• 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한산업공학회/한국경영과학회 1995년도 춘계공동학술대회논문집; 전남대학교; 28-29 Apr. 1995
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• pp.435-444
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• 1995

We propose a new approach to the calculation of the exact cells loss probability in a shared buffer ATM multiplexer, which is loaded with homogeneous discrete-time ON-OFF sources. Renewal cycles are identified in regard to the state of input sources and the buffer state on each renewal circle is modelled as a K(shared buffer size)-state Markov chain. We also analyze the behavior of queue build-up at the shared buffer whose distribution together with the steady-state probabilities of the Markov chain leads to the exact cell loss probability. Our approach to obtaining the exact cell loss probability seems to be more efficient than most of other existing ones since our underlying Markov chain has less number of states.

• Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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• 제16권3호
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• pp.59-71
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• 2009

Hazard analysis identifies probability to hazard occurrence and its potential impact on business processes operated in organizations. This paper illustrates a quantitative approach of hazard analysis of information systems by measuring the degree of hazard to information systems using probabilistic risk analysis and activity based costing technique. Specifically the research model projects probability of occurrence by PRA and economic loss by ABC under each identified hazard. To verify the model, each computerized subsystem which is called a business process and hazards occurred on information systems are gathered through one private organization. The loss impact of a hazard occurrence is produced by multiplying probability by the economic loss.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제51권1호
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• pp.198-206
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• 2019

A new methodology to analyze the nuclear material accountability for pyroprocessing system is developed. The $Pu-to-^{244}Cm$ ratio quantification is one of the methods for Pu accountancy in pyroprocessing. However, an uncertainty in the $Pu-to-^{244}Cm$ ratio due to the non-uniform composition in used fuel assemblies can affect the accountancy of Pu. A random variable, LOPu, is developed to analyze the probability of detection for Pu diversion of hypothetical scenarios at a pyroprocessing facility considering the uncertainty in $Pu-to-^{244}Cm$ ratio estimation. The analysis is carried out by the hypothesis testing and the event tree method. The probability of detection for diversion of 8 kg Pu is found to be less than 95% if a large size granule consisting of small size particles gets sampled for measurements. To increase the probability of detection more than 95%, first, a new Material Balance Area (MBA) structure consisting of more number of Key Measurement Points (KMPs) is designed. This multiple KMP-measurement for the MBA shows the probability of detection for 8 kg Pu diversion is greater than 96%. Increasing the granule sample number from one to ten also shows the probability of detection is greater than 95% in the most ranges for granule and powder sizes.

• 한국정밀공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국정밀공학회 2002년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.873-876
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• 2002

This paper presents the effect of internal corrosion, external corrosion, material properties, operation condition, earthquake, traffic load and design thickness in pipeline on the failure prediction using a failure probability model. A nonlinear corrosion is used to represent the loss of pipe wall thickness with time. The effects of environmental, operational, and design random variables such as a pipe diameter, earthquake, fluid pressure, a corrosion rate, a material yield stress and a pipe thickness on the failure probability are systematically investigated using a failure probability model for the corrosion pipeline.

• 한국신뢰성학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국신뢰성학회 2002년도 정기학술대회
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• pp.403-410
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• 2002

This paper presents the effect of internal corrosion, external corrosion, material properties, operation condition, earthquake, traffic load and design thickness in pipeline on the failure prediction using a failure probability model. A nonlinear corrosion is used to represent the loss of pipe wall thickness with time. The effects of environmental, operational, and design random variables such as a pipe diameter, earthquake, fluid pressure, a corrosion rate, a material yield stress and a pipe thickness on the failure probability are systematically investigated using a failure probability model for the corrosion pipeline.

• Journal of Information Processing Systems
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• 제2권1호
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• pp.34-38
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• 2006

In the wireless network, TCP performs poorly because it was originally designed for wired networks and does not take into consideration wireless characteristics such as mobility, high-loss probability, and hidden-terminal problems. In particular, in the wireless multi-hop networks, a large congestion window increases the probability of contention and packet losses, and TCP performance is degraded severely as a result. So, it is necessary to limit the TCP congestion window size in order keep the probability of contention loss in the system to a minimum. In this paper, we propose a new scheme for determining the maximum congestion window size based on the measured bandwidth and Round-Trip-Time (RTT). Using ns-2 simulation, we show that the proposed scheme reduces the probability of packet contention and improves TCP performance.

• International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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• 제6권1호
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• pp.8-16
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• 2005

This paper describes target detection performance of millimeter wave radar that exits on non-stationary target detection schemes in the ground clutter conditions. The comparison of various CFAR process schemes such as CA(Cell-Average)-CFAR, GO(Greatest Of)/SO(Smallest Of)-CFAR, and OS(Order Statistics)-CFAR performance are applied. Using matlab software, we show the performance and loss between target detection probability and signal to noise ratio. This paper concludes the OS-CFAR process performance is better than any others and satisfies the optimal detection probability without loss of detection in the homogeneous clutter, When range bins increase.

• 한국통신학회논문지
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• 제30권9C호
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• pp.907-912
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• 2005

H/W에 구현되는 음성인식 시스템에서 인식속도의 향상을 위한 새로운 알고리즘이 본 논문에서 제안되었다. 제안된 고속 관측확률 계산(Fast Computation of Observation Probability : FCOP) 알고리즘은 관측확률식을 근사화시키는 방법으로, CDHMM에서 상태(state)로 주어지는 확률분포함수들 중에서 일부를 효과적으로 제거하여 계산량을 최소화시키는 방법이다. 실제 H/W 환경의 음성인식에 응용한 실험 결과, 기존의 방법에 비해 인식률의 저하를 최소로 유지하며, 명령어 사이클을 $20\%\~32\%$ 감소시킬 수 있었으며, 인식속도를 약 $30\%$향상시킬 수 있었다. 제안된 알고리즘을 제한된 자원을 가지는 실제의 휴대폰에 탑재하여. 인식속도 및 인식률을 측정한 결과 인식률의 저하를 $0.2\%$ 이하로 유지하면서, 인식속도를 $30\%$ 이상 증가시킬 수 있었다.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제14권5호
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• pp.437-447
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• 2018

Computational cost is one of the major obstacles for detailed risk analysis of structures. This paper puts forward a methodology for efficient probabilistic seismic loss assessment of structures using the Endurance Time (ET) analysis and the first-order reliability method (FORM). The ET analysis efficiently yields the structural responses for a continuous range of intensities through a single response-history analysis. Taking advantage of this property of ET, FORM is employed to estimate the annual rate of exceedance for the loss components. The proposed approach is an amalgamation of two analysis approaches, ET and FORM, that significantly lower the computational costs. This makes it possible to evaluate the seismic risk of complex systems. The probability distribution of losses due to the structural and non-structural damage as well as injuries and fatalities of a prototype structure are estimated using the proposed methodology. This methodology is an alternative to the prevalent risk analysis framework of the total probability theorem. Hence, the risk estimates of the proposed approach are compared with those from the total probability theorem as a benchmark. The results indicate a satisfactory agreement between the two methods while a significantly lower computational demand for the proposed approach.

• 한국통신학회논문지
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• 제19권1호
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• pp.35-46
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• 1994

본 논문에서는 주파수 비선택적 라이시안 페이딩 채널에서 DS/SS 초기 동기 시스템의 성능을 분석 하였다. 채널 파라메터로는 페이딩된 신호 성분대 원하는 신호 성분의 전력비 . 연속적으로 균일하게 페이딩된 칩수 k, 연속된 k 칩간의 상관관계를 이용하였다. 이에 따른 검출기에서의 오보확률과 검출확률을 유도하였고 이를 초기 동기 시스템의 상태 천이도에 적용하여 시스템의 평균 패킷 손실 확률을 구하였다. 분석 결과로부터 페이딩 체널에서 직렬 탐색 알고리즘을 사용한 DS/SS 초기 동기 시스템의 성능의 사기상관 사이드로브에 의하여 패킷 손실이 증가 하는 대역이 있었으며, 연속적으로 균일한 페이딩을 갖는 칩수 k가 증가 합에 따라 패킷 손실 확률이 감소 하였다.