• Title/Summary/Keyword: localized land forecast areas

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A Study on Forecast Accuracies by the Localized Land Forecast Areas over South Korea (육상 국지 예보 구역의 예보 정확도에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Chang-Yong;Choi, Young-Eun;Kim, Seung-Bae
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.42 no.1 s.118
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2007
  • This study aimed to evaluate weather forecast accuracies of minimum temperature, maximum temperature, precipitation and sky cover by the localized land forecast areas over South Korea Average forecast accuracy score of precipitation was the lowest while that of sky cover was the highest during the study period Overall forecast accuracy scores for Gangwon-do was the lowest while those for Gyeongsangnam-do and Gyeongsangbuk-do were higher than other areas. The frequencies of perfect forecast(eight points) by seasons, were the highest during winter and the lowest during summer. pressure pattern analyses for days when forecast accuracy scores were poor, showed that precipitation forecast accuracy scores were lower due to the movement of the stationary fronts during summers. When continental polar air masses expanded, forecast accuracy of temperature became greatly lower during autumns and winters As the migratory anticyclone pattern rapidly moved, forecast accuracy became lower during springs and autumns. Forecast accuracies were compared by wind directions at 850hPa for the Young-dong region where forecast accuracy was the lowest. Forecast accuracy scores on minimum and maximum temperatures were low when winds were westerlies and forecast accuracy scores of precipitation were low when winds were easterlies.