• 제목/요약/키워드: monthly rainfall

검색결과 307건 처리시간 0.026초

경기도 안양시 오존농도의 시계열모형 연구 (Analysis of Time Series Models for Ozone Concentration at Anyang City of Gyeonggi-Do in Korea)

  • 이훈자
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제24권5호
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    • pp.604-612
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    • 2008
  • The ozone concentration is one of the important environmental issue for measurement of the atmospheric condition of the country. This study focuses on applying the Autoregressive Error (ARE) model for analyzing the ozone data at middle part of the Gyeonggi-Do, Anyang monitoring site in Korea. In the ARE model, eight meteorological variables and four pollution variables are used as the explanatory variables. The eight meteorological variables are daily maximum temperature, wind speed, amount of cloud, global radiation, relative humidity, rainfall, dew point temperature, and water vapor pressure. The four air pollution variables are sulfur dioxide $(SO_2)$, nitrogen dioxide $(NO_2)$, carbon monoxide (CO), and particulate matter 10 (PM10). The result shows that ARE models both overall and monthly data are suited for describing the oBone concentration. In the ARE model for overall ozone data, ozone concentration can be explained about 71% to by the PM10, global radiation and wind speed. Also the four types of ARE models for high level of ozone data (over 80 ppb) have been analyzed. In the best ARE model for high level of ozone data, ozone can be explained about 96% by the PM10, daliy maximum temperature, and cloud amount.

Sensitivity of Indian Summer Monsoon Precipitation to Parameterization Schemes

  • Singh, G.P.
    • 한국제4기학회지
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2010
  • The Indian summer monsoon behaved an abnormal way in 2002 and as a result there was a large deficiency in precipitation (especially in July) over a large part of the Indian subcontinent. For the study of deficient monsoon of 2002, a recent version of the NCAR regional climate model (RegCM3) has been used to examine the important features of summer monsoon circulations and precipitation during 2002. The main characteristics of wind fields at lower level (850 hPa) and upper level (200 hPa) and precipitation simulated with the RegCM3 over the Indian subcontinent are studied using different cumulus parameterization schemes namely, mass flux schemes, a simplified Kuo-type scheme and Emanuel (EMU) scheme. The monsoon circulation features simulated by RegCM3 are compared with the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis and simulated precipitation is validated against observation from the Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (GPCC). Validation of the wind fields at lower and upper levels show that the use of Arakawa and Schubert (AS) closure in Grell convection scheme, a Kuo type and Emanuel schemes produces results close to the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis. Similarly, precipitation simulated with RegCM3 over different homogeneous zones of India with the AS closure in Grell is more close to the corresponding observed monthly and seasonal values. RegcM3 simulation also captured the spatial distribution of deficient rainfall in 2002.

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농업한발지수 설정에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Evaluation of Agricultural Drought Index)

  • 안병기;김태철;정도웅
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제30권1호
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    • pp.31-37
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    • 1988
  • This study, based on the monthly rainfall data, was carried out to determine the agricultural drought index which enables to describe the regional and seasonal drought characteristics of rice cropping system in Korea. The results obtained were summarized as follows ; 1.A new agricultural drought index (ADI) was evaluated seasonally according to the product of drought intensity and duration. This ADI is proposed as standard design criterion for irrigation planning. 2.The relationship between agricultural drought index and return periods was figured out. These diagrams could be used to estimate the seasonal drought severity of a certain year and to select design year corresponding to the specific drought frequency. 3.The regional drought characteristics were classified and those are useful to determine proper rice varieties and planting time and make drought counterplans. 4.Spring drought occurred once in 3 or 4 years and in a regional respect, rather frequently occurred in Seoul and Daegu areas than in Busan, Daejeon, Kwangju and Chuncheon areas. Summer drought occurred once in 5 years in Daegu and Busan areas and once in 7 or 8 years in other areas. 5.Sequential drought which gave severe drought damage of rice production occurred once in 20 years in Daegu area and in 10 years in Kwangju area.

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Biting of anthropophilic Culicoides fulvithorax (Diptera: Ceratopogonidae), a vector of Mansonella perstans in Nigeria

  • AGBOLADE Olufemi-Moses;AKINBOYE Dora Olufunmilola;OLATEJU Taiwo Monroof;AYANBIYI Oluwatoyin Adepeju;KULOYO Olukayode Olakunle;FENUGA Oluwalolami Oluwaseun
    • Parasites, Hosts and Diseases
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    • 제44권1호
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    • pp.67-72
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    • 2006
  • Anthropophilic Culicoides were investigated in a rural community endemic for Mansonella perstans in Ijebu North area of western Nigeria between December 2003 and October 2004. Three hundred and fifty-nine adults of Culicoides fulvithorax collected by human bait in the morning were dissected for Mansonella perstans larvae, and $1.95\%$of infection rate was found. Seasonal abundance of C. fulvithorax was investigated by monthly biting rates, and showed that higher prevalence was observed in rainy season, with peak in September. Culicoides prevalence was positively correlated with rainfall and relative humidity, but not temperature. Human perceptions on the behavior of these biting midges were determined by interviewing 854 self-selected villagers, of which $86.5\%$ of the interviewees confessed having experienced Culicoides bites. Between 76.5 and $99.1\%$ of the various age groups complained body reactions to Culicoides bites. Itching was the most frequent body reaction. No interviewees associated Culicoides with transmission of any parasitic infections. The results showed need to adequately control Culicoides in the community.

Simulation of anomalous Indian Summer Monsoon of 2002 with a Regional Climate Model

  • Singh, G.P.;Oh, Jai-Ho
    • 한국제4기학회지
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.13-22
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    • 2008
  • The Indian summer monsoon behaved in an abnormal way in 2002 and as a result there was a large deficiency in precipitation (especially in July) over a large part of the Indian subcontinent. For the study of deficient monsoon of 2002, a recent version of the NCAR regional climate model (RegCM3) has been used to examine the important features of summer monsoon circulations and precipitation during 2002. The main characteristics of wind fields at lower level (850 hPa) and upper level (200 hPa) and precipitation simulated with the RegCM3 over the Indian subcontinent are studied using different cumulus parameterization schemes namely, mass flux schemes, a simplified Kuo-type scheme and Emanuel (EMU) scheme. The monsoon circulation features simulated by RegCM3 are compared with the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis and simulated precipitation is validated against observation from the Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (GPCC). Validation of the wind fields at lower and upper levels shows that the use of Arakawa and Schubert (AS) closure in Grell convection scheme, a Kuo type and Emanuel schemes produces results close to the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis. Similarly, precipitation simulated with RegCM3 over different homogeneous zones of India with the AS closure in Grell is more close to the corresponding observed monthly and seasonal values. RegcM3 simulation also captured the spatial distribution of deficient rainfall in 2002.

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수계별 소수력자원의 특성 분석 (Characteristic Analysis of Small Hydro Power Resources for River System)

  • 박완순;이철형
    • 한국태양에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국태양에너지학회 2011년도 춘계학술발표대회 논문집
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    • pp.235-240
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    • 2011
  • Small hydropower resources for five major river systems have been studied. The model, which can predict flow duration characteristic of stream, was developed to analyze the variation of inflow caused from rainfall condition. And another model to predict hydrologic performance for small hydropower(SHP) plants is established. Monthly inflow data measured at Andong dam were analyzed. The predicted results from the developed models in this study showed that the data were in good agreement with measured results of long term inflow at Andong darn. It was found that the models developed in this study can be used to predict the available potential and technical potential of SHP sites effectively. Based on the models developed in this study, the hydrologic performance for small hydropower sites located in river systems have been analyzed. The results show that the hydrologic performance characteristics of SHP sites have some difference between the river systems. Especially, the specific design flowrate and specific output of SHP sites located on North Han river and Nakdong river systems have large difference compared with other river systems.

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Analysis of Time Series Models for Ozone Concentrations at the Uijeongbu City in Korea

  • Lee, Hoon-Ja
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.1153-1164
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    • 2008
  • The ozone data is one of the important environmental data for measurement of the atmospheric condition of the country. In this article, the Autoregressive Error (ARE) model have been considered for analyzing the ozone data at the northern part of the Gyeonggi-Do, Uijeongbu monitoring site in Korea. The result showed that both overall and monthly ARE models are suited for describing the ozone concentration. In the ARE model, seven meteorological variables and four pollution variables are used as the as the explanatory variables for the ozone data set. The seven meteorological variables are daily maximum temperature, wind speed, relative humidity, rainfall, dew point temperature, steam pressure, and amount of cloud. The four air pollution explanatory variables are Sulfur dioxide(SO2), Nitrogen dioxide(NO2), Cobalt(CO), and Promethium 10(PM10). Also, the high level ozone data (over 80ppb) have been analyzed four ARE models, General ARE, HL ARE, PM10 add ARE, Temperature add ARE model. The result shows that the General ARE, HL ARE, and PM10 add ARE models are suited for describing the high level of ozone data.

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앙상블 예측기법을 통한 유역 월유출 전망 (Forecasting Monthly Runoff Using Ensemble Streamflow Prediction)

  • 이상진;김주철;황만하;맹승진
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제52권1호
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    • pp.13-18
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    • 2010
  • In this study the validities of runoff prediction methods are reviewed around ESP (Ensemble Streamflow Prediction) techniques. The improvements of runoff predictions on Yongdam river basin are evaluated by the comparison of different prediction methods including ESP incorporated with qualitative meteorological outlooks provided by meteorological agency as well as the runoff forecasting based on the analysis of the historical rainfall scenarios. As a result it is assessed that runoff predictions with ESP may give rise to more accurate results than the ordinary historical average runoffs. In deed the latter gave the mean of yearly absolute error as to be 60.86 MCM while the errors of the former ones amounted to 44.12 MCM (ESP) and 42.83 MCM (ESP incorporated with qualitative meteorological outlooks) respectively. In addition it is confirmed that ESP incorporated with qualitative meteorological outlooks could improve the accuracy of the results more and more. Especially the degree of improvement of ESP with meteorological outlooks shows rising by 10.8% in flood season and 8% in drought season. Therefore the methods of runoff predictions with ESP can be further used as the basic forecasting information tool for the purpose of the effective watershed management.

입자계수기를 이용한 생물활성탄 공정의 효율평가 (Evaluation of Biological Activated Carbon Using Particle Counter)

  • 김희근;류동춘;김현실;류병순;문성용;김승현;김원경
    • 상하수도학회지
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    • 제20권6호
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    • pp.823-828
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    • 2006
  • For this study, an online particle counter was installed before and after the activated carbon filtration process of D water treatment plant where has advanced water treatment processes, produces average 900,000ton/day of drinking water and supply the produced drinking water to Busan citizens. We collected and analyzed particle count data for about 1 year. We inspected particle breakthrough in three out of sixteen filter processes operated at same conditions, i.e. 5th filter, 6th filter and 7th filter. According to the monitoring results, 6th and 7th filters showed similar results while 5th filter showed different results. When compared seasonal effect, the particle count for dry season was below 10 particles/ml while the particle count for August when monthly average rainfall is over 200mm was much higher than for dry season. In January and August, there was a difference in breakthrough particle size. In January, small particles in 2~3um were mainly detected while in August 10um particles were mainly detected and the size distribution was 40% of total count.

집중호우사상의 월별 발생특성 모의를 위한 확률분포 개발 (Development of probability distribution for simulation of monthly characteristics of torrential rainfall events)

  • 김상욱;김형배
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2016년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.246-246
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    • 2016
  • 본 연구에서는 최근 기후변화로 인한 집중호우의 발생횟수의 경향을 확률적으로 분석함에 있어 1개월 동안 80 mm/day 이상의 강우사상을 집중호우로 정의하여, 대구 및 부산 강우관측소로부터 수집된 384개월 동안의 집중호우를 분석하였다. 집중호우 월별 발생횟수와 같은 형식의 자료의 확률적 분석은 대개 Poisson 분포 (POI)가 사용되나 자료에 포함된 0자료의 과잉은 확률분포를 왜곡시키는 문제를 발생시킨다. 본 연구에서는 이 문제를 개선하기 위하여 개발된 일반화 Poisson 확률분포 (GPD), 0-과잉 Poisson 확률분포 (ZIP), 0-과잉 일반화 Poisson 확률분포 (ZIGP), Bayesian 0-과잉 일반화 Poisson 확률분포 (Bayesian ZIGP)를 집중호우 자료에 적용하고, 5개 모형의 특성을 비교분석하였으며, Bayesian ZIGP 모형의 구축에 있어서는 정보적 사전분포를 사용함으로써 모형의 정확도를 개선하였다. 분석결과 분석하고자 하는 자료에 0이 과다하게 포함되어 있는 경우 POI 및 GPD 분포는 관측결과와는 다른 결과를 제시하여 적절한 모형으로 고려되지 못함을 알 수 있었다. 5가지 모형 중 정보적 사전분포를 탑재한 Bayesian ZIGP 모형이 가장 관측 자료와 유사한 결과를 도출하였으나 모형의 구축에 수반되는 실용적인 측면을 고려하면 ZIP 모형도 충분히 사용될 수 있는 모형으로 추천되었다.

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