• Title/Summary/Keyword: nonstationary wind speed

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Comparative analysis of the wind characteristics of three landfall typhoons based on stationary and nonstationary wind models

  • Quan, Yong;Fu, Guo Qiang;Huang, Zi Feng;Gu, Ming
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.269-285
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    • 2020
  • The statistical characteristics of typhoon wind speed records tend to have a considerable time-varying trend; thus, the stationary wind model may not be appropriate to estimate the wind characteristics of typhoon events. Several nonstationary wind speed models have been proposed by pioneers to characterize wind characteristics more accurately, but comparative studies on the applicability of the different wind models are still lacking. In this study, three landfall typhoons, Ampil, Jongdari, and Rumbia, recorded by ultrasonic anemometers atop the Shanghai World Financial Center (SWFC), are used for the comparative analysis of stationary and nonstationary wind characteristics. The time-varying mean is extracted with the discrete wavelet transform (DWT) method, and the time-varying standard deviation is calculated by the autoregressive moving average generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (ARMA-GARCH) model. After extracting the time-varying trend, the longitudinal wind characteristics, e.g., the probability distribution, power spectral density (PSD), turbulence integral scale, turbulence intensity, gust factor, and peak factor, are comparatively analyzed based on the stationary wind speed model, time-varying mean wind speed model and time-varying standard deviation wind speed model. The comparative analysis of the different wind models emphasizes the significance of the nonstationary considerations in typhoon events. The time-varying standard deviation model can better identify the similarities among the different typhoons and appropriately describe the nonstationary wind characteristics of the typhoons.

Simulation combined transfer learning model for missing data recovery of nonstationary wind speed

  • Qiushuang Lin;Xuming Bao;Ying Lei;Chunxiang Li
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.37 no.5
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    • pp.383-397
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    • 2023
  • In the Structural Health Monitoring (SHM) system of civil engineering, data missing inevitably occurs during the data acquisition and transmission process, which brings great difficulties to data analysis and poses challenges to structural health monitoring. In this paper, Convolution Neural Network (CNN) is used to recover the nonstationary wind speed data missing randomly at sampling points. Given the technical constraints and financial implications, field monitoring data samples are often insufficient to train a deep learning model for the task at hand. Thus, simulation combined transfer learning strategy is proposed to address issues of overfitting and instability of the deep learning model caused by the paucity of training samples. According to a portion of target data samples, a substantial quantity of simulated data consistent with the characteristics of target data can be obtained by nonstationary wind-field simulation and are subsequently deployed for training an auxiliary CNN model. Afterwards, parameters of the pretrained auxiliary model are transferred to the target model as initial parameters, greatly enhancing training efficiency for the target task. Simulation synergy strategy effectively promotes the accuracy and stability of the target model to a great extent. Finally, the structural dynamic response analysis verifies the efficiency of the simulation synergy strategy.

A Nonstationary Frequency Analysis of Extreme Wind Speed in Jeju using Bayesian Approach (베이지안 기법을 이용한 제주지역 극치풍속의 비정상성 빈도해석)

  • Kim, Kyoungmin;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kwon, Soon-Duck
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.667-673
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    • 2019
  • Global warming may accelerate climate change and may increase disaster caused by strong winds. This research studied a method for a nonstationary frequency analysis considering the linear trend over time. The Bayesian method was used to estimate the posterior distribution of the parameters for the extreme value distribution of the annual maximum wind speed at Jeju Airport. The nonstationary frequency analysis was performed based on the Monte Carlo Markov Chain simulation and the Gibbs sampling. The estimated wind speeds by nonstationary frequency analysis was larger than those by stationary analysis. The conventional frequency analysis procedure assuming stationarity is likely to underestimate the future design wind speed in the region where statistically significant trend exists.

Characterizing and modelling nonstationary tri-directional thunderstorm wind time histories

  • Y.X. Liu;H.P. Hong
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.38 no.4
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    • pp.277-293
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    • 2024
  • The recorded thunderstorm winds at a point contain tri-directional components. The probabilistic characteristics of such recorded winds in terms of instantaneous mean wind speed and direction, and the probability distribution and the time-frequency dependent crossed and non-crossed power spectral density functions for the high-frequency fluctuating wind components are unclear. In the present study, we analyze the recorded tri-directional thunderstorm wind components by separating the recorded winds in terms of low-frequency time-varying mean wind speed and high-frequency fluctuating wind components in the alongwind direction and two orthogonal crosswind directions. We determine the time-varying mean wind speed and direction defined by azimuth and elevation angles, and analyze the spectra of high-frequency wind components in three orthogonal directions using continuous wavelet transforms. Additionally, we evaluate the coherence between each pair of fluctuating winds. Based on the analysis results, we develop empirical spectral models and lagged coherence models for the tri-directional fluctuating wind components, and we indicate that the fluctuating wind components can be treated as Gaussian. We show how they can be used to generate time histories of the tri-directional thunderstorm winds.

Reproduction of wind speed time series in a two-dimensional numerical multiple-fan wind tunnel using deep reinforcement learning

  • Qingshan Yang;Zhenzhi Luo;Ke Li;Teng Wu
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.271-285
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    • 2024
  • The multiple-fan wind tunnel is an important facility for reproducing target wind field. Existing control methods for the multiple-fan wind tunnel can generate wind speeds that satisfy the target statistical characteristics of a wind field (e.g., power spectrum). However, the frequency-domain features cannot well represent the nonstationary winds of extreme storms (e.g., downburst). Therefore, this study proposes a multiple-fan wind tunnel control scheme based on Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL), which will completely transform into a data-driven closed-loop control problem, to reproduce the target wind field in the time domain. Specifically, the control scheme adopts the Deep Deterministic Policy Gradient (DDPG) paradigm in which the strong fitting ability of Deep Neural Networks (DNN) is utilized. It can establish the complex relationship between the target wind speed time series and the current control strategy in the DRL-agent. To address the fluid memory effect of the wind field, this study innovatively designs the system state and control reward to improve the reproduction performance based on historical data. To validate the performance of the model, we established a simplified flow field based on Navier Stokes equations to simulate a two-dimensional numerical multiple-fan wind tunnel environment. Using the strategy of DRL decision maker, we generated a wind speed time series with minor error from the target under low Reynolds number conditions. This is the first time that the AI methods have been used to generate target wind speed time series in a multiple-fan wind tunnel environment. The hyperparameters in the DDPG paradigm are analyzed to identify a set of optimal parameters. With these efforts, the trained DRL-agent can simultaneously reproduce the wind speed time series in multiple positions.

Efficient wind fragility analysis of RC high rise building through metamodelling

  • Bhandari, Apurva;Datta, Gaurav;Bhattacharjya, Soumya
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.199-211
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    • 2018
  • This paper deals with wind fragility and risk analysis of high rise buildings subjected to stochastic wind load. Conventionally, such problems are dealt in full Monte Carlo Simulation framework, which requires extensive computational time. Thus, to make the procedure computationally efficient, application of metamodelling technique in fragility analysis is explored in the present study. Since, accuracy by the conventional Least Squares Method (LSM) based metamodelling is often challenged, an efficient Moving Least Squares Method based adaptive metamodelling technique is proposed for wind fragility analysis. In doing so, artificial time history of wind load is generated by three wind field models: i.e., a simple one based on alongwind component of wind speed; a more detailed one considering coherence and wind directionality effect, and a third one considering nonstationary effect of mean wind. The results show that the proposed approach is more accurate than the conventional LSM based metamodelling approach when compared to full simulation approach as reference. At the same time, the proposed approach drastically reduces computational time in comparison to the full simulation approach. The results by the three wind field models are compared. The importance of non-linear structural analysis in fragility evaluation has been also demonstrated.

Nonstationary Surrogate Model for Reference Evapotranspiration Estimation Based on In-situ Temperature Data (온도인자를 활용한 비정상성 기준증발산량 대체모형 개발)

  • Kim, Ho-Jun;Nguyen, Thi Huong;Kang, Dongwon;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.96-96
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    • 2021
  • 수문기상인자 중 하나인 증발산량은 수자원 계획 및 관리 시 고려되며, 특히 물수지 모형 등의 입력자료로 활용된다. 우리나라를 포함한 각국 기상청 및 국제기구에서는 직접 관측이 아닌 FAO56 Penman-Monteith(PM)을 통해 증발산량을 산출하고 있다. FAO56 PM 방법은 복사(radiation), 대기온도(air temperature), 습도(humidity), 풍속(wind speed) 등의 기상인자로부터 기준증발산량(reference evapotransipiration)을 추정하며, 상대적으로 높은 정확성을 보여준다. 그러나 FAO56 PM 방법은 많은 기상인자를 요구하므로 미계측 유역을 포함한 일부지역에 대한 증발산량 자료 구축이 어려운 실정이다. 또한, 기준증발산량의 특성이 시간에 따라 변화하므로 비정상성(nonstationary)을 고려한 분석이 요구된다. 본 연구에서는 온도인자 기반의 대체모형(surrogate model)을 개발하여 기준증발산량의 비정상성을 고려하고자 한다. 한강유역에 위치한 관측소를 대상으로 모형을 개발하였으며, 시간에 따라 변동하는 기준증발산량의 특성을 고려하기 위해 Bayesian 추론기법을 통해 매개변수를 시간에 따라 추정하였다. 또한, 본 연구에서는 대체모형으로 산정된 증발산량을 활용해 가뭄지수인 EDDI(evaporative demand drought index)를 제시하였다. 가뭄 모니터링 및 조기 경보 안내를 위해 개발된 EDDI를 활용하여 기존 가뭄보다 빠르게 진행되는 초단기 가뭄(flash drought)를 평가하였다. 본 연구에서 개발된 모형은 미계측 지역에서도 적용이 가능하므로 수자원분야에서 활용성이 높을 것으로 사료된다.

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