• Title/Summary/Keyword: long-term simulation

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Long-term Runoff Simulation Considering Water for Agricultural Use in Geum River Basin (농업용수 이용량을 고려한 금강유역 장기유출모의)

  • Woo, Dong-Hyeon;Lee, Sang-Jin;Kim, Joo-Cheol;An, Jung-Min
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.43 no.3
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    • pp.349-355
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    • 2010
  • This study aims at the augmentation of reliability of the long-term rainfall runoff model. To do so agricultural water uses are evaluated by analyzing the effects of small scale irrigational hydraulic structures on long term runoff processes and thereby rainfall-runoff model is modified considering them. As a result the simulation results of the sub-basins having more agricultural reservoirs than the others are disagreed with the observations. The 2nd quarter simulation results show similar trend to it. Especially the farming seasonal results of the drought year as the year of 2008 have many negative discharge values due to the lack of agricultural water uses. This result come from the water uses input data corresponding to not real water uses but water demands. In this study the formulas are derived to estimate the discharges and return ratios and the long term rainfall-runoff model is reformulated based on these. It is confirmed that the errors of the simulation results could be reduced by considering the effects of small scale irrigational hydraulic structures and the reliability of the simulation results improved greatly.

Development of Coupled SWAT-SWMM Model (I) Model Development (SWAT-SWMM 결합모형의 개발 (I) 모형의 개발)

  • Kim, Nam-Won;Won, Yoo-Seung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.37 no.7
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    • pp.589-598
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    • 2004
  • From the continuous long-term rainfall-runoff standpoint, the urbanization within a watershed causes land use change due to the increase in impervious areas, the addition of manmade structures, and the changes in river environment. Therefore, rainfall-runoff characteristics changes drastically after the urbanization. Due to these reasons, there exists the demand for rainfall-runoff simulation model that can quantitatively evaluate the components of hydrologic cycle including surface runoff, river flow, and groundwater by considering urban watershed characteristics as well as natural runoff characteristics. In this study, continuous long-term rainfall-runoff simulation model SWAT-SWMM is developed by coupling semi-distributed continuous long-term rainfall-runoff simulation model SWAT with RUNOFF block of SWMM, which is frequently used in the runoff analysis of urban areas in order to consider urban watershed as well as natural watershed. The coupling of SWAT and SWMM is described with emphasis on the coupling scheme, model limitations, and the schematics of coupled model.

Long-Term Demand Forecasting Using Agent-Based Model : Application on Automotive Spare Parts (Agent-Based Model을 활용한 자동차 예비부품 장기수요예측)

  • Lee, Sangwook;Ha, Chunghun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.110-117
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    • 2015
  • Spare part management is very important to products that have large number of parts and long lifecycle such as automobile and aircraft. Supply chain must support immediate procurement for repair. However, it is not easy to handle spare parts efficiently due to huge stock keeping units. Qualified forecasting is the basis for the supply chain to achieve the goal. In this paper, we propose an agent based modeling approach that can deal with various factors simultaneously without mathematical modeling. Simulation results show that the proposed method is reasonable to describe demand generation process, and consequently, to forecast demand of spare parts in long-term perspective.

Simulation of Interface Ageing Effect of Suspension Insulator Using ANSYS (ANSYS를 이용한 현수애자의 계면팽창거동에 따른 특성 평가)

  • 우병철;한세원;조한구
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers C
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    • v.52 no.8
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    • pp.342-347
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    • 2003
  • The suspension insulators are subjected to harsh environment in service for a long time. Long term reliability of the insulators is required for both mechanical and electrical performances. We studied an analysing method to find out a deformation of brittle porcelain with a thermal expansion of simulation analysis and experimental results show that cement volume growths affect severely to b mechanical failure ageing.

Transmission Performance of Application Traffic on LTE Networks (LTE 네트워크에서 응용 트래픽의 전송 성능)

  • Kim, Young-Dong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.641-644
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    • 2017
  • Usage of LTE(Long Term Evolution) technology is expanded to industrial an emergency service field beyond commercial communications of mobile internet focused on smartphone. In this paper, transmission performance of LTE technology be supplied to various service area is analyzed on the level of application traffics. Performance is evaluated with compter simulation based NS(Network Simulator)-2, CBR(Constant Bit Rate), VBR(Variable Bit Rate File) traffic is used as simulation target. Results and methods of this paper can be used for research and developmemt of LTE based networks.

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A Study on the Development of Simulation Model for Inchon Port (인천내항을 위한 시뮬레이션 모델 개발)

  • 김동희;김봉선;이창호
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.127-137
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    • 2000
  • Inchon Port is the second largest import-export port of Korea, and has the point at issue such as the excessive logistics cost because of the limits of handling capacity and the chronic demurrage. The purpose of this paper is to develop the simulation program as a long-term strategic support tool, considering the dual dock system and the TOC(Terminal Operation Company) system executed since March, 1997 in Inchon Port. The basic input parameters such as arrival intervals, cargo tons, service rates are analyzed and the probability density functions for these parameters are estimated. From the simulation model, it is possible to estimate the demurrage status through analyzing various scenarios and to establish the long-term port strategic plan.

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Application to Evaluation of Hydrologic Time Series Forecasting for Long-Term Runoff Simulation (장기유출모의를 위한 수문시계열 예측모형의 적용성 평가)

  • Yoon, Sun-Kwon;Ahn, Jae-Hyun;Kim, Jong-Suk;Moon, Young-Il
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.42 no.10
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    • pp.809-824
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    • 2009
  • Hydrological system forecasting, which is the short term runoff historical data during the limited period in dam site, is a conditional precedent of hydrological persistence by stochastic analysis. We have forecasted the monthly hydrological system from Andong dam basin data that is the rainfall, evaporation, and runoff, using the seasonal ARIMA (autoregressive integrated moving average) model. Also we have conducted long term runoff simulations through the forecasted results of TANK model and ARIMA+TANK model. The results of analysis have been concurred to the observation data, and it has been considered for application to possibility on the stochastic model for dam inflow forecasting. Thus, the method presented in this study suggests a help to water resource mid- and long-term strategy establishment to application for runoff simulations through the forecasting variables of hydrological time series on the relatively short holding runoff data in an object basins.

A Study on Simulation based Manufacturing in Shipyards : Focused on a Long-term Plan Verification (조선소에서의 시뮬레이션 기반 생산에 관한 연구 : 선표 계획 검증을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Dong-Kun;Oh, Dae-Kyun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.86-95
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    • 2014
  • Productivity improvement of a shipbuilding company depends on how efficiently its limited resources are managed and utilized. Recently, research on modeling and simulation (M&S) to support shipyard production management system has been being under study. The production management based on M&S rejects decision making on experience, and it can establish productivity improvement method based on quantitative and specific data. In this paper, M&S is applied to the long-term plan as a part of the production planning in shipyards. To this end, the long-term plan processes and related management systems are analyzed. Based on the analysis, a simulation model and an application system using commercial simulation software are suggested. And basic structure of the suggested system is based on web technology such as Rich Internet Application, web services protocol for compatibility with existing shipyard enterprise systems. Utilizing the results of this study, it is expected that shipyard production planners can settle down work flow, in which one can establishes the production plan, simulates the plan, and analyzes the results, enabling a more reliable production plans.

Comparison of long-term behavior between prestressed concrete and corrugated steel web bridges

  • Zhan, Yulin;Liu, Fang;Ma, Zhongguo John;Zhang, Zhiqiang;Duan, Zengqiang;Song, Ruinian
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.30 no.6
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    • pp.535-550
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    • 2019
  • Prestressed concrete (PC) bridges using corrugated steel webbing have emerged as one of the most promising forms of steel-concrete composite bridge. However, their long-term behavior is not well understood, especially in the case of large-span bridges. In order to study the time-dependent performance, a large three-span PC bridge with corrugated steel webbing was compared to a similar conventional PC bridge to examine their respective time-dependent characteristics. In addition, a three-dimensional finite element method with step-by-step time integration that takes into account cantilever construction procedures was used to predict long-term behaviors such as deflection, stress distribution and prestressing loss. These predictions were based upon four well-established empirical creep prediction models. PC bridges with a corrugated steel web were observed to have a better long-term performance relative to conventional PC bridges. In particular, it is noted that the pre-cambering for PC bridges with a corrugated steel web could be smaller than that of conventional PC bridges. The ratio of side-to-mid span has great influence on the long-term deformation of PC bridges with a corrugated steel web, and it is suggested that the design value should be between 0.4 and 0.6. However, the different creep prediction models still showed a weak homogeneity, thus, the further experimental research and the development of health monitoring systems are required to further progress our understanding of the long-term behavior of PC bridges with corrugated steel webbing.

Long-term Settlement Characteristics of Closed Landfill (사용종료 쓰레기매립지의 장기침하특성 분석)

  • 정하익;진현식;김상근;이강민;김태섭
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2002.03a
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    • pp.605-610
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    • 2002
  • Waste body settlement is an important aspect of management of landfill sites both during the operational and the post-closure phases. Settlement in landfill waste is caused by combination of load, creep and biodegradation induced effects. In this paper, settlement characteristics of closed waste landfill were studied by analyzing in situ measured data and computer simulation technique. Techniques for the analysis of load-induced and creep settlement, and for their implementation, can be adapted for landfill waste. The estimate of settlements from models shows a increase according to time.

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