• 제목/요약/키워드: monsoon rainfall

검색결과 139건 처리시간 0.031초

Current Issues, Trends and Possibilities in Water Sector in Nepal

  • Shrestha, Hari Krishna
    • 물과 미래
    • /
    • 제52권8호
    • /
    • pp.56-66
    • /
    • 2019
  • Nepal is bestowed with abundant water. With more than 1500 mm average annual rainfall in the country, a vast quantity of underutilized groundwater in the Terai belt, and the water stored in snowcaps in the Himalayas, aquifers in the mountains and glacial lakes, Nepal is potentially in an advantageous position in terms of per capita availability. However, low emphasis in management aspect of water and high emphasis in infrastructural developments related to water resources management has resulted in conversion of water in Nepal from a resource to a burden. The global climate change, reduction in number of rainy days, increase in intensity of rainfall during wet monsoon season, encroachment of river banks for settlement, inadequate release of environmental flows from hydropower plants, and attempt to tame the mighty and high velocity rivers of Nepal have resulted in increasing number of water induced disasters (flood and landslide), rise in conflict between local residents and hydropower developers, higher number of devastating landslides, and in some extreme cases mass migration of residents resulting in climate refugees. There is a ray of hope; the awareness level of the people regarding sustainable use of water resources is increasing, the benefit sharing mechanism is gradually being implemented, the role of interdisciplinary and integrated water resources management is appreciated at a higher level and the level of preparedness against flood and landslides is at a higher degree compared to a couple of decades ago. With the use of renewable energy sources, the possibilities for sustainable and productive use of water are on the rise in Nepal.

Application of adaptive mesh refinement technique on digital surface model-based urban flood simulation

  • Dasallas, Lea;An, Hyunuk
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국수자원학회 2020년도 학술발표회
    • /
    • pp.122-122
    • /
    • 2020
  • Urban flood simulation plays a vital role in national flood early warning, prevention and mitigation. In recent studies on 2-dimensional flood modeling, the integrated run-off inundation model is gaining grounds due to its ability to perform in greater computational efficiency. The adaptive quadtree shallow water numerical technique used in this model implements the adaptive mesh refinement (AMR) in this simulation, a procedure in which the grid resolution is refined automatically following the flood flow. The method discounts the necessity to create a whole domain mesh over a complex catchment area, which is one of the most time-consuming steps in flood simulation. This research applies the dynamic grid refinement method in simulating the recent extreme flood events in Metro Manila, Philippines. The rainfall events utilized were during Typhoon Ketsana 2009, and Southwest monsoon surges in 2012 and 2013. In order to much more visualize the urban flooding that incorporates the flow within buildings and high-elevation areas, Digital Surface Model (DSM) resolution of 5m was used in representing the ground elevation. Results were calibrated through the flood point validation data and compared to the present flood hazard maps used for policy making by the national government agency. The accuracy and efficiency of the method provides a strong front in making it commendable to use for early warning and flood inundation analysis for future similar flood events.

  • PDF

Strengthened Madden-Julian Oscillation Variability improved the 2020 Summer Rainfall Prediction in East Asia

  • Jieun Wie;Semin Yun;Jinhee Kang;Sang-Min Lee;Johan Lee;Baek-Jo Kim;Byung-Kwon Moon
    • 한국지구과학회지
    • /
    • 제44권3호
    • /
    • pp.185-195
    • /
    • 2023
  • The prolonged and heavy East Asian summer precipitation in 2020 may have been caused by an enhanced Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), which requires evaluation using forecast models. We examined the performance of GloSea6, an operational forecast model, in predicting the East Asian summer precipitation during July 2020, and investigated the role of MJO in the extreme rainfall event. Two experiments, CON and EXP, were conducted using different convection schemes, 6A and 5A, respectively to simulate various aspects of MJO. The EXP runs yielded stronger forecasts of East Asian precipitation for July 2020 than the CON runs, probably due to the prominent MJO realization in the former experiment. The stronger MJO created stronger moist southerly winds associated with the western North Pacific subtropical high, which led to increased precipitation. The strengthening of the MJO was found to improve the prediction accuracy of East Asian summer precipitation. However, it is important to note that this study does not discuss the impact of changes in the convection scheme on the modulation of MJO. Further research is needed to understand other factors that could strengthen the MJO and improve the forecast.

대형 인공호에서 무기 질소원에 대한 점오염원 및 유입수의 영향 (An Influence of Point-Source and Flow Events on Inorganic Nitrogen Fractions in a Large Artificial Reservoir)

  • 안광국
    • 생태와환경
    • /
    • 제33권4호통권92호
    • /
    • pp.350-357
    • /
    • 2000
  • 본 연구는 1993${\sim}$1994년 대청호 17개 조사지점에서 점오염원 및 계절적 유입수에 대한 무기질소원의 다변적 동태에 대하여 평가하였다. 연구기간 동안 총질소(TN)는 평균 1.53 mg/L으로, $0.70{\sim}2.56\;mg/L$ 범위에 있었다. 용존 무기질소(DIN)는 계절 및 조사지점에 관계없이 총질소의 90%이상을 차지하여 질소가 풍부한 부영양-과영양 상태의 호수임이 확인되었다. 용존 무기질소의 $67{\sim}94%$는 질산성-질소인 반면, 암모니아성-질소는 용존 무기질소의 5%이하로 구성되었다. 1993년 장마동안 질산성-질소는 빗물과 호수물의 혼합의 결과로서 상류역에서 희석된 반면, 암모니아성-질소는 장마 전에 비해 100%이상 증가를 보였다. 암모니아성-질소는 강우량과 정 상관관계(r=0.85; p<0.001)를 보였고, 수 체류시간(r = -0.90; p<0.001) 및 전기전도도 (r = -0.78, p<0.001)와는 역 상관관계를 보였다. 이런 결과에 따르면, 암모니아성-질소는 장마기에 호수 외부로부터 유입되었음을 제시한다. 연구기간 2년 모두 평균 총질소는 호수내 상류 및 하류에서보다 가두리 양식장 및 폐수 처리장이 위치한 중류역에서 높았다. 중류역에서 이런 특성은 유입량이 적은 1994년하절기 동안 점 오염원에서 축적된 오염부하 증가의 결과로서 가장 심화되었다. 본 인공호에서 총질소 분포는 호수내 상${\cdot}$하류역 사이에 큰 차이를 보이지 않았고, 유입량 보다는 점오염원에 의해 직접적으로 결정되는 것으로 사료된다.

  • PDF

강우의 영향을 고려한 용담호 유입오염부하량 산정 (Estimation of Pollutant Load to Yongdam Reservoir Considering Rainfall Effect)

  • 이은형;서동일
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
    • /
    • 제36권4호
    • /
    • pp.521-531
    • /
    • 2003
  • 용담호의 주요 유입 지류를 대상으로 1998년 12월부터 1999년 10월까지 매월 1회 측정된 수질농도 자료와 1999년 6원 강우시 3차에 걸쳐 4시간 간격의 집중 수질 측정 자료를 이용하여 강우의 영향을 고려한 월별 가중 평균 농도를 산정하였다. 연중 오염물질 유입부하를 산정하기 위하여 10 mm 이상의 강우가 발생하였을 경우 유역의 표면유출 및 오염물질 농도가 심각하게 증가한다고 가정하고, 강우시 측정된 수질농도 측정치를 적용하였으며, 10 mm 이하의 강우가 발생한 경우에는 건기시에 측정된 수질 농도를 적용하였다. 산정된 월평균 수질농도는 수질모의를 위한 경계농도로 입력되어 용담호의 수질 모의를 실시하였으며 건기시 측정된 수질 농도를 수질 모의에 적용한 결과와 비교하였다. 강우의 영향을 고려할 경우 호내 평균 BOD, TN, TP 농도는 각각 70%, 5% 그리고 27% 가량 증가하는 결과를 나타냈다. 우리나라는 기후 특성상 연중 강우의 약 70% 가량이 하절기에 집중되므로 이 기간 동안에 상당량의 오염물질이 수계내로 유입되며 오염부하량 산정시 이에 대한 고려가 반드시 필요하나 일반적인 수질측정은 주로 건기시에 이루어지므로 수질 모의를 위한 입력자료로 사용될 때 정확한 모의 결과를 얻을 수 없다. 따라서 건기시와 우기시 수질 측정을 통한 실제 유입 농도의 산정은 수질모델의 적용에 있어서 신뢰도의 향상에 기여할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

장마의 어원과 정의에 대하여 (On the Etymology and Definition of Changma)

  • 류상범
    • 대기
    • /
    • 제11권2호
    • /
    • pp.6-12
    • /
    • 2001
  • The East Asian monsoon is generally accompanied with the quasi-stationary front along the northern and northwestern periphery of the subtropical anticyclone in the boundary zone of the polar cold air mass and the tropical warm air mass. The rainy season in Korea has been called as Changma since the middle of 1500s. In meteorology, the rainy season with the quasi-stationary front, the Changma front, during the early summer has been defined as the Changma since 1905. The difference of meaning on Changma between meteorologists and the general public sometime does give a confusion. For example, the heavy rainfall event after the retreat of Changma is recognized as Changma by the general public, but not by most of meteorologists. The decision of the onset and retreat dates of Changma among the meteorologists is also ambiguous because of different viewpoints on the definition of Changma. In this study we survey the etymology and definition of Changma.

  • PDF

우리나라 장마에 대한 소고 (What means Changma in KOREA?)

  • 류상범;오재호;이진숙;이경민
    • 한국제4기학회지
    • /
    • 제19권1호
    • /
    • pp.18-26
    • /
    • 2005
  • The East Asian summermonsoon is generally accompanied with the quasi-stationary front along the northern and northwestern periphery of the subtropical Northwest Pacific high. The rainy season in Korea has been called as Changma since the middle of 1500s. Understanding of Changma and heavy rainfall advancing along the Changma front is one of main interesting of Korean meteorologists. This study briefly summarized the descriptive characteristics of Changma and its relatedmechanism, definitions on the Changma period, and etymology of Changma through reviewing the previous studies on Changma.

  • PDF

Water Level Prediction on the Golok River Utilizing Machine Learning Technique to Evaluate Flood Situations

  • Pheeranat Dornpunya;Watanasak Supaking;Hanisah Musor;Oom Thaisawasdi;Wasukree Sae-tia;Theethut Khwankeerati;Watcharaporn Soyjumpa
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국수자원학회 2023년도 학술발표회
    • /
    • pp.31-31
    • /
    • 2023
  • During December 2022, the northeast monsoon, which dominates the south and the Gulf of Thailand, had significant rainfall that impacted the lower southern region, causing flash floods, landslides, blustery winds, and the river exceeding its bank. The Golok River, located in Narathiwat, divides the border between Thailand and Malaysia was also affected by rainfall. In flood management, instruments for measuring precipitation and water level have become important for assessing and forecasting the trend of situations and areas of risk. However, such regions are international borders, so the installed measuring telemetry system cannot measure the rainfall and water level of the entire area. This study aims to predict 72 hours of water level and evaluate the situation as information to support the government in making water management decisions, publicizing them to relevant agencies, and warning citizens during crisis events. This research is applied to machine learning (ML) for water level prediction of the Golok River, Lan Tu Bridge area, Sungai Golok Subdistrict, Su-ngai Golok District, Narathiwat Province, which is one of the major monitored rivers. The eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) algorithm, a tree-based ensemble machine learning algorithm, was exploited to predict hourly water levels through the R programming language. Model training and testing were carried out utilizing observed hourly rainfall from the STH010 station and hourly water level data from the X.119A station between 2020 and 2022 as main prediction inputs. Furthermore, this model applies hourly spatial rainfall forecasting data from Weather Research and Forecasting and Regional Ocean Model System models (WRF-ROMs) provided by Hydro-Informatics Institute (HII) as input, allowing the model to predict the hourly water level in the Golok River. The evaluation of the predicted performances using the statistical performance metrics, delivering an R-square of 0.96 can validate the results as robust forecasting outcomes. The result shows that the predicted water level at the X.119A telemetry station (Golok River) is in a steady decline, which relates to the input data of predicted 72-hour rainfall from WRF-ROMs having decreased. In short, the relationship between input and result can be used to evaluate flood situations. Here, the data is contributed to the Operational support to the Special Water Resources Management Operation Center in Southern Thailand for flood preparedness and response to make intelligent decisions on water management during crisis occurrences, as well as to be prepared and prevent loss and harm to citizens.

  • PDF

낙동강 중류 보 구간에서의 시 · 공간적 수질 분포 특성 연구 (A Study on Spatial and Temporal Patterns of Water Quality in the Middle Area of the Nakdong River, Korea)

  • 나은혜;박수영;김종하;임성수;김경현
    • 한국물환경학회지
    • /
    • 제31권6호
    • /
    • pp.723-731
    • /
    • 2015
  • We investigated the spatial and temporal patterns of water quality in the Gangjung-Goryoung weir that is located in the middle area of the Nakdong river, Korea. The monitoring results indicated that there are discernible vertical differences in water quality during the pre- and post-monsoon periods (May to September). During this period, it was observed that the weak thermal stratification formed at the maximum level, and pH, Chl-a, and DO concentrations in the surface layer were higher than those in the bottom layer. This vertical difference was especially noticeable for DO concentrations: there were DO depletions at the bottom layer in late June to early August. During the summer monsoon period with heavy rainfall, there was a decline in vertical differences in water quality. From this study, it was suggested that continuous monitoring of vertical profiles could become a useful tool for identifying the spatial and temporal distributions of water quality and for developing the best management policy for water quality in the Nakdong river.

Rain Attenuation Prediction at Different Time Percentages for Ku, K, and Ka Bands Satellite Communication Systems over Nigeria

  • Orji Prince Orji;Obiegbuna Dominic Chukwuebuka;Okoro Eucharia Chidinma;Ugonabo Obiageli Josephine;Okezuonu Patrick Chinedu;Iyida Evaristus Uzochukwu;Ugwu Chukwuebuka Jude;Menteso Firew Meka;Ikechukwu Ugochukwu Chiemeka
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
    • /
    • 제41권1호
    • /
    • pp.25-33
    • /
    • 2024
  • This paper evaluates the influence of rainfall on propagated signal at different time exceedance percentages of an average year, over the climate zones of the country. Specifically, it demonstrates critical and non critical signal fade or signal outage time exceedance (0.001% to 1%) for Ku, K, and Ka-band systems in an average year. The study was carried out using meteorological data made available by the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) over a period of 10 years (2009-2018). The four climate zones in the country were represented by five (5) locations; Maidugiri (warm desert climate), Sokoto (tropical dry climate), Port Harcourt (tropical monsoon climate), Abuja and Enugu (tropical savanna climate). The parameters were simulated into the International Telecommunications Union Recommended (ITU-R) models for rain attenuation over the tropics and results presented using MatLab and Origin Lab. Results of Ku band propagations showed that only locations in the tropical savanna and tropical monsoon climates experienced total signal outage for time percentage exceedance equal to or below 0.01% for both horizontal and vertical polarizations. At K band propagations, the five locations showed to have experienced signal outage at time exceedance equal to and below 0.01%, almost same was recorded for the Ka-band propagation. It was also observed that horizontal and vertical polarization of signal had slightly different rain attenuation values for the studied bands at the five locations, with horizontal polarization having higher values than vertical polarization.