• Title/Summary/Keyword: liquidity risk

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Determinants of Default Risks and Risk Management: Evidence from Rural Banks in Indonesia

  • PUSPITASARI, Devy Mawarnie;FEBRIAN, Erie;ANWAR, Mokhammad;SUDARSONO, Rahmat;NAPITUPULU, Sotarduga
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.8
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    • pp.497-502
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to investigate the determinants of default risk of rural banks in East Java, Indonesia. The method used is descriptive verification and logistic regression analysis. The data used is secondary in the form of monthly annual financial reports of rural banks in East Java during the period 2009-2018. From the results, it was shown that net interest margin (NIM) as a proxy of market risk, non-performing loan (NPL) as a proxy of credit risk, operation efficiency as a proxy of operational risk and return on assets (ROA) as a proxy of profitability have a significant influence on default risk. Meanwhile, the loan to deposit (LDR) ratio as a proxy of liquidity risk has no significant influence on default risk. Banks need to implement risk management and meet the capital adequacy requirements of regulators so that they are resistant to risk, and also, compliant with bank governance to be able to produce high returns for rural banks have an impact on sustainability and its existence. The ability to identify setbacks in bank conditions and the ability to distinguish between healthy and problematic banks will enable to anticipate default banks.

Determinants of Debt Policy for Public Companies in Indonesia

  • MUKHIBAD, Hasan;SUBOWO, Subowo;MAHARIN, Denis Opi;MUKHTAR, Saparuddin
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.6
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    • pp.29-37
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    • 2020
  • This research seeks to determine the influence of investment opportunity set (IOS); profitability (Return on Assets - ROA), liquidity, business risk and firm size on debt policy. We used 42 manufacturing companies registered on the Indonesian Stock Exchange (Bursa Efek Indonesia) as object research. We used purposive sampling method to determined samples, consider the period observation from 2012 to 2016, and produce 168 units analysis. Data analysis uses the multiple regressions with the SPSS tools. The results of the study found that companies' debt policies in Indonesia are negatively affected by the liquidity. Investment opportunity set (IOS) has negative effect on debt policy. Meanwhile, ROA, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), and firm size of a company has no impact on debt policy. These findings indicate that Indonesian manufacture companies do not see the high investment opportunity set and profitability as a policy basis for increasing debt. Moreover, the high profitability also does not cause companies to increase their debt ratio. Our study indicates that Indonesian manufacture companies use internal funds to fund their investment. This finding is a concern for creditors, as they can now see the ability of the companies, and especially their performance, in determining their credit policies.

CMTO: An Inquiry into the Activation for Real Estate Security Token of the Digital Asset Hour (CMTO: 디지털 자산 시대의 부동산 토큰 증권 활성화 방안 연구)

  • Jeongmin Lee;Minhyuk Lee
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.81-95
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    • 2023
  • The emergence of Security Token has revolutionized the way assets are traded, bringing efficiency, transparency, and accessibility to the market. However, the Real Estate Security Token market faces challenges, particularly in terms of liquidity. The CMTO(Collateralized Mortgage Token Obligation) model addresses this issue by introducing a novel approach that combines the benefits of NFT(Non-Fungible Token), STO(Security Token Offering), and CMO(Collateralized Mortgage Obligation) techniques to enhance liquidity and promote investment in Real Estate Security Token. The CMTO framework functions by allowing DABS token investors to leverage their tokens as collateral for loans. These token-collateralized loans are pooled together and form the basis for issuing Sequential CMO named CMTO. The CMTO represent a diversified portfolio of token-collateralized loans, providing investors with options based on their financial goals and risk preferences. By implementing CMTO, the Real Estate Security Token market can overcome liquidity challenges, attract a broader range of investors, and unlock the full potential of digital assets in the real estate industry.

An Empirical Study on the Risk Index of Korean Securities Industry (우리나라 증권산업의 위험지수 작성에 관한 실증연구)

  • Chang, Kook-Hyun
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.131-153
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    • 2008
  • This paper calculates the Risk Index of Korean securities industry that summarizes the information contained in seventeen financial indicators that represent risk categories such as capital adequacy(C), asset quality(A), earnings(E), and liquidity(L) by using the NBER statistical methodology. For the validation of Risk Index, expected default frequency has been used, and the result has been proved to be positive. According to the compiled Risk Index, the level of risks of Korean securities industry has been decreasing from the second quarter of 2003 to the first quarter of 2006 by 22 percent. But the risk has been increasing during the periods from the first quarter of 2002 to the first quarter of 2003 and from the first quarter of 2006 to the last quarter of 2006.

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Tests of a Four-Factor Asset Pricing Model: The Stock Exchange of Thailand

  • POJANAVATEE, Sasipa
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.9
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    • pp.117-123
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    • 2020
  • The objective of this study is to examine whether the four-factor model explains variation in the expected return of stocks on the Stock Exchange of Thailand. The study used individual monthly data for all stock with continuous trading on the Stock Exchange of Thailand. The study used sample data of 429 listed stocks to construct 8 portfolios bases on the industries. In this study, subject to market factors such as size, the book-to-market ratio, the market beta, and stock liquidity are taken into account. The Empirical analysis reveals that not all of the variables included in the four-factor asset pricing model are statistically significant to do affect the formation of the rate of return on stocks calculated on a monthly basis. The result shows that market beta, stock liquidity, and the book-to-market ratio has a significant increase in the rate of return on shares listed on the Consumer Products. It is therefore apparent that at least in respect of monthly analysis, the predictions of bass models in the field of modern finance theory systematic risk measured by the beta coefficient did play a significantly important role in the formation of the rate of return on the Stock Exchange of Thailand.

The Effects of the Capital Adequacy and Liquidity Regulation on Internet Primary Banks (인터넷전문은행의 자본적정성과 유동성 규제에 관한 연구)

  • Bae, Jae Kwon
    • Asia-pacific Journal of Multimedia Services Convergent with Art, Humanities, and Sociology
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.773-782
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    • 2019
  • Basel III (Third Basel Accord or Basel Standards) is a global, voluntary regulatory framework on bank capital adequacy, stress testing, and market liquidity risk. Basel III regulatory ratios include capital adequacy, asset soundness, and liquidity. The capital adequacy variables include BIS capital adequacy ratio, BIS tier 1 capital ratio, and tangible common equity ratio. The asset soundness variables include non-performing loan ratio and non-performing loan coverage ratio. The liquidity regulation variables include KRW liquidity coverage ratio and foreign currency liquidity coverage ratio. This study aims to investigate how capital adequacy standard affects efficiency of internet primary banks. As a result of this study, BIS capital adequacy ratio of domestic internet primary banks is lower than that of commercial banks. In order to maintain sustainable operation considering capital adequacy regulations, it is necessary to expand additional capital. In addition, the delinquency rate and non-performing loan ratio of domestic internet primary banks is gradually increasing due to the maturity of high-yield loans in 2019.

A Study on the Effect of Investor Sentiment and Liquidity on Momentum and Stock Returns (투자자 심리와 유동성이 모멘텀과 주식수익률에 미치는 영향 연구)

  • In-Su, Kim
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
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    • v.20 no.11
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    • pp.75-83
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    • 2022
  • This study analyzes whether investor sentiment and liquidity explain the momentum phenomenon in the Korean stock market and whether it is a risk factor for the asset pricing model. The empirical analysis used the monthly returns of non-financial companies listed on the stock market during the period 2000-2021. As a result of the analysis, first, it was found that there is a momentum effect in Korea. This is the same result as the previous study, and since 2000, the momentum effect has been accepted as a general phenomenon in the Korean stock market. Second, if we look at the portfolio based on investor sentiment, investor sentiment is influencing momentum. In particular, when investor sentiment is negative, the return on the winner portfolio is high. Third, as a result of the analysis based on liquidity, the momentum effect disappears and a reversal effect appears. Fourth, it was found that investor sentiment and liquidity influence the momentum effect. This is a result of the strong momentum effect in the illiquid stock group with negative investor sentiment. Fifth, as a result of analyzing the effect of each factor on stock returns, it was found that both investor psychology and liquidity factors have a significant impact on returns. The estimated results provide evidence that the inclusion of these two factors in the Carhart four-factor model significantly increases the predictive power of the model. Therefore, it can be said that investor sentiment factors and liquidity factors are important factors in determining stock returns.

A STUDY ON RISK WEIGHT USING FUZZY IN REAL ESTATE DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS

  • Sung Cho;Kyung-ha Lee ;Yong Cho ;Joon-Hong Paek
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.1176-1182
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    • 2009
  • Due to recession in real estate market, interest of risk analysis is increasing. Feasibility study in the first stage takes a great role in a project. There are not objectified tools which are able to cope with uncertainty of project, and feasibility study based on selected method of determinism does not include liquidity of weight risk. Also, shortage of consideration for subjective and atypical external factors causes inappropriate results. Therefore, this study proposes feasibility study model focused on risk factor influences in construction cost and sales cost. Considering effective level of cost based on objective risk factors and probable weight of risk by this model, real workers are able to bring correct and scientific decisions better than former method based on selective analysis of real estate development.

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A Study on Financial Ratio and Prediction of Financial Distress in Financial Markets

  • Lee, Bo-Hyung;Lee, Sang-Ho
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.16 no.11
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    • pp.21-27
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    • 2018
  • Purpose - This study investigates the financial ratio of savings banks and the effect of the ratio having influence upon bankruptcy by quantitative empirical analysis of forecast model to give material of better management and objective evidence of management strategy and way of advancement and risk control. Research design, data, and methodology - The author added two growth indexes, three fluidity indexes, five profitability indexes, and four activity indexes CAMEL rating to not only the balance sheets but also the income statement of thirty savings banks that suspended business from 2011 to 2015 and collected fourteen financial ratio indexes. IBMSPSS VER. 21.0 was used. Results - Variables having influence upon bankruptcy forecast models included total asset increase ratio and operating income increase ratio of growth index and sales to account receivable ratio, and tangible equity ratio and liquidity ratio of liquidity ratio. The study selected total asset operating ratio, and earning and expenditure ratio from profitability index, and receivable turnover ratio of activity index. Conclusions - Financial supervising system should be improved and financial consumers should be protected to develop saving bank and to control risk, and information on financial companies should be strengthened.

Determinants of Dividend Payout: Evidence from listed Oil and Gas Companies of Pakistan

  • Tahir, Muhammad;Mushtaq, Muhammad
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.25-37
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    • 2016
  • This study aims to investigate the determinants of dividend payout of Oil and Gas industry of Pakistan using secondary data from published annual reports from 2008 to 2014 listed on KSE (Karachi Stock Exchange). Dividend payout can be affected by profitability, firm size, financial leverage, sales growth, investment opportunities, liquidity, business risk, and ownership structure. Panel data technique used due to panel characteristics of available data with ordinary least square regression model to find out the impact of set of explanatory variables on the dividend payout using the Stata. Financial leverage, sales growth and business risks are the most significant variables of the study where financial leverage and business risk have significant negative effect on dividend payout while sales growth has favorable positive impact on dividend payout. Results revealed significant positive link of profitability and firm size with dividend payout whereas government ownership is negatively associated with dividend payout. Investment opportunities, liquidity and managerial ownership showed insignificant relationship with dividend payout. This Suggests that dividend payout policy is dependent on business strategies including both investment and financing decisions. Financial managers should consider these factors while formulating dividend policy of the firm.