• Title/Summary/Keyword: long rainfall

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Comparison of hydrologic models and deep learning techniques for rainfall-runoff analysis (강우유출 분석을 위한 수문 모형과 딥러닝 기법의 비교 분석)

  • Kim, Jin Hyuck;Kim, Cho-Rong;Kim, Chung-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.295-295
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    • 2021
  • 수자원 관리 및 계획 수립에 있어 강우 유출 분석은 가장 중요하며, 기본적인 분석이다. 기존의 강우 유출 분석은 일반적으로 수문 모형을 이용한다. 강우 유출 분석은 강수와 증발산 과정, 즉 물순환에 있어 복잡한 상호 작용을 고려해야한다. 본 연구에서는 기존의 수문 모형과 데이터간의 관계를 포착할 수 있는 딥러닝 기법을 이용한 강우 유출분석 수행하였다. 우리나라의 유역 중, 비교적 풍부한 수문데이터를 보유하고 있는 IHP (International Hydrological Program)의 청미천 유역을 연구대상지역으로 연구를 수행하였다. 수문 모형으로는 SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool)을 이용하였으며, 딥러닝 기법은 시계열 분석에 있어 주로 사용되는 RNN(Recurrent Neural Network) 중 LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) 네트워크를 이용하였다. 분석결과 수문 모형의 성능 지표인 상관계수와 NSE (Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency)는 LSTM 네트워크에서 더 높은 성능을 확인 할 수 있었다. 일반적으로 LSTM 네트워크는 보정 기간이 길수록 더욱 좋은 성능을 나타낸다. 즉, 과거 수문데이터가 충분히 확보된 유역에서 LSTM 네트워크와 같은 데이터 기반 모델은 다양한 지형 및 기상데이터를 필요하는 수문 모델보다 유용할 것이라 사료된다.

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Developing radar-based rainfall prediction model with GAN(Generative Adversarial Network) (생성적 적대 신경망(GAN)을 활용한 강우예측모델 개발)

  • Choi, Suyeon;Sohn, Soyoung;Kim, Yeonjoo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.185-185
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    • 2021
  • 기후변화로 인한 돌발 강우 등 이상 기후 현상이 증가함에 따라 정확한 강우예측의 중요성은 더 증가하는 추세이다. 전통적인 강우예측의 경우 기상수치모델 또는 외삽법을 이용한 레이더 기반 강우예측 기법을 이용하며, 최근 머신러닝 기술의 발달에 따라 이를 활용한 레이더 자료기반 강우예측기법이 개발되고 있다. 기존 머신러닝을 이용한 강우예측 모델의 경우 주로 시계열 이미지 예측에 적합한 2차원 순환 신경망 기반 기법(Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory, ConvLSTM) 또는 합성곱 신경망 기반 기법(Convolutional Neural Network(CNN) Encoder-Decoder) 등을 이용한다. 본 연구에서는 생성적 적대 신경망 기반 기법(Generative Adversarial Network, GAN)을 이용해 미래 강우예측을 수행하도록 하였다. GAN 방법론은 이미지를 생성하는 생성자와 이를 실제 이미지와 구분하는 구별자가 경쟁하며 학습되어 현재 이미지 생성 분야에서 높은 성능을 보여주고 있다. 본 연구에서 개발한 GAN 기반 모델은 기상청에서 제공된 2016년~2019년까지의 레이더 이미지 자료를 이용하여 초단기, 단기 강우예측을 수행하도록 학습시키고, 2020년 레이더 이미지 자료를 이용해 단기강우예측을 모의하였다. 또한, 기존 머신러닝 기법을 기반으로 한 모델들의 강우예측결과와 GAN 기반 모델의 강우예측결과를 비교분석한 결과, 본 연구를 통해 개발한 강우예측모델이 단기강우예측에 뛰어난 성능을 보이는 것을 확인할 수 있었다.

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A Study on the Supply Process of Unit Modular Housing through a Comparison of Cases

  • Kim, Kyoon-Tai;Jun, Young-Hun;Kim, Tae-Yeong
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2015.10a
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    • pp.411-414
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study is to conduct a comparative analysis between Korea and the United States of the supply process of unit modular housing at both the factory production phase and the transportation and lifting phase, as part of an attempt to invigorate the unit modular housing market in Korea. Unlike the practice in the United States, one of Korea's unique characteristics is that the floor is constructed with reinforced concrete and hot water heating system. To do this, the wet method in Korea is used that includes concrete placement, curing and constructing hot water floor heating system at the factory production phase, which results in a longer production time and also requires the lifting of heavier loads. In the United States, interior and exterior finishing works of modular housing are performed by different companies, and the distance between the unit module factory and the construction site is quite far. This kind of dualized production structure may cause confusion when it comes to schedule management, procurement management, and stock management. Moreover, problems caused by external environmental factors such as wind and rainfall were reported in the course of long-distance transportation. The results of this case comparison are expected to provide fundamental data that will reduce the amount of trial and error in the unit module production, transportation and lifting work in Korea, which has a comparatively small number of unit modular housing cases.

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Development of Strategies to Improve Water Quality of the Yeongsan River in Connection with Adaptation to Climate Change (기후변화의 적응과 연계한 영산강 수질개선대책 개발)

  • Yong Woon Lee;Won Mo Yang;Gwang Duck Song;Yong Uk Ryu;Hak Young Lee
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.56 no.3
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    • pp.187-195
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    • 2023
  • Almost all of the water from agricultural dams located to the upper of the Yeongsan river is supplied as irrigation water for farmland and thus is not discharged to the main stream of the river. Also, most of the irrigation water does not return to the river after use, adding to the lack of flow in the main stream. As a result, the water quality and aquatic health of the river have become the poorest among the four major rivers in Korea. Therefore, in this study, several strategies for water quality improvement of the river were developed considering pollution reduction and flow rate increase, and their effect analysis was performed using a water quality model. The results of this study showed that the target water quality of the Yeongsan river could be achieved if flow increase strategies (FISs) are intensively pursued in parallel with pollution reduction. The reason is because the water quality of the river has been steadily improved through pollution reduction but this method is now nearing the limit. In addition, rainfall-related FISs such as dam construction and water distribution adjustment may be less effective or lost if a megadrought continues due to climate change and then rainfall does not occur for a long time. Therefore, in the future, if the application conditions for the FISs are similar, the seawater desalination facility, which is independent of rainfall, should be considered as the priority installation target among the FISs. The reason is that seawater desalination facilities can replace the water supply function of dams, which are difficult to newly build in Korea, and can be useful as a climate change adaptation facility by preventing water-related disasters in the event of a long-term megadrought.

Stand Water Balance and Stream Water Quality in Small Forested Watershed Yangpyong Gyeonggido (경기도(京畿道) 양평지역(陽平地域) 산림(山林) 소류역(小流域)의 수수지(水收支)와 계류수(溪流水)의 수질특성(水質特性))

  • Kim, Jung-You;Han, Sang-Sup
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.18-28
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    • 2001
  • This study was carried out to investigate the characteristics of water quality variations by stand water balance in YangPyong-Gun Gejung-Lee small forest watershed. Water quantity. pH, $Cl^-$, $NO_3{^-}$, $SO_4{^{2-}}$, $Na^+$, $NH_4{^+}$, $K^+$, $Mg^{2+}$, $Ca^{2+}$ were monitored in open rainfall for one unit storm and long-term stream water in small forest watershed from January. 1998 to December. 1999. The results were summarized as follows: The runoff rate was 46.4% in 1998 and 52.2% in 1999. The average pH values of rainfall were 4.8 to 6.2 and those of stream water were 6.4 to 7.1 in small forest watershed. Total amount of input anion and cation values (kg/ha) in rainfall were $SO_4{^{2-}}>NO_3{^-}>Ca^{2+}>NH_4{^+}>Cl^->Na^+>K^+>Mg^{2+}$ and in stream water were $NO_3{^-}>Ca^{2+}>SO_4{^{2-}}>Na^+>Cl^->K^+>Mg^{2+}>NH_4{^+}$ in the order, respectively. The dissolved $NH_4{^+}$ was stored 5.29kg/ha and output of the other contents were more flow than input in small forest watershed.

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Influence of the Asian Monsoon on Seasonal Fluctuations of Water Quality in a Mountainous Stream (산간 계류성 하천의 계절적 수질변동에 대한 몬순강우의 영향)

  • Shin, In-Chul;An, Kwang-Guk
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.38 no.1 s.110
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    • pp.54-62
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    • 2005
  • The present study was to determine how seasonal rainfall intensity influences nutrient dynamics, ionic contents, oxygen demands, and suspended solids in a lotic ecosystem. Largest seasonal variabilities in most parameters occurred during the two months of July to August and these were closely associated with large spate of rainfall. Dissolved oxygen (DO) had an inverse function of water temperature (r = = = - 0.986, p<0.001). Minimum pH values of<6.5 were observed in the late August when rainfall peaked in the study site, indicating an ionic dilution of stream water by precipitation. Electrical conductivity (EC) was greater during summer than any other seasons, so the overall conductivity values had direct correlation (r = 0.527, p<0.01) with precipitation. Ionic dilution, however, was evident 4 ${\sim}$ 5 days later in short or 1 ${\sim}$ 2 weeks in long after the intense rain, indicating a time-lag phenomenon of conductivity. Daily COD values varied from 0.8 mg $L^{-1}$ to 7.9 mg $L^{-1}$ and their seasonal pattern was similar (r = 0.548, p<0.001) to that of BOD. Total nitrogen (TN) varied little compared to total phosphorus (TP) and was minimum in the base flow of March. In contrast, major input of TP occurred during the period of summer monsoon and this pattern was similar to suspended solids, implying that TP is closely associated (r = 0.890, p<0.01) with suspended inorganic solids. Mass ratios of TN : TP were determined by TP (r= -0.509, p<0.01) rather than TN (r= -0.209, p<0.01). The N : P ratios indicated that phosphorus was a potential primary limiting nutrient for the stream productivity. Overall data suggest that rainfall intensity was considered as a primary key component regulating water chemistry in the stream and maximum variation in water quality was attributed to the largest runoff spate during the summer monsoon.

Variations of Stream Water Quality Caused by Discharge Change - At a Watershed in Mt. Palgong - (유출량(流出量)의 변화(變化)가 산지(山地) 계류수(溪流水)의 수질변화(水質變化)에 미치는 영향(影響) - 팔공산유역(八空山流域)을 대상(對象)으로 -)

  • Jae Chul, Park;Lee, Heon Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.89 no.3
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    • pp.342-355
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    • 2000
  • This study was carried out to reveal the influence of discharge change on matters and stream water quality between pH, EC and dissolved matters obtained by observation of long-term and short-term on stream water quality and separated runoff components from stream water by using HYCYMODEL. From January in 1998 to September in 1999, it was estimated by relationships of character of water quality and discharge for the experimental watershed in Mt. Palgong. The results were summarized as follows : 1. Annual average pH values of stream water in 1998 and in 1999 were 6.48(6.22~6.89) and 6.52(5.75~7.18), respectively. The observed annual average pH values were maintaining identical values in general, but pH values decreased continuously during the four months after thinning in the experimental watershed. So thinning is suspected of the major cause for the decrease. 2. Annual average EC values of stream water in 1998 and in 1999 were $26.69(17.95{\sim}33.5){\mu}S/cm$ and $25.19(17.5{\sim}33.8){\mu}S/cm$, respectively. The observed annual average EC values were maintaining identical values in general. 3. As a result of the comparison of average dissolved ions of rainfall and stream water, $Na^+$, $Mg^{2+}$, $Ca^{2+}$, $Cl^-$, $NO_3{^-}$, and $SO_4{^{2-}}$ showed minus values between incomings and outgoings. $Na^+$ and $NO_3{^-}$ among the dissolved ions of stream water showed the highest concentration out of cations and anions respectively. 4. By the change of pH value in stream water due to rainfall events, pH value decreased with increasing runoff as pH value increased before and after peak flow. 5. By the change of EC value in stream water due to rainfall events, EC value decreased with increasing runoff of first rainfall as EC value changed with runoff before and after peak flow. 6. As the runoff increased, the concentration of $Na^+$, $Ca^{2+}$, $K^+$, total cation, $Cl^-$, and $SO_4{^{2-}}$ in stream water lowered. On the other hand, the runoff decreased, their concentration in stream water tended to get high. But in terms of $NO_3{^-}$ and total anion, they turned out vice versa. $Mg^{2+}$ produced no reaction. 7. The base flow among runoff components separated by using HYCYMODEL influenced greatly on pH, EC, concentration of cation and anion.

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Evaluation of Long-term Data Obtained from Seawater Intrusion Monitoring Network using Variation Type Analysis (변동유형 분석법을 이용한 해수침투 관측망 자료 평가)

  • Song, Sung-Ho;Lee, Jin-Yong;Yi, Myeong-Jae
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.478-490
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    • 2007
  • With groundwater data of seawater intrusion monitoring network in coastal areas of Korea's main land, we analyzed types of seawater intrusion through the coastal aquifer. The data including groundwater level, temperature and electrical conductivity obtained from 45 monitoring wells at 25 watershed regions were evaluated. Based on statistical analysis, correlation analysis and variation type analysis, groundwater levels were mainly affected by rainfall and artificial pumping. About 78% of the monitoring wells showed average temperature higher than $15^{\circ}C$ and about 58% of them showed minimum variations less than $0.2^{\circ}C$. Electrical conductivities showed a large magnitude of variation and irregular characteristics compared with groundwater levels and temperatures. Average electrical conductivities lower than $2,000\;{\mu}S/cm$ were observed at 28 monitoring wells while those of higher than $10,000\;{\mu}S/cm$ were done at 9 monitoring wells. From the cross-correlation analysis, groundwater levels were mostly affected by precipitation while temperature and electrical conductivity showed very low correlation. Meanwhile tidal variations strongly affected the groundwater levels comparing to precipitation. We classified the long-term monitoring data according to variation types such as constant process, linear trend, cyclic variation, impulse, step function and ramp. Impulse type was dominant for variations of groundwater level, which was largely affected by rainfall or artificial pumping, the constant process was dominant for temperature. Compared with groundwater level and temperature, electrical conductivities showed various types like linear trend, step function and ramp. According to the discrepancy of variation characteristics for monitoring data at each well in the same region, periodical analysis of monitoring data is essentially required.

Long-term (2002~2017) Eutropication Characteristics, Empirical Model Analysis in Hapcheon Reservoir, and the Spatio-temporal Variabilities Depending on the Intensity of the Monsoon (합천호의 장기간 (2002~2017) 부영양화 특성, 경험적 모델 분석 및 몬순강도에 따른 시공간적 이화학적 수질 변이)

  • Kang, Yu-Jin;Lee, Sang- Jae;An, Kwang-Guk
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.605-619
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    • 2019
  • The objective of this study was to analyze eutrophication characteristics, empirical model analysis, and variation of water quality according to monsoon intensity in Hapcheon Reservoir for 16 years from 2002 to 2017. Long-term annual water quality analysis showed that Hapcheon Reservoir was in a meso-nutrition to eutrophic condition, and the eutrophic state intensified after the summer monsoon. Annual rainfall volume (high vs. low rainfall) and the seasonal intensity in each year were the key factors that regulate the long-term water quality variation provided that there is no significant change of the point- and non-point source in the watershed. Dry years and wet years showed significant differences in the concentrations of TP, TN, BOD, and conductivity, indicating that precipitation had the most direct influence on nutrients and organic matter dynamics. Nutrient indicators (TP, TN), organic pollution indicators (BOD, COD), total suspended solids, and chlorophyll-a (Chl-a), which was an estimator of primary productivity, had significant positive relations (p<0.05) with precipitation. The Chl-a concentration, which is an indicator of green algae, was highly correlated with TP, TN, and BOD, which differed from other lakes that showed the lower Chl-a concentration when nutrients increased excessively. Empirical model analysis of log-transformed TN, TP, and Chl-a indicated that the Chl-a concentration was linearly regulated by phosphorus concentration, but not by nitrogen concentration. Spatial regression analysis of the riverine, transition, and lacustrine zones of $log_{10}TN$, $log_{10}TP$, and $log_{10}CHL$ showed that TN and Chl-a had significant relations (p<0.005) while TN and Chl-a had p > 0.05, indicating that phosphorus had a key role in the algal growth. Moreover, the higher correlation of both $log_{10}TP$ and $log_{10}TN$ to $log_{10}CHL$ in the riverine zone than the lacustrine zone indicated that there was little impact of inorganic suspended solids on the light limitation in the riverine zone.

A Study for establishment of soil moisture station in mountain terrain (1): the representative analysis of soil moisture for construction of Cosmic-ray verification system (산악 지형에서의 토양수분 관측소 구축을 위한 연구(1): Cosmic-ray 검증시스템 구축을 위한 토양수분량 대표성 분석 연구)

  • Kim, Kiyoung;Jung, Sungwon;Lee, Yeongil
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.1
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    • pp.51-60
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    • 2019
  • The major purpose of this study is to construct an in-situ soil moisture verification network employing Frequency Domain Reflectometry (FDR) sensors for Cosmic-ray soil moisture observation system operation as well as long-term field-scale soil moisture monitoring. The test bed of Cosmic-ray and FDR verification network system was established at the Sulma Catchment, in connection with the existing instrumentations for integrated data provision of various hydrologic variables. This test bed includes one Cosmic-ray Neutron Probe (CRNP) and ten FDR stations with four different measurement depths (10 cm, 20 cm, 30 cm, and 40 cm) at each station, and has been operating since July 2018. Furthermore, to assess the reliability of the in-situ verification network, the volumetric water content data measured by FDR sensors were compared to those calculated through the core sampling method. The evaluation results of FDR sensors- measured soil moisture against sampling method during the study period indicated a reasonable agreement, with average values of $bias=-0.03m^3/m^3$ and RMSE $0.03m^3/m^3$, revealing that this FDR network is adequate to provide long-term reliable field-scale soil moisture monitoring at Sulmacheon basin. In addition, soil moisture time series observed at all FDR stations during the study period generally respond well to the rainfall events; and at some locations, the characteristics of rainfall water intercepted by canopy were also identified. The Temporal Stability Analysis (TSA) was performed for all FDR stations located within the CRNP footprint at each measurement depth to determine the representative locations for field-average soil moisture at different soil profiles of the verification network. The TSA results showed that superior performances were obtained at FDR 5 for 10 cm depth, FDR 8 for 20 cm depth, FDR2 for 30 cm depth, and FDR1 for 40 cm depth, respectively; demonstrating that those aforementioned stations can be regarded as temporal stable locations to represent field mean soil moisture measurements at their corresponding measurement depths. Although the limit on study duration has been presented, the analysis results of this study can provide useful knowledge on soil moisture variability and stability at the test bed, as well as supporting the utilization of the Cosmic-ray observation system for long-term field-scale soil moisture monitoring.