• 제목/요약/키워드: lognormal distribution

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Noninformative priors for linear function of parameters in the lognormal distribution

  • Lee, Woo Dong;Kim, Dal Ho;Kang, Sang Gil
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.1091-1100
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    • 2016
  • This paper considers the noninformative priors for the linear function of parameters in the lognormal distribution. The lognormal distribution is applied in the various areas, such as occupational health research, environmental science, monetary units, etc. The linear function of parameters in the lognormal distribution includes the expectation, median and mode of the lognormal distribution. Thus we derive the probability matching priors and the reference priors for the linear function of parameters. Then we reveal that the derived reference priors do not satisfy a first order matching criterion. Under the general priors including the derived noninformative priors, we check the proper condition of the posterior distribution. Some numerical study under the developed priors is performed and real examples are illustrated.

결합 로그노말-파레토 분포에서 추출된 양쪽 중도 절단된 표본을 이용한 모수추정 (Estimation on composite lognormal-Pareto distribution based on doubly censored samples)

  • 이광호
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.171-177
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    • 2011
  • 최근에 비약적으로 발달하는 보험 산업에 수반하여 보험금 지불 분포에 대한 연구가 활발하게 진행되고 있다. 보험금 지불금의 분포는 일반적으로 두터운 꼬리를 가지면서 좌로 치우친 왜도를 가지는 파레토 분포나 로그노말 분포로 잘 설명된다고 알려져 왔으며 Cooray와 Ananda (2005)는 이들 두 분포를 결합한 결합 로그노말-파레토분포를 제시하고 이 분포의 적합도가 높음을 보였다. 그런데 보험금 지불의 경우 보금지불 총 금액의 한도로 인하여 극단적으로 큰 보험금이나 혹은 매우 사소한 보험지불금의 경우는 옵션을 두어 예외적으로 취금하는 경우가 많다. 본 논문에서는 결합 로그노말-파레토 분포로부터 추출된 표본이 양쪽 중도 절단되어 있는 경우에 대하여 모수를 추정하는 문제를 다루어 보았다.

Novel approach to predicting the release probability when applying the MARSSIM statistical test to a survey unit with a specific residual radioactivity distribution based on Monte Carlo simulation

  • Chun, Ga Hyun;Cheong, Jae Hak
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제54권5호
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    • pp.1606-1615
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    • 2022
  • For investigating whether the MARSSIM nonparametric test has sufficient statistical power when a site has a specific contamination distribution before conducting a final status survey (FSS), a novel approach was proposed to predict the release probability of the site. Five distributions were assumed: lognormal distribution, normal distribution, maximum extreme value distribution, minimum extreme value distribution, and uniform distribution. Hypothetical radioactivity populations were generated for each distribution, and Sign tests were performed to predict the release probabilities after extracting samples using Monte Carlo simulations. The designed Type I error (0.01, 0.05, and 0.1) was always satisfied for all distributions, while the designed Type II error (0.01, 0.05, and 0.1) was not always met for the uniform, maximum extreme value, and lognormal distributions. Through detailed analyses for lognormal and normal distributions which are often found for contaminants in actual environmental or soil samples, it was found that a greater statistical power was obtained from survey units with normal distribution than with lognormal distribution. This study is expected to contribute to achieving the designed decision error when the contamination distribution of a survey unit is identified, by predicting whether the survey unit passes the statistical test before undertaking the FSS according to MARSSIM.

세라믹스의 피로수명에 대한 통계적 분석 (Statistical Analysis for Fatigue Lifetime of Ceramics)

  • 박성은;김성욱;이홍림
    • 한국세라믹학회지
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    • 제34권9호
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    • pp.927-934
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    • 1997
  • Static and cyclic fatigue tests were carried out for alumina specimen to study the statistical analyses (normal, lognormal and Weibull distribution) of fatigue lifetime data and nominal initial crack length data. Fatigue lifetime data followed Weibull distribution better than normal or lognormal distribution, for the shape parameter of the notched specimen was larger than that of the unnotched specimen. The nominal initial crack length data obtained from fatigue lifetime followed the lognormal and Weibull distribution better than normal distribution, for the coefficient of variation of the unnotched specimen was larger than that of the notched specimen, and shape parameter of unnotched specimen was smaller than that of the notched specimen.

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A Robust Estimation for the Composite Lognormal-Pareto Model

  • Pak, Ro Jin
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제20권4호
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    • pp.311-319
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    • 2013
  • Cooray and Ananda (2005) proposed a composite lognormal-Pareto model to analyze loss payment data in the actuarial and insurance industries. Their model is based on a lognormal density up to an unknown threshold value and a two-parameter Pareto density. In this paper, we implement the minimum density power divergence estimation for the composite lognormal-Pareto density. We compare the performances of the minimum density power divergence estimator (MDPDE) and the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) by simulations and an example. The minimum density power divergence estimator performs reasonably well against various violations in the distribution. The minimum density power divergence estimator better fits small observations and better resists against extraordinary large observations than the maximum likelihood estimator.

On UMVU Estimator of Parameters in Lognormal Distribution

  • Lee, In-Suk;Kwon, Eun-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.11-18
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    • 1999
  • To estimate the mean and the variance of a lognormal distribution, Finney (1941) derived the uniformly minimun variance unbiased estimators(UMVUE) in the form of infinite series. However, the conditions ${\sigma}^{2}\;>\;n\;and\;{\sigma}^{2}\;<\;\frac{n}{4}$ for computing $E(\hat{\theta}_{AM})\;and\;E(\hat{\eta}^{2}_{AM})$ are necessary. In this paper, we give an alternative derivation of the UMVUE's.

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대수정규 수명분포를 갖는 제품에 대한 신뢰성 입증시험에서 척도모수의 영향분석 (The Effect of Scale Parameter in Designing Reliability Demonstration Test for Lognormal Lifetime Distribution)

  • 권영일
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.53-57
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    • 2014
  • In the fields of reliability application, the most commonly used test methods for reliability demonstration are zero-failure acceptance tests since they require fewer test samples and less test time compared to other test methods that guarantee the same reliability with a given confidence level. For products with lognormal lifetime distribution, the value of scale parameter is usually assumed to be known in designing reliability demonstration tests. It is important to select correct values of scale parameters to guarantee the specified reliability with given confidence level exactly. The effect of using wrong values of scale parameters in designing reliability demonstration test for products with lognormal lifetime distribution is examined and selecting proper values of scale parameters for conservative reliability demonstration is discussed.

연초과치 계열의 홍수빈도 분석에 관한 연구 -금강유역을 중심으로- (Study on the flood frequency analysis for the annual exceedance series -Centering along the Geum River basin-)

  • 박영근;이순혁
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.53-62
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    • 1982
  • This study was attempted to find best fitted distribution and the equations for probable maximum flow with the evaluation of parameters by the method of moment for the rat- ional design of hydraulic structures in the annual exceedance series. Six subwatersheds were selected as studying basins along Geum River basin. The results obtained through this study were analyzed and summarized as follows. 1. Fitted probability distribution was showed in the order of Three Parameter Lognorm al, Type 1 Extremal, Exponential, Pearson Type III, and Log Pearson Type I distribu- tion as the results of x$^2$ goodness of fit test. 2. Kolmogorov-Smirnov test showed in the order of Three Parameter Lognormal, Exp- onential' Pearson Type III, Log Pearson Type III and Type 1 Extremal distribution for the fitted probability distribution. 3. It can be concluded that Three parameter Lognormal distribution is a best fitted one among some other distributions out of respect for each both tests. An Exponential distribution was proposed as a suitable one by Chow, V.T. showeci lower fittness than that of Three Parameter Lognormal in Geum River basin. 5. Probable flood flow equations followins the return periods for each station were obt- ained by Three Parameter Lognormal distribution. 6. It is urgently essential that best fitted probability distribution should be established for the annual exceedance series in the main river systems of Korea.

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Markov모형에 의한 월유출량의 모의발생에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Simulation of Monthly Discharge by Markov Model)

  • 이순혁;홍성표
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.31-49
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    • 1989
  • It is of the most urgent necessity to get hydrological time series of long duration for the establishment of rational design and operation criterion for the Agricultural hydraulic structures. This study was conducted to select best fitted frequency distribution for the monthly runoff and to simulate long series of generated flows by multi-season first order Markov model with comparison of statistical parameters which are derivated from observed and sy- nthetic flows in the five watersheds along Geum river basin. The results summarized through this study are as follows. 1. Both two parameter gamma and two parameter lognormal distribution were judged to be as good fitted distributions for monthly discharge by Kolmogorov-Smirnov method for goodness of fit test in all watersheds. 2. Statistical parameters were obtained from synthetic flows simulated by two parameter gamma distribution were closer to the results from observed flows than those of two para- meter lognormal distribution in all watersheds. 3. In general, fluctuation for the coefficient of variation based on two parameter gamma distribution was shown as more good agreement with the observed flow than that of two parameter lognormal distribution. Especially, coefficient of variation based on two parameter lognormal distribution was quite closer to that of observed flow during June and August in all years. 4. Monthly synthetic flows based on two parameter gamma distribution are considered to give more reasonably good results than those of two parameter lognormal distribution in the multi-season first order Markov model in all watersheds. 5. Synthetic monthly flows with 100 years for eack watershed were sjmulated by multi- season first order Markov model based on two parameter gamma distribution which is ack- nowledged to fit the actual distribution of monthly discharges of watersheds. Simulated sy- nthetic monthly flows may be considered to be contributed to the long series of discharges as an input data for the development of water resources. 6. It is to be desired that generation technique of synthetic flow in this study would be compared with other simulation techniques for the objective time series.

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