• 제목/요약/키워드: long-term survival analysis

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신흥국 기업의 지배구조와 기업의 장기 생존 (Corporate Governance and Long-term Corporate Survival in an Emerging Economy)

  • 김장훈;안세연
    • 무역학회지
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    • 제46권3호
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    • pp.65-79
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    • 2021
  • This paper investigates how corporate governance characteristics are related to long-term corporate survival in an emerging economy. We used the data of 311 companies listed on the Korean Stock Exchange (KSE) in 1979 and examined the survival chances of those companies through the IMF crisis in 1998, upon governance characteristics that are expected to increase long-term strategic orientations. We utilized Cox regression model for the analysis. The results indicate that firms with particular governance characteristics that may be tied to CEO's long-term orientations show higher long-term survivability. Specifically, the probability of a firm's long-term survival is increased when founding family ownership is sustained, the company ownership is concentrated, and the CEO is the largest shareholder. This study has significance in that it is one of initial tries to examine the impact of corporate governance on long-term corporate survival with large scale statistical analysis. Also, the study findings provide some clues as to why the portion of family firms in emerging economies is continuously increased, thus providing meaningful insights to corporate governance literature.

Family Firm Governance and Long-term Corporate Survival: Evidence from Korean Listed Firms

  • Ahn, Se-Yeon
    • 아태비즈니스연구
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.25-39
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    • 2021
  • Purpose - This study aims to examine whether family firm governance is related to long-term corporate survival. To find out whether and why family firms have higher chances of long-term survival compared to non family firms, this study analyzes the relationship between some governance characteristics that are prevalent in family firms and corporate long-term viability. Design/methodology/approach - This study utilizes a sample of 285 family firms listed on the Korea Stock Exchange (KSE) to probe the influence of governance characteristics on corporate survival. This study conducts Cox proportional hazard regression analysis to estimate the influences on the survival duration. Findings - The results indicate that firms with particular governance characteristics show higher long-term survivability. Specifically, the probability of firm's long-term survival is increased when the CEO is the largest shareholder, which may be related to CEO's stewardship attitudes. Research implications or Originality - This study has significance in that it examines the direct causal variables that enhance long-term corporate viability through a large scale empirical examination. Also, the study findings provide some clues as to why certain family firms outlive non-family firms.

The Impact of Government Innovation Subsidies on the Survival of SMEs in Korea

  • Kim, Sangsin
    • STI Policy Review
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.55-76
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    • 2018
  • This study analyzed the effect of the government R&D subsidy program on long-term firm survival. In order to estimate the average treatment effect for the treated group, we used the survival analysis and matching method by constituting a comprehensive dataset of more than 90,000 observations. The analysis results show that the government R&D subsidy has a negative impact on long-term firm survival. In particular, not only the subsidy does not have a statistically significant effect on firm survival in the relatively short-term, the survival probability of the subsidized firms is statistically significantly lower than the non-subsidized firms after six years. These results can be seen as weakening the justification of government R&D support. There may be problems in the subsidy policy itself and the process of selection of subsidy awardees; however, the more fundamental problem is that the subsidy policy is concluded as the one-time event. Admittedly, it would be difficult for the government to precisely manage the subsidized projects over a long term period. However, in the case of a project in which short-term performance is detected, it would be necessary to provide a step-by-step support to strengthen the firm's competitiveness through further support and continuous development of performance. Of course, mid- and long-term evaluations of subsidy support policy should be performed in parallel with such phased support.

Screening for Patients with Non-small Cell Lung Cancer Who Could Survive Long Term Chemotherapy

  • Wu, Xue-Yan;Huang, Xin-En
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.647-652
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    • 2015
  • Background: Lung cancer was one of the most common cancers in both men and women all over the world. In this study, we aimed to clarify who could survive after long term chemotherapy in patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Methods: We enrolled 186 patients with stage IV NSCLC after long term chemotherapy from Jun 2006 to Nov 2014 diagnosed in Jiangsu Cancer Hospital. Multiple variables like age, gender, smoking, histology of adenocarcinoma and squamous-cell cancer, number of metastatic sites, metastatic sites (e.g. lung, brain, bone, liver and pleura), hemoglobin, lymphocyte rate (LYR), Change of LYR during multiple therapies, hypertension, diabetes, chronic bronchitis, treatments (e.g.radiotherapy and targeted therapy) were selected. For consideration of factors influencing survival and response for patients with advanced NSCLC, logistic regression analysis and Cox regression analysis were used in an attempt to develop a screening module for patients with elevated survival after long term chemotherapy become possible. Results: Of the total of 186 patients enrolled, 69 survived less than 1 year (short-term group), 45 one to two years, and 72 longer than 3 years (long-term group). For logistic regression analysis, the short-term group was taken as control group and the long-term group as the case group. We found that age, histology of adenocarcinoma, metastatic site (e.g. lung and liver), treatments (e.g. targeted therapy and radiotherapy), LYR, a decreasing tendency of LYR and chronic bronchitis were individually associated with overall survival by Cox regression analysis. A multivariable Cox regression model showed that metastatic site (e.g. lung and liver), histology of adenocarcinoma, treatments (e.g. targeted therapy and radiotherapy) and chronic bronchitis were associated with overall survival. Thus metastatic site (e.g. lung and liver) and chronic bronchitis may be important risk factors for patients with advanced NSCLC. Gender, metastatic site (e.g. lung and liver), LYR and the decreasing tendency of LYR were significantly associated with long-term survival in the individual-variable logistic regression model (P<0.05). On multivariate logistic regression analysis, gender, metastatic site (e.g. lung and liver) and the decreasing tendency of LYR associated with long-term survival. Conclusions: In conclusion, female patients with stage IV adenocarcinoma of NSCLC who had decreasing tendency of LYR during the course therapy and had accepted multiple therapies e.g. more than third-line chemotherapy, radiotherapy and/or targeted therapy might be expected to live longer.

Application of the Weibull-Poisson long-term survival model

  • Vigas, Valdemiro Piedade;Mazucheli, Josmar;Louzada, Francisco
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.325-337
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, we proposed a new long-term lifetime distribution with four parameters inserted in a risk competitive scenario with decreasing, increasing and unimodal hazard rate functions, namely the Weibull-Poisson long-term distribution. This new distribution arises from a scenario of competitive latent risk, in which the lifetime associated to the particular risk is not observable, and where only the minimum lifetime value among all risks is noticed in a long-term context. However, it can also be used in any other situation as long as it fits the data well. The Weibull-Poisson long-term distribution is presented as a particular case for the new exponential-Poisson long-term distribution and Weibull long-term distribution. The properties of the proposed distribution were discussed, including its probability density, survival and hazard functions and explicit algebraic formulas for its order statistics. Assuming censored data, we considered the maximum likelihood approach for parameter estimation. For different parameter settings, sample sizes, and censoring percentages various simulation studies were performed to study the mean square error of the maximum likelihood estimative, and compare the performance of the model proposed with the particular cases. The selection criteria Akaike information criterion, Bayesian information criterion, and likelihood ratio test were used for the model selection. The relevance of the approach was illustrated on two real datasets of where the new model was compared with its particular cases observing its potential and competitiveness.

The Impact of Different Types of Complications on Long-Term Survival After Total Gastrectomy for Gastric Cancer

  • Mi Ran Jung;Sung Eun Kim;Oh Jeong
    • Journal of Gastric Cancer
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.584-597
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: This study aimed to investigate the impact of different types of complications on long-term survival following total gastrectomy for gastric cancer. Materials and Methods: A total of 926 patients who underwent total gastrectomy between 2008 and 2016 were included. Patients were divided into the morbidity and no-morbidity groups, and long-term survival was compared between the 2 groups. The prognostic impact of postoperative morbidity was assessed using a multivariate Cox proportional hazard model, which accounted for other prognostic factors. In the multivariate model, the effects of each complication on survival were analyzed. Results: A total of 229 patients (24.7%) developed postoperative complications. Patients with postoperative morbidity showed significantly worse overall survival (OS) (5-year, 65.0% vs. 76.7%, P<0.001) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) (5-year, 74.2% vs. 83.1%, P=0.002) compared to those without morbidity. Multivariate analysis adjusting for other prognostic factors showed that postoperative morbidity remained an independent prognostic factor for OS (hazard ratio [HR], 1.442; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.136-1.831) and CSS (HR, 1.463; 95% CI, 1.063-2.013). There was no significant difference in survival according to the severity of complications. The following complications showed a significant association with unfavorable long-term survival: ascites (HR, 1.868 for OS, HR, 2.052 for CSS), wound complications (HR, 2.653 for OS, HR, 2.847 for CSS), and pulmonary complications (HR, 2.031 for OS, HR, 1.915 for CSS). Conclusions: Postoperative morbidity adversely impacted survival following total gastrectomy for gastric cancer. Among the different types of complications, ascites, wound complications, and pulmonary complications exhibited significant associations with long-term survival.

구리, 카드뮴, 펜벤다졸, 설파티아졸이 국내산 풍년새우 생존에 미치는 영향 (Effects of Cu, Cd, Fenbendazole and Sulfathiazole on the Survival of the Korean Fairy Shrimp Branchinella kugenumaensis)

  • 문성대;조창현;곽인실;이창훈
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.311-320
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    • 2009
  • The short term (24-hr) and long term (21 days) effects of copper, cadmium, fenbendazole and sulfathiazole on the survival of the Korean fairy shrimp Branchinella kugenumaensis were evaluated. The 24-hr median lethal concentrations ($LC_{50}$) of copper, cadmium, fenbendazole, and sulfathiazole were 39, 512, 182, and 31,818 ${\mu}g/L$, respectively. The toxicity of copper is highest among 4 chemicals used in this study, while sulfathazole the lowest. After the long term (21 days) exposure experiment, the $LC_{50}$ copper, cadmium, fenbendazole, and sulfathiazole were 1.12, 2.1, 0.1, 6.6 ${\mu}g/L$, respectively. The long term effects of antibiotics were highly enhanced while the short-term effects were not strong. The sensitivities of B. kugenumaensis to copper and cadmium were higher than or comparable to those of other freshwater branchiopods (Streptocephalus spp., Thamnocephalus sp.), and far higher than the marine species (Artemia sp.). There were significant effects on the survival of B. kugenumaensis after long term exposure to relatively lower concentrations of copper, cadmium, fenbendazole and sulfathiazole. Therefore, B. kugenumaensis seems quite a good candidate species for the ecotoxicological assessments of freshwater environments.

기간분석에 따른 수정된 누적한계 추정량 (Modified Product-Limit Estimator via Period Analysis)

  • 김진흠;안윤옥
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.395-406
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    • 2006
  • 임상시험 연구나 역학 연구에서 환자들의 예후는 흔히 생존을 추정을 통해 수량화 되곤 한다. 하지만 코호트 분석이나 완전분석에 의한 생존율 추정량들은 수년 전에 진단된 환자에 크게 의존하기 때문에 실제 생존율보다 더 낮게 추정하곤 한다. 본 연구에서는 최근의 생존정보를 잘 반영하는 생존을 추정을 위해 기간분석 방법을 통한누적한계 추정량을 제안하였고, 그 방법을 1993년 1월-1997년 12월 사이에 조사된 서울시 암등록 자료(Ahn등, 2002)에 적용하여 결과를 고찰하였다.

관상동맥 우회술의 장기 생존율 (Long-term Survival after Coronary Artery bypass Surgery)

  • 이미경;정은택;최종범
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • 제38권2호
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    • pp.139-145
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    • 2005
  • 배경: 관상동맥 우회술 후 장기 생존율에 대한 우리의 보고는 많지 않다. 이 연구는 관상동맥 우회술 시작 초기에 수술 받은 환자들의 장기 생존율을 알아보았다. 대상 뜻 방법: 1990년 12월부터 1995년 12월까지 관상동맥 우회술을 받은 114예(남 79예, 여 35예, 평균연령 58.4세)를 대상으로 하였다. 대부분의 환자가 체외순환 하에 좌측 속가슴동맥과 하지 복재정맥으로 우회로술을 받았고 대동맥 차단상태에서 근위부 및 원위부 문합을 시행하였다. 결과: 평균 $135.5{\pm}17.9$개월의 추적 기간 동안 모두 37예$(32.5\%)$가 사망하였으며, 사망자 중 심장사망은 10예$(27\%)$뿐이었다 수술 후 전체 사망에 대한 1년, 5년, 10년, 13년의 생존율은 각각 $95.6\%,\;85.1\%,\;71.8\%,\;57.9\%$였고, 심장사망에 대한 1년, 5년, 10년, 13년의 생존율은 각각 $97.4\%,\;94.5\%,\;92.1\%,\;81.3\%$였으며, 장기 생존율에 대한 예상인자로는 성별 및 연령이었다 수술 후 관상동맥 조영술 및 중재술의 예상인자는 수술 전의 고혈압, 당뇨병, 고지혈증 등이었다. 결론: 초기의 관상동맥 우회술 후 장기생존율은 다른 보고와 비슷하였으며, 여성에서 장기생존율이 우수하였고 수술 전 고지혈증을 가진 환자에서 수술 후 관상동맥 중재술이 더 많았다.

Survival in Fry and Juvenile Stages of Masu salmon Oncorhynchus masou : Estimates of Heritabilities and Correlations

  • Choe, Mi-Kyung
    • 한국양식학회지
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.185-191
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    • 1999
  • A genetic analysis for survival in fry and juvenile stages of masu salmon was described. Data from two year-classes of masu salmon were analyzed to estimate the heritability for survival during the fresh water-rearing period. The overall survival for each year-class during 8 months of freshwater rearing were 17.8 and 11.6%, respectively. Whirling disease virus (WDV) was the main cause of death in all year-classes. Survival data obtained for offspring of 42 sires and 60 dams of masu salmon (two year classes of data) was analyzed. Average survival rates in the observation period ranged 2-87% for 1994; 0-98% for 1995, repectively. In both year-classes, heritabilities for survival derived from the sire components of variance were low(0.13-0.18), except one. Heritabilities derived from the dam components of variance ranged 0.14-0.61, including non-additive genetic and /or common enviromental effects. Correlations between survival in two long-term periods were all positive and medium to high in magnitude(0.345-0.918). Correlations between survival in non-succeeding periods were, in general, low and insignificant. Correlation between long-term survival and growth rate was found in masu salmon. The corresponding correlation in masu salmon was not significantly different from zero. Correlations between sire survival and body weight, length and condition factor of slaughter were not significant, but varied.

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