• 제목/요약/키워드: marginal model

검색결과 596건 처리시간 0.027초

중·소도시 버스이용자의 한계도보시간 추정 (Estimation of the Marginal Walking Time of Bus Users in Small-Medium Cities)

  • 김경환;유환희;이상호
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제28권4D호
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    • pp.451-457
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    • 2008
  • 현실적인 버스서비스권역 설정은 시내버스의 합리적인 노선망 및 서비스권역 구축을 위해 필요하다. 본 연구는 중소도시 버스이용자들의 현재도보시간 및 한계도보시간을 추정하고 그 특성을 파악하며 연령 및 소득수준별 한계도보시간 추정을 위해 ANFIS 모형을 구축코자 하였다. 이를 위해 경남의 마산시, 창원시, 진주시가 연구대상 도시로 선정되었다. 경남의 중소도시 버스이용자들의 현재도보시간의 80% 누적분포 값(미국의 최대도보시간에 해당)은 10.2-11.1분으로 미국의 최대도보시간 5분보다 큰 것으로 나타났으며 한계도보시간은 21.1-21.8분으로 매우 큰 것으로 나타났다. 중소도시의 한계도보시간 추정을 위해 세 도시의 데이터를 통합한 ANFIS 모형을 구축하였다. 연령과 한계도보시간과의 관계에서는 연령이 증가함에 따라 한계도보시간이 감소하나 25세에서 35세 사이에는 한계도보시간에 변화가 없는 소강상태를 보이며 수입과 한계도보시간은 반비례하는 선형관계를 보였다. 구축된 ANFIS 모형을 이용한 추론치와 조사치의 비교에서 0.996, MSE 0.163, MAE 0.333으로 예측력이 아주 우수한 것으로 평가된다. 본 연구에서 개발된 모형은 타 중소도시의 한계도보시간 추정에 이용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

전력 계통한계가격 장기예측을 위한 오차수정모형 (An Error Correction Model for Long Term Forecast of System Marginal Price)

  • 신석하;유한욱
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제22권6호
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    • pp.453-459
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    • 2021
  • 계통한계가격은 발전회사들이 생산한 전력을 판매하고 받게 되는 가격으로서, 발전설비의 건설 및 보수에 대한 의사결정에서 중요한 역할을 한다. 본 논문에서는 천연가스 가격이나 원유 가격 등을 이용하여 계통한계가격을 장기 예측하는 모형을 제안한다. 분석대상 변수들이 비정상시계열적 특성을 지니므로 변수 간 장기관계인 공적분관계에 대한 검정을 시행하고, 공적분 관계와 단기적 동학에 대한 관계식을 추정하여 오차수정모형을 구성하였다. 분석대상 기간이 짧아 분석결과의 안정성이 낮은 문제를 고려하여, 다양한 검정 및 추정기법을 사용하여 분석의 강건성을 제고하고자 하였다. 기존 연구에 비해 다양한 연료가격을 검토하고, 시계열 분석의 엄밀성과 강건성을 제고했다는 점이 본 연구가 기여한 부분이다. 분석 결과 계통한계가격과 천연가스가격, 계통한계가격과 유가, 계통한계가격과 천연가스가격 및 유가 간에 공적분 관계가 존재하는 것으로 나타나, 각각의 공적분 관계를 기반으로 오차수정모형을 추정하고 예측력을 비교하였다. 단기식에서는 오차수정항, 전력공급예비율, 시차항을 고려하였다. 각 오차수정모형의 표본외 예측력을 비교한 결과, 계통한계가격과 천연가스가격 간 공적분 관계를 이용하는 모형이 평균제곱근오차와 평균절대백분율오차 모두 가장 낮은 값을 보이는 등 예측력이 좋은 것으로 평가되었다.

도시농업공원 조성에 대한 선호와 가치평가 (Valuation and Preference of Urban Agriculture Park using Choice Experiment)

  • 허주녕;김태곤
    • 한국유기농업학회지
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.125-137
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    • 2013
  • The Purpose of this paper is to estimates consumers' willingness to pay for Urban Agriculture Park attributes. we analysis the marginal WTP by choice experiment method. Choice experiment (CE) is designed to elicit the marginal WTP differences among urban agriculture park attributes (garden scales, learning and experience area, leisure and relaxation area and fund). The results of multinomial logit model are meaningful, the total marginal WTP on the urban agriculture park attributes is 18,852 won. gardens scales is 2,949 won, learning and experience area is 11,284 won, leisure and relaxation area is 4,619 won. In the current laws, the facilities related to urban agriculture park is not. Taking advantage of the new urban agriculture park, Amendments of the law is required.

ML estimation using Poisson HGLM approach in semi-parametric frailty models

  • Ha, Il Do
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제27권5호
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    • pp.1389-1397
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    • 2016
  • Semi-parametric frailty model with nonparametric baseline hazards has been widely used for the analyses of clustered survival-time data. The frailty models can be fitted via an auxiliary Poisson hierarchical generalized linear model (HGLM). For the inferences of the frailty model marginal likelihood, which gives MLE, is often used. The marginal likelihood is usually obtained by integrating out random effects, but it often requires an intractable integration. In this paper, we propose to obtain the MLE via Laplace approximation using a Poisson HGLM approach for semi-parametric frailty model. The proposed HGLM approach uses hierarchical-likelihood (h-likelihood), which avoids integration itself. The proposed method is illustrated using a numerical study.

치과용 3D 프린팅 시스템에 의해 출력된 보철물의 품질 평가 (An evaluation of quality of dental prostheses printed by dental 3-dimensional printing system)

  • 한만소
    • 대한치과기공학회지
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    • 제38권3호
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    • pp.185-191
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    • 2016
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study were to evaluate the quality of dental prostheses printed by 3-dimensional printing system. Methods: Mater model was prepared and ten study models were fabricated. Ten single crowns were printed by 3D-printing system(Resin group) and another ten single crowns using casting method were manufactured(Metal group). The marginal adaptation of single crowns were measured using by silicone replica technique. Silicone replicas were sectioned four times. The marginal adaptations were evaluated using by digital microscope. Statistical analyses were performed with Mann-Whitney test(${\alpha}=0.05$). Results: $Mean{\pm}standard$ deviations of all marginal adaptations were $92.1(20.0){\mu}m$ for Metal group and $69.7(12.3){\mu}m$ for Resin group. Two groups were no statistically significant differences(p>0.05). Conclusion: Marginal adaptation of single crowns printed by 3D-printing system were ranged within the clinical recommendation.

로지스틱모형에서 그래픽을 이용한 회귀와 모형평가 (Graphical regression and model assessment in logistic model)

  • 강명욱;김부용;홍주희
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.21-32
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    • 2010
  • 그래픽적 회귀는 모형에 대한 가정을 하지 않고 회귀정보를 모두 포함하는 충분요약그림을 찾아내는 분석 방법으로 모든 회귀정보를 저차원의 그림으로 표현할 수 있게 하는 데에 그 목적이 있다. 잔차산점도를 이용한 모형의 평가는 적용 범위가 선형회귀모형에 국한되는 문제점이 있기 때문에 일반화선형모형에서는 그 대안으로 주변모형 산점도를 이용하여 모형의 적절성을 평가한다. 본 논문에서는 일반화선형모형 중에서 이진반응변수를 갖는 로지스틱모형에서의 그래픽적 회귀 방법과 주변모형 산점도를 이용한 모형평가 방법을 알아본다.

개별 치아 트레이의 재료와 형태에 따른 인상체의 정밀성에 관한 연구 (A STUDY ON THE ACCURACY OF THE IMPRESSION BODY ACCORDING TO MATERIALS AND FORMS OF THE INDIVIDUAL TOOTH TRAY)

  • 류덕우;임주환;조인호
    • 대한치과보철학회지
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    • 제38권2호
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    • pp.242-254
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    • 2000
  • Accurate impression is very important to achieve desirable prosthesis and there are many factors in taking a good impression. For example, types of impression material, types of impression tray, impression taking methods and so on. Recently individual tooth tray technique is accepted as obtaining good impression that can be applied to multiple abutment impression, heavy salivated patient, to minimize the effect of natural teeth s undercuts and to reduce pain during cord packing procedures. The purpose of this study was to compare the accuracy according to materials and forms of the individual tooth tray which is clinically applied nowadays. Used materials in experiment were divided into 3 types (acrylic resin. $Futar^{(R)}$ occlusion. $Blu-mousse^{(R)}$) and forms were divided into 2 types (forming occlusal vent hole or not and forming marginal vent space or not). Stone master model from impression body and metal master model were measured by $X-PLAN360d^{(R)}$ to compare occlusal surface discrepancy and marginal discrepancy. The results were as follows: 1. In comparison of occlusal surface discrepancy and marginal discrepancy according to materials, groups with three materials showed no statistical difference 2. In comparison of occlusal surface discrepancy and marginal discrepancy according to occlusal vent hole, groups with occlusal vent hole showed significantly less marginal discrepancy than groups with no occlusal vent hole(p<0.05). 3. In comparison of occlusal surface discrepancy and marginal discrepancy according to 0.5mm-marginal-vent-space, groups with no 0.5mm-marginal-vent-space showed significantly less marginal discrepancy than groups with 0.5mm-marginal-vent-space (p<0.05). In summary these results suggest that individual tooth tray made of 3 types of materials with occlusal vent hole and individual tooth tray made of acrylic resin with no marginal vent space showed good accuracy of impression. In addition, individual tooth tray which is made of bite registration materials may be more useful because of advantage in facility and timesaving aspect of fabrication.

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Globalization of Technological Development and Opportunities for National Innovation Systems of Developing Countries

  • Dnishev, Farkhat;Alzhanova, Farida
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제3권4호
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    • pp.67-79
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    • 2016
  • Prior literature expects a lower marginal cash value for weaker governance firms. We test this empirical hypothesis by using the sample of publicly traded Korean firms from 2005 to 2013. To measure the quality of governance structures, we employ the corporate governance scores provided by Korean Corporate Governance Services. The empirical model of Faulkender and Wang (2006) is adopted to estimate the marginal value of cash. Our empirical analysis shows a higher marginal value of cash for the good governance firms in the examination of the total governance score. This finding is consistent to the agency view of cash policy predicting a larger marginal value of cash for the firms with higher governance scores. However, this positive relationship is not robust for a subset of detailed governance scores; a lower marginal cash value is observed for the firms with better qualities of board structure, auditing, dividend policies. Moreover, our empirical analysis verifies a quite low level of marginal cash value for Korean firms, which supports the existence of severe agency conflicts in Korean corporations. Our results verify the significant role of agency conflicts between a manager and shareholders in the determination of marginal cash values in the Korean firms.

Eddy-Resolving Simulations for the Asian Marginal Seas and Kuroshio Using Nonlinear Terrain-Following Coordinate Model

  • Song, Y.-Tony;Tang, Tao
    • Journal of the korean society of oceanography
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    • 제37권3호
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    • pp.169-177
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    • 2002
  • An eddy-resolving free-surface primitive-equation model with nonlinear terrain-following coordinates is established to study the exchange of water masses among the Asian marginal seas and their adjacent waters. A curvilinear coordinate system is used to generate the horizontal grid with a variable resolution for the regional oceans from $5^{\circ}$S to $45^{\circ}$N and $100^{\circ}$E to $155^{\circ}$E. The higher resolution region has about a 10 km by 10 km grid covering the complex geometry of the coastal marginal seas, while the lower resolution region has about a 30 km by 30 km grid covering the eastern Pacific. The model is initialized by the Levitus annual climitology and forced by the monthly mean air-sea fluxes of momentum, heat, and freshwater derived from the Comprehensive Ocean-Atmosphere Data Set. High-resolution and low-viscosity are identified as the key factors for a better representation of the exchange of waters through narrow straits and passages between the marginal seas and their adjacent waters. The dynamics of the loop currents and eddies in the South China Sea and Celebes Sea are examined in detail. It has found that the anticyclonic loop and detached eddies from the Kuroshio through the Luzon Strait play an important role in transporting warm and salty water into the South China Sea, while the cyclonic circulation of the Mindanao Current in the Celebes Sea plays a role in contributing cold water to the Indonesian throughflow. The deep undercurrent of the western Pacific is shown to provide fresher water to the South China Sea and Celebes Sea. These modeling results suggest that the exchange processes via the narrow straits and passages are of fundamental importance to the maintenance of water masses for the marginal sea region.

디지털 광공정 방식에 의해 출력된 치과용 보철물의 품질 분석 (Analysis of the quality of dental prostheses printed by digital light-processing technology)

  • 김재홍;김기백
    • 대한치과기공학회지
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    • 제42권3호
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    • pp.197-201
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: This study aimed to assess the quality of dental prostheses printed by digital light-processing (DLP) technology. Methods: Ten experimental models were prepared. The ten specimens that were printed by DLP technology constituted the DLP group. The ten specimens that were produced in the same model by the casting method constituted the control group. The marginal gaps of the 20 specimens produced were measured. These gaps were measured by a silicon replica technique at two abutments of the specimen. Therefore, 20 marginal gaps were measured in each group. An independent sample t-test was performed to compare the marginal gaps measured in the two groups (α=0.05). Results: According to the results of the measurement, there was a significant difference between the mean marginal gap of the control group (78.8 ㎛) and that of the DLP group (91.5 ㎛), p<0.001. Conclusion: Although the mean marginal gaps of dental fixed prostheses produced by the DLP method was higher than the mean marginal gap of those produced by the casting method, it was considered to be within the clinical threshold value suggested by some previous studies.