조(K$_1$, $O_1$, P$_1$, Q$_1$)의 조석체계에 대한 수치모형실험을 수행하였다. 계산된 결과들과 이 해역에서의 관측치와 기존의 경험적 조사도 및 Schwiderski의 조석도와 비교분석이 이루어졌다.

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가압열충격을 받는 원자로용기의 확률론적 건전성 평가 (Probabilistic Evaluation of RV Integrity Under Pressurized Thermal Shock)

  • 김종민;배재현;손갑헌;윤기석;최택상
    • 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한기계학회 2004년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.90-95
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    • 2004
  • The probabilistic fracture analysis is used to determine the effects of uncertainties involved in material properties, location and size of flaws, etc, which can not be addressed using a deterministic approach. In this paper the probabilistic fracture analysis is applied for evaluating the RV(Reactor Vessel) under PTS(Pressurised Thermal Shock). A semi-elliptical axial crack is assumed in the inside surface of RV. The selected random parameters are initial crack depth, neutron fluence, chemical composition of material (copper, nickel and phosphorous) and $RT_{NDT}$. The deterministically calculated $K_I$ and crack tip temperature are used for the probabilistic calculation. Using Monte Carlo simulation, the crack initiation probability for fixed flaw and PNNL(Pacific Northwest National Laboratory) flaw distribution is calculated. As the results show initiation probability of fixed flaw is much higher than that of PNNL distribution, the postulated crack sizes of 1/10t in this paper and 1/4t of ASME are evaluated to be very conservative.

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수분 스트레스가 루브라오리나무 묘목의 균근발달과 생장에 미치는 영향 (Effect of Water Stress on Ectomycorrhizal Development and Growth of Alnus rubra Seedlings)

  • 구창덕
    • 한국토양비료학회지
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    • 제34권4호
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    • pp.302-309
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    • 2001
  • 수분 스트레스가 루브라오리나무(Alnus rubra) 묘목의 균근(Alpova diplophloeus) 발달과 생장에 미치는 영향을 조사하였다. 5일 주기의 수분 스트레스를 10주 동안 처리한 결과 A. diplophloeus 균근의 형성, 묘목의 생리활동 및 생장이 감소하였다. A. diplophloeus 균근균이 접종된 묘목과 접종되지 않은 묘목은 수분 스트레스에 관계없이 생리활동이나 생장에서 차이가 없었다. 질소고정활동은 탄소동화작용보다 수분스트레스에 덜 민감하였다. 이 결과는 수분스트레스 상태에서 A. diplophloeus 균근은 오리나무의 적응도(fitness)에 기여하지 못함을 의미한다.

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원양 오징어채낚기 집어등 불빛의 수중 투과 특성 (Transmittance properties of fishing lamp in distant-water squid jigging vessel)

  • 조현수;오택윤;김영승;문대연
    • 수산해양기술연구
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    • 제42권4호
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    • pp.228-233
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    • 2006
  • The transmittance properties of fishing lamp of the squid jigging vessel was investigated during nighttime operations in the Northwest Pacific on 21 and 29 September 2005. The metal halide lamps of white color($2.0kW{\times}168$) in the air and metal halide lamp of white color($10.0kW{\times}1$) in the underwater were used as a fishing lamp for gathering squids. The relative irradiance of metal halide lamp in the air showed peak in 850nm of wave length. The relationship between underwater illuminance(Y) and water depth(X) of metal halide lamp light in the observation areas is represented, $Y=84.137e^{-0.1105X},\;R^2=0.9974$. The distribution of underwater illuminance of measure points St. 1-5 showed low value of 0.11x in 80m depth.