• 제목/요약/키워드: modified Weibull distribution

검색결과 33건 처리시간 0.024초

PD Signal Time-Frequency Map and PRPD Pattern Analysis of Nano SiO2 Modified Palm Oil for Transformer Insulation Applications

  • Arvind Shriram, R.K.;Chandrasekar, S.;Karthik, B.
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.902-910
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    • 2018
  • In recent times, development of nanofluid insulation for power transformers is a hot research topic. Many researchers reported the enhancement in dielectric characteristics of nano modified mineral oils. Considering the drawbacks of petroleum based mineral oil, it is necessary to understand the dielectric characteristics of nanofluids developed with natural ester based oils. Palm oil has better insulation characteristics comparable to mineral oil. However very few research reports is available in the area of nanofluids based on palm oil. Partial discharge (PD) is one of the major sources of insulation performance degradation of transformer oil. It is essential to understand the partial discharge(PD) characteristics by collecting huge data base of PD performance of nano modified palm oil which will increase its confidence level for power transformer application. Knowing these facts, in the present work, certain laboratory experiments have been performed on PD characteristics of nano $SiO_2$ modified palm oil at different electrode configurations. Influence of concentration of nano filler material on the PD characteristics is also studied. Partial discharge inception voltage, Phase resolved partial discharge (PRPD) pattern, PD signal time-frequency domain characteristics, PD signal equivalent timelength-bandwidth mapping, Weibull distribution statistical parameters of PRPD pattern, skewness, repetition rate and phase angle variations are evaluated at different test conditions. From the results of the experiments conducted, we came to understand that PD performance of palm oil is considerably enhanced with the addition of $nano-SiO_2$ filler at 0.01%wt and 0.05%wt concentration. Significant reduction in PD inception voltage, repetition rate, Weibull shape parameter and PD magnitude are noticed with addition of $SiO_2$ nanofillers in palm oil. These results will be useful for recommending nano modified palm oil for power transformer applications.

Modified 9Cr-1Mo 강의 크리프 균열성장 거동에 관한 통계적 해석 (Statistical Analysis for Creep Crack Growth Behavior of Modified 9Cr-1Mo Steel)

  • 정익희;김우곤;윤송남;류우석;김선진
    • 대한금속재료학회지
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    • 제47권5호
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    • pp.283-289
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    • 2009
  • This paper dealt with a statistical analysis for evaluating the creep crack growth rate (CCGR) for Modified 9Cr-1Mo (ASTM Grade 91) steel. The CCGR data was obtained by the creep crack growth (CCG) tests conducted under various applied loads at $600^{\circ}C$. To obtain logically the B and q values used in the CCGR equation, three methods such as the least square fitting method (LSFM), the mean value method (MVM) and the probabilistic distribution method (PDM) were adopted and their CCGR lines were compared, respectively. In addition, a number of random variables were generated by using the Monte Carlo simulation (MCS), and the CCGR lines were predicted probabilistically. It was found that both the B and q coefficients followed a 2-parameter Weibull distribution well. In the case of the ranges of 10-90% for the probability variables, P(B, q), the CCGR lines were predicted. Fractographic study was conducted from the specimen after the CCG tests.

Deriving Probability Models for Stress Analysis

  • Ahn Suneung
    • 한국산업경영시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국산업경영시스템학회 2002년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.139-149
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    • 2002
  • This paper presents an approach to derive probability models for use in structural reliability studies. Two main points are made. First, that it is possible to translate engineering and physics knowledge into a requirement on the form of a probability model. And second, that making assumptions about a probability model for structural failure implies either explicit or hidden assumptions about material and structural properties. The work is foundational in nature, but is developed with explicit examples taken from planar and general stress problems, the von Mises failure criterion, and a modified Weibull distribution.

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해상작업 가능기간 산정을 위한 확률모형 개발 - 울산항 전면 해역을 중심으로 (Development of a Probabilistic Model for the Estimation of Yearly Workable Wave Condition Period for Offshore Operations - Centering on the Sea off the Ulsan Harbor)

  • 최세호;조용준
    • 한국해안·해양공학회논문집
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    • 제31권3호
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    • pp.115-128
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    • 2019
  • 본 논문에서는 공정별 해상작업 가능 기간의 합리적 산출이 가능한 확률모형이 제시된다. 확률모형을 유도하기 위해, 먼저 JMA(Japan Meterological Agency)와 NOAA(National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration)의 해상풍 자료와 SWAN에 기초하여 2003년 1월 1일부터 2017년 12월 31일까지 한 시간 간격으로 울산 전면 해역에서의 유의 파고와 첨두 주기를 역추산 하였다. 이어 모의된 유의파고 시계열 자료로부터 최소 자승법을 활용하여 장기 유의파고 확률분포를 도출하였으며, 해석결과 그 동안 선호되던 삼 변량 Weibull 분포보다는 수정 Glukhovskiy 분포 계열에서 일치도가 가장 우월하였다. 보다 정확한 확률모형의 개발 가능성을 검토하기 위해 Borgman 선회적분을 활용하여 역 추산 단위 간격인 한 시간 내에서 출현하는 개별 파랑이 고려된 파고분포도 함께 유도하였다. 수정 Glukhovskiy 분포의 모수는 $A_p=15.92$, $H_p=4.374m$, ${\kappa}_p=1.824$로 드러났으며 해상작업 한계 파고가 $H_S=1.5m$인 경우 작업가능일 수는 319일로 모의되었다. 이와 더불어 확률모형의 검증자료를 얻기 위해 파고가 해상 준설작업 한계 파고로 기 보고된 바 있는 $H_S=1.5m$(Lee, 1991)를 상회하여 지속되는 시간을 유의파고 시계열 자료를 파별분석(wave by wave analysis)하여 산출하였다. 산출결과 2003년부터 2017년까지의 평균 지속기간은 45.5일로 확률모형으로부터 산출된 기간에 상당히 근접하였다.

대학교 캠퍼스의 풍력자원 측정 및 분석 (Wind Resource Measurements and Analysis at the University Campus)

  • 윤재옥;김명래
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.19-24
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    • 2008
  • The wind-power among the new and renewable energies uses the wind, a limitless, clean and pure energy which is available at any place. It requires low installation cost compared to the generation of other renewable energies, and is easy to operate, and furthermore, can be automated for operation. Korea has been taking a great deal of interest in the development of renewable energy generating equipment, specifically wind power generation as the nation has a nearly total reliance on imported petroleum. A measuring poll 30m high was installed at a location with an altitude of 142m above the sea level in order to measure and analyze the wind power potentiality at H University's Asan Campus, and the wind velocity and wind direction were measured for 1 year. As for the wind power resource of the area adjacent to Asan campus, the Weibull Distribution coefficient was C=2.68, K =1.29 at H30m. Weibull Distribution coefficient was modified on the basis of compensated wind velocity (=3.1m/s) at H 60m, and the energy density was $42W/m^2$. AEP 223,750 KWh was forecast based on the simulation of an 800KW grade wind turbine. It is considered that the wind power generation has to be studied further in the inland zone with low wind velocity to cope with the possible exhaustion of fossil fuel and ensure a sustainable environmental preservation.

Alternative robust estimation methods for parameters of Gumbel distribution: an application to wind speed data with outliers

  • Aydin, Demet
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제26권6호
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    • pp.383-395
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    • 2018
  • An accurate determination of wind speed distribution is the basis for an evaluation of the wind energy potential required to design a wind turbine, so it is important to estimate unknown parameters of wind speed distribution. In this paper, Gumbel distribution is used in modelling wind speed data, and alternative robust estimation methods to estimate its parameters are considered. The methodologies used to obtain the estimators of the parameters are least absolute deviation, weighted least absolute deviation, median/MAD and least median of squares. The performances of the estimators are compared with traditional estimation methods (i.e., maximum likelihood and least squares) according to bias, mean square deviation and total mean square deviation criteria using a Monte-Carlo simulation study for the data with and without outliers. The simulation results show that least median of squares and median/MAD estimators are more efficient than others for data with outliers in many cases. However, median/MAD estimator is not consistent for location parameter of Gumbel distribution in all cases. In real data application, it is firstly demonstrated that Gumbel distribution fits the daily mean wind speed data well and is also better one to model the data than Weibull distribution with respect to the root mean square error and coefficient of determination criteria. Next, the wind data modified by outliers is analysed to show the performance of the proposed estimators by using numerical and graphical methods.

The comparison of relative reliability on biaxial and three point flexure strength methods of light curing composite resin

  • Seo, Deog-Gyu;Rho, Byoung-Duck
    • 대한치과보존학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한치과보존학회 2003년도 제120회 추계학술대회 제 5차 한ㆍ일 치과보존학회 공동학술대회
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    • pp.575-575
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    • 2003
  • The majority of studies comparing the mechanical properties of brittle dental restorative materials now include use of the Weibull Modulus (m). This modulus is determined from analysis of the statistical distribution of strength measurements, which can be determined using a variety of methods, including biaxial flexure, 3pt bend and 4pt bend. In comparing materials it is usually implicitly assumed that the modulus (m) is independent of test method although it is recognised to be highly dependent on flaw distributions. However, in some cases flaw distributions can be modified by sample preparation and test method may modify stressing patterns. This study investigated the pattern of strength and m in two light setting materials.

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표면처리에 의한 유기발광소자(OLED)용 Ag 전극의 Nano-size 효과 연구 (Nano-size Study of Surface-modified Ag Anode for OLEDs)

  • 김주영;김수인;이규영;김형근;전재혁;정윤종;김무찬;이종림;이창우
    • 한국진공학회지
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.12-16
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    • 2012
  • Top-Emitting OLED (Organic Light-Emitting Diode) 디스플레이에서는 반사율이 가장 높은 Ag (silver) 박막이 쓰이고 있지만, 소자에서 요구되는 일함수(work function)가 상대적으로 낮기 때문에 전극과 유기물간에 에너지 장벽이 발생하여 발광효율을 낮추는 요인이 되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 Ag 전극의 일함수를 높이기 위한 연구를 진행하였으며, 박막 형태의 Ag 전극에 대하여 nanotribology 접근법으로 연구를 실행하였다. Ag는 rf magnetron sputter를 이용해 glass 위에 증착한 후 furnace에서 $300^{\circ}C$, 30분간 대기 중에서 열처리하였고, 또 다른 시료는 표면에 산소 상압플라즈마로 처리 시간(30, 60, 90, 120s)을 각기 다르게 하여 시료를 제조하였다. Ag 전극을 nanoindentation을 통해 국부 영역에 대한 물리적 특성의 변화를 측정하였고, Kelvin probe force microscopy을 이용해 시료 표면의 포텐셜을 측정했다. 그 결과 열처리한 시료의 포텐셜값은 가장 크게 증가하였지만 균일도가 낮아졌다. 120s 플라즈마 처리한 시료는 불완전한 산화막의 생성으로 인해 탄성계수 및 경도값과 박막의 Weibull modulus를 극히 낮게 만들었지만, 60s, 90s 플라즈마 처리는 시료의 균일도를 높이고 또한 포텐셜을 증가시켜 T-OLED 성능 개선에 좋은 영향을 미치게 될 것이다.

우리나라 도시배수시스템 설계를 위한 확률강우강도식의 유도 (A Derivation of Rainfall Intensity-Duration-Frequency Relationship for the Design of Urban Drainage System in Korea)

  • 이재준;이정식
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제32권4호
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    • pp.403-415
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    • 1999
  • 본 연구에서는 우리나라 강우에 대한 대표 확률분포형을 결정하고 결정된 대표 확률분포형에 의거하여 확률강우강도식을 유도한다. 빈도해석에 널리 사용되는 11개 분포형에 대하여 모멘트법과 최우추정법 및 확률가중모멘트법으로 모수를 추정하고, 적정성이 있는 모수를 대상으로 적합도 검정을 실시하여 지속기간별로 각 지점의 적정분포형을 구한다. 전 지역의 강우 동질성을 검정하는 방법으로 비모수적 검정방법인 Mann-Whitney 검정과 Kruskal-Walls 검정을 실시하여 우리나라 전역을 대표할 수 있는 대표 적정분포형을 구한다, 강우의 동질성 검정을 실시한 결과, 우리나라 전역을 대표할 수 있는 적정분포형을 선정할 수 없었으며, 12개 지속기간에 대하여 강우의 동질성이 있는 여러 개의 권역으로 구분하여 권역별 대표 확률분포형을 결정하였다. I,II,V 권역에서는 GEV 분포,III,IV 권역에서는 TypeIII 극차분포가 대표 적정분포형으로 선정되었으며, 이들 대표 적정분포형으로부터 얻어진 확률강우량을 이용하여 확률강우강도식을 유도하였다.

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Fatigue wind load spectrum construction based on integration of turbulent wind model and measured data for long-span metal roof

  • Liman Yang;Cong Ye;Xu Yang;Xueyao Yang;Jian-ge Kou
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제36권2호
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    • pp.121-131
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    • 2023
  • Aiming at the problem that fatigue characteristics of metal roof rely on local physical tests and lacks the cyclic load sequence matching with regional climate, this paper proposed a method of constructing the fatigue load spectrum based on integration of wind load model, measured data of long-span metal roof and climate statistical data. According to the turbulence characteristics of wind, the wind load model is established from the aspects of turbulence intensity, power spectral density and wind pressure coefficient. Considering the influence of roof configuration on wind pressure distribution, the parameters are modified through fusing the measured data with least squares method to approximate the actual wind pressure load of the roof system. Furthermore, with regards to the wind climate characteristics of building location, Weibull model is adopted to analyze the regional meteorological data to obtain the probability density distribution of wind velocity used for calculating wind load, so as to establish the cyclic wind load sequence with the attributes of regional climate and building configuration. Finally, taking a workshop's metal roof as an example, the wind load spectrum is constructed according to this method, and the fatigue simulation and residual life prediction are implemented based on the experimental data. The forecasting result is lightly higher than the design standards, consistent with general principles of its conservative safety design scale, which shows that the presented method is validated for the fatigue characteristics study and health assessment of metal roof.