• Title/Summary/Keyword: linear series

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A Preliminary Epidemiologic Study on Korean Veterans Exposed to Herbicides in Vietnam War (파월국군장병의 고엽제 위해에 관한 예비적 역학조사)

  • Kim, Joung-Soon;Lee, Hyun-Sul;Lee, Hong-Bok;Lee, Won-Young;Park, Young-Joo;Kim, Sung-Soo
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.27 no.4 s.48
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    • pp.711-734
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    • 1994
  • Among chemical agents in herbicides, dioxin (2, 3, 7, 8-tetrachloro dibenzo-$\rho$-dioxin : TCDD), a chemical contaminant in herbicides sprayed during the Vietnam War has been known to be the major agent causing toxic effects. Approximately 320,000 korean soldiers participated the Vietnam War from 1964 to 1974. Although the potential hazards of the herbicides among Korean veterans exposed were implicated, the problem had not been a public issue until 1991 when Korean veterans were informed U.S. companies, the herbicides manufacturer payed fund, from which a trust fund for New Zealand and Australian Class members were established in 1985. After a series of appeals and demonstration by the Korean Veterans demanding medical care and compensation for their serious health damages, a bill of medical care and compensation for herbicides victims was promulgated in March 1993 and become effective from May 1993, This study was carried out with two major objectives : the first to understand the health problems caused from the herbicides by reviewing literatures published, and the second to examine the nature and extent of health impacts among Korean veterans exposed and to develop valid study methods for the major study by interviewing and reviewing records on a part of veterans (638 persons) registered and completed medical examination in Seoul Veterans Administration Hospital from June to October 1993. The results obtained are as followings: 1. The literature review of 107 papers revealed that 1) Dioxin is teratogenic, carcinogenic and affects almost all organs including nervous, endocrine, and reproductive systems in animal experiments. 2) The diseases showing evidence of causal association were Hodgkin's disease, non-Hodgkin's disease, lung cancer, lymphoma, soft tissue sarcoma, chloroacne and polyneuropathy when judged on the basis of consistency in study results and biological plausibility. 2. Interview and medical record review study on 638 veterans, though limited validity owing to lack of control group, crude estimates of dioxin exposure levels (no biomarkers measurable), and uncertainty of diagnosis, showed that: 1) Most of the study subject's were in their 40's of age and had been dispatched to Vietnam during the period from $1965{\sim}1970$ around one year. 2) Most frequently complained symptoms in medical examination were motor weakness (32%), sensory abnormalities in extremities (23%), skin diseases (22%), and pain in extremities (20%) whereas in Interview they were more frequent in order of skin problem (44%), motor weakness (38%), sensory abnormalities and pain in extremities(17% and 19% each). Kappa indices on the same category of complaints between two sources of information were variable and relatively low. 3) On medical examination, only a part of the 638 subjects had initial impression (442 pts) and final diagnosis (218 pts) suggesting decision making on diagnosis appeared to be difficult even with all available modern medical technologies: in initial impression disorders from peripheral and central neuropathy were predominant whereas in final diagnosis various types of skin disorder were most frequent 4) When dose-response relationship between several conditions (from questionnaire) and arbitrary exposure scores were examined by CMH linear trend test, spontaneous abortion, sexual problems and health problem of offsprings showed statistically significant linear trends. However, pregnancy, accident and suicidal attempts did not show any relationship in this study capacity. 5) Among complaints, psychosis and neurosis (anxiety, phobia) in interview study, and memory disorder and psychosis in medical record study revealed linear trend. 6) Skin disorder was the only condition showing linear trend in initial impression and none in final diagnosis on medical examination. Even though objective to select out dioxin-related disease or group of diseases from this study was not achieved the research experiences provided firm basis for developing various methodological approaches. 3. From this preliminary study we concluded that a larger scale major epidemiologic study on health impacts of herbicides among Korean veterans exposed is not only Indispensible but also well designed study with more valid exposure information and diagnosis may be able to establish causal relationship between certain groups of diseases and exposure to the herbicides among Korean veterans.

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Quantitative evaluation of collapse hazard levels of tunnel faces by interlinked consideration of face mapping, design and construction data: focused on adaptive weights (막장관찰 및 설계/시공자료가 연계 고려된 터널막장 붕괴 위험도의 정량적 산정: 가변형 가중치 중심으로)

  • Shin, Hyu-Soung;Lee, Seung-Soo;Kim, Kwang-Yeom;Bae, Gyu-Jin
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.505-522
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    • 2013
  • Previously, a new concept of indexing methodology has been proposed for quantitative assessment of tunnel collapse hazard level at each tunnel face with respect to the given geological data, design condition and the corresponding construction activity (Shin et al, 2009a). In this paper, 'linear' model, in which weights of influence factors are invariable, and 'non-linear' model, in which weights of influence factors are variable, are taken into account with some examples. Then, the 'non-linear' model is validated by using 100 tunnel collapse cases. It appears that 'non-linear' model allows us to have adapted weight values of influence factors to characteristics of given tunnel site. In order to make a better understanding and help for an effective use of the system, a series of operating processes of the system are built up. Then, by following the processes, the system is applied to a real-life tunnel project in very weak and varying ground conditions. Through this approach, it would be quite apparent that the tunnel collapse hazard indices are determined by well interlinked consideration of face mapping data as well as design/construction data. The calculated indices seem to be in good agreement with available electric resistivity distribution and design/construction status. In addition, This approach could enhance effective usage of face mapping data and lead timely and well corresponding field reactions to situation of weak tunnel faces.

A prediction study on the number of emergency patients with ASTHMA according to the concentration of air pollutants (대기오염물질 농도에 따른 천식 응급환자 수 예측 연구)

  • Han Joo Lee;Min Kyu Jee;Cheong Won Kim
    • Journal of Service Research and Studies
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.63-75
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    • 2023
  • Due to the development of industry, interest in air pollutants has increased. Air pollutants have affected various fields such as environmental pollution and global warming. Among them, environmental diseases are one of the fields affected by air pollutants. Air pollutants can affect the human body's skin or respiratory tract due to their small molecular size. As a result, various studies on air pollutants and environmental diseases have been conducted. Asthma, part of an environmental disease, can be life-threatening if symptoms worsen and cause asthma attacks, and in the case of adult asthma, it is difficult to cure once it occurs. Factors that worsen asthma include particulate matter and air pollution. Asthma is an increasing prevalence worldwide. In this paper, we study how air pollutants correlate with the number of emergency room admissions in asthma patients and predict the number of future asthma emergency patients using highly correlated air pollutants. Air pollutants used concentrations of five pollutants: sulfur dioxide(SO2), carbon monoxide(CO), ozone(O3), nitrogen dioxide(NO2), and fine dust(PM10), and environmental diseases used data on the number of hospitalizations of asthma patients in the emergency room. Data on the number of emergency patients of air pollutants and asthma were used for a total of 5 years from January 1, 2013 to December 31, 2017. The model made predictions using two models, Informer and LTSF-Linear, and performance indicators of MAE, MAPE, and RMSE were used to measure the performance of the model. The results were compared by making predictions for both cases including and not including the number of emergency patients. This paper presents air pollutants that improve the model's performance in predicting the number of asthma emergency patients using Informer and LTSF-Linear models.

The Contribution of Innovation on Productivity and Growth in Korea (기술혁신이 생산성과 경제성장에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Byung-Woo
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.72-90
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    • 2008
  • What has been the contribution of industrial innovation to economic growth? Typically, the issue has been approached with growth-accounting methods augmented to include a "stock of knowledge". An independent estimate of the rate of return to R&D is found in order to impute patents granted to the accumulation of knowledge. Griliches(1973) then uses a regression approach to assess the effect of an R&D variable on the computed TFP growth rate. The regression coefficient on the R&D variable would provide an estimate of the social rate of return to R&D. The related studies tend to show high social rates of return to R&D, typically in a range of 20 to 40 % per year. We need to provide multiple equation dynamic system for productivity and innovation in Korean economy in state space form. A wide range of time series models, including the classical linear regression model, can be written and estimated as special cases of a state space specification. State space models have been applied in the econometrics literature to model unobserved variables like productivity. Estimation produces the following results. Considering the goodness of fit, we can see that the evidence is strongly in favor of the range $0.120{\sim}0.135$ for the elasticity of TFP to R&D stock in the period between 1970's and the early 2000's.

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Development of an Improved Point Load Apparatus (개량형 점하중강도시험기의 개발)

  • Kim, Yong-Phil;Um, Jeong-Gi
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.473-478
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    • 2009
  • The accuracy of point load apparatus is depend on point to point coaxial fitting. Also, the estimation of applied point load using the pressure gauge frequently lead to erroneous results. An improved point load apparatus has been developed in this study by mounting linear bearing on polished support rod, and eccentric error of point to point axis has been sustained less than 0.1 mm even under series of extreme work load conditions. Two digital displacement gauges are attached to measure the distance from point to point with sample specimen. A load cell mounted at the end of upper conical platen measure the applied net load on sample instead of preassure gauge. Total of 107 point load tests has been achieved to assure the quality and performance of developed apparatus. This exercise turned out to be successful.

Kinetics and Reaction Mechanism of Aminolyses of Benzyl 2-Pyridyl Carbonate and t-Butyl 2-Pyridyl Carbonate in Acetonitrile

  • Bae, Ae-Ri;Um, Ik-Hwan
    • Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.1547-1550
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    • 2012
  • Second-order rate constants ($k_N$) have been measured spectrophotometrically for the reactions of benzyl 2-pyridyl carbonate $\mathbf{3}$ and $t$-butyl 2-pyridyl carbonate $\mathbf{3}$ with a series of alicyclic secondary amines in MeCN at $25.0{\pm}0.1^{\circ}C$. Substrate $\mathbf{4}$ is much less reactive than $\mathbf{3}$ and the steric hindrance exerted by the bulky $t$-Bu group in $\mathbf{4}$ has been attributed to its decreased reactivity. The Br${\o}$nsted-type plots for the reactions of $\mathbf{3}$ and $\mathbf{4}$ are linear with ${\beta}_{nuc}=0.57$ and 0.45, respectively. Thus, the reactions have been concluded to proceed through a concerted mechanism, although the current reactions were expected to proceed through a stepwise mechanism with a zwitterionic tetrahedral intermediate $T^{\pm}$. It has been proposed that the rate of leaving-group expulsion is accelerated by the intramolecular H-bonding interaction in $T^{\pm}$ and the "push" provided by the RO group through the resonance interaction. Thus, the enhanced nucleofugality forces the reactions to proceed through a concerted mechanism. The reactivity-selectivity principle (RSP) is not applicable to the current reaction systems, since the reaction of the less reactive $\mathbf{4}$ results in a smaller ${\beta}_{nuc}$ than that of the more reactive $\mathbf{3}$. Steric hindrance exerted by the bulky $t$-Bu group in $\mathbf{4}$ has been suggested to be responsible for the failure of the RSP.

Kinetics and Reaction Mechanism of Aminolyses of Benzyl 2-Pyridyl Carbonate and t-Butyl 2-Pyridyl Carbonate: Effect of Nonleaving Group on Reactivity and Reaction Mechanism

  • Kang, Ji-Sun;Lee, Jae-In;Um, Ik-Hwan
    • Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.1551-1555
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    • 2012
  • Second-order rate constants ($k_N$) have been measured spectrophotometrically for the reactions of benzyl 2-pyridyl carbonate $\mathbf{7}$ and $t$-butyl 2-pyridyl carbonate $\mathbf{8}$ with a series of alicyclic secondary amines in $H_2O$ at $25.0^{\circ}C$. Substrate $\mathbf{8}$ is less reactive than $\mathbf{7}$. Steric hindrance exerted by the bulky $t$-Bu group of $\mathbf{8}$ has been suggested to be responsible for the decreased reactivity. The Br${\o}$nsted-type plots for the reactions of $\mathbf{7}$ and $\mathbf{8}$ are linear with ${\beta}_{nuc}=0.49$ and 0.44, respectively, which is typical for reactions reported previously to proceed through a concerted mechanism. Aminolyses of $\mathbf{7}$ and $\mathbf{8}$ were expected to proceed through a zwitterionic tetrahedral intermediate $T^{\pm}$, which would be stabilized through an intramolecular H-bonding interaction. However, the kinetic results suggest that the reactions proceed through a concerted mechanism. The H-bonding interaction in $T^{\pm}$ has been suggested to accelerate the rate of leaving-group expulsion from $T^{\pm}$. Another factor that might accelerate expulsion of the leaving group is the "push" provided by the RO group in $T^{\pm}$ through resonance interactions. Thus, it has been concluded that the enhanced nucleofugality through the H-bonding interaction and the "push" provided by the RO group forces the reactions to proceed through a concerted mechanism.

Rupture Prediction of the Rupture Disk Using Elasto-Plastic Analysis (탄소성해석을 이용한 파열판의 파열예측)

  • Han, Houk-Seop;Lee, Won-Bok;Koo, Song-Hoe;Lee, Bang-Eop
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.49-56
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    • 2012
  • Rupture disks are a kind of safety device in high pressure equipment and they are used to control rupture pressure in the solid rocket motor. In this paper, a series of rupture experiments was performed using rupture disks made of AISI 316L and rupture pressure of rupture disks was calculated through various assumptions in relation between elasto-plastic material properties and true stress-strain curve. Experiment and FEA indicated rupture pressure is determined by size of rupture disks. As a result of elasto-plastic analysis, only multi-linear stress-strain curve was able to calculate meaningful estimations. Experimental results also showed rupture location are decided by the size of rupture disks. Experimental and FEA results will be applied to control rupture pressure of disks.

Experimentally validated FEA models of HF2V damage free steel connections for use in full structural analyses

  • Desombre, Jonathan;Rodgers, Geoffrey W.;MacRae, Gregory A.;Rabczuk, Timon;Dhakal, Rajesh P.;Chase, J. Geoffrey
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.385-399
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    • 2011
  • The aim of this research is to model the behaviour of recently developed high force to volume (HF2V) passive energy dissipation devices using a simple finite element (FE) model. Thus, the end result will be suitable for use in a standard FE code to enable computationally fast and efficient analysis and design. Two models are developed. First, a detailed axial model that models an experimental setup is created to validate the approach versus experimental results. Second, a computationally and geometrically simpler equivalent rotational hinge element model is presented. Both models are created in ABAQUS, a standard nonlinear FE code. The elastic, plastic and damping properties of the elements used to model the HF2V devices are based on results from a series of quasi-static force-displacement loops and velocity based tests of these HF2V devices. Comparison of the FE model results with the experimental results from a half scale steel beam-column sub-assembly are within 10% error. The rotational model matches the output of the more complex and computationally expensive axial element model. The simpler model will allow computationally efficient non-linear analysis of large structures with many degrees of freedom, while the more complex and physically accurate axial model will allow detailed analysis of joint connection architecture. Their high correlation to experimental results helps better guarantee the fidelity of the results of such investigations.

A Study on the Factors of Civil Petitions & Complaints within Public Libraries (공공도서관의 이용자 민원 요인 분석 연구)

  • Lee, Goeun;Kim, Giyeong
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Library and Information Science
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    • v.48 no.3
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    • pp.281-301
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    • 2014
  • This study aims to understand the characteristics of civil petitions and complaints within public libraries and to identify factors to the civil petitions. We develop a survey questionnaire for the goals based on the previous related studies and a pilot study with several open-ended interviews with public library users. Then we collect data using the questionnaire from 154 survey participants (public library users). The collected data are statistically analyzed by using factor analysis, canonical correlation analysis, and multiple linear regression analysis. The results show that there are two identified dependent factors, such as petition and complaint, and six independent factors, including librarian specialty, service convenience, and communication between librarians and users. Through a series of statistical analysis for identifying specific relationships between individual dependent factors and predictors, we discuss the characteristics of the library civil petitions and complaints, and the importance of a structural/relation-based approach to the library civil petition as a complimentary for the functional approach. Based on the results and discussions, we suggest several future research directions, including research on the relationship between the library civil petitions and library performances.