• Title/Summary/Keyword: multi-level regression model

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Factors Affecting the Outcome Indicators in Patients with Stroke (뇌졸중 환자의 결과지표에 영향을 주는 요인: 다변량 회귀분석과 다수준분석 비교)

  • Kim, Sun Hee;Lee, Hae Jong
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.31-39
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    • 2015
  • Background: The purpose of this study is comparison of the results between regression and multi-level analysis to find out factors influencing outcome indicators (in-hospital death, length of stay, and medical charges) of stroke patients. Methods: By using patient sample data of Health Insurance Review & Assessment Service, patients admitted with stroke were selected as survey target and 15,864 patients and 762 hospitals were surveyed. Results: For the results of existing regression analysis and multi-level analysis, models were assessed through model suitability index value and as a result, the value of results of multi-level analysis decreased compared to the results of regression, showing it is a better model. Conclusion: Factors influencing in-hospital death of stroke patients were analyzed and as a result, intra-class correlation (ICC) was 13.6%. In factors influencing length of stay, ICC was 11.4%, and medical charges, ICC was 17.7%. It was found that factors influencing the outcome indicators of stroke patients may vary in every hospital. This study could carry out more accurate analysis than existing research findings through analysis of reflecting structure at patient level and hospital level factors and analysis on random effect.

The Flood Forecasting Model for the In-do Brdg. by the Multi-regression Analysis between the Water-level and the Influence Parameters (한강인도교 수위와 영향인자간의 다중회귀분석에 의한 홍수위 예측모형)

  • 윤강훈;신현민
    • Water for future
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.55-69
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    • 1994
  • In order to enhance the short-term flood forecasting accuracy of the water level of the In-do Brdg., three statistical flood forecasting models are presented models are presented and the forecasting accuracies and stabilities of the models are studied. The presented statistical models are as follows: The multi-input model by the multi-regression analysis between the water level of the In-do Brdg. and the influence parameters(Model MM). The two-level multi parameter model according to the water level tendency(Model 2MP). Among the three models, the Model MM showed the lowest forecasting accuracy, the model 2MP showed the highest forecasting accuracy, although this model sometimes became unstable and diverged. The model MMP forecasted the flood less accurately than model 2MP, but it gave more stable forecasting results.

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A Study on Flexible Multi-level Regression Model for Prediction of Abnormal Behavior (비정상 행동 예측을 위한 Flexible Multi-level Regression 모델에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Yu-Jin;Yoon, Yong-Ik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2015.04a
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    • pp.938-940
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    • 2015
  • CCTV는 범죄상황 발생시 보안과 증거확보를 위해 사용되어 왔다. 그러나 실제 상황에서 범죄가 발생하기 전 예방을 하는 것 보다 사후 처리에 용도를 두고 있으며, 범죄 예방의 목적에 대해 미미한 효과를 보이고 있다. 본 논문에서는 CCTV로 수집된 보행자의 데이터를 통해 객체의 행동을 분석하여 위험도로 행동의 위험여부를 추정하기 위한 Flexible Multi-level Regression 모델을 제안하였다. 제안된 모델을 통해 관찰된 객체의 행동이 이상행동이라고 판단될 시 위험을 받는 객체에게 알림을 주어 범죄 발생 전 즉각적인 대응이 가능하며 빠른 상황판단이 가능할 것으로 예상된다.

MP-Lasso chart: a multi-level polar chart for visualizing group Lasso analysis of genomic data

  • Min Song;Minhyuk Lee;Taesung Park;Mira Park
    • Genomics & Informatics
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.48.1-48.7
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    • 2022
  • Penalized regression has been widely used in genome-wide association studies for joint analyses to find genetic associations. Among penalized regression models, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Lasso) method effectively removes some coefficients from the model by shrinking them to zero. To handle group structures, such as genes and pathways, several modified Lasso penalties have been proposed, including group Lasso and sparse group Lasso. Group Lasso ensures sparsity at the level of pre-defined groups, eliminating unimportant groups. Sparse group Lasso performs group selection as in group Lasso, but also performs individual selection as in Lasso. While these sparse methods are useful in high-dimensional genetic studies, interpreting the results with many groups and coefficients is not straightforward. Lasso's results are often expressed as trace plots of regression coefficients. However, few studies have explored the systematic visualization of group information. In this study, we propose a multi-level polar Lasso (MP-Lasso) chart, which can effectively represent the results from group Lasso and sparse group Lasso analyses. An R package to draw MP-Lasso charts was developed. Through a real-world genetic data application, we demonstrated that our MP-Lasso chart package effectively visualizes the results of Lasso, group Lasso, and sparse group Lasso.

Spatio-temporal Load Forecasting Considering Aggregation Features of Electricity Cells and Uncertainties in Input Variables

  • Zhao, Teng;Zhang, Yan;Chen, Haibo
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.38-50
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    • 2018
  • Spatio-temporal load forecasting (STLF) is a foundation for building the prediction-based power map, which could be a useful tool for the visualization and tendency assessment of urban energy application. Constructing one point-forecasting model for each electricity cell in the geographic space is possible; however, it is unadvisable and insufficient, considering the aggregation features of electricity cells and uncertainties in input variables. This paper presents a new STLF method, with a data-driven framework consisting of 3 subroutines: multi-level clustering of cells considering their aggregation features, load regression for each category of cells based on SLS-SVRNs (sparse least squares support vector regression networks), and interval forecasting of spatio-temporal load with sampled blind number. Take some area in Pudong, Shanghai as the region of study. Results of multi-level clustering show that electricity cells in the same category are clustered in geographic space to some extent, which reveals the spatial aggregation feature of cells. For cellular load regression, a comparison has been made with 3 other forecasting methods, indicating the higher accuracy of the proposed method in point-forecasting of spatio-temporal load. Furthermore, results of interval load forecasting demonstrate that the proposed prediction-interval construction method can effectively convey the uncertainties in input variables.

BAYESIAN MODEL AVERAGING FOR HETEROGENEOUS FRAILTY

  • Chang, Il-Sung;Lim, Jo-Han
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.129-148
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    • 2007
  • Frailty estimates from the proportional hazards frailty model often lead us to conjecture the heterogeneity in frailty such that the variance of the frailty varies over different covariate groups (e.g. male group versus female group). For such systematic heterogeneity in frailty, we consider a regression model for the variance components in the proportional hazards frailty model, denoted by the MLFM. However, in many cases, the observed data do not show any statistically significant preference between the homogeneous frailty model and the heterogeneous frailty model. In this paper, we propose a Bayesian model averaging procedure with the reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo which selects the appropriate model automatically. The resulting regression coefficient estimate ignores the model uncertainty from the frailty distribution in view of Bayesian model averaging (Hoeting et al., 1999). Finally, the proposed model and the estimation procedure are illustrated through the analysis of the kidney infection data in McGilchrist and Aisbett (1991) and a simulation study is implemented.

Investigating Drivers of Housing Vacancy in Old Town Incheon using Multi-level Analysis (다층모형을 활용한 인천광역시 원도심 빈집 발생의 영향요인 분석)

  • Lee, Da-Ye
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.50 no.2
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    • pp.237-254
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    • 2020
  • Housing vacancies have become a major issue in urban areas, there have been many efforts to address this issue at the national and local levels. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the factors contributing to housing vacancies in old town Incheon in South Korea. In particular, the research focuses on examining the effects of multiple levels of factors on housing vacancies in a comprehensive way; the three levels of factors were identified with a literature review including housing (Level 1), Neighborhood (Level 2), and Region (Level 3). A multi-level logistic regression model was used to examine the relationship between 13 factors in three spatial levels and housing vacancies. As a result, the factors in all three levels were able to explain housing vacancies including site area and shape, proximity to major roads (Level 1), ratio of houses in designated urban renewal area and slope (Level 2), and ratio of the elderly living alone, land price, changes in land price and ratio of new houses (Level 3). These results show that the combination of the physical inferiority of the housing site and the neighborhood environment and the economic and social vulnerability of the region is likely to increases the number of vacant houses. This study also suggested that a multi-dimensional policy strategy is needed to solve the problem of housing vacancies, and urban policies, such as supplying new housing or urban renewal area designation, should be carefully implemented in a way not to create housing vacancies.

Development of Prediction Model for Flexibly-reconfigurable Roll Forming based on Experimental Study (실험적 연구를 통한 비정형롤판재성형 예측 모델 개발)

  • Park, J.W.;Kil, M.G.;Yoon, J.S.;Kang, B.S.;Lee, K.
    • Transactions of Materials Processing
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.341-347
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    • 2017
  • Flexibly-reconfigurable roll forming (FRRF) is a novel sheet metal forming technology conducive to produce multi-curvature surfaces by controlling strain distribution along longitudinal direction. Reconfigurable rollers could be arranged to implement a kind of punch die set. By utilizing these reconfigurable rollers, desired curved surface can be formed. In FRRF process, three-dimensional surface is formed from two-dimensional curve. Thus, it is difficult to predict the forming result. In this study, a regression analysis was suggested to construct a predictive model for a longitudinal curvature of FRRF process. To facilitate investigation, input parameters affecting the longitudinal curvature of FRRF were determined as maximum compression value, curvature radius in the transverse direction, and initial blank width. Three-factor three-level full factorial experimental design was utilized and 27 experiments using FRRF apparatus were performed to obtain sample data of the regression model. Regression analysis was carried out using experimental results as sample data. The model used for regression analysis was a quadratic nonlinear regression model. Determination factor and root mean square root error were calculated to confirm the conformity of this model. Through goodness of fit test, this regression predictive model was verified.

A Multi-Level Analysis of Influential Factors of Residents' Housing Instability in Korean Metropolitan Environments (대도시 거주자들의 주거불안정 영향요인에 관한 다층분석)

  • Lee, Minju
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.57-67
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to analyze influential factors of residents' housing instability in Korean large cities. The previous studies deal with low-income households' experiences with housing instability. However, this study empirically analyzed the impact of regional characteristics such as spatial openness and community characteristics on residents' housing instability. For this purpose, I analyzed various experiences as symptoms of residents' housing instability using data from the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, and Transport's (MOLIT) Korean Housing survey through a multi-level logistic regression model. The study finds that regional factors as well as household characteristics influence their housing instability. This result implies that promoting spatial inclusivity alleviate residents' housing instability in metropolitan environments. In addition, this study calls for policy efforts such as a continuous supply of public rental housing and a greater variety of housing types to mitigate housing instability.

A Development of Optimal Design Model for Initial Blank Shape Using Artificial Neural Network in Rectangular Case Forming with Large Aspect Ratio (세장비가 큰 사각케이스 성형 공정에서의 인공신경망을 적용한 초기 블랭크 형상 최적설계 모델 개발)

  • Kwak, M.J.;Park, J.W.;Park, K.T.;Kang, B.S.
    • Transactions of Materials Processing
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.272-281
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    • 2020
  • As the thickness of mobile communication devices is getting thinner, the size of the internal parts is also getting smaller. Among them, the battery case requires a high-level deep drawing technique because it has a rectangular shape with a large aspect ratio. In this study, the initial blank shape was optimized to minimize earing in a multi-stage deep drawing process using an artificial neural network(ANN). There has been no reported case of applying artificial neural network technology to the initial blank optimal design for a square case with large aspect ratio. The training data for ANN were obtained though simulation, and the model reliability was verified by performing comparative study with regression model using random sample test and goodness-of-fit test. Finally, the optimal design of the initial blank shape was performed through the verified ANN model.