• 제목/요약/키워드: neural networks model

검색결과 1,887건 처리시간 0.033초

Using Structural Changes to support the Neural Networks based on Data Mining Classifiers: Application to the U.S. Treasury bill rates

  • 오경주
    • 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국데이터정보과학회 2003년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.57-72
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    • 2003
  • This article provides integrated neural network models for the interest rate forecasting using change-point detection. The model is composed of three phases. The first phase is to detect successive structural changes in interest rate dataset. The second phase is to forecast change-point group with data mining classifiers. The final phase is to forecast the interest rate with BPN. Based on this structure, we propose three integrated neural network models in terms of data mining classifier: (1) multivariate discriminant analysis (MDA)-supported neural network model, (2) case based reasoning (CBR)-supported neural network model and (3) backpropagation neural networks (BPN)-supported neural network model. Subsequently, we compare these models with a neural network model alone and, in addition, determine which of three classifiers (MDA, CBR and BPN) can perform better. For interest rate forecasting, this study then examines the predictability of integrated neural network models to represent the structural change.

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비선형 분리모형에 의한 증발접시 증발량의 해석 (Pan Evaporation Analysis using Nonlinear Disaggregation Model)

  • 김성원;김정헌;박기범
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2008년도 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.1147-1150
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    • 2008
  • The goal of this research is to apply the neural networks models for the disaggregation of the pan evaporation (PE) data, Republic of Korea. The neural networks models consist of the support vector machines neural networks model (SVM-NNM) and multilayer perceptron neural networks model (MLP-NNM), respectively. The SVM-NNM in time series modeling is relatively new and it is more problematic in comparison with classifications. In this study, The disaggregation means that the yearly PE data divides into the monthly PE data. And, for the performances of the neural networks models, they are composed of training, cross validation, and testing data, respectively. From this research, we evaluate the impact of the SVM-NNM and the MLP-NNM for the disaggregation of the nonlinear time series data. We should, furthermore, construct the credible data of the monthly PE data from the disaggregation of the yearly PE data, and can suggest the methodology for the irrigation and drainage networks system.

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인공신경망을 이용한 평면파괴 안정성 예측 (A Prediction of the Plane Failure Stability Using Artificial Neural Networks)

  • 김방식;이성기;서재영;김광명
    • 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지반공학회 2002년도 가을 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.513-520
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    • 2002
  • The stability analysis of rock slope can be predicted using a suitable field data but it cannot be predicted unless suitable field data was taken. In this study, artificial neural networks theory is applied to predict plane failure that has a few data. It is well known that human brain has the advantage of handling disperse and parallel distributed data efficiently. On the basis of this fact, artificial neural networks theory was developed and has been applied to various fields of science successfully In this study, error back-propagation algorithm that is one of the teaching techniques of artificial neural networks is applied to predict plane failure. In order to verify the applicability of this model, a total of 30 field data results are used. These data are used for training the artificial neural network model and compared between the predicted and the measured. The simulation results show the potentiality of utilizing the neural networks for effective safety factor prediction of plane failure. In conclusion, the well-trained artificial neural network model could be applied to predict the plane failure stability of rock slope.

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SVM-NNM을 이용한 증발접시 증발량자료의 분해기법 (Disaggregation Approach of the Pan Evaporation using SVM-NNM)

  • 김성원
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2010년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.1560-1563
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    • 2010
  • The goal of this research is to apply the neural networks model for the disaggregation of the pan evaporation (PE) data, Republic of Korea. The neural networks model consists of support vector machine neural networks model (SVM-NNM). The disaggregation means that the yearly PE data divides into the monthly PE data. And, for the performances of the neural networks model, it is composed of training and test performances, respectively. The training and test performances consist of the historic, the generated, and the mixed data, respectively. From this research, we evaluate the impact of SVM-NNM for the disaggregation of the nonlinear time series data. We should, furthermore, construct the credible data of the monthly PE from the disaggregation of the yearly PE data, and can suggest the methodology for the irrigation and drainage networks system.

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그래프 합성곱-신경망 구조 탐색 : 그래프 합성곱 신경망을 이용한 신경망 구조 탐색 (Graph Convolutional - Network Architecture Search : Network architecture search Using Graph Convolution Neural Networks)

  • 최수연;박종열
    • 문화기술의 융합
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.649-654
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    • 2023
  • 본 논문은 그래프 합성곱 신경망을 이용한 신경망 구조 탐색 모델 설계를 제안한다. 딥 러닝은 블랙박스로 학습이 진행되는 특성으로 인해 설계한 모델이 최적화된 성능을 가지는 구조인지 검증하지 못하는 문제점이 존재한다. 신경망 구조 탐색 모델은 모델을 생성하는 순환 신경망과 생성된 네트워크인 합성곱 신경망으로 구성되어있다. 통상의 신경망 구조 탐색 모델은 순환신경망 계열을 사용하지만 우리는 본 논문에서 순환신경망 대신 그래프 합성곱 신경망을 사용하여 합성곱 신경망 모델을 생성하는 GC-NAS를 제안한다. 제안하는 GC-NAS는 Layer Extraction Block을 이용하여 Depth를 탐색하며 Hyper Parameter Prediction Block을 이용하여 Depth 정보를 기반으로 한 spatial, temporal 정보(hyper parameter)를 병렬적으로 탐색합니다. 따라서 Depth 정보를 반영하기 때문에 탐색 영역이 더 넓으며 Depth 정보와 병렬적 탐색을 진행함으로 모델의 탐색 영역의 목적성이 분명하기 때문에 GC-NAS대비 이론적 구조에 있어서 우위에 있다고 판단된다. GC-NAS는 그래프 합성곱 신경망 블록 및 그래프 생성 알고리즘을 통하여 기존 신경망 구조 탐색 모델에서 순환 신경망이 가지는 고차원 시간 축의 문제와 공간적 탐색의 범위 문제를 해결할 것으로 기대한다. 또한 우리는 본 논문이 제안하는 GC-NAS를 통하여 신경망 구조 탐색에 그래프 합성곱 신경망을 적용하는 연구가 활발히 이루어질 수 있는 계기가 될 수 있기를 기대한다.

오차 자기순환 신경회로망 기반 반능동 현가시스템 제어기 개발 (The development of semi-active suspension controller based on error self recurrent neural networks)

  • 이창구;송광현
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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    • 제5권8호
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    • pp.932-940
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    • 1999
  • In this paper, a new neural networks and neural network based sliding mode controller are proposed. The new neural networks are an mor self-recurrent neural networks which use a recursive least squares method for the fast on-line leammg. The error self-recurrent neural networks converge considerably last than the back-prollagation algorithm and have advantage oi bemg less affected by the poor initial weights and learning rate. The controller for suspension system is designed according to sliding mode technique based on new proposed neural networks. In order to adapt shding mode control mnethod, each frame dstance hetween ground and vehcle body is estimated md controller is designed according to estimated neural model. The neural networks based sliding mode controller approves good peiformance throllgh computer sirnulations.

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COMPARISON OF VARIABLE SELECTION AND STRUCTURAL SPECIFICATION BETWEEN REGRESSION AND NEURAL NETWORK MODELS FOR HOUSEHOLD VEHICULAR TRIP FORECASTING

  • Yi, Jun-Sub
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.599-609
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    • 1999
  • Neural networks are explored as an alternative to a regres-sion model for prediction of the number of daily household vehicular trips. This study focuses on contrasting a neural network model with a regression model in term of variable selection as well as the appli-cation of these models for prediction of extreme observations, The differences in the models regarding data transformation variable selec-tion and multicollinearity are considered. The results indicate that the neural network model is a viable alternative to the regression model for addressing both messy data problems and limitation in variable structure specification.

신경회로망을 이용한 특수일 부하예측 (An Special-Day Load Forecasting Using Neural Networks)

  • 고희석;김주찬
    • 융합신호처리학회논문지
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    • 제5권1호
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    • pp.53-59
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    • 2004
  • 부하예측의 경우 가장 중요한 문제는 특수일의 부하를 예측하는 것이고, 따라서 본 본문은 과거 특수일 부하 데이터를 이용하여 신경회로망 모델에 의해서 특수일 피크부하를 예측하는 방법을 제시한다. 특수일 부하는 예측되었고, 예측 오차율은 광복절을 제외하고는 l∼2% 정도의 비교적 우수한 예측결과를 도출하였다. 따라서 사용한 예측 모델은 특수일의 부하에 만족스러운 정밀한 예측이 가능하고. 신경회로망은 특수일 부하 예측의 결과를 검증하기 위해 4차 직교다항식모형과 특수일 부하의 예측에효과적인 패턴 변환비를 이용한 신경회로망 모형을 구성했다. 한편, 시간별 특수일의 부하예측에도 신경회로망을 적용한 특수일 부항예측의 경우와 같은 양호한 예측결과를 보였다.

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신경망을 이용한 산업주가수익율의 예측 (Industry Stock Returns Prediction Using Neural Networks)

  • 권영삼;한인구
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.93-110
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    • 1999
  • The previous studies regarding the stock returns have advocated that industry effects exist over entire industry. As the industry categories are more rigid, the demand for predicting the industry sectors is rapidly increasing. The advances in Artificial Intelligence and Neural Networks suggest the feasibility of a valuable computational model for stock returns prediction. We propose a sector-factor model for predicting the return on industry stock index using neural networks. As a substitute for the traditional models, neural network model may be more accurate and effective alternative when the dynamics between the underlying industry features are not well known or when the industry specific asset pricing equation cannot be solved analytically. To assess the potential value of neural network model, we simulate the resulting network and show that the proposed model can be used successfully for banks and general construction industry. For comparison, we estimate models using traditional statistical method of multiple regression. To illustrate the practical relevance of neural network model, we apply it to the predictions of two industry stock indexes from 1980 to 1995.

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Dental age estimation using the pulp-to-tooth ratio in canines by neural networks

  • Farhadian, Maryam;Salemi, Fatemeh;Saati, Samira;Nafisi, Nika
    • Imaging Science in Dentistry
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    • 제49권1호
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    • pp.19-26
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: It has been proposed that using new prediction methods, such as neural networks based on dental data, could improve age estimation. This study aimed to assess the possibility of exploiting neural networks for estimating age by means of the pulp-to-tooth ratio in canines as a non-destructive, non-expensive, and accurate method. In addition, the predictive performance of neural networks was compared with that of a linear regression model. Materials and Methods: Three hundred subjects whose age ranged from 14 to 60 years and were well distributed among various age groups were included in the study. Two statistical software programs, SPSS 21 (IBM Corp., Armonk, NY, USA) and R, were used for statistical analyses. Results: The results indicated that the neural network model generally performed better than the regression model for estimation of age with pulp-to-tooth ratio data. The prediction errors of the developed neural network model were acceptable, with a root mean square error (RMSE) of 4.40 years and a mean absolute error (MAE) of 4.12 years for the unseen dataset. The prediction errors of the regression model were higher than those of the neural network, with an RMSE of 10.26 years and a MAE of 8.17 years for the test dataset. Conclusion: The neural network method showed relatively acceptable performance, with an MAE of 4.12 years. The application of neural networks creates new opportunities to obtain more accurate estimations of age in forensic research.