• Title/Summary/Keyword: negative spillover

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Profitability of Options Trading Strategy using SVM (SVM을 이용한 옵션투자전략의 수익성 분석)

  • Kim, Sun Woong
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.46-54
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to develop and analyze the performance of a selective option straddle strategy based on forecasted volatility to improve the weakness of typical straddle strategy solely based on negative volatility risk premium. The KOSPI 200 option volatility is forecasted by the SVM model combined with the asymmetric volatility spillover effect. The selective straddle strategy enters option position only when the volatility is forecasted downwardly or sideways. The SVM model is trained for 2008-2014 training period and applied for 2015-2018 testing period. The suggested model showed improved performance, that is, its profit becomes higher and risk becomes lower than the benchmark strategies, and consequently typical performance index, Sharpe Ratio, increases. The suggested model gives option traders guidelines as to when they enter option position.

The Spillover from Asset Determinants to Ship Price (자산가격결정요인의 선박가격에 대한 파급효과 분석)

  • Choi, Youngjae;Kim, Hyunsok
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.59-71
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    • 2016
  • This study empirically examines the dynamic specification of the ship price model based on a vector autoregressive model and data covering from January 2000 to October 2014. Our results are summarized as follows: first, the relationship between ship price and interest rate shows significantly negative and the relationship between ship price and freight rate shows positive. It provides consistent implication that ship price depends on interest rate and freight rate under the dynamic Gordon model. Second, we apply an impulse response analysis to ship price and find the responses of the ship price from both factors, interest rate and freight rate, which affect during seven periods approximately. Finally, the results of a variance decomposition indicate that freight rate is more important than interest rate on the ship price.

The Unexpected Volatility of Foreigners' Trading Behavior Effects on the Korean Stock Market Volatility (외국인 거래행태의 비기대변동성은 주식수익률의 변동성에 영향을 주는가)

  • Byun, Young tae
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.593-609
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    • 2012
  • This study is designed to investigate whether the information spillover effect is existed between the foreign investors' unexpected volatility of net purchasing intensity and the volatilities of returns in terms of daily closing stock return, overnight return, and daytime return, before and after financial crisis in Korea. The result of this study shows that there is negative information spillover effect between the foreign investors' unexpected volatility of net purchasing intensity and the volatility of daily closing stock return for time t-1. However, there is an opposite result for time t, showing positive information transmission effect. For the overnight return, the test result provides there is no statistical significance between the foreign investor's unexpected volatility of net purchasing intensity and the volatilities of return. In addition, I found that the information transmission effect is existed between the foreign investor's unexpected volatility of net purchasing intensity and the volatilities of the daytime return for the entire timeline.

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The influences of spousal support and work-family spillover on work-life balance in dual-earner couples with children: Testing actor and partner effects (맞벌이부부의 배우자 지지, 직장 지지 및 일-가족 전이가 일-생활 균형에 미치는 자기효과와 상대방효과)

  • Jeong, Seo-Leen;Jang, Yoon-Ok
    • Journal of Family Resource Management and Policy Review
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.97-119
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study was to find out the actor effect and the partner effect in relation to spousal support, job support, work-family spillover, and work-life balance in dual-earner couples. The subjects of this study were 176 dual-earner couple, whose youngest children are under the age of 16 and who work over 15 hours each week. The research tool was a questionnaires. Factor analysis, Cronbach's ${\alpha}$, correlation analysis, and APIM were performed for the data analysis. The main results of this study as follows. First, for both wives and husbands, perceived spousal support had a positive actor effect on work-life balance. However, perceived husband's spouse support for wife's support had positive partner effect on the wife's work-life balance, the wife's perceived spousal support for her husband' did not have a partner actor effect on the husband's work-life balance. Second, for both wives and husbands, job support had a positive actor effect on work-life balance. In addition, the wife's job support had a positive partner effect on the husband's work-life balance, however, the husband's job support did not have a partner actor effect on the wife's work-life balance. Third, for both wives and husbands, work-family conflict had a negative actor effect on work-life balance. In addition, the wife's work-family conflict had a negative partner effect on the husband's work-life balance, however, the husband's work-family conflict did not have a partner actor effect on the wife's work-life balance. Fourth, for both wives and husbands, work-family enrichment had a positive actor effect on work-life balance. In addition, the husband's work-family enrichment had a positive partner effect on the wife's work-life balance, however, the wife's work-family enrichment did not have a partner actor effect on the husband's work-life balance.

Spillover Effects in Customer Incivility: Impacts on Frontline Employees' Negative Behaviors

  • Jung, Hyo Sun;Park, Young Mi;Yoon, Hye Hyun
    • Culinary science and hospitality research
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.110-117
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    • 2017
  • This study intended to examine transitive relation among customer incivility perceived by deluxe hotel frontline employees, burnout, and deviant workplace behaviors and clarify the moderating effect of employees' stress. A total of 230 employees working in deluxe hotels in Seoul, the capital of Korea, in 2017 comprised the sample in this study. The hypothesized relationships in the model were tested simultaneously by using structural equation modelling (SEM). As results, customer incivility perceived by deluxe hotel frontline employees had significant (p<.001) positive influence on their burnout(${\beta}=.38$, t-value=4.93). Employees' burnout positively influenced their deviant workplace behaviors (${\beta}=.56$, t-value=7.22). In addition, customer incivility was found to positively affect employees' deviant workplace behaviors(${\beta}=.26$, t-value=3.90), and therefore, the moderating role of stress level was not verified. The findings of this study suggested that deluxe hotels are supposed to enhance their frontline service by providing orientation for customers through promotion materials. Limitations and future research directions of this study were also well established and discussed.

The Determinants and their Time-Varying Spillovers on Liquefied Natural Gas Import Prices in China Based on TVP-FAVAR Model

  • Ying Huang;Yusheng Jiao
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.93-104
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    • 2024
  • China is playing more predominant role in the liquefied natural gas (LNG) market worldwide and LNG import price is subject to various factors both at home and abroad. Nevertheless, previous studies rarely heed a multiple of factors. A time-varying parameter factor augmented vector auto-regression (TVP-FAVAR) model is adopted to discover the determinants of China's LNG import price and their dynamic impacts from January 2012 to December 2021. According to the findings, market fundamentals have a greater impact on the import price of natural gas in China than overall economic demand, financial considerations, and world oil prices. The primary determinants include domestic gas consumption, consumer confidence and other demand-side information. Then, there are diverse and time-varying spillover effects of the four common determinants on the volatility of China's LNG import price at different intervals and time nodes. The price volatility is more sensitive and long-lasting to domestic natural gas pricing reform than other negative shocks such as the Sino-US trade war and the COVID-19 pandemic. The results in this study further proves the importance of domestic natural gas market liberalization. China ought to do more to support the further marketization of natural gas prices while working harder to guarantee natural gas supplies.

Effects of Urbanization on Economic Growth of Southeast Asia: based on the Williamson's Hypothesis (동남아시아의 도시화가 경제성장에 미치는 영향: Williamson의 가설을 활용하여)

  • RA, Hee-Ryang
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.45-80
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    • 2016
  • This paper examined, using three indicators, urban area rate, urbanization rate and urban population density upon the status of urbanization since the 2000s in Southeast Asia. This study also carried out an empirical analysis on the effects of urbanization on economic growth using the Williamson's inverted U-shape hypothesis. In addition, this study calculated the thresholds by which urbanization starts to have positive effects on economic growth by using estimated coefficients, and comparatively analyzed each Southeast Asian country's status. The empirical analysis results opposite to the Williamson's hypothesis. This means that the hypothesis asserting that urbanization has positive effects on economic growth in a country with low economic development phase and income level, but that urbanization can have negative effects on economic growth, if a country's income level is beyond a certain level(threshold), is not supported in this study. In summary, the economies of agglomeration represented as localization economy and urbanization economy is realized to some degree in terms of urbanization in Southeast Asia. Also, urbanization in Southeast Asia has positive effects on economic growth through knowledge spillover, the active exchange of ideas and productivity improvement. In examining the meaning of Southeast Asia's urbanization, policy consideration needs to be conducted, and efforts should be made to maximize the positive effects of the economies of agglomeration and knowledge spillover on economic growth.

A Study on the Effects of Self-support Program Participants' Social Capital on Their Quality of Life - Focusing on the mediating effect of job satisfaction - (자활사업 참여자의 사회적 자본이 삶의 질에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구 - 직무만족의 매개효과를 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Mi-Ra
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare Studies
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.413-443
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    • 2011
  • The objectives of this study were to survey the level of social capital owned by self-support program participants, and to analyze the direct and indirect effects of social capital on their quality of life. Particularly because an individual's life is highly likely to be influenced by multiple aspects including human relation, this study purposed to determine the mediating effect of job satisfaction in the relation between social capital and the quality of life. The survey used a structured questionnaire, and in the contents of the questionnaire, the quality of life was selected as a dependent variable, social capital as an independent variable, and the job satisfaction as a mediating variable affecting the relation between social capital and the quality of life. The results of this study were as follows. First, as to the relation between self-support program participants' social capital and the quality of life, the network level and the normative level hand an important effect on the quality of life. Second, as to the relation between self-support program participants' social capital and job satisfaction, social capital had a negative effect on job satisfaction. Third, in the relation between self-support program participants' social capital and their quality of life, the mediating effect of job satisfaction was positive and this supports the spillover model among hypotheses on the relation between job satisfaction and the quality of life.

The Effects of Corporate Corresponding Time on the Negativity Publicity (부정적 언론보도에 대한 기업의 대응시점 효과)

  • Jongchul Park;Woojun An;Hanjun Lee
    • Asia Marketing Journal
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.113-136
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    • 2011
  • Product harm crises can distort long standing favorable equality perceptions, tarnish a company's reputation, cause major revenue and market-share losses, lead to costly product recalls, and devastate a carefully nurtured brand equity. However, in spite of the devastating impact of product-harm crises, little systematic research exists to asses its marketing consequences. So, this study focuses on the negative publicity about companies and their products. Namely, this study presented how inclusion effect supported the relationship between negative publicity and consumers' response, market performance. According to the results, after negativity publicity was happened, it was appeared that the negativity image spread into other product lines(spillover effect; inclusion effect). Also, when they contact with the negative publicity, respondents negatively evaluated both production evaluation and corporate evaluation. And, in that case of the products with negativity publicity, compared with refutation strategy(defense strategy<study 2>), improving strategy(correction notice) had positive influence on recovery of sales, product evaluation, and corporate evaluation. Finally, as the reaction time toward negativity publicity was faster, the market performance got worse. Especially, according to two-way interaction, when the reaction time was fast, the difference between refutation strategy(defense strategy<study 2>) and improving strategy was not existed in product evaluation and corporate evaluation. However, when the reaction time was late(after a month), improving strategy had more positive evaluation than defense strategy in product evaluation, and corporate evaluation.

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Location Decisions of Startups and Dynamics of Cluster Growth (기업가의 창업위치선택과 클러스터의 성장동력: 바이오벤처의 창업을 중심으로)

  • Sohn, Dong-Won
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.69-95
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    • 2009
  • This paper examines the motives for location decisions of startups and dynamics of cluster growth. Because the location decision is intrinsically strategic choice by entrepreneurs, it is an interplay of three critical forces; cost-benefit of the choice, R&D ability of new entrants, and R&D capability of incumbents in clusters. The effect of knowledge spillovers influences the cluster growth like a double-edge sword; both a positive effect of technology learning and a negative effect of knowledge de-learning. Using data on 710 bio-tech venture firms in Korea, this paper tests the hypotheses about the factors influencing the growth of the cluster. The empirical analyses suggested that early entrepreneurial activity in the clustered regions were important, however other factors such as the organizational legacy, internal dynamics inside a cluster, and the existence of cooperation norm in the cluster, affected long term viability of the cluster.

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