• Title/Summary/Keyword: load uncertainty

Search Result 321, Processing Time 0.026 seconds

Fuzzy LP Based Power Network Peak Shaving Algorithm (퍼지 LP 기반 전력망 Peak Shaving 알고리즘)

  • Ohn, Sungmin;Kim, Jung-Su;Song, Hwachang;Chang, Byunghoon
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
    • /
    • v.22 no.6
    • /
    • pp.754-760
    • /
    • 2012
  • This paper describes peak shaving algorithms as long-term cycle scheduling in the power management system (PMS) for MW-scale battery energy storage systems (BESS). The purpose of PMS is basically to manage the input and output power from battery modules placed in the systems. Assuming that an one-day ahead load curve is provided, off-line peak shaving algorithms can be employed, but applying the results of the off-line algorithm may result in the difference in the real-time performance because there is uncertainty in the provided load curve. This paper adopts fuzzy based LP (linear programming) algorithms for describing the peak shaving algorithm in PMS and discusses a solution technique and real-time operation strategies using the solution.

Influence Analysis of Temporal Continuity Change of Flow Data on Load Duration Curve (유량자료의 시간적 연속성 변화가 오염부하지속곡선에 미치는 영향 비교 분석)

  • Kwon, Pil Ju;Han, Jeong Ho;Ryu, Ji chul;Kim, Hong Tae;Lim, Kyoung Jae;Kim, Jong Gun
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
    • /
    • v.33 no.4
    • /
    • pp.394-402
    • /
    • 2017
  • In korea, TMDL is being implemented to manage nonpoint pollution sources as well as point pollution sources. LDC is being used for the planning of TMDL. In order to analyze the water quality using LDC, it is necessary to prepare FDC using the daily flow data. However, only the daily flow data is measured at the WAMIS branch, and 8days flow data and water quality data are measured at the monitoring Networks. So, in many researches, the water quality is being grasped by deriving the LDC using the 8days flow or the daily flow obtained by various methods. These fluctuations may lead to differences in determining whether the target load is achieved. In this study, each LDC was prepared using the 8day flow and the related daily flow. Then, the effect using different flow data on the achievement of target load was compared according to flow conditions. As a result, the difference ratio in the number of overloads under flow condition was showed 19% in high flows, 42% in moist conditions, 49% in mid-range flows, 41% in dry conditions, and 104% in low flows. In the top ten watershed with the highest difference ratio, the flow became lower the difference ration increases. These differences can cause uncertainty in assessing the achievement of target load using LDC. Therefore, in order to evaluate the water quality accurately and reliably using LDC, accurate daily flow data and water quality data should be secured through the installation of national nonpoint measurement network.

Evaluation of Reliability Index of Governing Load Combination for Design of Cable Supported Bridge Members (케이블교량의 부재 설계를 지배하는 하중조합에 대한 신뢰도지수 평가)

  • Paik, Inyeol;Yoon, Taeyong
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
    • /
    • v.27 no.6
    • /
    • pp.643-651
    • /
    • 2014
  • In this paper the reliability analyses of the cable-supported bridge design code which is recently issued in Korea are performed and the results are presented. Governing load combinations for the member design and the statistical properties of the main members are introduced and the analysis is performed using an example cable-stayed bridge for which the design is performed following the load and resistance factors defined in the design code. The reliability analysis shows the target reliability index can be achieved by applying load and resistance factors and the application of the resistance modification factor can enhance the reliability level if the importance of the bridge needs to be increased. The sensitivity analysis reveals that decreasing uncertainty of the cable strength is critical for obtaining the target reliability index. The study results show that the design using the load and resistance factors of the code can achieve the target reliability indexes for the design of cable supported bridge.

Correlation Analysis of Wind and Solar Power Generation Pattern for Modeling of Renewable Energy (신재생에너지 모델링을 위한 풍력 및 태양광 발전 출력 패턴 상관관계 분석)

  • Kim, Min-Jeong;Park, Young-Sik;Park, Jong-Bae;Roh, Jae-Hyung
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
    • /
    • v.60 no.10
    • /
    • pp.1823-1831
    • /
    • 2011
  • When the RPS(Renewable Portfolio Standards) becomes effective in 2012, the use of renewable energy will be dramatically increased. However, there are no production simulations and demand supply programs that reflect the characteristics of the renewable energy. This paper analyzes correlations of the domestic wind power and solar power generation pattern in different areas and those of these sources' output and load pattern. Based on the regional correlation analysis, an appropriate method that uses a average output of the renewable energy or another modeling that takes account of uncertainty could be selected. Because it's output is dependent on weather condition, we can not control the generation of renewable energy, that is the reason why the correlation between the load and output pattern of sources can be helpful to determine whether the renewable energy is modeled as a generator or load modifier. Through this analysis, a basis will be provided in order to properly model the renewable energy source.

Reliability Analysis of Gravity-based Offshore Wind Turbine Foundation Considering Ocean Environmental Loads and Soil Uncertainty (해양환경하중 및 지반의 불확실성을 고려한 중력식 해상풍력 기초의 신뢰성 해석)

  • Lee, Sang Geun;Kim, Dong Hyawn
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • v.29 no.5
    • /
    • pp.359-365
    • /
    • 2015
  • A reliability analysis of the gravity-based foundation of anoffshore wind turbine was performed by considering the uncertainties of the design variables, including environmental loads. The limit state functions of the gravity-based foundation were defined using the response limits of the support structures suggested in the DNV standard. The wind load couldbe obtained using the GH_bladed software, and the wave load was calculated using the Morison equation. Then, the extreme distributions of the wind and wave loads were estimated by applying the peak over threshold (POT) method to the wind and wave load data. The probability distribution characteristics of the soil properties were defined with reference to a southwest coast geotechnical survey report. The reliability index was evaluated for each failure mode using a first-order reliability method.

Control and Operation of Hybrid Microsource System Using Advanced Fuzzy- Robust Controller

  • Hong, Won-Pyo;Ko, Hee-Sang
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
    • /
    • v.23 no.7
    • /
    • pp.29-40
    • /
    • 2009
  • This paper proposes a modeling and controller design approach for a hybrid wind power generation system that considers a fixed wind-turbine and a dump load. Since operating conditions are kept changing, it is challenge to design a control for reliable operation of the overall system To consider variable operating conditions, Takagi-Sugeno (TS) fuzzy model is taken into account to represent time-varying system by expressing the local dynamics of a nonlinear system through sub-systems, partitioned by linguistic rules. Also, each fuzzy model has uncertainty. Thus, in this paper, a modem nonlinear control design technique, the sliding mode nonlinear control design, is utilized for robust control mechanism In the simulation study, the proposed controller is compared with a proportional-integral (PI) controller. Simulation results show that the proposed controller is more effective against disturbances caused by wind speed and load variation than the PI controller, and thus it contributes to a better quality wind-hybrid power generation system.

Comparison study of CPU processing load by I/O processing method through use case analysis (유즈케이스를 통해 분석해 본 I/O 처리방식에 따르는 CPU처리 부하 비교연구)

  • Kim, JaeYoung
    • Journal of Aerospace System Engineering
    • /
    • v.13 no.5
    • /
    • pp.57-64
    • /
    • 2019
  • Recently, avionics systems are being developed as integrated modular architecture applying the modular integration design of the functional unit to reduce maintenance costs and increase operating performance. Additionally, a partitioning operating system based on virtualization technology was used to process various mission control functions. In virtualization technology, the CPU processing load distribution is a key consideration. Especially, the uncertainty of the I/O processing time is a risk factor in the design of reliable avionics systems. In this paper, we examine the influence of the I/O processing method by comparing and analyzing the CPU processing load by the I/O processing method through use of case analysis and applying it to the example of spatial-temporal partitioning.

Evaluation of Ramping Capability for Day-ahead Unit Commitment considering Wind Power Variability (풍력발전의 변동성을 고려한 기동정지계획에서의 적정 Ramping 용량 산정)

  • Lyu, Jae-Kun;Heo, Jae-Haeng;Park, Jong-Keun
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
    • /
    • v.62 no.4
    • /
    • pp.457-466
    • /
    • 2013
  • Wind energy is rapidly becoming significant generating technologies in electricity markets. As probabilistic nature of wind energy creates many uncertainties in the short-term scheduling, additional actions for reliable market operation should be taken. This paper presents a novel approach to evaluate ramping capability requirement for changes in imbalance energy between day-ahead market and real-time market due to uncertainty of wind generation as well as system load. Dynamic ramp rate model has been applied for realistic solution in unit commitment problem, which is implemented in day-ahead market. Probabilistic optimal power flow has been used to verify ramping capability determined by the proposed method is reasonable in economic and reliable aspects. This approach was tested on six-bus system and IEEE 118-bus system with a wind farm. The results show that the proposed approach provides ramping capability information to meet both forecasted variability and desired confidence level of anticipated uncertainty.

Probabilistic analysis of spectral displacement by NSA and NDA

  • Devandiran, P.;Kamatchi, P.;Rao, K. Balaji;Ravisankar, K.;Iyer, Nagesh R.
    • Earthquakes and Structures
    • /
    • v.5 no.4
    • /
    • pp.439-459
    • /
    • 2013
  • Main objective of the present study is to determine the statistical properties and suitable probability distribution functions of spectral displacements from nonlinear static and nonlinear dynamic analysis within the frame work of Monte Carlo simulation for typical low rise and high rise RC framed buildings located in zone III and zone V and designed as per Indian seismic codes. Probabilistic analysis of spectral displacement is useful for strength assessment and loss estimation. To the author's knowledge, no study is reported in literature on comparison of spectral displacement including the uncertainties in capacity and demand in Indian context. In the present study, uncertainties in capacity of the building is modeled by choosing cross sectional dimensions of beams and columns, density and compressive strength of concrete, yield strength and elastic modulus of steel and, live load as random variables. Uncertainty in demand is modeled by choosing peak ground acceleration (PGA) as a random variable. Nonlinear static analysis (NSA) and nonlinear dynamic analysis (NDA) are carried out for typical low rise and high rise reinforced concrete framed buildings using IDARC 2D computer program with the random sample input parameters. Statistical properties are obtained for spectral displacements corresponding to performance point from NSA and maximum absolute roof displacement from NDA and suitable probability distribution functions viz., normal, Weibull, lognormal are examined for goodness-of-fit. From the hypothesis test for goodness-of-fit, lognormal function is found to be suitable to represent the statistical variation of spectral displacement obtained from NSA and NDA.

Reliability Design using Asymptotic Variance of Inverse Cumulative Distribution Function (분위수의 점근적 분산을 이용한 신뢰성 설계)

  • Cho H.J.;Baek S.H.;Hong S.H.;Cho S.S.;Joo W.S.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
    • /
    • 2005.06a
    • /
    • pp.1682-1685
    • /
    • 2005
  • System algorithms estimated by deterministic input may occur the error between predicted and actual output. Especially, actual system can't predict the exact outputs due to uncertainty and tolerance of input parameters. A single output to a set of inputs has a limited value without the variation. Hence, we should consider various scatters caused by the load assessment, material characteristics, stress analysis and manufacturing methods in order to perform the robust design or estimate the reliability of structure. The system design with uncertainty should perform the probabilistic structural optimization with the statistical response and the reliability. This method calculated the probability distributions of the characteristics such as stress by combining stress analysis, response surface methodology and Monte-Carlo Method and got the probabilistic sensitivity. The sensitivity of structural response with respect to inconstant design variables was estimated by fracture probability. Therefore, this paper proposed the probabilistic reliability design method for fracture of uncorved freight end beam and the design criteria by fracture probability.

  • PDF