• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.26 no.5
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• pp.131-141
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• 2008

The objective of this study is to propose methods for determining optimal representative value and the optimal size of historical data for reliable travel time forecasting. We selected values with the smallest mean of forecasting errors as the optimal representative value of travel time pattern data. The optimal size of historical data used was determined using the CVMSE(Cross Validated Mean Square Error) method. According to the results of applying the methods to point vehicle detection data of Korea Highway Corporation, the optimal representative value were analyzed to be median. Second, it was analyzed that 60 days' data is the optimal size of historical data usedfor travel time forecasting.

• Journal of radiological science and technology
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• v.46 no.2
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• pp.131-139
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• 2023

High-dose I-131 used for the treatment of thyroid cancer causes localized exposure among radiology technologists handling it. There is a delay between the calibration date and when the dose of I-131 is administered to a patient. Therefore, it is necessary to directly measure the radioactivity of the administered dose using a dose calibrator. In this study, we attempted to apply machine learning modeling to measured external dose rates from shielded I-131 in order to predict their radioactivity. External dose rates were measured at 1 m, 0.3 m, and 0.1 m distances from a shielded container with the I-131, with a total of 868 sets of measurements taken. For the modeling process, we utilized the hold-out method to partition the data with a 7:3 ratio (609 for the training set:259 for the test set). For the machine learning algorithms, we chose linear regression, decision tree, random forest and XGBoost. To evaluate the models, we calculated root mean square error (RMSE), mean square error (MSE), and mean absolute error (MAE) to evaluate accuracy and R² to evaluate explanatory power. Evaluation results are as follows. Linear regression (RMSE 268.15, MSE 71901.87, MAE 231.68, R² 0.92), decision tree (RMSE 108.89, MSE 11856.92, MAE 19.24, R² 0.99), random forest (RMSE 8.89, MSE 79.10, MAE 6.55, R² 0.99), XGBoost (RMSE 10.21, MSE 104.22, MAE 7.68, R² 0.99). The random forest model achieved the highest predictive ability. Improving the model's performance in the future is expected to contribute to lowering exposure among radiology technologists.

• Journal of Korean Association for Spatial Structures
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• v.24 no.3
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• pp.43-51
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• 2024

Dynamic responses of nuclear power plant structure subjected to earthquake loads should be carefully investigated for safety. Because nuclear power plant structure are usually constructed by material of reinforced concrete, the aging deterioration of R.C. have no small effect on structural behavior of nuclear power plant structure. Therefore, aging deterioration of R.C. nuclear power plant structure should be considered for exact prediction of seismic responses of the structure. In this study, a machine learning model for seismic response prediction of nuclear power plant structure was developed by considering aging deterioration. The OPR-1000 was selected as an example structure for numerical simulation. The OPR-1000 was originally designated as the Korean Standard Nuclear Power Plant (KSNP), and was re-designated as the OPR-1000 in 2005 for foreign sales. 500 artificial ground motions were generated based on site characteristics of Korea. Elastic modulus, damping ratio, poisson's ratio and density were selected to consider material property variation due to aging deterioration. Six machine learning algorithms such as, Decision Tree (DT), Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN), Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), were used t o construct seispic response prediction model. 13 intensity measures and 4 material properties were used input parameters of the training database. Performance evaluation was performed using metrics like root mean square error, mean square error, mean absolute error, and coefficient of determination. The optimization of hyperparameters was achieved through k-fold cross-validation and grid search techniques. The analysis results show that neural networks present good prediction performance considering aging deterioration.

• Journal of Information Processing Systems
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• v.13 no.4
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• pp.1029-1042
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• 2017

A joint channel estimation and data detection technique for a multiple input multiple output (MIMO) wireless communication system is proposed. It combines the least square (LS) training based channel estimation (TBCE) scheme with sphere decoding. In this new approach, channel estimation is enhanced with the help of blind symbols, which are selected based on their correctness. The correctness is determined via sphere decoding. The performance of the new scheme is studied through simulation in terms of the bit error rate (BER). The results show that the proposed channel estimation has comparable performance and better computational complexity over the existing semi-blind channel estimation (SBCE) method.

• Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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• v.22 no.3
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• pp.242-248
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• 2024

This paper introduces an improved fuzzy association memory (IFAM), an advanced FAM method based on the T-conorm probability operator. Specifically, the T-conorm probability operator fuzzifies the input data and performs fuzzy logic operations, effectively handling ambiguity and uncertainty during image restoration, which enhances the accuracy and effectiveness of the restoration results. Experimental results validate the performance of IFAM by comparing it with existing fuzzy association memory techniques. The root mean square error shows that the restoration rate of IFAM reached 80%, compared to only 40% for the traditional fuzzy association memory technique.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.30 no.5
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• pp.733-745
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• 2017

Local composite quantile regression is a useful non-parametric regression method widely used for its high efficiency. Data smoothing methods using kernel are typically used in the estimation process with performances that rely largely on the smoothing parameter rather than the kernel. However, $L_2$-norm is generally used as criterion to estimate the performance of the regression function. In addition, many studies have been conducted on the selection of smoothing parameters that minimize mean square error (MSE) or mean integrated square error (MISE). In this paper, we explored the optimality of selecting smoothing parameters that determine the performance of non-parametric regression models using local linear composite quantile regression. As evaluation criteria for the choice of smoothing parameter, we used mean absolute error (MAE) and mean integrated absolute error (MIAE), which have not been researched extensively due to mathematical difficulties. We proved the uniqueness of the optimal smoothing parameter based on MAE and MIAE. Furthermore, we compared the optimal smoothing parameter based on the proposed criteria (MAE and MIAE) with existing criteria (MSE and MISE). In this process, the properties of the proposed method were investigated through simulation studies in various situations.

• Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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• v.62 no.1
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• pp.61-70
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• 2020

To estimate the ventilation volume of mechanically ventilated swine farms, various regression models were applied, and errors were compared to select the regression model that can best simulate actual data. Linear regression, linear spline, polynomial regression (degrees 2 and 3), logistic curve, generalized additive model (GAM), and gompertz curve were compared. Overfitting models were excluded even when the error rate was small. The evaluation criteria were root mean square error (RMSE) and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE). The evaluation results indicated that degree 3 exhibited the lowest error rate; however, an overestimation contradiction was observed in a certain section. The logistic curve was the most stable and superior to all the models. In the estimation of ventilation volume by all of the models, the estimated ventilation volume of the logistic curve was the smallest except for the model with a large error rate and the overestimated model.

• Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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• v.19 no.5
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• pp.595-610
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• 2003

The statistical indexes such as RMSE (Root Mean Square Error), Mean Bias error, and IOA (Index of agreement) are used to evaluate 3 Dimensional wind and temperature fields predicted by operational meteorological model RAMS (Regional Atmospheric Meteorological System) implemented in CARIS (Chemical Accident Response Information System) for the dispersion forecast of hazardous chemicals in case of the chemical accidents in Korea. The operational atmospheric model, RAMS in CARIS are designed to use GDAPS, GTS, and AWS meteorological data obtained from KMA (Korean Meteorological Administration) for the generation of 3-dimensional initial meteorological fields. The predicted meteorological variables such as wind speed, wind direction, temperature, and precipitation amount, during 19 ∼ 23, August 2002, are extracted at the nearest grid point to the meteorological monitoring sites, and validated against the observations located over the Korean peninsula. The results show that Mean bias and Root Mean Square Error are 0.9 (m/s), 1.85 (m/s) for wind speed at 10 m above the ground, respectively, and 1.45 ($^{\circ}C$), 2.82 ($^{\circ}C$) for surface temperature. Of particular interest is the distribution of forecasting error predicted by RAMS with respect to the altitude; relatively smaller error is found in the near-surface atmosphere for wind and temperature fields, while it grows larger as the altitude increases. Overall, some of the overpredictions in comparisons with the observations are detected for wind and temperature fields, whereas relatively small errors are found in the near-surface atmosphere. This discrepancies are partly attributed to the oversimplified spacing of soil, soil contents and initial temperature fields, suggesting some improvement could probably be gained if the sub-grid scale nature of moisture and temperature fields was taken into account. However, IOA values for the wind field (0.62) as well as temperature field (0.78) is greater than the 'good' value criteria (> 0.5) implied by other studies. The good value of IOA along with relatively small wind field error in the near surface atmosphere implies that, on the basis of current meteorological data for initial fields, RAMS has good potentials to be used as a operational meteorological model in predicting the urban or local scale 3-dimensional wind fields for the dispersion forecast in association with hazardous chemical releases in Korea.

• The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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• v.17 no.4
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• pp.236-244
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• 2024

A representative problem in domestic chestnut industry is the high loss of flesh due to excessive knife peeling in order to increase the peeling rate, resulting in a decrease in production efficiency. In this study, a prediction model for weight loss rate of chestnut by stage of knife peeling process was developed as undergarment study to optimize conditions of the machine. 51 control conditions of the two-stage blade peeler used in the experiment were derived and repeated three times to obtain a total of 153 data. Machine learning(ML) models including artificial neural network (ANN) and random forest (RF) were implemented to predict the weight loss rate by chestnut peel stage (after 1st peeling, 2nd peeling, and after final discharge). The performance of the models were evaluated by calculating the values of coefficient of determination (R), normalized root mean square error (nRMSE), and mean absolute error (MAE). After all peeling stages, RF model have better prediction accuracy with higher R values and low prediction error with lower nRMSE and MAE values, compared to ANN model. The final selected RF prediction model showed excellent performance with insignificant error between the experimental and predicted values. As a result, the proposed model can be useful to set optimum condition of knife peeling for the purpose of minimizing the weight loss of domestic chestnut flesh with maximizing peeling rate.

• Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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• v.8 no.2
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• pp.155-158
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• 2010

In this article, we proposed a new interference canceller using the adaptive algorithm. We designed constant modulus algorithm-correlation normailized least mean square (CMA-CNLMS) for wireless system. This structure is normalized LMS algorithm using correlation between the desired and input signal for cancelling the interference signals in the wideband code division multiple access (WCDMA) system. We showed that the proposed algorithm could improve the Mean Square Error (MSE) performance of LMS algorithm. MATLAB (Matrix Laboratory) is employed to analyze the proposed algorithm and to compare it with the experimental results. The MSE value of the LMS with mu=0.0001 was measured as - 12.5 dB, and that of the proposed algorithm was -19.5 dB which showed an improvement of 7dB.