• 제목/요약/키워드: median prediction

검색결과 117건 처리시간 0.026초

보건 관련 공익광고에서 정교화가능성과 해석수준이 광고태도에 미치는 영향 (Public Service Good Health Advertising: Effects of Elaboration Likelihood and Construal Level on Consumer Attitudes)

  • 박종철;김경진
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제12권6호
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    • pp.67-79
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    • 2014
  • Purpose - This study aims to accomplish three major research goals. First, it strives to change consumers' focus from peripheral routes to a central route of public service advertising related to the good health policy, without problematic effects, by influencing consumers' knowledge or involvement. Second, this study examines the elaboration likelihood model (ELM) and construal level theory (CLT). Specifically, we consider that the central route of ELM might correspond with the focal goal of CLT. Third, this study analyzes ELM through CLT. That is, ELM predicted that low involvement would take the peripheral route, and high involvement would take the central route. Research design, data, and methodology - This study consisted of three experiments. The first experiment had a 2×2 between-subject design. The subjects were university students and the research period was approximately one year. The first independent variable was the involvement of the overweight issue; this variable was measured and split by the median. The second independent variable was the temporal distance (near vs. distant future); this variable was manipulated. The second experiment also had a 2×2 between-subject design. The first variable was the involvement of cervical adenocarcinoma prevention, and was considered already manipulated by sex. Specifically, males had a low involvement of the disease, but females had high involvement. The second independent variable was priming (power vs. submissive). Power priming would induce abstract thinking, but submissive priming would take concrete processing. The third experiment had a 2×2×2 between-subject design. The first variable was cognitive depletion, and was manipulated by memorizing 9-digit numbers. The second and third independent variables were involvement and abstract thinking induction, such as prior experiments. Data were collected through questionnaires, and were analyzed by an SPSS program. Major hypotheses were tested by examining the interaction effects through ANOVA. Results - Major findings are as follows. First, even for low-involved consumers in the overweight category, distant future manipulation induced them to focus not on the peripheral route but on the central route of the public service advertisement. This result does not correspond to the typical ELM prediction. Second, under power priming, low-involved males of the cervical adenocarcinoma category focused on the peripheral route because of the induction to abstract thinking. This result replicated the first experiment, and confirmed the theoretical robustness. Third, high-involved females focused not on the central but on the peripheral route under the mixed condition of cognitive depletion and near future manipulation. Depletion consumed cognitive resources, and the processing mode of consumers changed from systematic to heuristic. Conclusions - ELM needs to be complemented through CLT in context of public service good health advertising. Specifically, the involvement of ELM may impact consumers' thinking mode (abstract vs. concrete), and the interaction effects may influence consumers' focus on advertising (central vs. peripheral route). This study's limitations were bounded subjects, limited stimuli, and somewhat weak external validity.

도로안전시설의 사고감소효과 메타분석 : 신호교차로를 대상으로 (A Meta Analysis of the Effects of Road Safety Facilities on Accident Reduction: Focusing on Signalized Intersection)

  • 최지혜;임준범;이수범
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제34권4호
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    • pp.291-303
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    • 2016
  • 교차로에서 발생한 교통사고건수는 최근 10년간 지속적으로 증가하였고, 2014년 전체 교통사고의 44%를 차지하면서 교차로는 교통안전에 취약한 도로형태로 주목되고 있다. 특히 선정된 사고다발지점 대다수가 신호교차로를 포함하고 있어, 신호교차로의 안전개선 노력이 우선적으로 필요한 실정이다. 이에 정부는 주로 도로안전시설 개선사업을 시행하여 주어진 예산 내에서 단기간에 높은 효과를 얻을 수 있는 안전개선사업을 수행하고자 한다. 이를 위하여 도로안전시설의 사고감소효과를 확인하는 연구가 지속적으로 등장하고 있으나 독립적으로 수행된 연구별 특성은 종합하기 어렵고, 각 연구결과가 대표성을 갖는데 한계가 있기 때문에 여전히 한정된 예산과 불확실한 도로안전시설 설치효과로 인해 선뜻 안전개선사업을 진행하지 못하고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 메타분석을 통해 기존의 신호교차로 교통사고발생에 영향을 미치는 변인을 활용한 여러 사고예측연구 결과를 종합적으로 검토하고, 각 변인이 대표할 수 있는 개선효과를 도출하고자 하였다. 본 연구에서는 신호교차로 전체 사고건수를 종속변수로 하는 연구 중 19건의 논문을 선정하고 8개 변인에 대한 34개의 개별효과크기(effect size)를 산출하였다. 메타분석 결과, 도로안전시설 설치와 신호교차로 교통사고의 관계는 좌회전 전용차로를 제외하고는 모두 통계적으로 유의하게 감소한 사고영향을 나타내어, 도로안전시설이 사고감소에 영향을 준다는 통계적인 결과자료를 도출하였다. 그 중 도류화설치의 효과크기가 가장 높았으며, 좌회전차로 가속구간, 조명시설, 횡단보도, 우회전 전용차로, 중앙분리대 순으로 효과가 높은 것으로 나타났다.

A plasma circulating miRNAs profile predicts type 2 diabetes mellitus and prediabetes: from the CORDIOPREV study

  • Jimenez-Lucena, Rosa;Camargo, Antonio;Alcala-Diaz, Juan Francisco;Romero-Baldonado, Cristina;Luque, Raul Miguel;van Ommen, Ben;Delgado-Lista, Javier;Ordovas, Jose Maria;Perez-Martinez, Pablo;Rangel-Zuniga, Oriol Alberto;Lopez-Miranda, Jose
    • Experimental and Molecular Medicine
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    • 제50권12호
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    • pp.13.1-13.12
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    • 2018
  • We aimed to explore whether changes in circulating levels of miRNAs according to type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) or prediabetes status could be used as biomarkers to evaluate the risk of developing the disease. The study included 462 patients without T2DM at baseline from the CORDIOPREV trial. After a median follow-up of 60 months, 107 of the subjects developed T2DM, 30 developed prediabetes, 223 maintained prediabetes and 78 remained disease-free. Plasma levels of four miRNAs related to insulin signaling and beta-cell function were measured by RT-PCR. We analyzed the relationship between miRNAs levels and insulin signaling and release indexes at baseline and after the follow-up period. The risk of developing disease based on tertiles (T1-T2-T3) of baseline miRNAs levels was evaluated by COX analysis. Thus, we observed higher miR-150 and miR-30a-5p and lower miR-15a and miR-375 baseline levels in subjects with T2DM than in disease-free subjects. Patients with high miR-150 and miR-30a-5p baseline levels had lower disposition index (p = 0.047 and p = 0.007, respectively). The higher risk of disease was associated with high levels (T3) of miR-150 and miR-30a-5p ($HR_{T3-T1}=4.218$ and $HR_{T3-T1}=2.527$, respectively) and low levels (T1) of miR-15a and miR-375 ($HR_{T1-T3}=3.269$ and $HR_{T1-T3}=1.604$, respectively). In conclusion, our study showed that deregulated plasma levels of miR-150, miR-30a-5p, miR-15a, and miR-375 were observed years before the onset of T2DM and pre-DM and could be used to evaluate the risk of developing the disease, which may improve prediction and prevention among individuals at high risk for T2DM.

Prognostic impact of chromogranin A in patients with acute heart failure

  • Kim, Hong Nyun;Yang, Dong Heon;Park, Bo Eun;Park, Yoon Jung;Kim, Hyeon Jeong;Jang, Se Yong;Bae, Myung Hwan;Lee, Jang Hoon;Park, Hun Sik;Cho, Yongkeun;Chae, Shung Chull
    • Journal of Yeungnam Medical Science
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    • 제38권4호
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    • pp.337-343
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    • 2021
  • Background: Chromogranin A (CgA) levels have been reported to predict mortality in patients with heart failure. However, information on the prognostic value and clinical availability of CgA is limited. We compared the prognostic value of CgA to that of previously proven natriuretic peptide biomarkers in patients with acute heart failure. Methods: We retrospectively evaluated 272 patients (mean age, 68.5±15.6 years; 62.9% male) who underwent CgA test in the acute stage of heart failure hospitalization between June 2017 and June 2018. The median follow-up period was 348 days. Prognosis was assessed using the composite events of 1-year death and heart failure hospitalization. Results: In-hospital mortality rate during index admission was 7.0% (n=19). During the 1-year follow-up, a composite event rate was observed in 12.1% (n=33) of the patients. The areas under the receiver-operating characteristic curves for predicting 1-year adverse events were 0.737 and 0.697 for N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and CgA, respectively. During follow-up, patients with high CgA levels (>158 pmol/L) had worse outcomes than those with low CgA levels (≤158 pmol/L) (85.2% vs. 58.6%, p<0.001). When stratifying the patients into four subgroups based on CgA and NT-proBNP levels, patients with high NT-proBNP and high CgA had the worst outcome. CgA had an incremental prognostic value when added to the combination of NT-proBNP and clinically relevant risk factors. Conclusion: The prognostic power of CgA was comparable to that of NT-proBNP in patients with acute heart failure. The combination of CgA and NT-proBNP can improve prognosis prediction in these patients.

낙동강 중하류에서 이산화탄소 순배출 플럭스 산정 및 영향인자 분석 (Estimation of CO2 Net Atmospheric Flux in the Middle and Lower Nakdong River, and Influence Factors Analysis)

  • 이은주;정세웅;박형석;김성진;박대연
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제35권4호
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    • pp.316-331
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    • 2019
  • Carbon dioxide($CO_2$) emission from rivers to the atmosphere is a key component in the global carbon cycle. Most of the rivers are supersaturated with $CO_2$. At a global scale, the amount of $CO_2$ emission from rivers is reported to be five-fold greater than that from lakes and reservoirs, but relevant data are rare in Korea. The objectives of this study is to estimate the $CO_2$ net atmospheric flux(NAF) from the upstream of Gangjeong-Goryeong Weir(GGW), Dalseong Weir(DSW), Hapcheon-Changnyeong Weir(HCW), and Changnyeong-Haman Weir(CHW) located in Nakdong River South Korea) using field and laboratory experiments and to apply data mining techniques to develop parsimonious prediction models that can be used to estimate $CO_2$ NAF with physical and water quality variables that can be collected easily. As a result, the study sites were all heterotrophic systems that often released $CO_2$ to the atmosphere, except when the algal photosynthesis was active.The median $CO_2$ NAF was minimum $391.5mg-CO_2/m^2$ day at GGW and maximum $1472.7mg-CO_2/m^2$ day at DSW. The $CO_2$ NAF showed a negative correlation with pH and Chl-a since the overgrowth of the algae consumed $CO_2$ in the water and increased the pH. As the parsimonious multiple regression model and random forest model developed, this study showed an excellent performance with the $Adj.R^2$ value higher than 0.77 in all weirs. Thus, these methods can be used to estimate $CO_2$ NAF in the river even if there is no $pCO_2$ measurement data.

Imaging Predictors of Survival in Patients with Single Small Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treated with Transarterial Chemoembolization

  • Chan Park;Jin Hyoung Kim;Pyeong Hwa Kim;So Yeon Kim;Dong Il Gwon;Hee Ho Chu;Minho Park;Joonho Hur;Jin Young Kim;Dong Joon Kim
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.213-224
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    • 2021
  • Objective: Clinical outcomes of patients who undergo transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) for single small hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are not consistent, and may differ based on certain imaging findings. This retrospective study was aimed at determining the efficacy of pre-TACE CT or MR imaging findings in predicting survival outcomes in patients with small HCC upon being treated with TACE. Besides, the study proposed to build a risk prediction model for these patients. Materials and Methods: Altogether, 750 patients with functionally good hepatic reserve who received TACE as the first-line treatment for single small HCC between 2004 and 2014 were included in the study. These patients were randomly assigned into training (n = 525) and validation (n = 225) sets. Results: According to the results of a multivariable Cox analysis, three pre-TACE imaging findings (tumor margin, tumor location, enhancement pattern) and two clinical factors (age, serum albumin level) were selected and scored to create predictive models for overall, local tumor progression (LTP)-free, and progression-free survival in the training set. The median overall survival time in the validation set were 137.5 months, 76.1 months, and 44.0 months for low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups, respectively (p < 0.001). Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves of the predictive models for overall, LTP-free, and progression-free survival applied to the validation cohort showed acceptable areas under the curve values (0.734, 0.802, and 0.775 for overall survival; 0.738, 0.789, and 0.791 for LTP-free survival; and 0.671, 0.733, and 0.694 for progression-free survival at 3, 5, and 10 years, respectively). Conclusion: Pre-TACE CT or MR imaging findings could predict survival outcomes in patients with small HCC upon treatment with TACE. Our predictive models including three imaging predictors could be helpful in prognostication, identification, and selection of suitable candidates for TACE in patients with single small HCC.

Prediction of Decompensation and Death in Advanced Chronic Liver Disease Using Deep Learning Analysis of Gadoxetic Acid-Enhanced MRI

  • Subin Heo;Seung Soo Lee;So Yeon Kim;Young-Suk Lim;Hyo Jung Park;Jee Seok Yoon;Heung-Il Suk;Yu Sub Sung;Bumwoo Park;Ji Sung Lee
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • 제23권12호
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    • pp.1269-1280
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    • 2022
  • Objective: This study aimed to evaluate the usefulness of quantitative indices obtained from deep learning analysis of gadoxetic acid-enhanced hepatobiliary phase (HBP) MRI and their longitudinal changes in predicting decompensation and death in patients with advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD). Materials and Methods: We included patients who underwent baseline and 1-year follow-up MRI from a prospective cohort that underwent gadoxetic acid-enhanced MRI for hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance between November 2011 and August 2012 at a tertiary medical center. Baseline liver condition was categorized as non-ACLD, compensated ACLD, and decompensated ACLD. The liver-to-spleen signal intensity ratio (LS-SIR) and liver-to-spleen volume ratio (LS-VR) were automatically measured on the HBP images using a deep learning algorithm, and their percentage changes at the 1-year follow-up (ΔLS-SIR and ΔLS-VR) were calculated. The associations of the MRI indices with hepatic decompensation and a composite endpoint of liver-related death or transplantation were evaluated using a competing risk analysis with multivariable Fine and Gray regression models, including baseline parameters alone and both baseline and follow-up parameters. Results: Our study included 280 patients (153 male; mean age ± standard deviation, 57 ± 7.95 years) with non-ACLD, compensated ACLD, and decompensated ACLD in 32, 186, and 62 patients, respectively. Patients were followed for 11-117 months (median, 104 months). In patients with compensated ACLD, baseline LS-SIR (sub-distribution hazard ratio [sHR], 0.81; p = 0.034) and LS-VR (sHR, 0.71; p = 0.01) were independently associated with hepatic decompensation. The ΔLS-VR (sHR, 0.54; p = 0.002) was predictive of hepatic decompensation after adjusting for baseline variables. ΔLS-VR was an independent predictor of liver-related death or transplantation in patients with compensated ACLD (sHR, 0.46; p = 0.026) and decompensated ACLD (sHR, 0.61; p = 0.023). Conclusion: MRI indices automatically derived from the deep learning analysis of gadoxetic acid-enhanced HBP MRI can be used as prognostic markers in patients with ACLD.

Three-Dimensional Myocardial Strain for the Prediction of Clinical Events in Patients With ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction

  • Wonsuk Choi;Chi-Hoon Kim;In-Chang Hwang;Chang-Hwan Yoon;Hong-Mi Choi;Yeonyee E Yoon;In-Ho Chae;Goo-Yeong Cho
    • Journal of Cardiovascular Imaging
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    • 제30권3호
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    • pp.185-196
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    • 2022
  • BACKGROUND: Two-dimensional (2D) strain provides more predictive power than ejection fraction (EF) in patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). 3D strain and EF are also expected to have better clinical usefulness and overcome several inherent limitations of 2D strain. We aimed to clarify the prognostic significance of 3D strain analysis in patients with STEMI. METHODS: Patients who underwent successful revascularization for STEMI were retrospectively recruited. In addition to conventional parameters, 3D EF, global longitudinal strain (GLS), global area strain (GAS), as well as 2D GLS were obtained. We constructed a composite outcome consisting of all-cause death or re-hospitalization for acute heart failure or ventricular arrhythmia. RESULTS: Of 632 STEMI patients, 545 patients (86.2%) had a reliable 3D strain analysis. During median follow-up of 49.5 months, 55 (10.1%) patients experienced the adverse outcome. Left ventricle EF, 2D GLS, 3D EF, 3D GLS, and 3D GAS were significantly associated with poor outcomes. (all, p < 0.001) The maximum likelihood-ratio test was performed to evaluate the additional prognostic value of 2D GLS or 3D GLS over the prognostic model consisting of clinical characteristics and EF, and the likelihood ratio was 15.9 for 2D GLS (p < 0.001) and 1.49 for 3D GLS (p = 0.22). CONCLUSIONS: The predictive power of 3D strain was slightly lower than the 2D strain. Although we can obtain 3D strains, volume, and EF simultaneously in same cycle, the clinical implications of 3D strains in STEMI need to be investigated further.

폐암절제술후 발생하는 사망 및 합병증의 예측인자 평가에 관한 전향적 연구 (Prospective Study on Preoperative Evaluation for the Prediction of Mortality and Morbidity after Lung Cancer Resection)

  • 박정웅;서지영;김호철;천은미;정만표;김호중;권오정;김관민;김진국;심영목;이종헌;한용철
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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    • 제45권1호
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    • pp.57-67
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    • 1998
  • 연구목적: 폐암은 근치적 폐절제술이 가장 효과적인 치료법이지만 폐암 환자들은 흔히 고령이면서 흡연으로 인한 폐기능저하가 동반된 경우가 많고 정상 폐조직을 광범위하게 절제하게 되므로 다른 수술보다 수술 후 사망율 및 폐합병증이 더욱 문제시 되고 있다. 이에 저자들은 폐암환자의 폐절제술 후 사망 및 합병증과 관련된 수술전 인자를 알아보고자 본 연구를 시행하였다. 방 법: 1995년 10월부터 1996년 8월까지 삼성서울병원에서 폐절제술을 시행받는 환자를 대상으로 전향적 연구를 시행하였고 수술후 최종진단이 폐암이 아니거나 폐절제가 시행되지 않았던 환자는 최종대상에서 제외하였다. 수술전에 대상환자의 성별, 연령, 체중감소의 정도, 동반질환, 폐쇄성폐렴여부를 조사하였고, 헤마토크릿, 혈청알부민, 심전도, 안정시동맥혈가스, $FEV_1$, DLco를 비롯한 폐활량검사, 운동부하 폐기능 검사를 시행하였으며 폐관류주사률 이용하여 수술후 폐기능예측지표를 산출하였다. 수술시 집도의, 폐절제범위, 수술시간, 수술후 병기, 수술후 중환자실 체류 시간을 기록하였고 사망 및 합병증은 수술후 30 일내의 사망, 폐렴이나 호흡부전 등과 같은 폐합병증, 48시간 이상의 중환자실 입원, 심장계합병증, 농흉, 출혈, 반회후두신경손상 등 기타 합병증으로 분류하여 수술후 발생여부를 확인하였다. 결 과: 최종 대상환자는 92명이었고 연령은 42~82세로 중앙값은 62세였으며 $FEV_1$$2.37{\pm}0.06L$으로 2.0L 이하인 환자는 29명이었다. 수술은 54예가 엽절제술, 12예가 이엽절제술, 26예가 전폐절제술을 시행받았다. 수술후 사망이 3예에서 있었고 폐합병증이 10예, 48시간이상의 중환자실 입원이 16예, 심장 합병증이 9예, 기타 합병증이 11예에서 각각 발생하였으며 사망과 관련된 수술전 인자로는 연령, 혈청알부민, DLco, ppo-DLco, postoperative predicted product(PPP), Wmax, $VO_2$max, ppo-$VO_2$max이었고(p<0.05), ppo-$VO_2$max가 10ml/kg/min이하인 환자 3명은 모두 사망한 반면 10ml/kg/min아상인 환자에서는 사망이 없었다(p<0.01). 수술후 폐합병증은 수술전 체중감소, 체적인자, 흡연량, 호흡곤란의 정도, 혈청알부민, FVC, $FEV_1$, MVV, DLco, ppo-$FEV_1$, ppo-DLco, PPP, Wmax, $VO_2$max, ppo-$VO_2$max, 폐절제술 범위와 밀접한 관련이 있었다 (p<0.05). 그러나 다변량분석에 의해 사망과 관련하여 유의한 지표는 체중감소정도이며 (p<0.05), 폐합병증과 관련하여 유의한 지표는 체중감소정도, 호흡곤란지수, 혈청알부민, ppo-DLco, 폐절제범위정도이었다 (p<0.05). 결 론: 폐암환자의 수술후 사망 및 폐합병증과 관련하여 유용한 예견지표는 체중감소정도, 호흡곤란정도, 폐절제범위 등 폐기능검사와 관련되지 않은 지표들이 중요한 예견지표였으나 운동부하폐기능검사지표들은 수술후 사망 및 합병증을 예측하는데 유용한 정보를 제공할 것으로 생각되며, 특히 ppo-$VO_2$max가 10ml/kg/mm이하인 환자는 수술후 사망율이 높을 것으로 추정된다.

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원발성 비소세포 폐암에서 PCNA의 발현정도와 암세포의 분열능 및 생존률과의 관계 (Correlation of Proliferating Cell Nuclear Antigen (PCNA) Expression and S-phase Fraction, Survival Rate in Primary Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer)

  • 양세훈;김학렬;구기선;정병학;정은택
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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    • 제44권4호
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    • pp.756-765
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    • 1997
  • 연구배경 : 종양세포 성장의 역동학적 성상은, 종양의 분열능을 직접적으로 반영하므로 종양의 예후 예견에 임상적 의의가 있다. PCNA는 DNA 합성에 관여하는 36KD의 핵단백질로서, 종양 조직에서 면역조직화학적 방법으로, 그 발현 정도를 계측하여 종양세포 증식정도의 반영으로서 이용하고 있다. 이에 저자들은 폐암의 조직에서 면역조직화화적 방법으로 PCNA의 세포의 분열능을 반영하는 다른 분자생물학적 인자 즉 S-주기비율과의 관계를 확인하고, PCNA의 발현정도에 따른 폐암환자들의 생존률을 검색하였다. 방 법 : 대상군은 원발성 비소세포 폐암으로 확진 받고, 외과적 절제술 후 파라핀에 보관된 57례의 폐암 조직을 사용하여 면역조직화학 염색법으로 PCNA의 암세포형, TNM 병기, 세포 분화도, S-주기 비율과 생존률과의 관계를 분석하였다. 결 과 : 본 병원에서 외과적 절제술을 시행한 57례중 남녀비는 43 : 14였고, 평균연령은 60세였다. PCNA의 발현 정도는 25%를 기준으로 하여 +, ++, +++, ++++로 구분하였다. PCNA의 발현은 편평상피암에서 선암보다 강하게 발현되었으며, TNM 병기에 따른 PCNA 발현의 차이는 없었다. 세포의 분화도에 따라서 미분화일수록 PCNA의 발현 정도는 높았으나, 유의한 차이는 없었다. S-주기 비율은 -17.9%, +18.3(${\pm}9.7$)%, ++18.6(${\pm}11.1$)%, +++19.6(${\pm}9.0$)%, ++++24.7(${\pm}8.2$)% 였으나 서로간의 유의성있는 차이는 없었다. PCNA의 발현 정도에 따른 2년 생존률과 중간 생존기간은 -50% 13.0개월, +75% 41.3개월, ++73% 33.6개월, +++67% 29.0개월, ++++25% 9개월로서 서로간에 유의한 차이를 보여주고 있다(P<0.05, Kaplan-Meier법, generalized Wilcox). 결 론 : 비소세포 폐암에서 PCNA의 발현정도는 편평상피암에서 선암보다 높았고, TNM 병기와 세포분화도에 따른 차이는 없었다. PCNA 발현정도에 따라 S-주기 비율은 증가한 듯하나 유의성은 없었다. PCNA 발현이 높을수록 2년 생존률과 중간 생존기간은 유의하게 불량하였다. 즉 결과적으로 PCNA 염색법은 비소세포폐암의 예후인자로서의 이용이 가능하리라 생각된다.

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