• 제목/요약/키워드: monthly rainfall

검색결과 307건 처리시간 0.029초

기후변화 영향평가를 위한 월 물수지모형의 적용성 검토 (Application of Monthly Water Balance Models for the Climate Change Impact Assessment)

  • 황준식;정대일;이재경;김영오
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제40권2호
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    • pp.147-158
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    • 2007
  • 본 연구는 기후변화에 따른 수자원 영향평가를 위해 적합한 수문모형을 선택하고 지역기후모형인 SNURCM에서 생성한 모의기상자료로 유출량을 생성하여 모의정확성을 평가하였다. 4개의 월 물수지모형과 두개의 일 유출모형을 이용하여 대청댐 상류유역의 유입량 모의능력을 비교한 결과 abcd모형이 월 물수지모형 중에서는 가장 뛰어났고, 국내에서 널리 사용되고 있는 일 유출모형인 SSARR와 비슷한 모의정확성을 보였다. 다음으로 abcd모형을 금강유역의 12개 소유역에 적용하기 위하여 매개변수 지역화기법을 사용하였다. 9개의 다목적댐에서 구한 매개변수를 미계측유역으로 가정한 4개 다목적댐에 대하여 지역화기법으로 매개변수를 추정하여 유출량을 모의한 결과 모든 지역에서 효율성계수가 최소 87% 이상으로 모의능력이 우수하였다. 마지막으로 금강유역 12개 소유역의 SNURCM모의강수를 실측강수와 비교한 결과 모든 소유역에서의 효율성계수는 60% 이상이었으며, SNURCM 모의강수자료를 abcd모형에 입력하여 생성한 모의유출량을 대청댐 실측유입량과 비교한 결과 효율성계수가 80% 이상으로 기후변화 연구에 활용 가능함을 확인하였다.

강우 발생 패턴변화와 하천 수위 변화가 하천식생 발생에 미치는 영향 (Riparian Vegetation Expansion Due to the Change of Rainfall Pattern and Water Level in the River)

  • 김원;김시내
    • Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
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    • 제7권4호
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    • pp.238-247
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    • 2020
  • 본 연구의 목적은 최근 급격하게 증가하고 있는 하천내 식생의 발생원인을 분석하는 것이다. 이를 위해 1984년에서 2018년까지 35년 동안 19개 지점의 월강우량 변화를 분석하였고, 섬강, 청미천, 내성천 식생 발생 단면에서의 수위변화를 분석하였다. 그 결과 2012년 이후 4월 강우량은 30% 증가하였고, 5월에서 9월까지의 강우량은 최대 49% 감소한 것으로 나타났다. 강우량이 감소한 2012년에서 2018년 사이에 섬강, 청미천, 내성천에서 하천 전단면이 침수되는 시간이 급격하게 줄어들었는데 섬강은 2012년, 청미천은 2013년 이후 고수부지가 한 번도 물에 잠기지 않았다. 내성천에서도 2013년 이후 저수로 전체가 침수되는 시간이 급격하게 줄어들었고 2015년에는 한 번도 잠기지 않은 것으로 나타났다. 이와 같은 영향으로 침수가 되지 않은 부분에서 식생이 급격하게 발생하였고 시간 경과에 따라 정착한 것으로 판단된다. 하천 식생의 확대와 정착은 하천 통수능의 감소 뿐만아니라 육역화로 인한 수상 생태계 상실로 이어질 수 있기 때문에 이에 대한 대책의 수립이 필요하다.

한반도 육상지역에서의 위성기반 IMERG 월 강수 관측 자료의 정확도 평가 (Accuracy Assessment of the Satellite-based IMERG's Monthly Rainfall Data in the Inland Region of Korea)

  • 류수민;홍성욱
    • 한국지구과학회지
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    • 제39권6호
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    • pp.533-544
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    • 2018
  • 강수는 기상학, 농업, 수문학, 자연재해, 토목 및 건설 등 분야에서 매우 중요한 기상 변수들 중 하나이다. 최근 이러한 강수를 탐지하고, 측정 및 예보를 하기 위해서 위성원격탐사기술은 필수적이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 미국항공우주국(National Aeronautics and Space Administration, NASA)에서 발사한 전 지구 강수 관측 위성인 GPM 위성을 기반으로 다양한 자료와 합성된 강수 자료인 IMERG 자료의 정확도를 한반도, 특히 남한지역에 대해 지상관측자료와 비교분석 하였다. 기상자동관측 장비인 AWS의 관측 강수량을 검증 자료로 사용하여, 2016년 1월부터 12월까지 1년간의 기간 동안 한반도의 육상부분에 대하여 IMERG의 월 강수량 자료를 비교 검증하였다. 잘 알려진 대로 위성은 해안가와 섬 지역 같은 부분에서 단점이 있지만, 별도로 비교 분석하였다. 위성 자료인 IMERG와 지상 관측 자료인 AWS를 비교한 결과, 상관계수가 0.95로 높은 상관성을 보였으며, Bias, RMSE의 오차 비교에서도 각각 월 15.08 mm, 월 30.32 mm의 낮은 오차를 산출하였다. 해안지역에서도 육상지역과 마찬가지로 0.7 이상의 높은 상관계수를 산출하며, 강수 자료로서 IMERG의 신뢰도를 검증하였다.

대청호에서 강우와 식물플랑크톤 군집의 관계 (Relation between Rainfall and Phytoplankton Community in Daechung Reservoir)

  • 정승현;안치용;최애란;장감용;오희목
    • 환경생물
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.57-63
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    • 2005
  • 2001, 2003년의 7월부터 10월까지 대청호에 위치한 댐 지역에서 식물플랑크톤 군집, 환경요인 및 강우량을 조사하였다. 조사 기간동안의 월평균 강우량은 2001, 2003년 각각 91.3, 265.3mm로 조사되었다. 최대 Chl. a의 농도는 2001, 2003년 각각 45.4, 131.5 ㎍ L/sup -1/로 조사되었다. 남조류 세포수는 2003년 최대 49,000 cells mL/sup -1/로 조사되었고, 2001년은 최대 200,000 cells mL/sup -1/ 이상으로 조사되었다. 그리고 식물플랑크톤 군집에서 남조류의 상대 풍부도는 2001년 97%, 2003년 74%였다. 2001년은 Microcystis spp.가 조사기간동안 우점종으로 조사되었고, 2003년은 Oscillatoria spp., Phormidium spp. Chroococcus spp. 그리고 Microcystis spp. 순으로 우점종의 변화를 보여줬다. 결론적으로 강우량은 식물플랑크톤의 종 다양성 및 수화현상을 일으키는 남조류 세포 밀도에 영향을 주었다.

Historical changing of flow characteristics over Asian river basins

  • Ha, Doan Thi Thu;Kim, Tae-Son;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2020년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.118-118
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    • 2020
  • This study investigates the change of flow characteristics over 10 Asian river basins in the past 30 years (1976-2005). The variation is estimated from The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model outputs based on reanalysis data which was bias-corrected for Asian monsoon reagion. The model was firstly calibrated and validated using observed data for daily streamflow. Four statistical criteria were applied to evaluate the model performance, including Coefficient of determination (R2), Nash - Sutcliffe model efficiency coeffi cient (NSE), Root mean square error-observations standard deviation ratio (RSR), and Percentage Bias (PBIAS). Then parameters of the model were applied for the historical period 1976-2005. The estimates show a temporal non-considerable increasing rate of daily streamflow in most of the basins over the past 30 years. The difference of monthly discharge becomes more significant during the months in the wet season (June to September) in all basins. The seasonal runoff shows significant difference in Summer and Autumn, when the rainfall intensity is higher. The line showing averaged runoff/rainfall ratio in all basins is sharp, presenting high variation of seasonal runoff/rainfall ratio from season to season.

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Influence of climate change on crop water requirements to improve water management and maize crop productivity

  • Adeola, Adeyemi Khalid;Adelodun, Bashir;Odey, Golden;Choi, Kyung Sook
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2022년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.126-126
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    • 2022
  • Climate change has continued to impact meteorological factors like rainfall in many countries including Nigeria. Thus, altering the rainfall patterns which subsequently affect the crop yield. Maize is an important cereal grown in northern Nigeria, along with sorghum, rice, and millet. Due to the challenge of water scarcity during the dry season, it has become critical to design appropriate strategies for planning, developing, and management of the limited available water resources to increase the maize yield. This study, therefore, determines the quantity of water required to produce maize from planting to harvesting and the impact of drought on maize during different growth stages in the region. Rainfall data from six rain gauge stations for a period of 36 years (1979-2014) was considered for the analysis. The standardized precipitation and evapotranspiration index (SPEI) is used to evaluate the severity of drought. Using the CROPWAT model, the evapotranspiration was calculated using the Penman-Monteith method, while the crop water requirements (CWRs) and irrigation scheduling for the maize crop was also determined. Irrigation was considered for 100% of critical soil moisture loss. At different phases of maize crop growth, the model predicted daily and monthly crop water requirements. The crop water requirement was found to be 319.0 mm and the irrigation requirement was 15.5 mm. The CROPWAT 8.0 model adequately estimated the yield reduction caused by water stress and climatic impacts, which makes this model appropriate for determining the crop water requirements, irrigation planning, and management.

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우리 나라 주요 지점에 대한 가뭄지수의 산정과 비교 (Calcualtion and Comparison of Drought Indices on Major Weatehr Stations in Korea)

  • 김상민
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제41권5호
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    • pp.43-52
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    • 1999
  • In an effort to identify quantitatively historical drought conditions, and to evaluate their temporal and spatial variability , two commonly used drougth indices, the standardized precipitation index, SPI by Mckee and the Palmer drought severity index. PDSI were calculated from 54 meteorological stations, SPI was evaluated for different time scales, 3 to 48 months. As the compjtational spans for SPI increase from 3 to 48 months the frequency and intensity of drought decrease, but the duration of drought increase. When monthly and ten-day PDSIs were compared, the frequency and duratin of drought were almost equal and the intensity of drought differ slightly. The three month SPI has the advatage to detect the drought resulting from short-term shortage of rainfall, while PDSI had the advantage to detect the state of drought resulting from cumulated shortage of rainfall. The period-frequency spectrum analyses at Kangnung statino showed that the maximum value of relative frequency was 24.4% when the period was 5.2months, and the 6month SPI has most similar trends to PDSI.

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초강천의 퇴적물 분석을 이용한 총인 및 질소의 유달 특성 평가 (Evaluation of Phosphorus and Nitrogen Delivery Characteristics of Chogang Stream Sediments)

  • 강선홍;서동일
    • 상하수도학회지
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.99-109
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    • 1997
  • To estimate the nutrients delivery characteristics of Chogang stream to Keum River, sediment and soil characteristics were analyzed in the stream and in the stream bank. Along the stream, soil samples from river sediment were collected and tested monthly for phosphorus and nitrogen concentrations. Nitrogen concentration in the sediment is much lower than that of soil in the river bank especially in summer presumably due to the high desorption characteristics of nitrogen by the increasing rainfall energy during summer. Instead, the concentrations of phosphorus were similar for the sediment and the soil in the river bank due to the strong adsorption characteristics of phosphorus. Batch tests were performed to evaluate the desorption potential of the sediments. Universal Soil Loss Equation (USLE) was applied to quantify soil erosion in each watershed due to rainfall. It was estimated that approximately 25% of total phosphorus by mass basis could be released from the sediment if the water was disturbed vigorously. The mass load of nitrogen and phosphorus into the Chogang Stream from the watershed were evaluated from the USLE and release ratio of phosphorus.

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열대 및 아열대 SST에 관련된 동아시아 강우량의 경년 변동성 (Interannual variabilities of the East Asia precipitation associated with tropical and subtropical sea surface temperature)

  • 하경자
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제4권5호
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    • pp.28-28
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    • 1995
  • The aim of the present study is to investigate the interannual variabilities of the East Asia monsoon rainfall associated with the global sea surface temperature anomaly(SSTA). For this study, the summer rainfall(from June to August) over the twenty-eight period of 1961-1988 were analyzed with being divided by nine-subregions over East Asia including Korea, China and Japan. From the analysis of the principal modes explaining the interannual variation, the interannual variabilities of summer rainfalls in South Japan and Korea are larger than those of the other subregions of the East Asia. There is a strong negative correlation between the summer rainfalls of south China and Korea. In this study, the relationship between the summer monsoon of each subregion and SSTs of the tropical NINO regions, of western Pacific warm pool, and of the subtropical ocean were investigated. The longitudinal sections of the lagged cross correlations of the summer rainfal1 anomaly in (a) Korea and (b) south China, and the monthly SSTA in the equatorial(averaged from 65 to 6N) Pacific were analyzed. The negative maximum correlation pattems of Korea''s stammer rainfal1 and SSTs over the eastern Pacific is transfered to positive maximum conrlation over central Pacific region with a biennial periodicity. In South China, the significant positive correlations are found at -12 month lag over the eastern Pacific and maximum negative correlation at 16 month lag over the central Pacific with the quasi-biennial oscillation. But the correlation coefficient reverses completely to that in Korea. In order to investigate the most prevailing interannual variability of rainfall related to the favored SSTA region, the lagged cross correlations between East Asia rainfall and SSTs over the moO regions(NINO 1+2(0-105, 90W-80W), NINO 3(5N-5S, 150W-90W), NINO 4(5N-5S, 160E-l50W) and the western Pacific worm pool (5N-5S, 120E-l60E) were analyzed. Among the lagged cross-correlation cycles in NINO regions, the maximum correlations for the negative lagged months prevail in NINO 1+2 and NINO 3, and the cross correlations for the positive lagged months NINO 4. It is noteworthy that correlation between the western Pacific warm pool SSTA and the monsoon rainfall in Korea and South China have the maximum value at negative 4 month lag. The evolution of the correlation between the East Asia monsoon rainfall and SSTA is linked to the equatorial convective cluster and related to northward propagating situation, and raising the possibility that the East Asia monsoon precipitation may be more fundamentally related to the interaction of intraseasonal oscillations and the sub-regional characteristics including the surface boundary conditions and the behavior of climatological air mass.

열대 및 아열대 SST에 관련된 동아시아 강우량의 경년 변동성 (Interannual variabilities of the East Asia precipitation associated with tropical and subtropical sea surface temperature)

  • 하경자
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제4권5호
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    • pp.413-426
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    • 1995
  • The aim of the present study is to investigate the interannual variabilities of the East Asia monsoon rainfall associated with the global sea surface temperature anomaly(SSTA). For this study, the summer rainfall(from June to August) over the twenty-eight period of 1961-1988 were analyzed with being divided by nine-subregions over East Asia including Korea, China and Japan. From the analysis of the principal modes explaining the interannual variation, the interannual variabilities of summer rainfalls in South Japan and Korea are larger than those of the other subregions of the East Asia. There is a strong negative correlation between the summer rainfalls of south China and Korea. In this study, the relationship between the summer monsoon of each subregion and SSTs of the tropical NINO regions, of western Pacific warm pool, and of the subtropical ocean were investigated. The longitudinal sections of the lagged cross correlations of the summer rainfal1 anomaly in (a) Korea and (b) south China, and the monthly SSTA in the equatorial(averaged from 65 to 6N) Pacific were analyzed. The negative maximum correlation pattems of Korea's stammer rainfal1 and SSTs over the eastern Pacific is transfered to positive maximum conrlation over central Pacific region with a biennial periodicity. In South China, the significant positive correlations are found at -12 month lag over the eastern Pacific and maximum negative correlation at 16 month lag over the central Pacific with the quasi-biennial oscillation. But the correlation coefficient reverses completely to that in Korea. In order to investigate the most prevailing interannual variability of rainfall related to the favored SSTA region, the lagged cross correlations between East Asia rainfall and SSTs over the moO regions(NINO 1+2(0-105, 90W-80W), NINO 3(5N-5S, 150W-90W), NINO 4(5N-5S, 160E-l50W) and the western Pacific worm pool (5N-5S, 120E-l60E) were analyzed. Among the lagged cross-correlation cycles in NINO regions, the maximum correlations for the negative lagged months prevail in NINO 1+2 and NINO 3, and the cross correlations for the positive lagged months NINO 4. It is noteworthy that correlation between the western Pacific warm pool SSTA and the monsoon rainfall in Korea and South China have the maximum value at negative 4 month lag. The evolution of the correlation between the East Asia monsoon rainfall and SSTA is linked to the equatorial convective cluster and related to northward propagating situation, and raising the possibility that the East Asia monsoon precipitation may be more fundamentally related to the interaction of intraseasonal oscillations and the sub-regional characteristics including the surface boundary conditions and the behavior of climatological air mass.

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