• Title/Summary/Keyword: long term neural network

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Future water quality analysis of the Anseongcheon River basin, Korea under climate change

  • Kim, Deokwhan;Kim, Jungwook;Joo, Hongjun;Han, Daegun;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Membrane and Water Treatment
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2019
  • The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) predicted that recent extreme hydrological events would affect water quality and aggravate various forms of water pollution. To analyze changes in water quality due to future climate change, input data (precipitation, average temperature, relative humidity, average wind speed and sunlight) were established using the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 8.5 climate change scenario suggested by the AR5 and calculated the future runoff for each target period (Reference:1989-2015; I: 2016-2040; II: 2041-2070; and III: 2071-2099) using the semi-distributed land use-based runoff processes (SLURP) model. Meteorological factors that affect water quality (precipitation, temperature and runoff) were inputted into the multiple linear regression analysis (MLRA) and artificial neural network (ANN) models to analyze water quality data, dissolved oxygen (DO), biological oxygen demand (BOD), chemical oxygen demand (COD), suspended solids (SS), total nitrogen (T-N) and total phosphorus (T-P). Future water quality prediction of the Anseongcheon River basin shows that DO at Gongdo station in the river will drop by 35% in autumn by the end of the $21^{st}$ century and that BOD, COD and SS will increase by 36%, 20% and 42%, respectively. Analysis revealed that the oxygen demand at Dongyeongyo station will decrease by 17% in summer and BOD, COD and SS will increase by 30%, 12% and 17%, respectively. This study suggests that there is a need to continuously monitor the water quality of the Anseongcheon River basin for long-term management. A more reliable prediction of future water quality will be achieved if various social scenarios and climate data are taken into consideration.

A New Vessel Path Prediction Method Based on Anticipation of Acceleration of Vessel (가속도 예측 기반 새로운 선박 이동 경로 예측 방법)

  • Kim, Jonghee;Jung, Chanho;Kang, Dokeun;Lee, Chang Jin
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.1176-1179
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    • 2020
  • Vessel path prediction methods generally predict the latitude and longitude of a future location directly. However, in the case of direct prediction, errors could be large since the possible output range is too broad. In addition, error accumulation could occur since recurrent neural networks-based methods employ previous predicted data to forecast future data. In this paper, we propose a vessel path prediction method that does not directly predict the longitude and latitude. Instead, the proposed method predicts the acceleration of the vessel. Then the acceleration is employed to generate the velocity and direction, and the values decide the longitude and latitude of the future location. In the experiment, we show that the proposed method makes smaller errors than the direct prediction method, while both methods employ the same model.

An Empirical Study on Prediction of the Art Price using Multivariate Long Short Term Memory Recurrent Neural Network Deep Learning Model (다변수 LSTM 순환신경망 딥러닝 모형을 이용한 미술품 가격 예측에 관한 실증연구)

  • Lee, Jiin;Song, Jeongseok
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.552-560
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    • 2021
  • With the recent development of the art distribution system, interest in art investment is increasing rather than seeing art as an object of aesthetic utility. Unlike stocks and bonds, the price of artworks has a heterogeneous characteristic that is determined by reflecting both objective and subjective factors, so the uncertainty in price prediction is high. In this study, we used LSTM Recurrent Neural Network deep learning model to predict the auction winning price by inputting the artist, physical and sales charateristics of the Korean artist. According to the result, the RMSE value, which explains the difference between the predicted and actual price by model, was 0.064. Painter Lee Dae Won had the highest predictive power, and Lee Joong Seop had the lowest. The results suggest the art market becomes more active as investment goods and demand for auction winning price increases.

Performance Comparison of Machine Learning Models to Detect Screen Use and Devices (스크린 사용 여부 및 사용 디바이스 감지를 위한 머신러닝 모델 성능 비교)

  • Hwang, Sangwon;Kim, Dongwoo;Lee, Juhwan;Kang, Seungwoo
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.584-590
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    • 2020
  • Long-term use of digital screens in daily life can lead to computer vision syndrome including symptoms such as eye strain, dry eyes, and headaches. To prevent computer vision syndrome, it is important to limit screen usage time and take frequent breaks. There are a variety of applications that can help users know the screen usage time. However, these apps are limited because users see various screens such as desktops, laptops, and tablets as well as smartphone screens. In this paper, we propose and evaluate machine learning-based models that detect the screen device in use using color, IMU and lidar sensor data. Our evaluation shows that neural network-based models show relatively high F1 scores compared to traditional machine learning models. Among neural network-based models, the MLP and CNN-based models have higher scores than the LSTM-based model. The RF model shows the best result among the traditional machine learning models, followed by the SVM model.

CNN-based Adaptive K for Improving Positioning Accuracy in W-kNN-based LTE Fingerprint Positioning

  • Kwon, Jae Uk;Chae, Myeong Seok;Cho, Seong Yun
    • Journal of Positioning, Navigation, and Timing
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.217-227
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    • 2022
  • In order to provide a location-based services regardless of indoor or outdoor space, it is important to provide position information of the terminal regardless of location. Among the wireless/mobile communication resources used for this purpose, Long Term Evolution (LTE) signal is a representative infrastructure that can overcome spatial limitations, but the positioning method based on the location of the base station has a disadvantage in that the accuracy is low. Therefore, a fingerprinting technique, which is a pattern recognition technology, has been widely used. The simplest yet widely applied algorithm among Fingerprint positioning technologies is k-Nearest Neighbors (kNN). However, in the kNN algorithm, it is difficult to find the optimal K value with the lowest positioning error for each location to be estimated, so it is generally fixed to an appropriate K value and used. Since the optimal K value cannot be applied to each estimated location, therefore, there is a problem in that the accuracy of the overall estimated location information is lowered. Considering this problem, this paper proposes a technique for adaptively varying the K value by using a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) model among Artificial Neural Network (ANN) techniques. First, by using the signal information of the measured values obtained in the service area, an image is created according to the Physical Cell Identity (PCI) and Band combination, and an answer label for supervised learning is created. Then, the structure of the CNN is modeled to classify K values through the image information of the measurements. The performance of the proposed technique is verified based on actual data measured in the testbed. As a result, it can be seen that the proposed technique improves the positioning performance compared to using a fixed K value.

The Edge Computing System for the Detection of Water Usage Activities with Sound Classification (음향 기반 물 사용 활동 감지용 엣지 컴퓨팅 시스템)

  • Seung-Ho Hyun;Youngjoon Chee
    • Journal of Biomedical Engineering Research
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.147-156
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    • 2023
  • Efforts to employ smart home sensors to monitor the indoor activities of elderly single residents have been made to assess the feasibility of a safe and healthy lifestyle. However, the bathroom remains an area of blind spot. In this study, we have developed and evaluated a new edge computer device that can automatically detect water usage activities in the bathroom and record the activity log on a cloud server. Three kinds of sound as flushing, showering, and washing using wash basin generated during water usage were recorded and cut into 1-second scenes. These sound clips were then converted into a 2-dimensional image using MEL-spectrogram. Sound data augmentation techniques were adopted to obtain better learning effect from smaller number of data sets. These techniques, some of which are applied in time domain and others in frequency domain, increased the number of training data set by 30 times. A deep learning model, called CRNN, combining Convolutional Neural Network and Recurrent Neural Network was employed. The edge device was implemented using Raspberry Pi 4 and was equipped with a condenser microphone and amplifier to run the pre-trained model in real-time. The detected activities were recorded as text-based activity logs on a Firebase server. Performance was evaluated in two bathrooms for the three water usage activities, resulting in an accuracy of 96.1% and 88.2%, and F1 Score of 96.1% and 87.8%, respectively. Most of the classification errors were observed in the water sound from washing. In conclusion, this system demonstrates the potential for use in recording the activities as a lifelog of elderly single residents to a cloud server over the long-term.

A study on activation functions of Artificial Neural Network model suitable for prediction of the groundwater level in the mid-mountainous area of eastern Jeju island (제주도 동부 중산간지역 지하수위 예측에 적합한 인공신경망 모델의 활성화함수 연구)

  • Mun-Ju Shin;Jeong-Hun Kim;Su-Yeon Kang;Jeong-Han Lee;Kyung Goo Kang
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.520-520
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    • 2023
  • 제주도 동부 중산간 지역은 화산암으로 구성된 지하지질로 인해 지하수위의 변동폭이 크고 변동양상이 복잡하여 인공신경망(Artificial Neural Network, ANN) 모델 등을 활용한 지하수위의 예측이 어렵다. ANN에 적용되는 활성화함수에 따라 지하수의 예측성능은 달라질 수 있으므로 활성화함수의 비교분석 후 적절한 활성화함수의 사용이 반드시 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 5개 활성화함수(sigmoid, hyperbolic tangent(tanh), Rectified Linear Unit(ReLU), Leaky Rectified Linear Unit(Leaky ReLU), Exponential Linear Unit(ELU))를 제주도 동부 중산간지역에 위치한 2개 지하수 관정에 대해 비교분석하여 최적 활성화함수 도출을 목표로 한다. 또한 최적 활성화함수를 활용한 ANN의 적용성을 평가하기 위해 최근 널리 사용되고 있는 순환신경망 모델인 Long Short-Term Memory(LSTM) 모델과 비교분석 하였다. 그 결과, 2개 관정 중 지하수위 변동폭이 상대적으로 큰 관정은 ELU 함수, 상대적으로 작은 관정은 Leaky ReLU 함수가 지하수위 예측에 적절하였다. 예측성능이 가장 낮은 활성화함수는 sigmoid 함수로 나타나 첨두 및 최저 지하수위 예측 시 사용을 지양해야 할 것으로 판단된다. 도출된 최적 활성화함수를 사용한 ANN-ELU 모델 및 ANN-Leaky ReLU 모델을 LSTM 모델과 비교분석한 결과 대등한 지하수위 예측성능을 나타내었다. 이것은 feed-forward 방식인 ANN 모델을 사용하더라도 적절한 활성화함수를 사용하면 최신 순환신경망과 대등한 결과를 도출하여 활용 가능성이 충분히 있다는 것을 의미한다. 마지막으로 LSTM 모델은 가장 적절한 예측성능을 나타내어 다양한 인공지능 모델의 예측성능 비교를 위한 기준이 되는 참고모델로 활용 가능하다. 본 연구에서 제시한 방법은 지하수위 예측과 더불어 하천수위 예측 등 다양한 시계열예측 및 분석연구에 유용하게 사용될 수 있다.

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An Object-Based Image Retrieval Techniques using the Interplay between Cortex and Hippocampus (해마와 피질의 상호 관계를 이용한 객체 기반 영상 검색 기법)

  • Hong Jong-Sun;Kang Dae-Seong
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SP
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    • v.42 no.4 s.304
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    • pp.95-102
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, we propose a user friendly object-based image retrieval system using the interaction between cortex and hippocampus. Most existing ways of queries in content-based image retrieval rely on query by example or query by sketch. But these methods of queries are not adequate to needs of people's various queries because they are not easy for people to use and restrict. We propose a method of automatic color object extraction using CSB tree map(Color and Spatial based Binary をn map). Extracted objects were transformed to bit stream representing information such as color, size and location by region labelling algorithm and they are learned by the hippocampal neural network using the interplay between cortex and hippocampus. The cells of exciting at peculiar features in brain generate the special sign when people recognize some patterns. The existing neural networks treat each attribute of features evenly. Proposed hippocampal neural network makes an adaptive fast content-based image retrieval system using excitatory learning method that forwards important features to long-term memories and inhibitory teaming method that forwards unimportant features to short-term memories controlled by impression.

Prediction of Urban Flood Extent by LSTM Model and Logistic Regression (LSTM 모형과 로지스틱 회귀를 통한 도시 침수 범위의 예측)

  • Kim, Hyun Il;Han, Kun Yeun;Lee, Jae Yeong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.40 no.3
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    • pp.273-283
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    • 2020
  • Because of climate change, the occurrence of localized and heavy rainfall is increasing. It is important to predict floods in urban areas that have suffered inundation in the past. For flood prediction, not only numerical analysis models but also machine learning-based models can be applied. The LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) neural network used in this study is appropriate for sequence data, but it demands a lot of data. However, rainfall that causes flooding does not appear every year in a single urban basin, meaning it is difficult to collect enough data for deep learning. Therefore, in addition to the rainfall observed in the study area, the observed rainfall in another urban basin was applied in the predictive model. The LSTM neural network was used for predicting the total overflow, and the result of the SWMM (Storm Water Management Model) was applied as target data. The prediction of the inundation map was performed by using logistic regression; the independent variable was the total overflow and the dependent variable was the presence or absence of flooding in each grid. The dependent variable of logistic regression was collected through the simulation results of a two-dimensional flood model. The input data of the two-dimensional flood model were the overflow at each manhole calculated by the SWMM. According to the LSTM neural network parameters, the prediction results of total overflow were compared. Four predictive models were used in this study depending on the parameter of the LSTM. The average RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) for verification and testing was 1.4279 ㎥/s, 1.0079 ㎥/s for the four LSTM models. The minimum RMSE of the verification and testing was calculated as 1.1655 ㎥/s and 0.8797 ㎥/s. It was confirmed that the total overflow can be predicted similarly to the SWMM simulation results. The prediction of inundation extent was performed by linking the logistic regression with the results of the LSTM neural network, and the maximum area fitness was 97.33 % when more than 0.5 m depth was considered. The methodology presented in this study would be helpful in improving urban flood response based on deep learning methodology.

Non-Intrusive Load Monitoring Method based on Long-Short Term Memory to classify Power Usage of Appliances (가전제품 전력 사용 분류를 위한 장단기 메모리 기반 비침입 부하 모니터링 기법)

  • Kyeong, Chanuk;Seon, Joonho;Sun, Young-Ghyu;Kim, Jin-Young
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.109-116
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    • 2021
  • In this paper, we propose a non-intrusive load monitoring(NILM) system which can find the power of each home appliance from the aggregated total power as the activation in the trading market of the distributed resource and the increasing importance of energy management. We transform the amount of appliances' power into a power on-off state by preprocessing. We use LSTM as a model for predicting states based on these data. Accuracy is measured by comparing predicted states with real ones after postprocessing. In this paper, the accuracy is measured with the different number of electronic products, data postprocessing method, and Time step size. When the number of electronic products is 6, the data postprocessing method using the Round function is used, and Time step size is set to 6, the maximum accuracy can be obtained.