• Title/Summary/Keyword: load regression coefficient

Search Result 78, Processing Time 0.026 seconds

Power Load Density Analysis considering Structure and Characteristics of Subway Stations (지하철 역사의 구조 및 특성을 고려한 동력부하밀도 분석)

  • Jung, Hyun-Ki;Cha, Kwang-Seok
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
    • /
    • 2006.11b
    • /
    • pp.912-920
    • /
    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study is to present the design standard for load density in subway station. From the data of electric equipment capacity and electric power consumption for 43 subway stations, current levels of the load density and excess capacity factor were surveyed and analyzed, In addition mean value, standard deviation, maximum value, median value and correlation coefficient were evaluated through excel program. Also it was carried out the regression analysis. The estimation method of load density and design criterion were studied. As a result, load density in this thesis have been proposed : 51.3 $[VA/m^2]$ on the general power load can be a standard value for subway station.

  • PDF

A Study on the Estimation Method of Daily Load Curve for the Optimization Design and Economic Evaluation of Stand-alone Microgrids Based on HOMER Simulation in Off-Grid Limiting the Supply of Electricity (제한급전하는 오프그리드의 독립형 마이크로그리드 최적 설계 및 경제성 평가를 위한 일부하곡선 추정 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Nam, Yong-Hyun;Youn, Seok-Min;Kim, Jung-Hoon;Hwang, Sung-Wook
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
    • /
    • v.68 no.1
    • /
    • pp.27-35
    • /
    • 2019
  • There is a growing interest in various microgrid solutions that supply electricity 24 hours a day to off-grid areas where are not connected with the main grid, and Korea has many positive effects by constructing overseas microgrids as a country operating the emission trading scheme. Since it is not clear how to obtain load curves that is one of the inputs of the HOMER used to design a microgrid optimization plan, or it is necessary to examine whether electricity is supplied to the peak load level of the areas where have not received the electricity benefits from the viewpoint of the demand management, a methodology should be developed to know the load composition ratio and the shape of the daily load curve. In this paper, the relative coefficient and average load information for each load group obtained from the survey are used besides peak load and total average load. A mathematical model is proposed to derive the load composition ratio in the form of a Quadratic Programming and the load forecasting is performed using simple linear regression with future indicators. The effectiveness of the proposed method is confirmed for the Philippine island region supported by Korea Energy Agency and the Asian Development Bank.

Effect on Vibration According to the Load Capability and Elapsed Year of Power Transformer(154kV) in Operation (운전 중인 전력용 변압기(154kV)의 부하용량과 경년이 진동에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Young-Dal;Kim, Sung-Joong
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers P
    • /
    • v.58 no.2
    • /
    • pp.172-177
    • /
    • 2009
  • Most of the causes of the failures of power transformers in operations are mechanical defects due to vibration. To identify these causes, the vibration phenomenon was measured from the power transformers in operation in the substations under the Daejeon power transmission district office of KEPCO. The measurement was performed in a 6${times}$4 structure on one side of the transformer. The vibration of the measured points was presented in 2D and 3D, and analyzed. The results according to the period in use of the transformer and the load applied to the transformer were analyzed. These results will be used as basic data to establish the vibration standard for the power transformer, In addition, with a load capability and vibration phenomenon correlation and regression analysis to identify by way of function was reached. And the vibration phenomenon pass a years with changes and to analyze correlation, was estimated to bring in the function. And then through the analysis of power transformers to set standards based on vibration data was used to.

Evaluation of Regression Models in LOADEST to Estimate Suspended Solid Load in Hangang Waterbody (한강수계에서의 부유사 예측을 위한 LOADEST 모형의 회귀식의 평가)

  • Park, Youn Shik;Lee, Ji Min;Jung, Younghun;Shin, Min Hwan;Park, Ji Hyung;Hwang, Hasun;Ryu, Jichul;Park, Jangho;Kim, Ki-Sung
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
    • /
    • v.57 no.2
    • /
    • pp.37-45
    • /
    • 2015
  • Typically, water quality sampling takes place intermittently since sample collection and following analysis requires substantial cost and efforts. Therefore regression models (or rating curves) are often used to interpolate water quality data. LOADEST has nine regression models to estimate water quality data, and one regression model needs to be selected automatically or manually. The nine regression models in LOADEST and auto-selection by LOADEST were evaluated in the study. Suspended solids data were collected from forty-nine stations from the Water Information System of the Ministry of Environment. Suspended solid data from each station was divided into two groups for calibration and validation. Nash-Stucliffe efficiency (NSE) and coefficient of determination ($R_2$) were used to evaluate estimated suspended solid loads. The regression models numbered 1 and 3 in LOADEST provided higher NSE and $R_2$, compared to the other regression models. The regression modes numbered 2, 5, 6, 8, and 9 in LOADEST provided low NSE. In addition, the regression model selected by LOADEST did not necessarily provide better suspended solid estimations than the other regression models did.

Characteristics of the Pollutants Ronoff on the Tamjin A and B Watershed with Discharge Variation (유량변동에 따른 탐진 A와 B유역에서의 오염물질 유출 특성)

  • Park, Jinhwan;Lim, Byungjin;Jung, Jaewoon;Kim, Daeyoung;Oh, Taeyoun;Lee, Dongjin;Kim, Kapsoon
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
    • /
    • v.21 no.6
    • /
    • pp.917-925
    • /
    • 2012
  • In this study, we report the runoff characteristics of pollutants for Tamjin A and B watershed in Tamjin river basin using statistical analysis, such as correlation analysis and regression equation. Flow rate and water qualtiy data collected from 2 sampling sites(Tamjin A and B watershed) during 3 years(2009~2011) were analyzed for biochemical oxygen demand(BOD), total nitorgen(TN), total phosphorus(TP) and suspended solid(SS). The results showed that strong correlations were observed between flow rate and SS in Tamjin A, while weak correlations were observed among the BOD, TN, and TP. In Tamjin B, strong correlations were observed among the flow rate, SS and T-P except BOD and TP. Meanwhile, the values of $R^2$ for regression equations between flow rate and pollutants load were greater than 0.7. Results of these statistics indicated that there was a good agreement between flow rate and pollutants load. Also, the flow rate exponents of regression equations for BOD, TN, and TP were smaller than 1 in Tamjin A. In Tamjin B, flow rate exponents of regression equation for BOD and TP were smaller than 1. These results indicated that concentrations of BOD, TN, TP in Tamjin A and concentrations of BOD and TP were decreased as the flow rate was increased. This means that rater than nonpoint sources, point sources affect BOD, TN and TP in Tamjin A and BOD and TP in Tamjin B.

A Study on the Short-term Load Forecasting using Support Vector Machine (지원벡터머신을 이용한 단기전력 수요예측에 관한 연구)

  • Jo, Nam-Hoon;Song, Kyung-Bin;Roh, Young-Su;Kang, Dae-Seung
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
    • /
    • v.55 no.7
    • /
    • pp.306-312
    • /
    • 2006
  • Support Vector Machine(SVM), of which the foundations have been developed by Vapnik (1995), is gaining popularity thanks to many attractive features and promising empirical performance. In this paper, we propose a new short-term load forecasting technique based on SVM. We discuss the input vector selection of SVM for load forecasting and analyze the prediction performance for various SVM parameters such as kernel function, cost coefficient C, and $\varepsilon$ (the width of 8 $\varepsilon-tube$). The computer simulation shows that the prediction performance of the proposed method is superior to that of the conventional neural networks.

The Improvement on the Empirical Formula of Stormwater Captured Ratio for Water Quality Volume Based Non-Point Pollutants Water Quality Control Basins (WQV 기반 비점오염저감시설의 강우유출수 처리비 경험공식의 개선)

  • Choi, Daegyu;Park, Moo Jong;Park, Bae Kyung;Kim, Sangdan
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
    • /
    • v.30 no.1
    • /
    • pp.87-94
    • /
    • 2014
  • According to the technical guideline of water pollutant load management, the rainfall captured ratio which can be estimated by the empirical formula is an important element to estimate reduction loads of non-point pollutants water quality control basin. In this study, the rainfall captured ratio is altered to stormwater captured ratio considering its meaning in the technical guideline of water pollutant load management, and the new empircal formula of stormwater captured ratio is suggested. In order to do this, we calculate stormwater captured ratio by using the hourly rainfall data of seven urban weather stations (Busan, Daegu, Daejeon, Gangreung, Seoul, Gwangju, and Jeju) for 43 years. The regression coefficients of the existed empirical formula cannot reflect the catchment properties at all, because they are fixed values regardless of regions. However the empirical formula of stormwater captured ratio has flexible regression coefficients by runoff coefficient(C), so it is allowed to consider the characteristics of runoff in catchment. It is expected that reduction loads of storage based water quality control basin can be more reasonably estimated than before.

A Simulation Study on the Annual Heating Performance of the Seawater-Source Screw Heat Pump (해수열원 스크류 히트펌프의 연간 난방운전 성능 모사)

  • Baik, Young-Jin;Kim, Min-Sung;Chang, Ki-Chang;Lee, Young-Soo;Kim, Hyeon-Ju
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
    • /
    • v.32 no.3
    • /
    • pp.88-95
    • /
    • 2012
  • In this study, in order to utilize the seawater as a heat source at Gangneung city near the East Sea in Korea, an annual heating performance of a screw heat pump was simulated. For a simulation, the maximum heating capacity of heat pump was assumed at 3.5 MW. An ambient temperature at Gangneung city was calculated from the TMY2 weather data, while the seawater temperature was calculated from the regression equation based on the measurement by the National Fisheries Research and Development Institute of Korea. The heating load was assumed linearly dependent on the ambient temperature, while the maximum heating load was assumed to appear when the ambient temperature is below $-2.4^{\circ}C$, which is the temperature of TAC 2.5% for heating at Gangneung city. A heat pump performance at full-load was calculated from the regression equation, which involves refrigerant's evaporating and condensing temperatures, based on a commercial screw compressor performance map. A heating supply temperature which determines refrigerant's condensing temperature was assumed linearly dependent on the heating load. A performance degradation due to the part-load operation of heat pump was also considered. Simulation results show that an annual heating coefficient of performance ($COP_H$) of a seawater-source screw heat pump is approximately 2.8 and that it is necessary to improve part-load performance to increase an annual performance of the heat pump.

A Simulation Study on the Annual Heating Performance of the Seawater-Source Screw Heat Pump (해수열원 스크류 히트펌프의 연간 난방운전 성능 시뮬레이션)

  • Baik, Young-Jin;Kim, Min-Sung;Chang, Ki-Chang;Kang, Byung-Chan;Ra, Ho-Sang;Kim, Hyeon-Ju
    • 한국태양에너지학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 2012.03a
    • /
    • pp.488-493
    • /
    • 2012
  • In this study, in order to utilize the seawater as a heat source at Gangneung city near the East Sea in Korea, an annual heating performance of a screw heat pump was simulated. For a simulation, the maximum heating capacity of heat pump was assumed at 3.5 MW. An ambient temperature at Gangneung city was calculated from the TMY2 weather data, while the seawater temperature was calculated from the regression equation based on the measurement by the National Fisheries Research and Development Institute of Korea. The heating load was assumed linearly dependent on the ambient temperature, while the maximum heating load was assumed to appear when the ambient temperature is below $-2.4^{\circ}C$, which is the temperature of TAC 2.5% for heating at Gangneung city. A heat pump performance at full-load was calculated from the regression equation, which involves refrigerant's evaporating and condensing temperatures, based on a commercial screw compressor performance map. A heating supply temperature which determines refrigerant's condensing temperature was assumed linearly dependent on the heating load. A performance degradation due to the part-load operation of heat pump was also considered. Simulation results show that an annual heating coefficient of performance ($COP_H$) of a seawater-source screw heat pump is approximately 2.8 and that it is necessary to improve part-load performance to increase an annual performance of the heat pump.

  • PDF

Comparison of Local and Global Fitting for Exercise BP Estimation Using PTT (PTT를 이용한 운동 중 혈압 예측을 위한 Local과 Global Fitting의 비교)

  • Kim, Chul-Seung;Moon, Ki-Wook;Eom, Gwang-Moon
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
    • /
    • v.56 no.12
    • /
    • pp.2265-2267
    • /
    • 2007
  • The purpose of this work is to compare the local fitting and global fitting approaches while applying regression model to the PTT-BP data for the prediction of exercise blood pressures. We used linear and nonlinear regression models to represent the PTT-BP relationship during exercise. PTT-BP data were acquired both under resting state and also after cycling exercise with several load conditions. PTT was calculated as the time between R-peak of ECG and the peak of differential photo-plethysmogram. For the identification of the regression models, we used local fitting which used only the resting state data and global fitting which used the whole region of data including exercise BP. The results showed that the global fitting was superior to the local fitting in terms of the coefficient of determination and the RMS (root mean square) error between the experimental and estimated BP. The nonlinear regression model which used global fitting showed slightly better performance than the linear one (no significant difference). We confirmed that the wide-range of data is required for the regression model to appropriately predict the exercise BP.