• Title/Summary/Keyword: martingale method

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Conditional Bootstrap Methods for Censored Survival Data

  • Kim, Ji-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.197-218
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    • 1995
  • We first consider the random censorship model of survival analysis. Efron (1981) introduced two equivalent bootstrap methods for censored data. We propose a new bootstrap scheme, called Method 3, that acts conditionally on the censoring pattern when making inference about aspects of the unknown life-time distribution F. This article contains (a) a motivation for this refined bootstrap scheme ; (b) a proof that the bootstrapped Kaplan-Meier estimatro fo F formed by Method 3 has the same limiting distribution as the one by Efron's approach ; (c) description of and report on simulation studies assessing the small-sample performance of the Method 3 ; (d) an illustration on some Danish data. We also consider the model in which the survival times are censered by death times due to other caused and also by known fixed constants, and propose an appropriate bootstrap method for that model. This bootstrap method is a readily modified version of the Method 3.

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A Study on a Stochastic Nonlinear System Control Using Neural Networks (신경회로망을 사용한 비선형 확률시스템 제어에 관한 연구)

  • Seok, Jin-Wuk;Choi, Kyung-Sam;Cho, Seong-Won;Lee, Jong-Soo
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.263-272
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    • 2000
  • In this paper we give some geometric condition for a stochastic nonlinear system and we propose a control method for a stochastic nonlinear system using neural networks. Since a competitive learning neural networks has been developed based on the stochastcic approximation method it is regarded as a stochastic recursive filter algorithm. In addition we provide a filtering and control condition for a stochastic nonlinear system called the perfect filtering condition in a viewpoint of stochastic geometry. The stochastic nonlinear system satisfying the perfect filtering condition is decoupled with a deterministic part and purely semi martingale part. Hence the above system can be controlled by conventional control laws and various intelligent control laws. Computer simulation shows that the stochastic nonlinear system satisfying the perfect filtering condition is controllable and the proposed neural controller is more efficient than the conventional LQG controller and the canonical LQ-Neural controller.

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A Study on a Stochastic Nonlinear System Control Using Hyperbolic Quotient Competitive Learning Neural Networks (Hyperbolic Quotient 경쟁학습 신경회로망을 사용한 비선형 확률시스템 제어에 관한 연구)

  • 석진욱;조성원;최경삼
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 1998.10a
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    • pp.346-352
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, we give some geometric condition for a stochastic nonlinear system and we propose a control method for a stochastic nonlinear system using neural networks. Since a competitive learning neural networks has been developed based on the stochastic approximation method, it is regarded as a stochastic recursive filter algorithm. In addition, we provide a filtering and control condition for a stochastic nonlinear system, called perfect filtering condition, in a viewpoint of stochastic geometry. The stochastic nonlinear system satisfying the perfect filtering condition is decoupled with a deterministic part and purely semi martingale part. Hence, the above system can be controlled by conventional control laws and various intelligent control laws. Computer simulation shows that the stochastic nonlinear system satisfying the perfect filtering condition is controllable. and the proposed neural controller is more efficient than the conventional LQG controller and the canoni al LQ-Neural controller.

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Nonlinear Regression for an Asymptotic Option Price

  • Song, Seong-Joo;Song, Jong-Woo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.755-763
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    • 2008
  • This paper approaches the problem of option pricing in an incomplete market, where the underlying asset price process follows a compound Poisson model. We assume that the price process follows a compound Poisson model under an equivalent martingale measure and it converges weakly to the Black-Scholes model. First, we express the option price as the expectation of the discounted payoff and expand it at the Black-Scholes price to obtain a pricing formula with three unknown parameters. Then we estimate those parameters using the market option data. This method can use the option data on the same stock with different expiration dates and different strike prices.

Nonparametric estimation of hazard rates change-point (위험률의 변화점에 대한 비모수적 추정)

  • 정광모
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.163-175
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    • 1998
  • The change of hazard rates at some unknown time point has been the interest of many statisticians. But it was restricted to the constant hazard rates which correspond to the exponential distribution. In this paper we generalize the change-point model in which any specific functional forms of hazard rates are net assumed. The assumed model includes various types of changes before and after the unknown time point. The Nelson estimator of cumulative hazard function is introduced. We estimate the change-point maximizing slope changes of Nelson estimator. Consistency and asymptotic distribution of bootstrap estimator are obtained using the martingale theory. Through a Monte Carlo study we check the performance of the proposed method. We also explain the proposed method using the Stanford Heart Transplant Data set.

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