• Title/Summary/Keyword: long-term simulation

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Analysis of Postharvest 1-MCP Treatment and CA Storage Effects on Quality Changes of 'Fuji' Apples during Export Simulation (모의 수출 '후지' 사과의 품질에 미치는 수확후 1-MCP 처리 및 CA저장 효과)

  • Park, Youn-Moon;Park, Hyo-Geun;Lim, Byung-Sun
    • Horticultural Science & Technology
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.224-231
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    • 2011
  • Effects of 1-methylcyclopropene (1-MCP) treatment and controlled atmosphere (CA) storage was analyzed for the export quality of 'Fuji' apples after 8-month storage. Apples were harvested from two orchards located in different regions at relatively late stage of maturity for long-term storage. Fruit were treated with 1 ${\mu}L{\cdot}L^{-1}$ 1-MCP and then stored in $0^{\circ}C$ air or CA with 1.5 kPa $O_2$ and < 1.0 kPa $CO_2$ for 8 months. To simulate poststorage export process such as 2-week refrigerated container shipment plus 7-day local distribution, fruit were put in $0^{\circ}C$ air storage for additional two weeks and then on the shelf for 7 days at $20^{\circ}C$. Both the 1-MCP treatment and CA storage reduced respiration and ethylene evolution after storage and shipping simulation, and successfully maintained titratable acidity and flesh firmness even after the export process. In 'Fuji' apples harvested after adequate stage of maturity for long-term storage, however, 1-MCP treatment alone seemed not to be satisfactory for the maintenance of sensorial fruit texture for export market. CA storage or 1-MCP treatment/CA storage combination program should be applied for lately harvested 'Fuji' apples exported after eight months storage.

Long-Term Performance of Amorphous Silicon Solar Cells with Stretched Exponential Defect Kinetics and AMPS-1D Simulation (비정질실리콘 태양전지에 대한 장시간 성능예측: 확장지수함수 모형 및 컴퓨터 모의실험)

  • Park, S.H.;Lyou, Jong-H.
    • Journal of the Korean Vacuum Society
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.219-224
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    • 2012
  • We study for long-term performance of amorphous silicon solar cells under light exposure. The performance is predicted with a kinetic model in which the carrier lifetimes are determined by the defect density. In particular, the kinetic model is described by the stretched-exponential relaxation of defects to reach equilibrium. In this report, we simulate the light-induced degradation of the amorphous silicon solar cells with the kinetic model and AMPS-1D computer program. And data measured for outdoor performances of various solar cells are compared with the simulated results. This study focuses on examining the light-induced degradation for the following amorphous silicon pin solar cells: thickness${\approx}$300 nm, built-in potential${\approx}$1.05 V, defect density (at t=0)${\approx}5{\times}10^{15}cm^{-3}$, short-circuit current density (at t=0)${\approx}15.8mA/cm^2$, fill factor (at t=0)${\approx}0.691$, open-circuit voltage (at t=0)${\approx}0.865V$, conversion efficiency (at t=0)${\approx}9.50%$.

Shallow-water Design Waves at Gangreung Beach through the Analysis of Long-term Measured Wave Data and Numerical Simulation Using Deepwater Wave Conditions (장기 파랑관측자료 분석 및 천해파 수치실험에 의한 강릉 해역의 천해설계파)

  • Jeong, Weon Mu;Jun, Ki Cheon;Kim, Gunwoo;Oh, Sang-Ho;Ryu, Kyong-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.343-351
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    • 2012
  • In this study, shallow-water design waves are calculated for the return period of 10, 20, 30, and 50 years, based on the extreme value analysis of the wave measurement data at Gangneung beach. These values are compared with the results of SWAN simulation with the boundary condition of the deep-water design waves of the corresponding return periods at the Gangneung sea area provided by the Fisheries Agency (FA, 1988) and Korea Ocean Research & Development Institute (KORDI, 2005). It is found that the shallow-water wave heights at Gangneung beach calculated by the deep-water design waves were significantly less than the observation data. As the return period becomes higher, the significant wave heights obtained by the extreme value analysis becomes higher than those computed by SWAN with the deep-water design waves of the corresponding return periods. KORDI computed the hindcast wave data from January 2004 to August 2008 by WAM with a finer-grid mesh system than those of previous studies. Comparisons of the wave hindcast results with the wave observation show that the reproducibility of the winter-season storm wave was considerably improved compared to the hindcast data from 1979 to 2003. Hereafter, it is necessary to carry out hindcast wave data for the years before 2004 using WAM with the finer-grid mesh system and to supplement the deep-water design wave.

Restoration of the Stream Runoff by the Physical Deterministic Modeling and Formulation of Water Balance for the Catchment of Byungchun River in Chungcheong Province in Korea (물리 결정 모델링에 의한 충청도 병천천 유역의 하천 유출량 복원과 물 수지 수립)

  • KIM, Man-Kyu
    • Journal of The Geomorphological Association of Korea
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.37-53
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    • 2008
  • This study has developed a water balance model for the catchment of Byungchun river using a BROOK90 4.4e physical deterministic water balance model with the long-term meterological data and stream run off data obtained from the basin of Byungchun river in Korea. It is intended that the validation model with calibrated model fitting parameter can build a long-term water balance plan for a period when meterological data are available but stream runoff data are not. Results of this study have satisfied the first expectation as an experiment for water balance modeling since measured stream runoff data have turned out to be very similar to simulated stream runoff data. Through the confirmation of model fitting parameters and validated simulation, water balance for the period of 1998 to 2006 has been restored. Unless the conditions of geomophology, vegetation, soil and land use change, meterological data alone can produce various hydrometeorological data related to stream runoff amount, soil water amount, and evapotranspiration. This study opens up a new horizon in restoring water balance in the past as well planning water balance in the present. The obtained results from this study are expected to be used in predicting future water balance in the wake of the changes in climate and vegetation in Korea.

Fundamental Study on Algorithm Development for Prediction of Smoke Spread Distance Based on Deep Learning (딥러닝 기반의 연기 확산거리 예측을 위한 알고리즘 개발 기초연구)

  • Kim, Byeol;Hwang, Kwang-Il
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.22-28
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    • 2021
  • This is a basic study on the development of deep learning-based algorithms to detect smoke before the smoke detector operates in the event of a ship fire, analyze and utilize the detected data, and support fire suppression and evacuation activities by predicting the spread of smoke before it spreads to remote areas. Proposed algorithms were reviewed in accordance with the following procedures. As a first step, smoke images obtained through fire simulation were applied to the YOLO (You Only Look Once) model, which is a deep learning-based object detection algorithm. The mean average precision (mAP) of the trained YOLO model was measured to be 98.71%, and smoke was detected at a processing speed of 9 frames per second (FPS). The second step was to estimate the spread of smoke using the coordinates of the boundary box, from which was utilized to extract the smoke geometry from YOLO. This smoke geometry was then applied to the time series prediction algorithm, long short-term memory (LSTM). As a result, smoke spread data obtained from the coordinates of the boundary box between the estimated fire occurrence and 30 s were entered into the LSTM learning model to predict smoke spread data from 31 s to 90 s in the smoke image of a fast fire obtained from fire simulation. The average square root error between the estimated spread of smoke and its predicted value was 2.74.

An Approach Using LSTM Model to Forecasting Customer Congestion Based on Indoor Human Tracking (실내 사람 위치 추적 기반 LSTM 모델을 이용한 고객 혼잡 예측 연구)

  • Hee-ju Chae;Kyeong-heon Kwak;Da-yeon Lee;Eunkyung Kim
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.43-53
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    • 2023
  • In this detailed and comprehensive study, our primary focus has been placed on accurately gauging the number of visitors and their real-time locations in commercial spaces. Particularly, in a real cafe, using security cameras, we have developed a system that can offer live updates on available seating and predict future congestion levels. By employing YOLO, a real-time object detection and tracking algorithm, the number of visitors and their respective locations in real-time are also monitored. This information is then used to update a cafe's indoor map, thereby enabling users to easily identify available seating. Moreover, we developed a model that predicts the congestion of a cafe in real time. The sophisticated model, designed to learn visitor count and movement patterns over diverse time intervals, is based on Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) to address the vanishing gradient problem and Sequence-to-Sequence (Seq2Seq) for processing data with temporal relationships. This innovative system has the potential to significantly improve cafe management efficiency and customer satisfaction by delivering reliable predictions of cafe congestion to all users. Our groundbreaking research not only demonstrates the effectiveness and utility of indoor location tracking technology implemented through security cameras but also proposes potential applications in other commercial spaces.

A Research Program for Modeling Strategic Aspects of International Container Port Competition

  • Anderson, Christopher M.;Luo, Meifeng;Chang, Young-Tae;Lee, Tae-Woo;Grigalunas, Thomas A.
    • Proceedings of the Korea Port Economic Association Conference
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    • 2006.08a
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2006
  • As national economies globalize, demand for intercontinental container shipping services is growing rapidly, providing a potential economic boon for the countries and communities that provide port services. On the promise of profits, many governments are investing heavily in port infrastructure, leading to a possible glut in port capacity, driving down prices for port services and eliminating profits as ports compete for business. Further, existing ports are making strategic investments to protect their market share, increasing the chance new ports will be overcapitalized and unprofitable. Governments and port researchers need a tool for understanding how local competition in their region will affect demand for port services at their location, and thus better assess the profitability of a prospective port. We propose to develop such a tool by extending our existing simulation model of global container traffic to incorporate demand-side shipper preferences and supply-side strategic responses by incumbent ports to changes in the global port network, including building new ports, scaling up existing ports, and unexpected port closures. We will estimate shipper preferences over routes, port attributes and port services based on US and international shipping data, and redesign the simulation model to maximize the shipper's revealed preference functions rather than simply minimize costs. As demand shifts, competing ports will adjust their pricing (short term) and infrastructure (long term) to remain competitive or defend market share, a reaction we will capture with a game theoretic model of local monopoly that will predict changes in port characteristics. The model's hypotheses will be tested in a controlled laboratory experiment tailored to local port competition in Asia, which will also serve to demonstrate the subtle game theoretic concepts of imperfect competition to a policy and industry audience. We will apply the simulation model to analyze changes in global container traffic in three scenarios: addition of a new large port in the US, extended closure of an existing large port in the US, and cooperative and competitive port infrastructure development among Korean partner countries in Asia.

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Eco-Hydrologic Assessment of Maintenance Water Supply on Oncheon Stream (온천천 유지용수 공급에 따른 생태수문환경 변화분석)

  • Jang, Ju-Hyoung;Kim, Sang-Dan;Sung, Ki-June;Shin, Hyun-Suk
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.16 no.8
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    • pp.973-983
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    • 2007
  • The eco-hydrologic effects of maintenance water supply on Oncheon stream are studied using hydrologic, hydraulic and ecologic models. SWMM (Storm Water Management Model) is used for long-term simulation of runoff quantity and water quality from Oncheon stream watershed. Using the output hydrologic variables from SWMM, HEC-RAS (River Analysis System) is then used to simulate the hydraulics of water flow through Oncheon stream channels. Such hydrologic, hydraulic and water quality output variables from SWMM and HEC-RAS are served as input data to execute PHABSIM (Physical Habitat Simulation) for the purpose of predicting the micro-habitat conditions in rivers as a function of stream flow and the relative suitability of those conditions to aquatic life. It is observed from the PHABSIM results that the weighted usable area for target fishes has the maximum value at $2m^3/s$ of instream flow. However, mid and down stream areas that have concrete river bed and covered region are unsuitable for fish habitat regardless of instream flow increment. The simulation results indicate that the simple maintenance water supply is limited in its effect to improve the ecological environment in Oncheon stream. Therefore, it is imperative to improve water quality and to recover habitat conditions simultaneously.

Non-linear System Dynamics Simulation Modeling of Adolescent Obesity: Using Korea Youth Risk Behavior Web-based Survey (시스템다이내믹스를 활용한 청소년 비만의 비선형 시뮬레이션: 청소년 건강행태 온라인 조사 자료 활용)

  • Lee, Hanna;Park, Eun Suk;Yu, Jae Kook;Yun, Eun Kyoung
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.45 no.5
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    • pp.723-732
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to develop a system dynamics model for adolescent obesity in Korea that could be used for obesity policy analysis. Methods: On the basis of the casual loop diagram, a model was developed by converting to stock and flow diagram. The Vensim DSS 5.0 program was used in the model development. We simulated method of moments to the calibration of this model with data from The Korea Youth Risk Behavior Web-based Survey 2005 to 2013. We ran the scenario simulation. Results: This model can be used to understand the current adolescent obesity rate, predict the future obesity rate, and be utilized as a tool for controlling the risk factors. The results of the model simulation match well with the data. It was identified that a proper model, able to predict obesity probability, was established. Conclusion: These results of stock and flow diagram modeling in adolescent obesity can be helpful in development of obesity by policy planners and other stakeholders to better anticipate the multiple effects of interventions in both the short and the long term. In the future we suggest the development of an expanded model based on this adolescent obesity model.

Evaluation of Resistance to Biochemical Corrosion by Simulation Test (시뮬레이션 시험에 의한 생화학적 부식 저항성 평가)

  • Kim, Gyu-Yong;Lee, Eui-Bae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.903-906
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    • 2008
  • To analyze the growth of SOB (Thiobacillus novellus) and biochemical corrosion of concrete, simulation test method and device were developed. And two types of simulation tests were conducted according to a transplant method and a concentration of H2SO4. As a result, the SOB growth in distinct manners and antibiosis of specimen were observed. In the case of the specimens indirectly transplanted with SOB through culture solution submersion at a hydrogen sulfide level of 120ppm, the rapid activation of SOB and the resulting sulfuric acid production were observed. However, SOB were shown to grow rapidly and then die out in a relative short period of time. Meanwhile, in the case of the specimens directly transplanted with SOB at a hydrogen sulfide level of 50ppm, the long-term growth of SOB was possible, but the production of sulfuric acid by SOB did not progress. In the case of the antibiotic metal-mixed specimens, SOB with destroyed cell membranes and internal organizations were observed.

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