• 제목/요약/키워드: negative spillover

검색결과 54건 처리시간 0.023초

미국의 대 아세안 수산물 수입거부조치 파급효과 연구 (Spillover Effects Study of US Import Refusals on ASEAN Countries' Fishery Products)

  • 이평;김학민
    • 무역학회지
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    • 제44권2호
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    • pp.109-126
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    • 2019
  • Import refusals can be considered a new method of non-tariff barriers. This study aims to analyze reputation spillover effects on fish and fishery products imported from ASEAN countries to the U.S. FDA. The supply of aquatic products is not stable due to various factors such as reduction of fish stocks and climate change. Fish is a basic food ingested directly, but there are many ways to control the safety of aquatic products. ASEAN countries account for about 20% of U.S.imports in fish and fishery products. For Southeast Asian countries, fish and fishery products comprise a high proportion of exports revenue. Despite the large share of exports to the U.S., Southeast Asia countries have been receiving many import refusals from the United States. In this study, a theoretical model for examining import refusals is suggested using the negative binomial counting process. The reputation spillover effect, was divided into two spillover effects of 'neighbor reputation' and 'sector reputation'. Results show that there exists a neighbor reputation spillover effect. It can be said if there was a import refusal of the same product from neighboring countries in the preceding year, the home country have a possibility to experience import refusals of the same product. Therefore, it is interpreted that neighboring countries have good standard compliance can help home countries to effectively reach the target markets. Our findings have a important policy implication for ASEAN exporters of fish and fishery products.

Machine Learning Aided Tracking Analysis of Haze Pollution and Regional Heterogeneity

  • Gu, Fangfang;Jiang, Keshen;Cao, Fangdong
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제15권6호
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    • pp.2031-2048
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    • 2021
  • Not only can air pollution reduce the overall competitiveness of tourist destinations, but also changes tourists' travel decisions, thereby affecting the tourism flows. The study presents a machine learning method to analyze how the haze pollution puts spatial effect on tourism flows in China from 2001 to 2018, and reveals the regional differences in heterogeneity among eastern, central, and western China. Our investigation reveals three interesting observations. First, the Environmental Kuznets Curve of the impact of haze pollution on tourism flows is not significant. In the eastern and western regions, the interaction between haze pollution and domestic tourism flows as well as inbound tourism flows shows an inverted U-shaped curve respectively. Second, there is an significantly positive spillover effect of tourism flows in all of the eastern, central, and western regions. As to the intensity of spillover, domestic tourism flows is higher than that of the inbound tourism flows. Both of the above figures are greatest in the eastern. Third, the Chinese haze pollution mainly reduces the inbound tourism flows, and only imposes significantly negative direct effects on the domestic tourism flows in the central region. In the central and eastern regions, significantly negative direct effects and spillover effects are exerted on inbound tourism.

아시아 외환위기와 글로벌 금융위기에서의 중국, 한국, 미국주식시장 사이의 spillover효과에 관한 연구 (Spillover Effects among Chinese, Korean, and the U.S. Stock Markets -Comparison of the two financial crises-)

  • 김규형;장경천;사안기
    • 경영과정보연구
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    • 제29권2호
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    • pp.97-118
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    • 2010
  • 본 논문은 여러 가지 시계열 분석방법을 이용하여 한국, 중국, 미국의 주식시장 사이의 동조화 현상을 검증하였다. 검정결과는 다음의 세 가지로 요약할 수 있다. 첫째, 아시아 외환 위기나 글로벌 금융위기를 막론하고 세 국가 주식시장 주가지수 간에는 장기적으로 안정적인 관계는 존재하지 않는다. 둘째, 아시아 외환위기 시기에는 중국이 상대적으로 폐쇄적이어서 미국, 한국과 영향을 주고받지 않았으며 한국은 개방의 역사가 오래되어 미국과 영향을 주고받는다. 글로벌 금융위기 기간에는 미국과 중국이 상호영향을 주는 관계로 발전하였으며 미국과 한국은 상호영향을 주고받는 관계가 아시아 위기 때와 마찬가지로 지속된다. 셋째, 아시아 외환위기 기간 동안에 발생한 한국과 중국 사이, 그리고 미국과 중국 사이의 변동성의 역동조화 현상은 이들 시장 사이에 관계가 밀접하지 않은 증거이다. 글로벌 금융위기 기간 동안에도 한국과 미국은 변동성의 영향을 서로 주고받지만 중국과 미국은 서로 영향을 주고받지 않는다. 중국과 한국사이의 변동성의 역동조화현상은 아시아 위기에서와 마찬가지로 여전하다. 즉 글로벌금융 위기 시에는 미국과 중국의 수익률이 서로 영향을 주는 사이로 발전하나 한국과 미국은 아시아 외환위기 시기나 글로벌 금융위기 시기에 서로 수익률과 변동성에 영향을 주는 관계가 계속된다는 점, 그리고 외환 위기나 글로벌 위기에 관계없이 중국과 미국은 변동성이 서로 관계가 없거나 역동조화 현상이 관찰된다는 점에 비추어 볼 때 중국시장은 아시아 외환 위기나 글로벌위기를 통 털어서 아직은 국제금융시장에 편입되는 과정에 있다는 것을 확인 할 수 있다.

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기혼 남성의 삶에서 일과 가정생활이 차지하는 비중에 따른 유형 및 유형별 특성 (A typology of relative importance to the work and family life of married men)

  • 이수진;구혜령
    • 가족자원경영과 정책
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    • 제18권4호
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    • pp.135-151
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    • 2014
  • This study focused on issues of relative importance to the work and family life of married men. The work was carried out to determine, when men are in any category, how to increase their satisfaction with their work and family life. Data from 896 married men with their youngest children under 18 years of age was collected and analyzed. Cluster analysis was performed to classify the categories depending on the relative importance of work as compared to family life. I obtained four types relating to the relative importance of work compared to family life. The results are as follows. First, the score of subjective balance which was perceived by the men was slightly higher than the normal range, at 3.27 points. Second, work-family negative spillover is bigger than family-work negative spillover. On the other hand, family-work positive spillover is bigger than work-family positive spillover. Third, in the category in which the difference is largest between the relative importance of work and family life, the men crave the value of nonwork. It seems that in order to bring a particular gravity to work, there is a possibility that the areas outside of work will be suppressed. Also, in this category, both the satisfaction of family life and job satisfaction were low; this will be a point to consider when discussing the problem of the balance of work and family.

FDI Spillover Effects on the Productivity of the Indian Pharmaceutical Industry: Panel Data Evidence

  • DESAI, Guruprasad;SRINIVASAN, Palamalai;GOWDA, Anil B
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제9권8호
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    • pp.109-121
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    • 2022
  • The study empirically examines the horizontal spillover effects of foreign direct investment (FDI) on the productivity of Indian pharmaceutical firms. Robust least squares and the Generalized Method of Moments estimators are applied for the firm-level panel data of Indian pharmaceutical companies whose shares were traded on the National Stock Exchange (NSE) and Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE). The information was collected from the Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE) Prowess database from 2015 to 2019. Based on the regularity in data availability, the sample firms are limited to 112 companies, 100 of which are domestic firms and 12 international firms. Firms with more than 10 percent foreign equity are classified as FDI firms, while those with less than that are classified as domestic firms. Estimation results show that foreign ownership does not contribute to the productivity of domestic firms. Due to increased competition, the Indian pharmaceutical companies with foreign equity participation are not more productive than local ones. Moreover, the findings reveal a negative and insignificant horizontal spillover effect from FDI on the productivity of domestic enterprises. The absence of horizontal spillovers may be attributable to foreign enterprises' ability to prevent technological outflow to competitors in the same industry.

주택시장과 주식시장 간의 정보 이전효과의 연구 (The Empirical Information Spillover Effect between the Housing Market and the Stock Market)

  • 최차순
    • 토지주택연구
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.27-37
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    • 2021
  • 본 연구에서는 주택시장과 주식시장 간의 가격 및 비대칭적 변동성 이전효과(asymmetric volatility spillover)관계를 살펴보기 위해 주택 및 주식 가격지수를 이용하여 EGARCH 모형으로 분석하였다. 분석기간은 1986년 1월부터 2021년 6월까지 이고, IMF 외환위기 전후기간의 정보 연관성을 살펴보고자 하위기간으로 1986년 1월부터 1997년 12월까지 IMF 외환위기 이전기간과 1998년 1월부터 2021년 6월까지 이후기간으로 구분하여 분석하였다. 주택시장과 주식시장 간의 비대칭 변동성 이전효과 분석에 EGARCH 모형이 적합한 것으로 나타났다. 가격 이전효과는 주식시장에서 주택시장으로 일방향으로 존재하는 것으로 분석되었으나, 반대로 주택시장에서 주식시장으로의 이전효과는 존재하지 않는 것으로 나타났다. 비대칭적 변동성 이전효과는 주택 및 주식시장 양 시장에 존재하는 것으로 나타났다. 주택시장에서는 IMF 외환위기 이전기간에는 비대칭적 변동성이 부(-)의 효과이나 그 외에는 모두 양(+)의 효과를 보였고, 반면 주식시장에서는 IMF 외환위기 전후 모든 기간에서 부(-)의 효과를 보였다. 이는 주택시장은 악재보다 호재에 더 영향을 받고, 주식시장은 호재보다 악재에 더 영향을 받는다는 것이다. 따라서 정보의 유형별로 수익의 변동성을 식별하는 것이 중요하다.

Dynamic Spillover for the Economic Risk in Korea on Global Uncertainty

  • Jeon, Ji-Hong
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.11-19
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    • 2019
  • Purpose - We document the impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) in the US and China on the dynamic spillover effect of macroeconomics such as stock price, housing price in Korea. Research design, data, and methodology - We use the nine variables to analyze the effect which produces a result among the EPU indexes of the US and China on economic variables which is the consumer price index (CPI), housing purchase price composite index, housing lease price, the stock price index in banking industry, construction industry and distribution industry, and composite leading indicator from January 1995 to December 2016 with the Vector Error Correction Model. Result - The US EPU index has significantly a negative relation on the CPI, housing purchase price index, housing lease price index, the stock price index in banking industry, construction industry, and distribution industry in Korea. Conclusions - We find the dynamic effect of the EPU indexes in the US and China on the macroeconomics returns in Korea. This study has an empirical evidence that the economy market in Korea is influenced by the EPU index of the US rather than it of China. The higher EPU, the more risky the economy of in Korea.

Spillover Effects of FDI on Technology Innovation of Vietnamese Enterprises

  • HOANG, Duc Than;DO, Anh Duc;TRINH, Mai Van
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.655-663
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    • 2021
  • This paper aims to develop a conceptual framework for determinants of spillover effects of FDI on technology innovation of Vietnamese enterprises. The research proposes a logistic regression model for assessing how enterprises' ability to implement technological innovation is affected by the presence of FDI enterprises as well as other factors that show the change through the indirect influence of FDI such as the size of the enterprise, the type of enterprise, and the skill level of the labor force or its research and development activities. Five forms of technology innovation are considered: improving production process; product quality improvement; product expansion; expanding business activities into a new field of production; and changing business activities into a new field of production. General Statistics Office of Vietnam provided survey data to collect information from 3,166 enterprises in the manufacturing and processing industry in Hanoi, which were valid for analysis. The results show that all variables of enterprise type, size, R&D, and industry have a positive impact on the selection of one of the innovation forms. Several recommendations are further suggested to take advantage of the positive effects and minimizing the negative effects of FDI for technological innovation of Vietnamese enterprises.

Negative Spillover Effects of Other-Customer Failure in Airline Context

  • Kim, Mi-Jeong;Park, Chul-Ju;Park, Jae-Sung
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.15-20
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    • 2017
  • Purpose - Other customers within the same service environment do influence a customer' attitude and behavior toward a service firm. Specially, other customers' misbehaviour and various service problems stemmed from them could make the other customers suffer some bad experiences. However, there are few studies to answer how the spillover effect of a service failure arisen from other customers' misbehavior. This study is aimed to examine how service failure due to the dysfunctional behavior of other customers has negative effects on customer evaluation with the service provider. Research design, data, and methodology - Data were collected from a survey based on consumers' retrospective experiences in airline service context. The hypothesized relationships were tested conducting structural equation modeling. Results - Our results show that the attribution of a firm responsibility for other-customer failure has a positive influence on customer's recovery expectation, in turn, it is negatively related to customer satisfaction. Furthermore, perceived service provider's efforts positively influence customer satisfaction. Conclusions - Although a service failure was caused by other customer's misbehavior, employees should be able to alleviate any bad feelings of the affected customers. Furthermore, service providers should provide proper recovery efforts for solving problems caused by the other customers for the wounded customers.

Reassessment of Volatility Transmission Among South Asian Equity Markets

  • AZIZ, Tariq;MARWAT, Jahanzeb;MUSTAFA, Sheraz;KUMAR, Vikesh;AL-HADDAD, Lara
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.587-597
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    • 2021
  • This study investigates the nexus among the South Asian economies. Effects of shocks in the equity market of one country on the equity market of the other country are examined. For empirical analysis, the time series monthly data is used for the period from February 2013 to August 2019. The study focuses on the four larger economies of the region, namely, India, Bangladesh, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka. To investigate for asymmetric effects of positive and negative shocks, EGARCH model is used. The findings show the mix nature of the spillovers between the various pairs of countries. The equity market of Pakistan has two-way spillover effects with the equity market of Bangladesh, but has no association with the equity markets of India and Sri Lanka. The volatility in the equity market of India significantly influences the volatility of the financial markets of Bangladesh and Sri Lanka. Similarly, the capital market of Sri Lanka has a negative association with the equity market of India as well as Bangladesh, but does not affect the equity market of any other country. These findings validate the argument in the literature that geographic location influences the nexus among equity markets. The findings are important for policy-makers and investors.