• 제목/요약/키워드: monthly rainfall

검색결과 306건 처리시간 0.023초

최적화 기법을 이용한 임하호유역 대표 CN값 추정 (Regionalization of CN values at Imha Watershed with SCE-UA)

  • 전지홍;김태동;최동혁
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제53권5호
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    • pp.9-16
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    • 2011
  • Curve Numbers (CN) for the combination of land use and hydrologic soil group were regionalized at Imha Watershed using Long-term Hydrologic Impact Assessment (L-THIA) coupled with SCE-UA. The L-THIA was calibrated during 1991-2000 and validated during 2001-2007 using monthly observed direct runoff data. The Nash-Sutcliffe (NS) coefficients for calibration and validation were 0.91 and 0.93, respectively, and showed high model efficiency. Based on the criteria of model calibration, both calibration and validation represented 'very good' fit with observe data. The spatial distribution of direct surface runoff by L-THIA represented runoff from Thiessen pologen at Subi and Sukbo rain gage station much higher than other area due to the combination of poor hydrologic condition (hydrologic soil C and D group) and locality heavy rainfall. As a results of hydrologic condition and treatment for land use type based on calibrated CNs, forest is recommended to be hydrologically modelled dived into deciduous, coniferous, and mixed forest due to the hydrological difference. The CNs for forest and upland showed the poor hydrologic condition. The steep slope of forest and alpine agricultural field make high runoff rate which is the poor hydrologic condition because CN method can not consider field slope. L-THIA linded with SCE-UA could generated a regionalized CNs for land use type with minimized time and effort, and maximized model's accuracy.

인공신경망 기법을 이용한 장래 잠재증발산량 산정 (Estimation of Future Reference Crop Evapotranspiration using Artificial Neural Networks)

  • 이은정;강문성;박정안;최진영;박승우
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제52권5호
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2010
  • Evapotranspiration (ET) is one of the basic components of the hydrologic cycle and is essential for estimating irrigation water requirements. In this study, artificial neural network (ANN) models for reference crop evapotranspiration ($ET_0$) estimation were developed on a monthly basis (May~October). The models were trained and tested for Suwon, Korea. Four climate factors, daily maximum temperature ($T_{max}$), daily minimum temperature ($T_{min}$), rainfall (R), and solar radiation (S) were used as the input parameters of the models. The target values of the models were calculated using Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) Penman-Monteith equation. Future climate data were generated using LARS-WG (Long Ashton Research Station-Weather Generator), stochastic weather generator, based on HadCM3 (Hadley Centre Coupled Model, ver.3) A1B scenario. The evapotranspirations were 549.7 mm/yr in baseline period (1973-2008), 558.1 mm/yr in 2011-2030, 593.0 mm/yr in 2046-2065, and 641.1 mm/yr in 2080-2099. The results showed that the ANN models achieved good performances in estimating future reference crop evapotranspiration.

Status of PM10 as an air pollutant and prediction using meteorological indexes in Shiraz, Iran

  • Masoudi, Masoud;Poor, Neda Rajai;Ordibeheshti, Fatemeh
    • Advances in environmental research
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.109-120
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    • 2018
  • In the present study research air quality analyses for $PM_{10}$, were conducted in Shiraz, a city in the south of Iran. The measurements were taken from 2011 through 2012 in two different locations to prepare average data in the city. The averages concentrations were calculated for every 24 hours, each month and each season. Results showed that the highest concentration of $PM_{10}$ occurs generally in the night while the least concentration was found at the afternoon. Monthly concentrations of $PM_{10}$ showed highest value in August, while least value was found in January. The seasonal concentrations showed the least amounts in autumn while the highest amounts in summer. Relations between the air pollutant and some meteorological parameters were calculated statistically using the daily average data. The wind data (velocity, direction), relative humidity, temperature, sunshine periods, evaporation, dew point and rainfall were considered as independent variables. The relationships between concentration of pollutant and meteorological parameters were expressed by multiple linear regression equations for both annual and seasonal conditions SPSS software. RMSE test showed that among different prediction models, stepwise model is the best option.

농업가뭄대응을 위한 가뭄기상시나리오 모델 개발 및 적용 (Developing Model of Drought Climate Scenarios for Agricultural Drought Mitigation)

  • 유승환;최진용;남원호;김태곤;고광돈
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제54권2호
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    • pp.67-75
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    • 2012
  • Different from other natural hazards including floods, drought advances slowly and spreads widely, so that the preparedness is quite important and effective to mitigate the impacts from drought. Evaluation and forecast the status of drought for the present and future utilizing the meteorological scenario for agricultural drought can be useful to set a plan for agricultural drought mitigation in agriculture water resource management. In this study, drought climate scenario model on the basis of historical drought records for preparing agricultural drought mitigation was developed. To consider dependency and correlation between various climate variables, this model was utilized the historical climate pattern using reference year setting of four drought levels. The reference year for drought level was determined based on the frequency analysis result of monthly effective rainfall. On the basis of this model, drought climate scenarios at Suwon and Icheon station were set up and these scenarios were applied on the water balance simulation of reservoir water storage for Madun reservoir as well as the soil moisture model for Gosam reservoir watershed. The results showed that drought climate scenarios in this study could be more useful for long-term forecast of longer than 2~3 months period rather than short-term forecast of below one month.

SWAT 및 HEC-RAS 모형의 수문-수리 연계모델링을 통한 곤지암천 유역의 하천범람 및 토사유출 피해저감 연구 - 2011년 7월 27일 국지성 폭우를 대상으로 - (Study on Damage Reduction by Flood Inundation and the Sediments by SWAT and HEC-RAS Modeling of Flow Dynamics with Watershed Hydrology - For 27 July 2011 Heavy Storm Event at GonjiamCheon Watershed -)

  • 정충길;조형경;유영석;박종윤;김성준
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제54권2호
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    • pp.87-94
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    • 2012
  • This study is to evaluate flood inundation and to recommend measures of damage reduction on sediment by concentrated torrential rainfall at Gonjiamcheon Watershed (183.4 $km^2$). Firstly, the SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) was simulated streamflow and sediment at upstream. Then, we produced a map of floodplain boundary by using HEC-RAS (Hydrologic Engineering Centers River Analysis System) at downstream. The SWAT model was calibrated with 2 years (2008~2009) daily streamflow and validated for another years (2010~2011. 7. 31). The SWAT model was simulated with 3 years (2008~2010) by monthly water quality (Sediment) at Gonjiamcheon water quality station. The streamflow and sediment from SWAT model were input as boundary conditions to HEC-RAS. The results of HEC-RAS indicated that mapping of floodplain boundary was Jiwol and Jiwol 2 district. Additionally, inundation area and depth were assessed and applied BMPs scenario for managing the sediment yield.

소수력발전입지의 수계별 설계변수 특성(II) (Design Parameters of Small Hydro Power Sites for River Systems(II))

  • 박완순;이철형
    • 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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    • 제31권3호
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    • pp.42-47
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    • 2011
  • Small hydropower resources for five major river systems have been studied. The model, which can predict flow duration characteristic of stream, was developed to analyze the variation of inflow caused from rainfall condition. And another model to predict hydrologic performance for small hydropower(SHP) plants is established. Monthly inflow data measured at Andong dam were analyzed. The predicted results from the developed models in this study show that the data were in good agreement with measured results of long term inflow at Andong dam. It was found that the models developed in this study can be used to predict the available potential and technical potential of SHP sites effectively. Based on the models developed in this study, the hydrologic performance for small hydropower sites located in river systems have been analyzed. The results show that the hydrologic performance characteristics of SHP sites had some difference between the river systems. Especially, the specific design flow and specific output of SHP sites located on North Han river and Nakdong river systems had large difference compared with other river systems.

유역의 물공급 전망을 위한 월단위 유출예측기법에 대한 적용성 평가 (Evaluation of Applicability of Monthly Runoff Forecasting Techniques for Water Supply Outlook)

  • 정우창;황만하;정구열
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2008년도 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.1160-1164
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    • 2008
  • 본 연구에서는 유역유출예측시스템인 RRFS(Rainfall Runoff Forecasting System)를 이용하여 금강유역에 대해 기법별 월단위 유출예측을 수행하였다. 적용된 유출예측기간은 '07년 1월부터 12월까지이며 월단위로 유출예측이 수행되었으며, 유출예측 검증을 위한 주요지점으로는 금강유역 내에 있는 용담댐 지점, 대청댐 지점 그리고 공주지점이다. 본 연구에 적용된 유출예측기법으로는 1) 과거 관측 월유출량 자료를 이용한 유출량 예측 기법, 2) ESP 기법을 통한 유출량 예측 기법, 3) 기상전망을 고려한 ESP 유출량 예측 기법, 4) 기상수치예보 자료를 이용한 유출량 예측 기법이다. ESP 기법에서는 통계분석을 통해 얻어진 월별 ESP 확률분포를 이용하여 '02년부터 '07년까지 과거 실측 월별 유출량에 대한 ESP 확률범위를 결정하였으며, 이를 이수기(1월$\sim$6월 그리고 10월$\sim$12월)와 홍수기(7월$\sim$9월)로 분리한 후 각각에 대한 ESP 확률값을 최종적으로 결정하여 유출예측에 적용하였다. 또한 기상전망을 고려한 ESP 기법에서는 기상청에서 제공하는 강수전망(N:평년, A:많음, B:적음)에 대한 정보를 고려하여 ESP 확률을 결정하여 유출예측을 수행하였다. 그림 1과 2는 예로서 4월과 10월에 대해 예측기법에 따른 주요지점별 유출예측결과를 비교한 것이며, 기법별 유출예측결과에 대한 비교분석결과 전반적으로 기상전망을 고려한 ESP 유출량 예측기법이 가장 우수한 것으로 나타났다.

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Characteristic Changes of the Changma Season in the 2000s

  • Lee, Jun-Youb;Yoon, Ill-Hee
    • 한국지구과학회지
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    • 제33권5호
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    • pp.422-433
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the characteristic changes of the Changma season in the 2000s. To accomplish this goal, we have used daily rainfall data collected over nearly 40 years (1971 to 2010). The average summer precipitation data including the Changma season were collected from 16 weather stations that are placed across the three major regions (i.e. central region, southern region, and Jeju region) as Korea Meteorological Administration divided. These precipitation data were analyzed to find out characteristic changes of the Changma season. Results of the precipitation data comparison among the major regions that, monthly average precipitation in the central region was the highest in July; its precipitation tended to increase from May to September. In the southern region, the precipitation amount was lowest in June and tended to increase in May, September, and August. In the Jeju region, the precipitation has been the highest in June and July for the past 30 years, whereas September has been highest month in the last 10 years. The precipitation amount in the Jeju region decreased both in June and July, whereas it tended to grow in May, August and September. A correlation coefficient formula by Karl Pearson has been used to find out correlations between the Changma season and the precipitation of the major regions in 2000s and normal years. It was found that the correlation coefficient has decreased from 0.723 to 0.524 in the 2000s (2001 to 2010) compared to normal years (1971 to 2000).

차넬메기 양식장 주변 하천수의 수질 변동 (Variation in Water Quality of Streams around Channel Catfish Ponds)

  • 이정열;클라우데이보이드
    • 한국양식학회지
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    • 제12권4호
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    • pp.323-331
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    • 1999
  • Most of channel fish farming in Alabama are still earthen pond style, and filled by rainfall and runoff. The water levels of ponds are maintained with stand-pipe, and the effluent from ponds very little discharged at usual time except ant heavy rains and crop season. Overflow from ponds following rains occurs mostly in winter and early spring when stream flows high. In this study to know how much effluents fish ponds affected to streams which are nearby ponds, a survey carried out on the variation of water quality of seven streams and effluents at heavy rains. Water samples were collected at 14 sites on upstream (did not affected by effluents) and downstream(being affect by effluents), and sampled monthly from August 1997 to August 1998. There were no clear trends of difference in most water quality variables between upstream and downstream of catfish farms during a year. The effluents from ponds after heavy rains were not highly polluted, but sometimes have elevated concentrations of TSS. Nitrogen content of effluents was higher than that of routine streams , but phosphorus was not clear. From this result suggest than the effluents from catfish farm are not having adverse impacts on stream water quality still yet .

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경기도 안양시 오존농도의 시계열모형 연구 (Analysis of Time Series Models for Ozone Concentration at Anyang City of Gyeonggi-Do in Korea)

  • 이훈자
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제24권5호
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    • pp.604-612
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    • 2008
  • The ozone concentration is one of the important environmental issue for measurement of the atmospheric condition of the country. This study focuses on applying the Autoregressive Error (ARE) model for analyzing the ozone data at middle part of the Gyeonggi-Do, Anyang monitoring site in Korea. In the ARE model, eight meteorological variables and four pollution variables are used as the explanatory variables. The eight meteorological variables are daily maximum temperature, wind speed, amount of cloud, global radiation, relative humidity, rainfall, dew point temperature, and water vapor pressure. The four air pollution variables are sulfur dioxide $(SO_2)$, nitrogen dioxide $(NO_2)$, carbon monoxide (CO), and particulate matter 10 (PM10). The result shows that ARE models both overall and monthly data are suited for describing the oBone concentration. In the ARE model for overall ozone data, ozone concentration can be explained about 71% to by the PM10, global radiation and wind speed. Also the four types of ARE models for high level of ozone data (over 80 ppb) have been analyzed. In the best ARE model for high level of ozone data, ozone can be explained about 96% by the PM10, daliy maximum temperature, and cloud amount.