• Title/Summary/Keyword: long-run

Search Result 1,238, Processing Time 0.026 seconds

Optimal Inspection Period for the System Subject to Random Shocks

  • Kim, Sung-Soon;Choi, Seung-Kyoung;Lee, Eui-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.16 no.4
    • /
    • pp.725-733
    • /
    • 2005
  • A system subject to random shocks is considered. The shocks arrive according to a Poisson process and the amount of each shock is exponentially distributed. In this paper, a periodic inspection policy for the system is compared with a random inspection policy. After assigning several maintenance costs to the system, we calculate and compare the long-run average costs per unit time under two policies.

  • PDF

A New Approach to an Inventory with Constant Demand

  • Lee, Eui-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.19 no.4
    • /
    • pp.1345-1352
    • /
    • 2008
  • An inventory with constant demand is studied. We adopt a renewal argument to obtain the transient and stationary distribution of the level of the inventory. We show that the stationary distribution can be also derived by making use of either the level crossing technique or the renewal reward theorem. After assigning several managing costs to the inventory, we calculate the long-run average cost per unit time. A numerical example is illustrated to show how we optimize the inventory.

  • PDF

A Study on Optimal Planning Strategy Based on Customer Outage Costs

  • Kim, Bal-Ho H.
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • v.5 no.1
    • /
    • pp.21-27
    • /
    • 2010
  • This paper examines the long-run social welfare maximization problems facing public utilities, which includes consideration of the cost of capital or other fixed costs of production, from which it derives optimal investment decisions in a reliability differentiated pricing based market. Reliability differentiated pricing policies lead to straightforward mathematical results on optimal investment decisions in generation and transmission expansion planning. This paper presents the mathematical conditions for optimal investment decisions.

A Level Crossing Approach to the Analysis of Finite Dam

  • Kim, Sunggon;Lee, Eui-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
    • /
    • v.31 no.3
    • /
    • pp.405-413
    • /
    • 2002
  • We consider a finite dam with general inputs and adopt the level crossing approach to obtain explicit formulas of the expected wet period, the expected loss of water due to overflows in a wet period, and the long-run proportion of loss in inputed water.

The Long-Run Relation of Public Debt and Fiscal Balance to Government Bond Rates: An Empirical Study on the Validity of Modern Monetary Theory (국가부채 및 재정수지와 국채이자율의 장기적 관계: 현대화폐이론 검증을 중심으로)

  • Kangwoo Park
    • Analyses & Alternatives
    • /
    • v.7 no.3
    • /
    • pp.181-230
    • /
    • 2023
  • Evaluating the empirical validity of Modern Monetary Theory, this study implements panel cointegration analysis on annual panel data (2000-2022) of OECD countries. Specifically, the sample countries are divided into groups based on the presence of their own sovereign currencies, and for each group, the long-run equilibrium relation (cointegration) between the ratio of public debt or fiscal deficit and government bond rates is tested and estimated. Main findings are as follows: applying the pooled mean-group estimation for panel cointegration, it is found that both the ratios of public debt and fiscal deficit have significantly positive long-run correlation with government bond rates in countries without sovereign currency such as the Euro-zone or fixed exchange rate regime countries. However, in countries with sovereign currency such as non-Euro-zone or floating exchange rate regime countries, the long-run correlation is either negative or not statistically significant. Particularly, in countries without sovereign currency, the ratio of public debt has significantly positive correlation with the real government bond rates in the short run as well as the long run. These results are consistent with the prediction of Modern Monetary Theory, thus providing a supporting evidence for the empirical validity of the theory.

A Study on the Impact of Real Exchange Rate Volatility of RMB on China's Foreign Direct Investment to Japan

  • He, Yugang
    • East Asian Journal of Business Economics (EAJBE)
    • /
    • v.6 no.3
    • /
    • pp.24-36
    • /
    • 2018
  • Purpose - From establishing China-Japan diplomatic relations in 1972, the relations between two states has improved a lot, from which makes the government and the people reap much benefit. Owing to this reason, this paper aims at exploiting the impact of exchange rate volatility of RMB on China's foreign direct investment to Japan. Research design and methodology - The quarterly time series data from 2003 to 2016 will be employed to conduct an empirical analysis under the vector error correction model. Meanwhile, a menu of estimated methods such the Johansen co-integration test and the Granger Causality test will be also used to explore the impact of exchange rate volatility of RMB on China's foreign direct investment to Japan. Results - The empirical analysis results exhibit that the real exchange rate has a positive effect on China's foreign direct investment to Japan in the long run. Conversely, the real exchange rate volatility of RMB, the trade openness and the real GDP have a negative effect on China's foreign direct investment to Japan in the long run. However, in the short run, the China's foreign direct investment to Japan, the real exchange rate, the trade openness and the real GDP in period have a negative effect on China's foreign direct investment to Japan in period. Oppositely, the real exchange rate volatility of RMB in period has a positive effect on China's foreign direct investment to Japan in period. Conclusions - From the empirical evidences in this paper provided, it can be concluded that an increase in the exchange rate volatility of RMB can result in a decrease in the China's foreign direct investment to Japan in the long run. However, an increase in the exchange rate volatility of RMB can lead to an increase in the China's foreign direct investment to Japan in the short run. Therefore, the China's government should have a best control of the real exchange rate volatility of RMB so as to improve China's foreign direct investment to Japan.

Low-Carbon, Green-Growth and Empirical Analysis on Potential for Accomplishment by Industries (저탄소 녹색성장과 산업의 잠재성과에 관한 실증분석)

  • Lee, Myunghun
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
    • /
    • v.20 no.1
    • /
    • pp.99-118
    • /
    • 2011
  • 'Low Carbon, Green Growth' may be the achievable target in industry section, depending on whether less reliance on fossil-fuels use can bring higher productivity growth in the long run. This paper tests for the short-run and long-run effects of investment on energy-saving equipments on productivity growth in the Korean manufacturing industries. The investment in energy efficiency causes an increase in costs (measurement effect) in the short-run, but in the long-run likely improve energy intensity and reduce costs (positive real effect) despite the delay in new other investment for technical innovation (negative real effect). A 2SLS regression was attempted to deal with endogeneity of energy-saving investment. The productivity effects were tested for five manufacturing sub-industries showing relatively high energy intensity with annual time series data from 1982 through 2006. No productivity effects were accepted for all five sub-industries except Chemical products. Positive real effect was considered to be exceeded by negative real effect, resulting in decreased productivity growth for Chemical products.

  • PDF

Estimation and utilization of transport LPG demand function (수송용 LPG 수요함수의 추정 및 활용)

  • Lee, Seung-Jae;Han, Jong-Ho;Yoo, Seung-Hoon
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
    • /
    • v.21 no.3
    • /
    • pp.301-308
    • /
    • 2012
  • This paper attempts to estimate the demand function for the transport LPG and to analyze long-run and short-run price and income elasticities. In addition, the paper measures consumer surplus and economic value ensuing from the transport LPG consumption by utilizing the estimated long-run price elasticity. The price and the income data are the monthly real transport LPG price and the monthly composite index adjusted by real transport LPG price from 2003 to 2012. Unit root test, co-integration test and error correction model are to take the procedure of estimation of demand curve. The demand for transport LPG is considered to be inelastic and the long-run demand is more elasticity than that of short-run. Price elasticity of demand estimate here is -0.422, and the estimated consumer surplus and economic value in 2010/03 are 966 and 1,781 billion won, respectively.

Statistical testings for common stochastic trends in markets under recession (경기 침체기 시장의 공통확률추세 검정)

  • Cho, Joong-Jae;Lee, Seung-Eun;Kim, Tae-Ho
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.29 no.4
    • /
    • pp.559-569
    • /
    • 2016
  • A long-run relationship of stock, monetary, realty markets, and business conditions has been suggested to exist due to internal and external shocks. This study investigates whether such a relationship really exists and then performs statistical tests to discern features of the long-run adjustment processes from short-run discrepancies because it is difficult to find studies that examine the market relationship. The comovement relationship of the whole market does not appear to hold for the entire study period; however, it is found to exist for the period before the financial crisis. Estimated error correction models show consistently declining equilibrium errors each period that suggests a recovering process of the long-run equilibrium from short-run secessions.

A Comparative Study of Flight Distance in Golf Swing, After the Driver Shot (골프 드라이버 스윙시 볼의 종류에 따른 비거리분석)

  • Ryu, Ho-Yeong
    • Korean Journal of Applied Biomechanics
    • /
    • v.13 no.1
    • /
    • pp.63-72
    • /
    • 2003
  • This study is examine and analysis of the most flying and run distance during swing three times with six balls between two amateurs and pro-golfers in golf field in Sungnam airport. During down swing, kinetics variances are velocity of club-head and balls, vertical angular velocity. this scientic data present amateur golfers with recognition of long flying distances for golf balls. Through this study, the conclusions are as follows. 1. Before impact the balls, The club-head velocity of amateur golfers and pro-golfers show 33.34 - 39.53m/s, 39.04 - 42.82m/s respectively during the down swing. But The club-head velocity, flight and Run distances comparative $K_1$ amateur golfer with the pro-golfer are similar. 2. After impact the balls, The balls velocity if amateur golfers show 53.04 - 61.57m/s, The pro-golfers show 62.32 - 63.4m/s respectively during the down swing. In case of $K_3$,$K_4$, After the impact balls velocity comparative The RA brand with other brand are similar, Flight and Run distance are difference. 3. After impact the balls, The balls velocity are difference to other brand but The long flight and Run distance arrange RA, BIG, TITL. 4. In the vertical flight angle of the ball after impact, amateur golfer showed 16.75 - $18.73^{\circ}$. The pro-golfer showed 15.03 - $16.04^{\circ}$. In the vertical flight angle of the balls ideal $12-13^{\circ}$, The long flight and Run distance approach In the vertical flight angle the balls $12-13^{\circ}$.