• Title/Summary/Keyword: model fitting

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Application of SWAT-CUP for Streamflow Auto-calibration at Soyang-gang Dam Watershed (소양강댐 유역의 유출 자동보정을 위한 SWAT-CUP의 적용 및 평가)

  • Ryu, Jichul;Kang, Hyunwoo;Choi, Jae Wan;Kong, Dong Soo;Gum, Donghyuk;Jang, Chun Hwa;Lim, Kyoung Jae
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.347-358
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    • 2012
  • The SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) should be calibrated and validated with observed data to secure accuracy of model prediction. Recently, the SWAT-CUP (Calibration and Uncertainty Program for SWAT) software, which can calibrate SWAT using various algorithms, were developed to help SWAT users calibrate model efficiently. In this study, three algorithms (GLUE: Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation, PARASOL: Parameter solution, SUFI-2: Sequential Uncertainty Fitting ver. 2) in the SWAT-CUP were applied for the Soyang-gang dam watershed to evaluate these algorithms. Simulated total streamflow and 0~75% percentile streamflow were compared with observed data, respectively. The NSE (Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency) and $R^2$ (Coefficient of Determination) values were the same from three algorithms but the P-factor for confidence of calibration ranged from 0.27 to 0.81 . the PARASOL shows the lowest p-factor (0.27), SUFI-2 gives the greatest P-factor (0.81) among these three algorithms. Based on calibration results, the SUFI-2 was found to be suitable for calibration in Soyang-gang dam watershed. Although the NSE and $R^2$ values were satisfactory for total streamflow estimation, the SWAT simulated values for low flow regime were not satisfactory (negative NSE values) in this study. This is because of limitations in semi-distributed SWAT modeling structure, which cannot simulated effects of spatial locations of HRUs (Hydrologic Response Unit) within subwatersheds in SWAT. To solve this problem, a module capable of simulating groundwater/baseflow should be developed and added to the SWAT system. With this enhancement in SWAT/SWAT-CUP, the SWAT estimated streamflow values could be used in determining standard flow rate in TMDLs (Total Maximum Daily Load) application at a watershed.

Pharmacokinetics of amoxicillin after intramuscular injection at different temperatures to cultured olive flounder, Paralichthys olivaceus (Amoxicillin의 근육투여에 따른 수온별 넙치 체내 약동학적 특성)

  • Kim, Ji-Soo;Lee, Ji-Hoon;Lee, Soo-Jin;Park, Kwan-Ha
    • Journal of fish pathology
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.43-51
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    • 2015
  • The pharmacokinetic properties and residue levels of amoxicillin (AMOX) were studied after intramuscular injection to cultured olive flounders ($100{\pm}50g$), Paralichthys olivaceus. For pharmacokinetic studies, AMOX of 20 to 80 mg/kg body weight was administered at $17{\pm}2^{\circ}C$ or $22{\pm}2^{\circ}C$ and AMOX concentrations were determined in plasma, the liver, and the kidney by HPLC-UVD. Plasma samples were assessed at 0.25, 0.5, 1, 3, 6, 12, 24, 48, 72, 96, 168 hours post-dose, whereas liver and kidney concentrations were measured at 0.25 to 48 hours post-dose. The kinetic profiles of AMOX were analyzed by fitting to a 2-compartmental model with PKSolver program. The following parameters were obtained for a single dosage of 20, 40 and 80 mg/kg of body weight at $22^{\circ}C$ and 20 and 40 mg/kg of body weight at $17^{\circ}C$ in plasma, liver and kidney, respectively: $C_{max}$ (the peak concentration)= $27.23-257.36{\mu}g/m{\ell}$, $5.49-41.65{\mu}g/g$, $16.75-129.31{\mu}g/g$; $t_{max}$ (the time for peak concentration)= 0.05-0.91, 1.36-3.28, 1.95-4.49 h. For residue studies, AMOX of 40 and 400mg/kg was administered, and muscle samples were taken at 2, 5, 7, 14 and 21 days post-dose. The residueof AMOX in the muscle were found under the MRLs (maximum residue levels) within 7 days for the two doses.

Pharmacokinetics of oxytetracycline in olive flounder (Paralichthys olivaceus) by intramuscular injection (Oxytetracycline을 근육 주사한 넙치 (Paralichthys olivaceus)의 약물동태학적 특성)

  • Jung, Sung-Hee;Choi, Dong-Lim;Kim, Jin-Woo;Jo, Mi-Ra;Seo, Jung-Soo;Ji, Bo-Young
    • Journal of fish pathology
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.91-95
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    • 2009
  • The pharmacokinetic properties of oxytetracycline (OTC) were studied after intramuscular injection to cultured olive flounder, Paralichthys olivaceus. Plasma concentrations of OTC were determined after dosage of 12.5, 25 and 50 ㎎/㎏ body weight in olive flounder (average 600 g, $23{\pm}1{^{\circ}C}$). Plasma samples were taken at 3, 5, 10, 15, 24, 32, 48, 72, 120, 168, 240 and 360 h post-dose. With 25 and 50 ㎎/㎏, the peak plasma concentrations of OTC, which attained at 5 h post-dose, were 0.99 and 1.49 $\mu{g}/m\ell$, respectively. However, the peak plasma concentration of 12.5 ㎎/㎏ was 0.35 $\mu{g}/m\ell$ after 10 h post-dose. Plasma concentrations of OTC were not measurable at 360 h post-dose in all doses. The kinetic profile of absorption, distribution and elimination of OTC in plasma were analyzed fitting to a 1-compartment model by Win-Nonlin program. The following parameters were calculated for 12.5, 25 and 50 ㎎/㎏ body weight, respectively: AUC (the area under the concentration-time curve)?D���D24.98, 44.67 and 50.45 $\mu{g}$ $h/m\ell$ $T_{1/2}$ (half-life) ?D���D0.42, 0.59 and 0.41 h; $T_{max}$ (time for maximum concentration)?D���D8.46, 6.34 and 2.66 h; $C_{max}$ (maximum concentration)?D���D0.30, 0.63 and 1.13 $\mu{g}/m\ell$.

EVALUATION OF THE ACCURACY OF FIXTURE-LEVEL IMPRESSION TECHNIQUE FOR INTERNAL CONNECTION IMPLANT USING CLINICAL METHODS (임상적 방법을 이용한 내부연결 임플랜트에서 고정체수준 인상법의 정확도 평가)

  • Choi Jung-Han
    • The Journal of Korean Academy of Prosthodontics
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    • v.44 no.4
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    • pp.421-431
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    • 2006
  • Statement of problem : Accurate impression is essential to success of implant prostheses. But there have been few studies about the accuracy of fixture-level impression technique in internal connection implant system. Purpose: This study evaluated the accuracy of splinted fixture-level impression technique using clinical methods and the effect of internal hex on fit of superstructure in internal connection implant system (Astra Tech). Material and method : Two metal master frameworks made from two abutments (Cast-to Abutment ST) each for parallel and divergent conditions and a corresponding. passively fitting, dental stone master cast with four future replicas (Fixture Replica ST) were fabricated. Ten dental stone casts were made with vinyl polysiloxane impressions from the master cast by acrylic resin splinted fixture-level impression technique. To evaluate the accuracy of impression technique, the fit of master frameworks for test models was evaluated using screw resistance test (SRT) and one-screw test. The results of SRT were recorded as SRT values from grade 1 to grade 5 by 1/4 turn. And to evaluate the effect of hex on fit of superstructure, the same tests were performed after removing hexes of master frameworks. Results: 1. There was only one case (2.5%) showing SRT value of test model below ade 2 in total before and after removing hexes of master frameworks. And, by removing hexes. SRT values decreased in only one test model (5%) and did not change in 17 test models (85%). 2. SRT values of the 1$^{st}$ screws were grade 2 in 80% of cases before, and grade 1 in 80% of cases after removing hexes. And, by removing hexes, SRT values decreased in 72.5% of cases. 3. SRT values of the 2$^{nd}$ screws were grade 3 in 85% of cases before, and grade 3 in 95% of cases after removing hexes. And, by removing hexes, SRT values did not change in 85% of cases. 4. There were only 2 cases regarded as acceptable fit by one-screw test, and SRT values of 2$^{nd}$ screws of both cases were grade 2. Conclusion. Within the limitations of this study, future-level impression of internal connection implant system is considered to obtain inaccurate working cast, even using acrylic resin splinted impression technique. And, it is considered to be unable improve the fit to remove the hexes of implant restoration.

Case Study on Optimization of Send-out Operation in Liquefied Natural Gas Receiving Terminal (LNG 터미널 송출 운전 최적화 사례 연구)

  • Park, Chansaem;Han, Chonghun
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.53 no.2
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    • pp.150-155
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    • 2015
  • Recently, LNG receiving terminals have been widely constructed and expanded for an increase in LNG demand. Selection of the storage tank for send-out and estimation of send-out flow rate have significant influence to process operation and economics. In this study, a send-out flow rate of each storage tank is optimized in order to minimize the total BOG generation rate. Considering a size and characteristic of each storage tanks, BOG flow rates are estimated using a dynamic simulation with varying liquid levels in the tanks. The regression model is developed fitting BOG flow rates and tank liquid levels, which are boil off rate model to predict BOG flow rates with particular level data. The objective function and constraints including required total send-out flow rate and level limit in the tanks are formulated to optimize a send-out flow rate of each tank. This method for optimization of send-out operation is applied to the Incheon LNG receiving terminal considering two scenarios for various liquid levels and maximum and minimum required send-out flow rates. For maximum required send-out flow rate, this method achieves BOG reduction of 9% comparing with assumed conventional operation.

Development of Rotordynamics Program Based on the 2D Finite Element Method for Flywheel Energy Storage System (2차원 유한요소법을 적용한 플라이휠 에너지 저장 장치 동특성 해석 프로그램 개발)

  • Gu, Dong-Sik;Bae, Yong-Cae;Lee, Wook-Ryun;Kim, Jae-Gu;Kim, Hyo-Jung;Choi, Byeong-Keun
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.34 no.11
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    • pp.1757-1763
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    • 2010
  • Flywheel energy storage system (FESS) is defined as a high speed rotating flywheel system that can save surplus electric power. The FESS is proposed as an efficient energy storage system because it can accumulate a large amount of energy when it is operated at a high rotating speed and no mechanical problems are encountered. The FESS consists of a shaft, flywheel, motor/generator, bearings, and case. It is difficult to simulate rotor dynamics using common structure simulation programs because these programs are based on the 3D model and complex input rotating conditions. Therefore, in this paper, a program for the FESS based on the 2D FEM was developed. The 2D FEM can model easier than 3D, and it can present the multi-layer rotor with different material each other. Stiffness changing of the shaft caused by shrink fitting of the hub can be inputted to get clear solving results. The results obtained using the program were compared with those obtained using the common programs to determine any errors.

Spatial Data Analysis for the U.S. Regional Income Convergence,1969-1999: A Critical Appraisal of $\beta$-convergence (미국 소득분포의 지역적 수렴에 대한 공간자료 분석(1969∼1999년) - 베타-수렴에 대한 비판적 검토 -)

  • Sang-Il Lee
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.39 no.2
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    • pp.212-228
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    • 2004
  • This paper is concerned with an important aspect of regional income convergence, ${\beta}$-convergence, which refers to the negative relationship between initial income levels and income growth rates of regions over a period of time. The common research framework on ${\beta}$-convergence which is based on OLS regression models has two drawbacks. First, it ignores spatially autocorrelated residuals. Second, it does not provide any way of exploring spatial heterogeneity across regions in terms of ${\beta}$-convergence. Given that empirical studies on ${\beta}$-convergence need to be edified by spatial data analysis, this paper aims to: (1) provide a critical review of empirical studies on ${\beta}$-convergence from a spatial perspective; (2) investigate spatio-temporal income dynamics across the U.S. labor market areas for the last 30 years (1969-1999) by fitting spatial regression models and applying bivariate ESDA techniques. The major findings are as follows. First, the hypothesis of ${\beta}$-convergence was only partially evidenced, and the trend substantively varied across sub-periods. Second, a SAR model indicated that ${\beta}$-coefficient for the entire period was not significant at the 99% confidence level, which may lead to a conclusion that there is no statistical evidence of regional income convergence in the US over the last three decades. Third, the results from bivariate ESDA techniques and a GWR model report that there was a substantive level of spatial heterogeneity in the catch-up process, and suggested possible spatial regimes. It was also observed that the sub-periods showed a substantial level of spatio-temporal heterogeneity in ${\beta}$-convergence: the catch-up scenario in a spatial sense was least pronounced during the 1980s.

Induction of micronuclei in human, rabbit and dog lymphocytes irradiated in vitro with gamma radiation (사람, 토끼 및 개 유래 말초혈액 림프구의 미소핵을 이용한 방사선 피폭의 생물학적 선량측정)

  • Ryu, Si-yun;Kang, Bit-na;Kim, Ho-jun;Kim, Tae-hwan;Jeong, Kyu-sik;Kim, Se-ra;Lee, Hae-june;Kim, Sung-ho;An, Mi-Young
    • Korean Journal of Veterinary Research
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    • v.42 no.1
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2002
  • The frequencies of gamma-ray-induced micronuclei (MN) in cytokinesis-blocked (CB) lymphocytes at several doses were measured in three donors of three species (human, rabbit, dog). Measurements performed after irradiation showed a dose-related increases in MN frequency in each of the donors studied. When analysed by linear-quadratic model the line of best fit was : human : $y=0.1184D+0.01867D^2+0.01$, rabbit : $y=0.0387D+0.00528D^2+0.01$ (y = number of MN/CB cells and D = irradiation dose in Gy). The relative sensitivity of rabbit lymphocytes compared with human lymphocytes was estimated by best fitting linear-quadratic model based on the radiation-induced MN data over the range from 0 Gy to 4 Gy. In the case of MN frequency with 0.2, the relative sensitivities of rabbit lymphocytes was 0.39. These data indicate that the induction of MN in rabbit CB cells following irradiation was much less sensitive to the MN induction effects of gamma-irradiation than those from human. The MN assay with dog lymphocytes was very difficult and time-consumed because the dog PHA-stimulated lymphocytes yielded cultures with very low level of CB cells formation in the condition of this experiment. Our in vitro radiobiological study confirmed that the cytogenetic response obtained in blood from rabbit can be utilized for application in environmental studies.

A Study on Characteristics and Predictions of Seasonal Chlorophyll-a using Bayseian Regression in Paldang Watershed (베이지안 추정을 이용한 팔당호 유역의 계절별 클로로필a 예측 및 오염특성 연구)

  • Kim, Mi-Ah;Shin, Yuna;Kim, Kyunghyun;Heo, Tae-Young;Yoo, Moonkyu;Lee, Su-Woong
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.832-841
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    • 2013
  • In recent years, eutrophication in the Paldang Lake has become one of the major environmental problems in Korea as it may threaten drinking water safety and human health. Thus it is important to understand the phenomena and predict the time and magnitude of algal blooms for applying adequate algal reduction measures. This study performed seasonal water quality assessment and chlorophyll-a prediction using Bayseian simple/multiple linear regression analysis. Bayseian regression analysis could be a useful tool to overcome limitations of conventional regression analysis. Also it can consider uncertainty in prediction by using posterior distribution. Generally, chlorophyll-a of a P2(Paldang Dam 2) site showed high concentration in spring and it was similar to that of P4(Paldang Dam 4) site. For the development of Bayseian model, we performed seasonal correlation. As a result, chlorophyll-a of a P2 site had a high correlation with P5(Paldang Dam 5) site in spring (r = 0.786, p<0.05) and with P4 in winter (r = 0.843, p<0.05). Based on the DIC (Deviance Information Criterion) value, critical explanatory variables of the best fitting Bayesian linear regression model were selected as a $PO_4-P$ (P2), Chlorophyll-a (P5) in spring, $NH_3-N$ (P2), Chlorophyll-a (P4), $NH_3-N$ (P4) in summer, DTP (P2), outflow (P2), TP (P3), TP (P4) fall, COD (P2), Chl-a (P4) and COD (P4) in winter. The results of chlorophyll-a prediction showed relatively high $R^2$ and low RMSE values in summer and winter.

Effects of temperature on pharmacokinetics of oxolinic acid in black rockfish, Sebastes schlegeli following oral administration (조피볼락, Sebastes schlegeli에 경구투여된 oxolinic acid의 약물동태에 미치는 수온의 영향)

  • Jung, Sung-Hee;Kim, Jin-Woo;Seo, Jung-Soo;Jee, Bo-Young;Park, Myoung-Ae
    • Journal of fish pathology
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.221-227
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    • 2010
  • Effects of temperature ($13{\pm}1.5^{\circ}C$, $23{\pm}1.5^{\circ}C$) on the pharmacokinetic properties of oxolinic acid (OA) were studied after oral administration to cultured black rockfish, Sebastes schlegeli. Serum concentrations of OA were determined using HPLC-UV detector after a single dosage of 60 mg/kg body weight (average about 500 g). The peak serum concentrations of OA at $23{\pm}1.5^{\circ}C$ and $13{\pm}1.5^{\circ}C$ were $0.60{\mu}/ml$ at 30 h and $2.22{\mu}g/ml$ at 10 h post-dose, respectively. Better absorption of OA was noted at $13{\pm}1.5^{\circ}C$ compared to $23{\pm}1.5^{\circ}C$. The elimination of OA from serum was considerably faster at $23{\pm}1.5^{\circ}C$ than at $13{\pm}1.5^{\circ}C$. Both absorption and elimination of OA were affected significantly by temperature. The kinetic profile of absorption, distribution and elimination of OA in serum was analyzed by fitting to a two compartment model, with WinNonlin program. The AUC, Tmax and Cmax at $23{\pm}1.5^{\circ}C$ were $42.16{\mu}g{\cdot}h/m\ell$, 26.13 h and $0.43{\mu}g/ml$, respectively. The AUC, Tmax and Cmax at $13{\pm}1.5^{\circ}C$ were $131.98{\mu}g{\cdot}h/ml$, 8.81 h and $2.04{\mu}g/ml$, respectively.