• 제목/요약/키워드: long-term runoff analysis

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CAT을 이용한 저수지 수위 예측 (Prediction of Reservoir Water Level using CAT)

  • 장철희;김현준;김진택
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제54권1호
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    • pp.27-38
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    • 2012
  • This study is to analyse the hydrological behavior of agricultural reservoir using CAT (Catchment hydrologic cycle Assessment Tool). The CAT is a water cycle analysis model in order to quantitatively assess the characteristics of the short/long-term changes in watershed. It supports the effective design of water cycle improvement facilities by supplementing the strengths and weaknesses of existing conceptual parameter-based lumped hydrologic models and physical parameter-based distributed hydrologic models. The CAT especially supports the analysis of runoff processes in paddy fields and reservoirs. To evaluate the impact of agricultural reservoir operation and irrigation water supply on long-term rainfall-runoff process, the CAT was applied to Idong experimental catchment, operated for research on the rural catchment characteristics and accumulated long term data by hydrological observation equipments since 2000. From the results of the main control points, Idong, Yongdeok and Misan reservoirs, the daily water levels of those points are consistent well with observed water levels, and the Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiencies were 0.32~0.89 (2001~2007) and correlation coefficients were 0.73~0.98.

제주도 도심하천 유역의 유출특성 해석 (Characteristics of Runoff on Urban Watershed in Jeju island, Korea)

  • 정우열;양성기;이준호
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제22권5호
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    • pp.555-562
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    • 2013
  • Jeju Island, the heaviest raining area in Korea, is a volcanic Island located at the southernmost of Korea, but most streams are of the dry due to its hydrological/geological characteristics different from those of inland areas. Therefore, there are limitations in applying the results from the mainland to the studies on stream run-off characteristics analysis and water resource analysis of Jeju Island. In this study, the SWAT(soil & water assessment tool) model is used for the Hwabuk stream watershed located east of the downtown to calculate the long-term stream run-off rate, and WMS(watershed modeling system) and HEC-HMS(hydrologic modeling system) models are used to figure out the stream run-off characteristics due to short-term heavy rainfall. As the result of SWAT modelling for the long-term rainfall-runoff model for Hwabuk stream watershed in 2008, 5.66% of the average precipitation of the entire basin was run off, with 3.47% in 2009, 8.12% in 2010, and root mean square error(RMSE) and determination coefficient($R^2$) was 496.9 and 0.87, respectively, with model efficient(ME) of 0.72. From the results of WMS and HEC-HMS models which are short-term rainfall-runoff models, unless there was a preceding rainfall, the runoff occurred only for rainfall of 40mm or greater, and the run-off duration averaged 10~14 hours.

RAINFALL AND RUNOFF VARIATION ANALYSIS FOR WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES

  • Sang-man;Heon, Joo-;Jong-ho;Kum-young
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • 제5권3호
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    • pp.111-121
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    • 2004
  • For the long-term strategic water resources planning, forecasting the future streamflow change is important to meet the demand of a growing society. The streamflow variation to the decade-long precipitation was investigated for the two major stage gauging stations in Korea. Precipitation and runoff characteristics have been analyzed at Yongwol stream stage in the Han River as well as Sutong stream stage in the Kum River for the future water resources management strategies. Monte Carlo method has been applied to estimate the future precipitation and runoff. Based on the trend line of 10-year moving average of runoff depth for the historical runoff records, the relation between runoff and the time variation was examined in more detail using regression analysis. This study showed that the surface flows have been significantly decreased while precipitation has been stable in these basins. Decreasing in runoff reflects the regional watershed characteristics such as forest cover changes. The findings of this study could contribute to the planning and development for the efficient water resources utilization.

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유출모의를 위한 주요제어지점 유량특성 분석 (Analysis of Stream Discharge Characteristic at Control Point for Runoff Model Application)

  • 이상진;이배성;류경식;황만하
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제39권11호
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    • pp.905-914
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    • 2006
  • 유역의 정확한 강우-유출관계를 모의하기 위해서는 모형의 적용과 더불어 관측자료의 정확한 평가 및 검증이 병행되어야 한다. 본 연구에서는 SSARR모형을 금강유역에 적용하여 모의결과를 주요제어지점인 공주지점의 유량과 비교하였다. 분석결과 이수기시 저수위 구간에서 상당한 오차가 발생하였으며, 이에 대한 원인 분석을 위해 과거 관측유량자료(Rating Curve)의 신뢰도분석 및 유량 재관측($'03{\sim}'05$년)을 실시하였고, 유출성분 분석기법을 활용한 장기유출량을 산정하여 제어지점의 수리특성을 명확히 분석하고자 하였다. 분석결과 SSARR 모의결과 및 유출성분분석에 의한 장기유출량 산정결과는 재관측된 유량과 근사한 것으로 분석되었으나, 기존의 관측유량은 지점의 공간적 특성에 기인한 수리학적 영향으로 인해 평 갈수기시 약 $10{\sim}20%$ 과대 산정된 것으로 분석되어 이에 관한 보정 및 지속적인 모니터링이 필요하다.

HEC-HMS 모형에 의한 장기유출량과 EFDC 모형을 이용한 호소 내 수질특성 분석 (Analysis of Water Quality Characteristics Using Simulated Long-Term Runoff by HEC-HMS Model and EFDC Model)

  • 김연수;김수전;김형수
    • 한국습지학회지
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    • 제13권3호
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    • pp.707-720
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    • 2011
  • 호소의 경우, 장기간 수류의 체류현상이 발생하는데, 특히, 수심방향의 수층에 따른 호소 내 수류와 수질 문제는 하천에서의 수질 문제와 다르다고 할 수 있다. 따라서 호소 수체 내의 수류와 수질을 시간에 따라 모의할 수 있는 3차원 비정상 상태의 수질모형을 적용하는 것이 유리하다고 할 수 있다. 3차원 모형은 댐이나 호소에서 수심방향으로 수층을 구분하여 수질모의가 가능하고 보다 신뢰성 있는 결과를 얻을 수 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 3차원 모형인 EFDC를 이용하여 섬진강 댐의 운암호에 대한 수질 모의를 실시하였다. GIS기반의 강우-유출 모형인 HEC-GeoHMS와 HEC-HMS를 이용하여 장기유출량을 산정하고, 관측된 수위, 기상, 수온, 총 질소, 총 인에 대하여 입력 자료를 구축하였으며, EFDC 모형 적용을 위해 수심을 3개의 층으로 구분하고 5,634개의 격자를 추출하여 격자망을 구성한 후 운암호 내의 수질 변화를 시공간적으로 모의하였다. 장기유출 모의 결과 전체적으로 실제 유출량을 잘 반영한 것으로 나타났으며, 수질 모의를 통해 오염원 인자들에 따른 거동특성을 확인할 수 있었고 모의 수질은 관측 수질을 적절히 반영하는 것으로 판단된다. EFDC는 적절한 수질모의가 가능할 것으로 판단되며 향후 상수원의 취수 및 관리 대책 수립 등을 위한 지원을 기초도구로 활용할 수 있을 것으로 기대한다.

SWAT 모형을 이용한 시.공간적 토지 이용변화에 따른 유량 및 유사량 특성분석 (Analysis of Watershed Runoff and Sediment Characteristics due to Spatio-Temporal Change in Land Uses Using SWAT Model)

  • 신용철;임경재;김기성;최중대
    • 한국관개배수논문집
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.50-56
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    • 2007
  • In this study, the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model was used to assess spatiotemporal effects on watershed runoff and sediment characteristics due to land uses changes from 1999 to 2002 at the small watershed, located in Chuncheon-si, Gangwon province. The annual average flow rate of Scenario I (long-term simulation using land use of 1990), II (long-term simulation using land use of 1996), III(long-term simulation using land use of 200) and IV(simulation using land use of 1990, 1995, and 2000) in long-term simulation) using the SWAT model were 29,997,043 m3, 29,992,628 m3, 29,811,191 m3 and 29,931,238 m3, respectively. It was shown that there was no significant changes in estimated flow rate because no significant changes in land uses between 1990 and 2000 were observed. The annual average sediment loads of Scenarios I, II, III and IV for 15 year period were 36,643 kg/ha, 45,340 kg/ha , 27,195 kg/ha and 35,545 kg/ha, respectively. The estimated annual sediment loads from Scenarios I, II, and III, were different from that from the scenario IV, considering spatio-temporal changes in land use and meterological changes over the years, by 10%, 127%, and temporal changes in land use and meterological changes over the years, by 10%, 127%, and 77%. This can be explained in land use changes in high soil erosion potential areas, such as upland areas, within the study watershed. The comparison indicates that changes in land uses upland areas, within the study watershed. The comparison indicates that changes in land uses can affect on sediment yields by more than 10%, which could exceed the safety factor of 10% in Total Maximum Daily Loads (TMDLs). It is, therefore, recommended that not only the temporal analysis with the weather input data but also spatial one with different land uses need to be considered in long-term hydrology and sediment simulating using the SWAT model

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강우-유출모형의 매개변수 보정을 위한 최적화 기법의 비교분석 (The Comparative Analysis of Optimization Methods for the Parameter Calibration of Rainfall-Runoff Models)

  • 김선주;지용근;김필식
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제47권3호
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    • pp.3-13
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    • 2005
  • The conceptual rainfall-runoff models are used to predict complex hydrological effects of a basin. However, to obtain reliable results, there are some difficulties and problems in choosing optimum model, calibrating, and verifying the chosen model suitable for hydrological characteristics of the basin. In this study, Genetic Algorithm and SCE-UA method as global optimization methods were applied to compare the each optimization technique and to analyze the application for the rainfall-runoff models. Modified TANK model that is used to calculate outflow for watershed management and reservoir operation etc. was optimized as a long term rainfall-runoff model. And storage-function model that is used to predict real-time flood using historical data was optimized as a short term rainfall-runoff model. The optimized models were applied to simulate runoff on Pyeongchang-river watershed and Bocheong-stream watershed in 2001 and 2002. In the historical data study, the Genetic Algorithm and the SCE-UA method showed consistently good results considering statistical values compared with observed data.

장기 유출해석에서의 융설영향에 관한 기초 연구 (A Fundamental Study on the Snowmelt Effects for Long-Term Runoff Analysis)

  • 배덕효
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제31권6호
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    • pp.833-844
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    • 1998
  • 본 연구의 목적은 융설모형을 국내에 도입하고 이를 강우-유출모형과 결합하여 우리나라 북부 산간지방의 장기 유출해석을 위한 융설의 영향을 고찰하는데 있다. 선택된 모형은 미국 국립기상청의 온도지수 융설모형이며, 이를 유연면적이 1,059.6$\textrm{km}^2$ 인 내린천 유역에 적용.검토하였다. 모형에 의해서 계산된 강설의 지역적 분포에 대한 시간적 변동성은 인제 측후소에서 관측된 강설량의 변동성과 잘 일치하는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 모형에 의해서 계산된 토양수분 및 하천유량은 융설모형의 존재 유무에 따라 매우 다른 거동을 나타냄을 알 수 있었다. 따라서 본 연구의 융설모형은 국내의 상황에 적합한 것으로 생각되며, 본 연구 대상지역의 장기 유출해석시 융설의 영향은 중요한 것으로 판단된다.

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연속 강우-유출 모의기법을 이용한 최적 CSOs 산정에 관한 연구 (A Study of Optimal-CSOs by Continuous Rainfall/Runoff Simulation Techniques)

  • 조덕준;김명수;이정호;김중훈
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제22권6호
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    • pp.1068-1074
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    • 2006
  • For receiving water quality protection a control systems of urban drainage for CSOs reduction is needed. Examples in combined sewer systems include downstream storage facilities that detain runoff during periods of high flow and allow the detained water to be conveyed by an interceptor sewer to a centralized treatment plant during periods of low flow. The design of such facilities as storm-water detention storage is highly dependant on the temporal variability of storage capacity available as well as the infiltration capacity of soil and recovery of depression storage. For the continuous long-term analysis of urban drainage system this study used analytical probabilistic model based on derived probability distribution theory. As an alternative to the modeling of urban drainage system for planning or screening level analysis of runoff control alternatives, this model has evolved that offers much ease and flexibility in terms of computation while considering long-term meteorology. This study presented rainfall and runoff characteristics of the subject area using analytical probabilistic model. Runoff characteristics manifested the unique characteristics of the subject area with the infiltration capacity of soil and recovery of depression storage and was examined appropriately by sensitivity analysis. This study presented the average annual CSOs, number of CSOs and event mean CSOs for the decision of storage volume.