• Title/Summary/Keyword: mixture of two Poisson

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The Reanalysis of the Donation Data Using the Zero-Inflated Possion Regression (0이 팽창된 포아송 회귀모형을 이용한 기부회수 자료의 재분석)

  • Kim, In-Young;Park, Tae-Kyu;Kim, Byung-Soo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.819-827
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    • 2009
  • Kim et al. (2006) analyzed the donation data surveyed by Voluneteer 21 in year 2002 at South Korea using a Poisson regression based on the mixture of two Poissons and detected significant variables for affecting the number of donations. However, noting the large deviation between the predicted and the actual frequencies of zero, we developed in this note a Poisson regression model based on a distribution in which zero inflated Poisson was added to the mixture of two Poissons. Thus the population distribution is now a mixture of three Poissons in which one component is concentrated on zero mass. We used the EM algorithm for estimating the regression parameters and detected the same variables with Kim et al's for significantly affecting the response. However, we could estimate the proportion of the fixed zero group to be 0.201, which was the characteristic of this model. We also noted that among two significant variables, the income and the volunteer experience(yes, no), the second variable could be utilized as a strategric variable for promoting the donation.

The Analysis of the Number of Donations Based on a Mixture of Poisson Regression Model (포아송 분포의 혼합모형을 이용한 기부 횟수 자료 분석)

  • Kim In-Young;Park Su-Bum;Kim Byung-Soo;Park Tae-Kyu
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2006
  • The aim of this study is to analyse a survey data on the number of charitable donations using a mixture of two Poisson regression models. The survey was conducted in 2002 by Volunteer 21, an nonprofit organization, based on Koreans, who were older than 20. The mixture of two Poisson distributions is used to model the number of donations based on the empirical distribution of the data. The mixture of two Poisson distributions implies the whole population is subdivided into two groups, one with lesser number of donations and the other with larger number of donations. We fit the mixture of Poisson regression models on the number of donations to identify significant covariates. The expectation-maximization algorithm is employed to estimate the parameters. We computed 95% bootstrap confidence interval based on bias-corrected and accelerated method and used then for selecting significant explanatory variables. As a result, the income variable with four categories and the volunteering variable (1: experience of volunteering, 0: otherwise) turned out to be significant with the positive regression coefficients both in the lesser and the larger donation groups. However, the regression coefficients in the lesser donation group were larger than those in larger donation group.

Reanalysis of 2002 Donation Frequency Data: Corrections and Supplements (2002년 기부횟수 자료의 재분석: 수정 및 보완)

  • Kim, Byung Soo;Lee, Juhyung;Kim, Inyoung;Park, Su-Bum;Park, Tae-Kyu
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.743-753
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    • 2014
  • Kim et al. (2006) and Kim et al. (2009) reported a set of explanatory variables affecting donation frequency when they analyzed nationwide survey data on donations collected in 2002 by Volunteer 21, a nonprofit organization in Korea. The primary purpose of this paper is to correct computational errors found in Kim et al. (2006) and Kim et al. (2009), to rectify major results in the Tables and Figures and to supplement Kim et al. (2009) by providing new results. We add two logistic regressions to the ZIP and a mixture of two Poisson regressions of Kim et al. (2009). Through these two logistic regressions we could detect a set of explanatory variables affecting donation activity (0 or 1) and another set of explanatory variables, in which the volunteer (0, 1) variable is common, discriminating the infrequent donor group from the frequent donor group.

Bayesian Inferences for Software Reliability Models Based on Beta-Mixture Mean Value Functions

  • Nam, Seung-Min;Kim, Ki-Woong;Cho, Sin-Sup;Yeo, In-Kwon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.835-843
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, we investigate a Bayesian inference for software reliability models based on mean value functions which take the form of the mixture of beta distribution functions. The posterior simulation via the Markov chain Monte Carlo approach is used to produce estimates of posterior properties. Its applicability is illustrated with two real data sets. We compute the predictive distribution and the marginal likelihood of various models to compare the performance of them. The model comparison results show that the model based on the beta-mixture performs better than other models.

Weighted zero-inflated Poisson mixed model with an application to Medicaid utilization data

  • Lee, Sang Mee;Karrison, Theodore;Nocon, Robert S.;Huang, Elbert
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.173-184
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    • 2018
  • In medical or public health research, it is common to encounter clustered or longitudinal count data that exhibit excess zeros. For example, health care utilization data often have a multi-modal distribution with excess zeroes as well as a multilevel structure where patients are nested within physicians and hospitals. To analyze this type of data, zero-inflated count models with mixed effects have been developed where a count response variable is assumed to be distributed as a mixture of a Poisson or negative binomial and a distribution with a point mass of zeros that include random effects. However, no study has considered a situation where data are also censored due to the finite nature of the observation period or follow-up. In this paper, we present a weighted version of zero-inflated Poisson model with random effects accounting for variable individual follow-up times. We suggested two different types of weight function. The performance of the proposed model is evaluated and compared to a standard zero-inflated mixed model through simulation studies. This approach is then applied to Medicaid data analysis.

An enhanced incompressible SPH method for simulation of fluid flow interactions with saturated/unsaturated porous media of variable porosity

  • Shimizu, Yuma;Khayyer, Abbas;Gotoh, Hitoshi
    • Ocean Systems Engineering
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.63-86
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    • 2022
  • A refined projection-based purely Lagrangian meshfree method is presented towards reliable numerical analysis of fluid flow interactions with saturated/unsaturated porous media of uniform/spatially-varying porosities. The governing equations are reformulated on the basis of two-phase mixture theory with incorporation of volume fraction. These principal equations of mixture are discretized in the context of Incompressible SPH (Smoothed Particle Hydrodynamics) method. Associated with the consideration of governing equations of mixture, a new term arises in the source term of PPE (Poisson Pressure Equation), resulting in modified source term. The linear and nonlinear force terms are included in momentum equation to represent the resistance from porous media. Volume increase of fluid particles are taken into consideration on account of the presence of porous media, and hence multi-resolution ISPH framework is also incorporated. The stability and accuracy of the proposed method are thoroughly examined by reproducing several numerical examples including the interactions between fluid flow and saturated/unsaturated porous media of uniform/spatially-varying porosities. The method shows continuous pressure field, smooth variations of particle volumes and regular distributions of particles at the interface between fluid and porous media.

Mechanical Properties and Modeling of Amorphous Metallic Fiber-Reinforced Concrete in Compression

  • Dinh, Ngoc-Hieu;Choi, Kyoung-Kyu;Kim, Hee-Seung
    • International Journal of Concrete Structures and Materials
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.221-236
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    • 2016
  • The aim of this paper is to investigate the compressive behavior and characteristics of amorphous metallic fiber-reinforced concrete (AMFRC). Compressive tests were carried out for two primary parameters: fiber volume fractions ($V_f$) of 0, 0.3, 0.6 and 0.8 %; and design compressive strengths of 27, 35, and 50 MPa at the age of 28 days. Test results indicated that the addition of amorphous metallic fibers in concrete mixture enhances the toughness, strain corresponding to peak stress, and Poisson's ratio at high stress level, while the compressive strength at the 28-th day is less affected and the modulus of elasticity is reduced. Based on the experimental results, prediction equations were proposed for the modulus of elasticity and strain at peak stress as functions of fiber volume fraction and concrete compressive strength. In addition, an analytical model representing the entire stress-strain relationship of AMFRC in compression was proposed and validated with test results for each concrete mix. The comparison showed that the proposed modeling approach can properly simulate the entire stress-strain relationship of AMFRC as well as the primary mechanical properties in compression including the modulus of elasticity and strain at peak stress.

Effects on Regression Estimates under Misspecified Generalized Linear Mixed Models for Counts Data

  • Jeong, Kwang Mo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.1037-1047
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    • 2012
  • The generalized linear mixed model(GLMM) is widely used in fitting categorical responses of clustered data. In the numerical approximation of likelihood function the normality is assumed for the random effects distribution; subsequently, the commercial statistical packages also routinely fit GLMM under this normality assumption. We may also encounter departures from the distributional assumption on the response variable. It would be interesting to investigate the impact on the estimates of parameters under misspecification of distributions; however, there has been limited researche on these topics. We study the sensitivity or robustness of the maximum likelihood estimators(MLEs) of GLMM for counts data when the true underlying distribution is normal, gamma, exponential, and a mixture of two normal distributions. We also consider the effects on the MLEs when we fit Poisson-normal GLMM whereas the outcomes are generated from the negative binomial distribution with overdispersion. Through a small scale Monte Carlo study we check the empirical coverage probabilities of parameters and biases of MLEs of GLMM.

Three-dimensional vibration analysis of 3D graphene foam curved panels on elastic foundations

  • Zhao, Li-Cai;Chen, Shi-Shuenn;Khajehzadeh, Mohammad;Yousif, Mariwan Araz;Tahouneh, Vahid
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.43 no.1
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    • pp.91-106
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    • 2022
  • This paper has focused on presenting a three dimensional theory of elasticity for free vibration of 3D-graphene foam reinforced polymer matrix composites (GrF-PMC) cylindrical panels resting on two-parameter elastic foundations. The elastic foundation is considered as a Pasternak model with adding a Shear layer to the Winkler model. The porous graphene foams possessing 3D scaffold structures have been introduced into polymers for enhancing the overall stiffness of the composite structure. Also, 3D graphene foams can distribute uniformly or non-uniformly in the shell thickness direction. The effective Young's modulus, mass density and Poisson's ratio are predicted by the rule of mixture. Three complicated equations of motion for the panel under consideration are semi-analytically solved by using 2-D differential quadrature method. The fast rate of convergence and accuracy of the method are investigated through the different solved examples. Because of using two-dimensional generalized differential quadrature method, the present approach makes possible vibration analysis of cylindrical panels with two opposite axial edges simply supported and arbitrary boundary at the curved edges. It is explicated that 3D-GrF skeleton type and weight fraction can significantly affect the vibrational characteristics of GrF-PMC panel resting on two-parameter elastic foundations.

Dynamic stability analysis of a rotary GPLRC disk surrounded by viscoelastic foundation

  • Liang, Xiujuan;Ji, Haixu
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.267-280
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    • 2021
  • The research presented in this paper deals with dynamic stability analysis of the graphene nanoplatelets (GPLs) reinforced composite spinning disk. The presented small-scaled structure is simulated as a disk covered by viscoelastic substrate which is two-parametric. The centrifugal and Coriolis impacts due to the spinning are taken into account. The stresses and strains would be obtained using the first-order-shear-deformable-theory (FSDT). For Poisson ratio, as well as various amounts of mass densities, the mixture rule is employed, while a modified Halpin-Tsai model is inserted for achieving the elasticity module. The structure's boundary conditions (BCs) are obtained employing GPLs reinforced composite (GPLRC) spinning disk's governing equations applying principle of Hamilton which is based on minimum energy and ultimately have been solved employing numerical approach called generalized-differential quadrature-method (GDQM). Spinning disk's dynamic properties with different boundary conditions (BCs) are explained due to the curves drawn by Matlab software. Also, the simply-supported boundary conditions is applied to edges 𝜃=𝜋/2, and 𝜃=3𝜋/2, while, cantilever, respectively, is analyzed in R=Ri, and R0. The final results reveal that the GPLs' weight fraction, viscoelastic substrate, various GPLs' pattern, and rotational velocity have a dramatic influence on the amplitude, and vibration behavior of a GPLRC rotating cantilevered disk. As an applicable result in related industries, the spinning velocity impact on the frequency is more effective in the higher radius ratio's amounts.