• Title/Summary/Keyword: neural network.

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Prediction of golf scores on the PGA tour using statistical models (PGA 투어의 골프 스코어 예측 및 분석)

  • Lim, Jungeun;Lim, Youngin;Song, Jongwoo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.41-55
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    • 2017
  • This study predicts the average scores of top 150 PGA golf players on 132 PGA Tour tournaments (2013-2015) using data mining techniques and statistical analysis. This study also aims to predict the Top 10 and Top 25 best players in 4 different playoffs. Linear and nonlinear regression methods were used to predict average scores. Stepwise regression, all best subset, LASSO, ridge regression and principal component regression were used for the linear regression method. Tree, bagging, gradient boosting, neural network, random forests and KNN were used for nonlinear regression method. We found that the average score increases as fairway firmness or green height or average maximum wind speed increases. We also found that the average score decreases as the number of one-putts or scrambling variable or longest driving distance increases. All 11 different models have low prediction error when predicting the average scores of PGA Tournaments in 2015 which is not included in the training set. However, the performances of Bagging and Random Forest models are the best among all models and these two models have the highest prediction accuracy when predicting the Top 10 and Top 25 best players in 4 different playoffs.

Incident Detection for Urban Arterial Road by Adopting Car Navigation Data (차량 궤적 데이터를 활용한 도심부 간선도로의 돌발상황 검지)

  • Kim, Tae-Uk;Bae, Sang-Hoon;Jung, Heejin
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2014
  • Traffic congestion cost is more likely to occur in the inner city than interregional road, and it accounts for about 63.39% of the whole. Therefore, it is important to mitigate traffic congestion of the inner city. Traffic congestion in the urban could be divided into Recurrent congestion and Non-recurrent congestion. Quick and accurate detection of Non-recurrent congestion is also important in order to relieve traffic congestion. The existing studies about incident detection have been variously conducted, however it was limited to Uninterrupted Traffic Flow Facilities such as freeway. Moreover study of incident detection on the interrupted Traffic Flow Facilities is still inadequate due to complex geometric structure such as traffic signals and intersections. Therefore, in this study, incident detection model was constructed using by Artificial Neural Network to aim at urban arterial road that is interrupted traffic flow facility. In the result of the reliability assessment, the detection rate were 46.15% and false alarm rate were 25.00%. These results have a meaning as a result of the initial study aimed at interrupted traffic flow. Furthermore, it demonstrates the possibility that Non-recurrent congestion can be detected by using car navigation data such as car navigator system device.

Pattern classification of the synchronized EEG records by an auditory stimulus for human-computer interface (인간-컴퓨터 인터페이스를 위한 청각 동기방식 뇌파신호의 패턴 분류)

  • Lee, Yong-Hee;Choi, Chun-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.12 no.12
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    • pp.2349-2356
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, we present the method to effectively extract and classify the EEG caused by only brain activity when a normal subject is in a state of mental activity. We measure the synchronous EEG on the auditory event when a subject who is in a normal state thinks of a specific task, and then shift the baseline and reduce the effect of biological artifacts on the measured EEG. Finally we extract only the mental task signal by averaging method, and then perform the recognition of the extracted mental task signal by computing the AR coefficients. In the experiment, the auditory stimulus is used as an event and the EEG was recorded from the three channel $C_3-A_1$, $C_4-A_2$ and $P_Z-A_1$. After averaging 16 times for each channel output, we extracted the features of specific mental tasks by modeling the output as 12th order AR coefficients. We used total 36th order coefficient as an input parameter of the neural network and measured the training data 50 times per each task. With data not used for training, the rate of task recognition is 34-92 percent on the two tasks, and 38-54 percent on the four tasks.

Principal Component analysis based Ambulatory monitoring of elderly (주성분 분석 기반의 노약자 응급 모니터링)

  • Sharma, Annapurna;Lee, Hoon-Jae;Chung, Wan-Young
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.12 no.11
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    • pp.2105-2110
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    • 2008
  • Embedding the compact wearable units to monitor the health status of a person has been analysed as a convenient solution for the home health care. This paper presents a method to detect fall from the other activities of daily living and also to classify those activities. This kind of ambulatory monitoring of the elderly and people with limited mobility can not only provide their general health status but also alarms whenever an emergency such as fall or gait has been occurred and a help is needed. A timely assistance in such a situation can reduce the loss of life. This work shows a detailed analysis of the data received from a chest worn sensor unit embedding a 3-axis accelerometer and depicts which features are important for the classification of human activities. How to arrange and reduce the features to a new feature set so that it can be classified using a simple classifier and also improving the classification resolution. Principal component analysis (PCA) has been used for modifying the feature set and afterwards for reducing the size of the same. Finally a Neural network classifier has been used to analyse the classification accuracies. The accuracy for detection of fall events was found to be 86%. The overall accuracy for the classification of Activities or daily living (ADL) and fall was around 94%.

Development of Remote Sensing Reflectance and Water Leaving Radiance Models for Ocean Color Remote Sensing Technique (해색 원격탐사를 위한 원격반사도 및 수출광 모델의 개발)

  • 안유환
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.243-260
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    • 2000
  • Ocean remote sensing reflectance of just above water level was modeled using inherent optical properties of seawater contents, total absorption (a) and backscattering(bb) coefficients ($R_{rs}$=0.046 $b_b$/(a+$b_b$). This modeling was based on the specific absorption and backscattering coefficients of 5 optically active seawater components; phytoplankton pigments, non-chlorophyllous suspended particles, dissolved organic matters, heterotrophic microorganisms, and the other unknown particle components. Simulated remote sensing reflectance($R_{rs}$) and water leaving radiance(Lw) spectra were well agreed with in-situ measurements obtained using a bi-directional fields remote spectrometer in coastal waters and open ocean. $R_{rs}$ values in SeaWiFS bands from the model were analyzed to develop 2-band ratio ocean color chlorophyll with those observed insitu. Also, chlorophyll algorithm based on remote reflectance developed in this study fell in those obtained by a SeaBAM working group. The model algorithms were examined and compared with those observed insitu. Also, chlorophyll algorithm based on remote reflectance developed in this study fell in those obtained by a SeaBAM working group. The remote reflectance model will be very helpful to understand the variation of water leaving radiances caused by the various components in the seawater, and to develop new ocean color algorithm for CASE-II water using neural network method or other analytical method, and in the model of fine atmospheric signal correction.

An Empirical Study on the Measurement of Clustering and Trend Analysis among the Asian Container Ports Using Self Organizing Maps based on Neural Network and Tier Models (자기조직화지도 신경망 모형과 Tier 모형을 이용한 아시아컨테이너항만의 클러스터링측정 및 추세분석에 관한 실증적 연구)

  • Park, Rokyung
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.23-55
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this paper is to show the clustering trend and to choose the clustering ports for 3 Korean ports(Busan, Incheon and Gwangyang Ports) by using the self organizing maps based on neural network(SOM) and Tier models for 38 Asian ports during 11 years(2001-2011) with 4 input variables(birth length, depth, total area, and number of crane) and 1 output variable(container TEU). The main empirical results of this paper are as follows. First, clustering results by using SOM show that 3 Korean ports[Busan(26.5%), Incheon(13.05%), and Gwangyang(22.95%) each]can increase the efficiency. Second, according to Tier model, Busan(Hongkong, Sanghai, Manila, and Singapore), Incheon(Aden, Ningbo, Dabao, and Bangkog), and Gwangyang(Aden, Ningbo, Bangkog, Hipa, Dubai, and Guangzhou) should be clustered with those ports in parentheses. Third, when both SOM and Tier models are mixed, (1) efficiency improvement of Busan Port is greater than those of Incheon and Gwangyang ports. (2) Incheon port has shown the slow improvement during 2001-2007, but after 2008, improvement speed was high. (3) improvement level of Gwangyang port was high during 2001-2003, but after 2004, improvement level was constantly decreased. The policy implication of this paper is that Korean port policy planner should introduce the SOM, and Tier models with the mixed two models when clustering among the Asian ports for enhancing the efficiency of inputs and outputs.

Predicting Program Code Changes Using a CNN Model (CNN 모델을 이용한 프로그램 코드 변경 예측)

  • Kim, Dong Kwan
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.12 no.9
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    • pp.11-19
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    • 2021
  • A software system is required to change during its life cycle due to various requirements such as adding functionalities, fixing bugs, and adjusting to new computing environments. Such program code modification should be considered as carefully as a new system development becase unexpected software errors could be introduced. In addition, when reusing open source programs, we can expect higher quality software if code changes of the open source program are predicted in advance. This paper proposes a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN)-based deep learning model to predict source code changes. In this paper, the prediction of code changes is considered as a kind of a binary classification problem in deep learning and labeled datasets are used for supervised learning. Java projects and code change logs are collected from GitHub for training and testing datasets. Software metrics are computed from the collected Java source code and they are used as input data for the proposed model to detect code changes. The performance of the proposed model has been measured by using evaluation metrics such as precision, recall, F1-score, and accuracy. The experimental results show the proposed CNN model has achieved 95% in terms of F1-Score and outperformed the multilayer percept-based DNN model whose F1-Score is 92%.

Convergence of Artificial Intelligence Techniques and Domain Specific Knowledge for Generating Super-Resolution Meteorological Data (기상 자료 초해상화를 위한 인공지능 기술과 기상 전문 지식의 융합)

  • Ha, Ji-Hun;Park, Kun-Woo;Im, Hyo-Hyuk;Cho, Dong-Hee;Kim, Yong-Hyuk
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.12 no.10
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    • pp.63-70
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    • 2021
  • Generating a super-resolution meteological data by using a high-resolution deep neural network can provide precise research and useful real-life services. We propose a new technique of generating improved training data for super-resolution deep neural networks. To generate high-resolution meteorological data with domain specific knowledge, Lambert conformal conic projection and objective analysis were applied based on observation data and ERA5 reanalysis field data of specialized institutions. As a result, temperature and humidity analysis data based on domain specific knowledge showed improved RMSE by up to 42% and 46%, respectively. Next, a super-resolution generative adversarial network (SRGAN) which is one of the aritifial intelligence techniques was used to automate the manual data generation technique using damain specific techniques as described above. Experiments were conducted to generate high-resolution data with 1 km resolution from global model data with 10 km resolution. Finally, the results generated with SRGAN have a higher resoltuion than the global model input data, and showed a similar analysis pattern to the manually generated high-resolution analysis data, but also showed a smooth boundary.

A Development for Sea Surface Salinity Algorithm Using GOCI in the East China Sea (GOCI를 이용한 동중국해 표층 염분 산출 알고리즘 개발)

  • Kim, Dae-Won;Kim, So-Hyun;Jo, Young-Heon
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.37 no.5_2
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    • pp.1307-1315
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    • 2021
  • The Changjiang Diluted Water (CDW) spreads over the East China Sea every summer and significantly affects the sea surface salinity changes in the seas around Jeju Island and the southern coast of Korea peninsula. Sometimes its effect extends to the eastern coast of Korea peninsula through the Korea Strait. Specifically, the CDW has a significant impact on marine physics and ecology and causes damage to fisheries and aquaculture. However, due to the limited field surveys, continuous observation of the CDW in the East China Sea is practically difficult. Many studies have been conducted using satellite measurements to monitor CDW distribution in near-real time. In this study, an algorithm for estimating Sea Surface Salinity (SSS) in the East China Sea was developed using the Geostationary Ocean Color Imager (GOCI). The Multilayer Perceptron Neural Network (MPNN) method was employed for developing an algorithm, and Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) SSS data was selected for the output. In the previous study, an algorithm for estimating SSS using GOCI was trained by 2016 observation data. By comparison, the train data period was extended from 2015 to 2020 to improve the algorithm performance. The validation results with the National Institute of Fisheries Science (NIFS) serial oceanographic observation data from 2011 to 2019 show 0.61 of coefficient of determination (R2) and 1.08 psu of Root Mean Square Errors (RMSE). This study was carried out to develop an algorithm for monitoring the surface salinity of the East China Sea using GOCI and is expected to contribute to the development of the algorithm for estimating SSS by using GOCI-II.

A Study on the Method of Differentiating Between Elderly Walking and Non-Senior Walking Using Machine Learning Models (기계학습 모델을 이용한 노인보행과 비노인보행의 구별 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Ga Young;Jeong, Su Hwan;Eom, Soo Hyeon;Jang, Seong Won;Lee, So Yeon;Choi, Sangil
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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    • v.10 no.9
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    • pp.251-260
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    • 2021
  • Gait analysis is one of the research fields for obtaining various information related to gait by analyzing human ambulation. It has been studied for a long time not only in the medical field but also in various academic areas such as mechanical engineering, electronic engineering, and computer engineering. Efforts have been made to determine whether there is a problem with gait through gait analysis. In this paper, as a pre-step to find out gait abnormalities, it is investigated whether it is possible to differentiate whether experiment participants wear elderly simulation suit or not by applying gait data to machine learning models for the same person. For a total of 45 participants, each gait data was collected before and after wearing the simulation suit, and a total of six machine learning models were used to learn the collected data. As a result of using an artificial neural network model to distinguish whether or not the participants wear the suit, it showed 99% accuracy. What this study suggests is that we explored the possibility of judging the presence or absence of abnormality in gait by using machine learning.