• Title/Summary/Keyword: monetary policy

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The Dynamics of Monetarists Versus Keynesians Perspectives and Their Role in Economic Growth of Pakistan

  • MANSOOR, Abdul;HUSSAIN, Syed Tahir;RAIS, Syed Imran;BASHIR, Malik Fahim;TARIQ, Yasir Bin;KAUSAR, Maria
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.61-69
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    • 2022
  • The study intends to investigate a short-run and a long-run causality among money, income, and prices in the Keynesian and Monetarists framework. This study emphasizes the importance of unrecorded money, which exists alongside legal monetary assets and plays a dual function in determining economic prosperity. The underground economy, which is a hidden component of aggregate economic activity, is determined using Tanzi's monetary approach (Tanzi, 1980). This research uses a time series of annual data from 1990 to 2019 for this purpose. The data is extracted from the World Bank database for the monetary and development indicators. The study keeping in view the trending nature in data follows a unit root testing followed by the Autoregressive Distributive Lag Model (ARDL) to assess the long and short-run dynamics of causality among the variables. In both the pricing and income equations, the study finds a significant level link among the variables; however, there is no evidence of the presence of a level association in the money equation. The short-run causal relationship provides evidence of bi-directional causation between the supply of money and national income. The outcome of this study advise that though the view point of both the Monetarist and Keynesian school holds in both short and long run, however, in Pakistan only the Monetarists' role of money supply and income holds in Pakistan. This evidence would be of precise interest to the policy-makers.

Optimal Monetary Policy System for Both Macroeconomics and Financial Stability (거시경제와 금융안정을 종합 고려한 최적 통화정책체계 연구)

  • Joonyoung Hur;Hyoung Seok Oh
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.46 no.1
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    • pp.91-129
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    • 2024
  • The Bank of Korea, through a legal amendment in 2011 following the financial crisis, was entrusted with the additional responsibility of financial stability beyond its existing mandate of price stability. Since then, concerns have been raised about the prolonged increase in household debt compared to income conditions, which could constrain consumption and growth and increase the possibility of a crisis in the event of negative economic shocks. The current accumulation of financial imbalances suggests a critical period for the government and central bank to be more vigilant, ensuring it does not impede the stable flow of our financial and economic systems. This study examines the applicability of the Integrated Inflation Targeting (IIT) framework proposed by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) for macro-financial stability in promoting long-term economic stability. Using VAR models, the study reveals a clear increase in risk appetite following interest rate cuts after the financial crisis, leading to a rise in household debt. Additionally, analyzing the central bank's conduct of monetary policy from 2000 to 2021 through DSGE models indicates that the Bank of Korea has operated with a form of IIT, considering both inflation and growth in its policy decisions, with some responsiveness to the increase in household debt. However, the estimation of a high interest rate smoothing coefficient suggests a cautious approach to interest rate adjustments. Furthermore, estimating the optimal interest rate rule to minimize the central bank's loss function reveals that a policy considering inflation, growth, and being mindful of household credit conditions is superior. It suggests that the policy of actively adjusting the benchmark interest rate in response to changes in economic conditions and being attentive to household credit situations when household debt is increasing rapidly compared to income conditions has been analyzed as a desirable policy approach. Based on these findings, we conclude that the integrated inflation targeting framework proposed by the BIS could be considered as an alternative policy system that supports the stable growth of the economy in the medium to long term.

A Legal and Policy Analysis of KRW Internationalization from the Perspective of Offshore Circulation

  • Son, Sam-Ho
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.23-29
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    • 2013
  • Purpose - Recently, the Korean government is seeking to internationalize KRW and reduce its heavy reliance on the U.S. dollar and better cope with risks from external turbulence. However, there has been too little study on this subject in comparision with its importance. The main objective of the paper is to distinguish the descrete stages of the KRW internationalization and recognize the costs and benefits of each stage. Research design, data, methodology - In order to achieve its goal, this study accomplishes a formal policy analysis based on potential factors of currency internationalization and an examination of legal practices in relation to Foreign Exchange Transaction Regulation (the Regulation). Results - This study found that securing monetary policy may not be easy under liberalized capital account for a small open economy like Korea in view of the trillema. In addition, the inherent ambiguity of the Regulation may increase the costs of KRW internationalization. Conclusions-This study revealed the negative system for the control of foreign exchange of the Korean government. The excessive regulatory restrictions on foreign exchange may hinder the process of KRW internationalization. Some legal and policy reforms are needed to improve related regulation and infrastructure.

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A study on the Economic Thought of Jia yi (가의(賈誼)의 경제사상(經濟思想) 연구(硏究))

  • Cho, Won-il
    • (The)Study of the Eastern Classic
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    • no.50
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    • pp.211-232
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    • 2013
  • Jia yi had a critical mind on the gap between the rich and the poor, sumptuous moods, reducement of agriculture productive population in West Han Dynasty period. It is to the collapse of social economic order, the moral degeneracy and the fiscal drain in West Han Dynasty. Jia yi analyzed the social problem of West Han Dynasty, suggested economic policy at one's own perspective. To solve the problem of the permissive policy of the Han Dynasty, He suggested a economic reform of phvsiocracy & business repression. And he was concerned about a reform monetary system. His reform policy was theoretical basis of Economic Thought of Jia yi. This paper focused his reform policy around phvsiocracy & business repression & private mintage prohibition policy.

Analyzing the Effect of Changes in the Benchmark Policy Interest Rate Using a Term Structure Model (이자율 기간구조를 이용한 정책금리 변경의 효과 분석)

  • Song, Joonhyuk
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.15-45
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    • 2009
  • This paper estimates the term structure of interest rates with the setup of 3-factor no arbitrage model and investigates the trend of term premia and the effectiveness of changes in policy interest rates. The term premia are found to be high in a three-year medium term objective, which can be interpreted as reflecting the recognition of investors who expect a higher uncertainty in real activities for the coming three years than for a longer term. Then, in order to look into the effect of policy interest rates after the recent change of benchmark interest rate, this paper analyzes the effects of the changes in short-term interest rates of the financial market on the yield curve of the bond market at time of change. Empirical results show that the discrepancy between call rate, short-term rate in money market, and instantaneous short rate, short-term rate in the bond market, is found to be significantly widened, comparing to the periods before the change in benchmark interest rate. It is not easy to conclude clearly for now whether such a widening gap is caused by the lack of experiences with managing new benchmark interest rate or is just an exceptional case due to the recent turmoil in the global financial market. However, monetary policy needs to be operated in a manner that could reduce the gap to enhance its effectiveness.

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An Analysis of Money Supply in Indonesia: Vector Autoregressive (VAR) Approach

  • YULIADI, Imamudin
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.7
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    • pp.241-249
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    • 2020
  • The role of money in the modern economy highly determines the intensity and the development of the macroeconomy. The money supply is assumed to be as much as money demand, which reflects the economic character of a country and indicates the growth and development of macroeconomy. In Indonesia, the money supply (M1) is related to the economic dynamics in either the monetary market or the goods market. This research aims at analyzing factors that influence the money supply and to what extent the economic factors affect the money supply in Indonesia. The analysis method used in this research was Vector Autoregressive (VAR) with some variables, such as money supply (M1), interest rate, and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) from the 1st quarter of 2001 until the 1st quarter of 2013. The data collection method was in the form of data compilation from credible sources, such as Bank of Indonesia (BI), Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS), and International Financial Statistics (IFS). To obtain adequate analysis results, several tests were taken, such as unit-root test, Granger causality test, and optimal lag. VAR analysis formulates the correlation among independent variables, so it also sees the study of impulse response and matrix decomposition.

A Study on The Effect Corporate Performance of Organization Justice (조직공정성이 기업성과에 미치는 영향)

  • Jeon, Oi-Sul
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.12 no.10
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    • pp.169-178
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    • 2014
  • Members of the private companies have the skills, knowledge, abilities, etc. In return for providing the organization from the organization granted a way to continue the relationship. From these companies in exchange for monetary compensation, such as wages and honors, including non-monetary benefits, and receive a reward. Interaction with each other in these companies are members of the organization to always think about the fairness issue. In this study, the performance of the company fairness affect whether any will be discussed. Organizational justice research on job satisfaction, organizational commitment influence. But that does not affect sales growth, respectively.

Testing on the Efficiency of Korean FX Market Implemented by USD, JPY, GBP, and EURO (한국의 외환시장 효율성 검정 - 미국, 일본, 영국, 및 유로지역과의 비교를 중심으로 -)

  • Rhee, Hyun-Jae
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.103-122
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    • 2009
  • The paper is basically designed to investigate any existence of co-movement among foreign exchange market, goods market, and monetary market implemented by relative PPP and interest rate parity. And, rational expectation and GARCH-M model are employed for an empirical application. The result revealed that since the co-movement among the markets is hardly found, an efficiency of foreign exchange market is independent from any shocks from the goods market and the monetary market. Whereas, the exchange rate is strongly effected by a real interest rate parity. To this end, the real interest rate should be a key policy instrument to stabilize the foreign exchange market.

Real Interest, Real Estate Prices and Monetary Policy (실질금리, 부동산가격과 통화정책)

  • Cho, Dongchul;Sung, Myung-Kee
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.3-33
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    • 2004
  • This paper investigates the effects of inflation on real estate prices, particularly the discrepancy between the sales and chonsei prices of housing, in an economy in which real interest rates are secularly declining due to the fall in capital productivity. When real interest rates fall, real estate prices rise relative to chonsei prices, and thus the well-known adverse effect of inflation, or the discrepancy between the value of financial assets (or chonsei principal) and the value of real assets (or real estate), is aggravated although the monetary authority maintains the same rate of inflation. This theoretical prediction can help explain the trend of the ratio of apartment sales prices to chonsei prices. That is, the stabilization of inflation relative to real interest rates appears to have contributed to the secular stabilization of this ratio in the 1990s, while the fall in real interest rates appears to have led to the rise of this ratio since 2001.

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Object detection in financial reporting documents for subsequent recognition

  • Sokerin, Petr;Volkova, Alla;Kushnarev, Kirill
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2021
  • Document page segmentation is an important step in building a quality optical character recognition module. The study examined already existing work on the topic of page segmentation and focused on the development of a segmentation model that has greater functional significance for application in an organization, as well as broad capabilities for managing the quality of the model. The main problems of document segmentation were highlighted, which include a complex background of intersecting objects. As classes for detection, not only classic text, table and figure were selected, but also additional types, such as signature, logo and table without borders (or with partially missing borders). This made it possible to pose a non-trivial task of detecting non-standard document elements. The authors compared existing neural network architectures for object detection based on published research data. The most suitable architecture was RetinaNet. To ensure the possibility of quality control of the model, a method based on neural network modeling using the RetinaNet architecture is proposed. During the study, several models were built, the quality of which was assessed on the test sample using the Mean average Precision metric. The best result among the constructed algorithms was shown by a model that includes four neural networks: the focus of the first neural network on detecting tables and tables without borders, the second - seals and signatures, the third - pictures and logos, and the fourth - text. As a result of the analysis, it was revealed that the approach based on four neural networks showed the best results in accordance with the objectives of the study on the test sample in the context of most classes of detection. The method proposed in the article can be used to recognize other objects. A promising direction in which the analysis can be continued is the segmentation of tables; the areas of the table that differ in function will act as classes: heading, cell with a name, cell with data, empty cell.