• 응용통계연구
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• 제25권2호
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• pp.279-291
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• 2012

공변량에 결측이 발생한 Cox 비례위험 모형을 적합할 때, 결측이 발생하는 개체를 모두 제거한 후 분석을 실시한다면 정보 손실에 의해 비효율적이고 결측의 발생 메커니즘이 완전 임의 결측(missing completely at random; MCAR)이 아니라면 모수의 추정값에 편향이 발생할 수 있다. Cox 비례위험 회귀모형의 공변량에 결측이 있는 경우 적용할 수 있는 여러 가지 방법들이 제안되어져 왔으나 이 분석들은 선택모델(selection model)에 기반하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 Little (1993)이 제안한 패턴-혼합 모델(pattern-mixture model)을 사용하여 Cox 비례위험 회귀모형에서 생존시간과 결측 메커니즘의 결합분포를 모델화 하고, 여러 가지 제약에 근거한 생존 분석의 결과를 비교하였다. 모의실험을 통해서 패턴-혼합 모델의 제약(restrictions)에 따른 모수 추정의 민감도를 확인하였고 결측을 무시한 채 분석한 결과 및 선택모형에 근거한 분석결과와 비교하였다. 패턴-혼합 모델의 제약에 따라 공변량의 결측으로 인한 모수 추정의 민감성 정도를 쥐백혈병 자료 예제를 통해 설명하였다.

• 한국대기환경학회지
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• 제5권1호
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• pp.1-10
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• 1989

The sensitivity analysis is a method to quantify to what extent the output of a model changes with the values of input parameters. This will lead to increase model accuracy through measurement validation. Three line source air quality models, HIWAY 2, PAL, and CALINE 3 were selected for this study. The input parameters analysed included wind speed, wind direction, stability, emission rate, mixing height, receptor distance, initial dispersion coefficient, surface roughness, and averaging time. It turned out that PAL model generally showed higher concentration than other two models, and that between CALINE 3 and HIWAY 2, CALINE 3 showed higher concentration than HIWAY 2 model near the line sources, but beyond a certain downwind distances HIWAY 2 model showed higher concentration. The modesl were very sensitive to wind speed especially in the range of 0 $\sim$ 1 m/s and to wind direction near the parallel wind to streets. In case of emission rate, the output concentration was directly proportional to these input parameters. And the sensitivity of the input parameters such as stability, mixing height, initial dispersion coefficient, surface roughness, and averaging time were not very significant.

• 한국농공학회논문집
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• 제50권2호
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• pp.3-10
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• 2008

The main objectives of this study are to calibrate the RICEWQ model with Korean field data and then analyse the sensitivity of the parameters to identify sensitive parameters. The RICEWQ is widely used to predict pesticide fate in a paddy plot. An experimental paddy plot of 0.2 ha($100{\times}20\;m$) at Seobyeon-dong, Daegu, Korea was selected, and field observations for water and pesticide balance were performed from 4 June to 2 September 2006. The molinate, which is a herbicide widely used for weed control in rice culture, was selected. The RICEWQ model was successfully calibrated both for the water and pesticide mass balance. The calibrated model showed a RMSE of 0.537 cm for ponded water depths and a RMSE of 0.036 mg/L for the molinate concentrations in the ponded water. The most sensitive parameters for molinate concentrations in ponded water were the metabolism degradation rate in water, volatilization coefficient, and release rate for slow release formulation. In contrast, the RICEWQ model was not sensitive to parameters such as hydrolysis degradation rate in water and degradation rate in unsaturated soil.

• 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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• 제14권11호
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• pp.1174-1179
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• 2008

Many modeling and calibration methods have been developed to analyze and design the biological wastewater treatment process. For the systematic use of activated sludge model (ASM) in a real treatment process, a most important step in this usage is a calibration which can find a key parameter set of ASM, which depends on the microorganism communities and the process conditions of the plants. In this paper, a standardized calibration protocol of the ASM model is developed. First, a weighted effluent quality index(WEQI) is suggested far a calibration protocol. Second, the most sensitive parameter set is determined by a sensitive analysis based on WEQI and then a parameter optimization method are used for a systematic calibration of key parameters. The proposed method is applied to a calibration problems of the single carbon removal process. The results of the sensitivity analysis and parameter estimation based on a WEQI shows a quite reasonable parameter set and precisely estimated parameters, which can improve the quality and the efficiency of the modeling and the prediction of ASM model. Moreover, it can be used for a calibration scheme of other biological processes, such as sequence batch reactor, anaerobic digestion process with a dedicated methodology.

• 한국지반공학회논문집
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• 제19권5호
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• pp.99-107
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• 2003

포장 시스템 내에서의 습기흐름과 열흐름은 상호간에 복합적인 작용을 하는 과정들로 인식되어 왔다. 습기의 흐름과 열흐름에 기인한 포장내에서의 습기와 온도의 분포는 계절적으로 변화할 뿐만 아니라 수직 그리고 수평적으로도 변화한다. 이 논문은 불포화토에서의 이차원 복합적인 습기와 열흐름에 대해서 유한요소법을 사용한 분석모델을 제시한다. 모델을 검증하기 위해 모델에 의한 분석결과는 Canada Alberta에 소재한 GEO-SLOPE사에 의해 개발된 소프트웨어인 GEO-SLOPE에 의해 분석된 결과와 비교하였다. 그리고 모델에서 사용된 입력데이터가 모델분석에 미치는 영향을 알아보기 위해 ASTM 방법에 의한 민감도 분석을 수행하였다.

• 전력전자학회논문지
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• 제15권1호
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• pp.17-26
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• 2010

본 논문은 군용 공중폭발탄에 사용하는 발진기의 에러를 최소화 하고, 그 효율을 극대화하기 위하여 시뮬레이션과 매우 유사한 형태의 통계적 모델링 방법을 제안한다. 제안된 방법은 일정하고 안정된 출력을 내는 실제 모델에서 실험 계획에 의하여 얻은 데이터로부터 통계적인 해석을 통하여 새로운 형태의 방정식을 구하였다. 그리고 그것을 바탕으로 각각의 전자 부품들을 출력과 일치되도록 모델링 한 후, 출력 예측이 가능한 시뮬레이션을 수행하고, 실제 모델의 출력 데이터와 비교하여 그 유용성, 정확도 및 정밀도를 입증하였다.

• 한국해양공학회지
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• 제26권5호
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• pp.11-17
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• 2012

In this study, a damage detection method that uses sensitivity-based finite (FE) element model updating with the natural frequency and zero frequency was proposed. The stiffness matrix for a structure was modified using the sensitivity-based FE model updating method. A sensitivity analysis was used to update the FE model, and the natural frequencies and zero frequencies were considered as target parameters to supplement the information on the vibration characteristics. The locations and values of the damages were estimated from the modified stiffness matrix. Several numerical examples were considered to verify the performance of the proposed method.

• 한국입자에어로졸학회지
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• 제7권3호
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• pp.99-108
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• 2011

To establish area specific control strategies for the reduction of the ozone concentration, the Ozone Isopleth Plotting Package for Research(OZIPR) model has been widely used. However, the model results tend to changed by various input parameters such as the background concentration, emission amount of NOx and volatile organic compounds (VOCs), and meteorological condition. Thus, sensitivity analysis should be required to ensure the reliability of the result. The OZIPR modeling results for five local government districts in the Seoul Metropolitan Area (SMA) in June 2000 were used for the sensitivity analysis. The sensitivity analysis result showed that the modeling result of the SMA being VOC-limited region be still valid for a wide range of input parameters' variation. The estimated ozone concentrations were positively related with the initial VOCs concentrations while were negatively related with the initial NOx concentrations. But, the degree of the variations at each local district was different suggesting area specific characteristics being also important. Among the five local governments, Suwon was chosen to identify other variance through the period from April to September in 2000. The monthly modeling results show different ozone values, but still showing the characteristics of VOCs-limited region. Limitations due to not considering long range transport and transfer from neighbor area, limitation of input data, error between observed data and estimated data are all discussed.

• 한국항해학회지
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• 제12권2호
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• pp.33-42
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• 1988

As a basic study for enhancing the sensitivity of the follow-up system of the marine gyrocompass, the geometric characteristics of the deflection sensor were investigated and the theoretical model of it was formulated. The output signal voltage of the deflection sensor was esamined by changing the attitude of gyrosphere against follow-up container. The characteristics of the output are found to be indentical with those of the distance difference versus the relative azimuthal deflection of the gyrosphere against the follow up container. On the base of the theoretical model, some useful points for the design of the deflection sensor are suggested as following : 1. When the difference between semidiamter of gyrophere and that of the follow-up container decreases, the sensitivity of deflection sensor increases. 2. If the semidiameter difference of two spheres is constant, the sensitivity of deflection sensor is proportional to the magnitude of the semidiamter of each sphere. 3. The farther the gyrosphere is deviated from the center of follow-up container, the higher the sensitivity of deflection sensor is. 4. It is recommendable that the value of the datum deflection of the electrodes on the gyrosphere should be within the range between $4^{\circ}$ and $16^{\circ}$deviated from north-south line.

• 산업기술연구
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• 제26권B호
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• pp.83-92
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• 2006

A probabilistic analysis model. one of reliability analysis methods introducing the concept of variables, was developed to investigate the uncertainty of dominant factors influencing the degree of consolidation in the radial consolidation theories. Based on the developed probabilistic analysis model, sensitivity study of those factors was performed to find their trends of affecting the degree of consolidation in the vertical drain method. Various radial consolidation theories, proposed by Barron(1948), Hansbo(1979), Yoshikuni(1979) and Onoue(1988), were used for this parametric study with the influencing factors such as size of smear zone, reduction ratio of permeability in the smear zone, discharge capacity, permeability for horizontal flow and coefficient of consolidation for horizontal flow. As results of this sensitivity study, for the given consolidation theory, contribution of each factor to the degree of consolidation was figure out and compared to each other. For the given value of each factor, the sensitivity to the degree of consolidation in the various theories was evaluated and their applicability and limitations were assessed.