• Title/Summary/Keyword: linear growth model

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A Study for the Development of a Bid Price Rate Prediction Model (낙찰률 예측 모형에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Bo-Seung;Kang, Hyun-Cheol;Han, Sang-Tae
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.23-34
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    • 2011
  • Property auctions have become a new method for real estate investment because the property auction market grows in tandem with the growth of the real estate market. This study focused on the statistical model for predicting bid price rates which is the main index for participants in the real estate auction market. For estimating the monthly bid price rate, we proposed a new method to make up for the mean of regions and terms as well as to reduce the prediction error using a decision tree analysis. We also proposed a linear regression model to predict a bid price rate for individual auction property. We applied the proposed model to apartment auction property and tried to predict the bid price rate as well as categorize individual auction property into an auction grade.

Growth of Civic Organizations in South Korea (한국 시민단체의 성장에 대한 양적 연구)

  • Shin, Dong-Joon;Kim, Kwang-Soo;Kim, Jae-On
    • Survey Research
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.75-101
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    • 2005
  • This study introduces and analyzes the data from Directory of Korean NGOs, which was published in 1997 and again in 200, to conduct a quantitative research on the growth of civic organization in South Korea. This paper focus on the information on membership size and founding year which are essential indicators for the growth of organizations. Missing rates on those two indicators are checked to evaluate the quality of data. We examine the changes in membership size between the two time periods, 1996 and 1999. It shows that there is a considerable decrease in the membership size for civic and advocary organizations that are oriented to national issues. It suggests the competition among the organizations over limited resources, which is consistent with an assumption of ecological theory of organization on non-linear growth pattern. Using founding year data from 1945 to 1996, we estimate pseudo growth curves of civic organizations based on logistic growth curve model to discuss different growth patterns of organizations across areas of activities.

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Long-term Water Quality Fluctuations in Daechung Reservoir and the Limiting Nutrient Evaluations Using In Situ Enclosure Nutrient Enrichment Bioassays (NEBs) (대청호에서 장기간 수질변동 및 인위적 Enclosure 영양염 투여실험에 따른 제한 영양염류 평가)

  • Park, Hyang-Mi;An, Kwang-Guk
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.551-560
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    • 2012
  • The objectives of this study were to elucidate spatio-temporal heterogeneity of water chemistry and develop empirical models using trophic variables in Daechung Reservoir during 2005-2010 along with in situ tests of nutrient enrichment bioassays (NEB). The relations of water quality parameters in regard to precipitation showed that seasonal and interannual fluctuations of biological oxygen demand (BOD), total nitrogen (TN) and pH were minor, whereas conductivity, suspended solids (SS), and total phosphorus (TP) were largely varied in response to the magnitude of rainfall. The CHL maxima occurred immediately after the spate of TP during the high flow, indicating that phytoplankton growth was directly controlled by phosphorus. Empirical linear models of CHL-TP indicated that the variation of CHL in premonsoon was accounted 60% ($R^2$ = 0.60, p < 0.05, n = 54) by TP. In the mean time, empirical models of annual CHL-TN showed that the variation of CHL was weakly accounted ($R^2$ = 0.16, p < 0.001) by TN and more strongly ($R^2$ = 0.44, p < 0.001) by TP. Thus, the variation of CHL was more explained by the variation of TP than TN. In situ tests of Nutrient Enrichment Bioassays (NEBs) showed that the growth of CHL was greater in the P-treatments (as $PO_4-P$) than the control and N-treatment (as $NO_3-P$). Overall, our results suggest that phosphorus was aprimary limiting nutrient controlling the seasonal phytoplankton growth, based on the in situ experiments of NEBs.

Numerical study to reproduce a real cable tray fire event in a nuclear power plant

  • Jaiho Lee ;Byeongjun Kim;Yong Hun Jung;Sangkyu Lee;Weon Gyu Shin
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.55 no.4
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    • pp.1571-1584
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    • 2023
  • In this study, a numerical analysis was performed as part of an international joint research project to reproduce a real cable tray fire that occurred in the heater bay area of the turbine building of a nuclear power plant. A sensitivity analysis was performed on various input parameters to derive results consistent with the sprinkler activation time obtained from the fire event analysis. For all sensitive parameters, the normalized sprinkler activation time correlated well with the power function of the normalized sprinkler height. A correlation equation was developed to identify the sprinkler activation time at any location when determining the slope or fire growth rate under the conditions assuming a linear or t-squared heat release rate (HRR) time curve. Various cable fire growth assumptions were used to determine which assumption was better to provide the prediction coincident with the information given from the fire event analysis in terms of the sprinkler activation time and total energy generated from cables damaged by fire. In the comprehensive analysis of all the sensitive parameters, the standard deviation of the input parameters increased as the sprinkler height decreased. Within the range of the sensitivity parameter values given in this study, when considering all sprinkler heights, the standard deviation of the cable model change was the largest and that of the overhang position change was the smallest.

Estimation of heritability and genetic correlation of body weight gain and growth curve parameters in Korean native chicken

  • Manjula, Prabuddha;Park, Hee-Bok;Seo, Dongwon;Choi, Nuri;Jin, Shil;Ahn, Sung Jin;Heo, Kang Nyeong;Kang, Bo Seok;Lee, Jun-Heon
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.26-31
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    • 2018
  • Objective: This study estimated the genetic parameters for body weight gain and growth curve parameter traits in Korean native chicken (KNC). Methods: A total of 585 $F_1$ chickens were used along with 88 of their $F_0$ birds. Body weights were measured every 2 weeks from hatching to 20 weeks of age to measure weight gain at 2-week intervals. For each individual, a logistic growth curve model was fitted to the longitudinal growth dataset to obtain three growth curve parameters (${\alpha}$, asymptotic final body weight; ${\beta}$, inflection point; and ${\gamma}$, constant scale that was proportional to the overall growth rate). Genetic parameters were estimated based on the linear-mixed model using a restricted maximum likelihood method. Results: Heritability estimates of body weight gain traits were low to high (0.057 to 0.458). Heritability estimates for ${\alpha}$, ${\beta}$, and ${\gamma}$ were $0.211{\pm}0.08$, $0.249{\pm}0.09$, and $0.095{\pm}0.06$, respectively. Both genetic and phenotypic correlations between weight gain traits ranged from -0.527 to 0.993. Genetic and phenotypic correlation between the growth curve parameters and weight gain traits ranged from -0.968 to 0.987. Conclusion: Based on the results of this study population, we suggest that the KNC could be used for selective breeding between 6 and 8 weeks of age to enhance the overall genetic improvement of growth traits. After validation of these results in independent studies, these findings will be useful for further optimization of breeding programs for KNC.

An Analysis on Human Capital Externalities Using Hierarchical Linear Model (위계선형모형을 이용한 인적자본의 외부효과 분석)

  • Park, Jung-Ho;Lee, Hee-Yeon
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.627-644
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    • 2009
  • In the knowledge-based economy highlighting the importance of human capital, there has been a growing interest in human capital externalities as a fundamental engine of growth and development of a region. The purpose of this study is to analyze human capital externalities using 3-level hierarchical linear model(3-HLM), decomposing determinants of wages into three levels involving workers(level-1) nested within firms(level-2) nested within regions(level-3). This study separately estimates the effect of the average education level on the wages by three different schooling groups on the assumption that the intensity of knowledge spillovers varies with each group's schooling level. The main results are as follows; First, the coefficient of the average education level of a region shows 0.044, indicating that one-year increase in the average level of schooling could increase average individual earnings by 4.4%. Secondly, the external effects of human capital on three different schooling groups are considerably different, raising less than high school graduates' wages by 3.0%, college graduates' wages by 4.7%, and graduate schools' wages by 11.8%, respectively. Thirdly, well educated workers are much more sensitive to the variation of the regional education level than less educated ones when we apply the shares of each schooling group as alternative measures for the average level of education. Such findings of this study draw an implication that local governments could speed up regional economic growth in the knowledge-based economy by not only raising total human capital stock in a region but building the close networks that promote productivity-enhancing human capital external effects.

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Layer Growth Rate of Benzene Layer from Benzene-Cyclohexane Mixtures in Layer Crystallizer (경막 결정화기에서 벤젠-시클로헥산 혼합물로부터 벤젠의 결정성장속도)

  • Kim, Kwang-Joo;Lee, Jung-Min;Ryu, Seung-Kon
    • Applied Chemistry for Engineering
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.308-314
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    • 1996
  • The crystal growth rate of benzene from benzene-cyclohexane mixtures at a cylindrical layer crystallizer was determined from the slope of the line of correlation between operating time and layer thickness. The thickness of crystal layer was obtained from the amount of crystal deposited on the cooled wall surface of the crystallizer. The crystal growth rate was related with the degree of subcooling, which was defined as the difference between temperature of melt and that of growing crystal surface. The linear crystal growth rate for binary mixtures was proportional to the second power of the degree of subcooling. Equation model which was obtained from data through the rate of heat and mass transfer in the crystallizer and thus can tell crystal thickness and surface temperature of crystal layer according to the elapsed time was presented and successfully correlated to the experimental data. For the benzene-cyclohexane mixtures contains 5wt% and 10wt% of cyclohexane, the comparison of experimental data with calculation using model equation was done for crystal thickness corresponding to the various cooling temperatures.

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Effects of Slow Programmable Cryopreservation on Preserving Viability of the Cultured Periodontal Ligament Cells from Human Impacted Third Molar

  • Kim, Jin-Woo;Kim, Tae-Yi;Kim, Ye-mi;Pang, Eun-Kyoung;Kim, Sun-Jong
    • Journal of Korean Dental Science
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.57-64
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: This study was conducted to determine cell viability and differentiation capability of human periodontal ligament (PDL) cells and to elucidate the effects of cryopreservation on the activity of human third molar PDL cells by comparing PDL cells with and without cryopreservation. Materials and Methods: Human PDL fibroblasts obtained from immature third molars were cultured and divided into two groups. The experimental group was cryopreserved with a slow freezing rate of $0.5^{\circ}C/min$ from $4^{\circ}C$ to $-35^{\circ}C$ followed by plunging in liquid nitrogen at $-196^{\circ}C$ and cultured after fast thawing. The control group was cultured without cryopreservation. Cell viability, growth capacity and morphology were evaluated in both groups. Bivariate statistics were used to compare 2 groups and linear mixed model analysis was used to investigate the growth trends difference over time. Result: Cell viability and growth capacity were not significantly different between the 2 groups (P>0.05). Cultured cell of both groups showed fibroblast-like in appearance, and there were no significant differences in morphology between 2 groups. The mixed model analysis revealed no significant difference of growth capacity between 2 groups over time (${\beta}=-0.0009$; P=0.138). Conclusion: This study demonstrates that cryopreservation under control does not affect the biological properties of PDL cells, supporting the feasibility of autotransplantation of cryopreserved impacted third molars.

Kinetic Behavior of Salmonella on Low NaNO2 Sausages during Aerobic and Vacuum Storage

  • Ha, Jimyeong;Gwak, Eunji;Oh, Mi-Hwa;Park, Beomyoung;Lee, Jeeyeon;Kim, Sejeong;Lee, Heeyoung;Lee, Soomin;Yoon, Yohan;Choi, Kyoung-Hee
    • Food Science of Animal Resources
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.262-266
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    • 2016
  • This study evaluated the growth kinetics of Salmonella spp. in processed meat products formulated with low sodium nitrite (NaNO2). A 5-strain mixture of Salmonella spp. was inoculated on 25-g samples of sausages formulated with sodium chloride (NaCl) (1.0%, 1.25%, and 1.5%) and NaNO2 (0 and 10 ppm) followed by aerobic or vacuum storage at 10℃ and 15℃ for up to 816 h or 408 h, respectively. The bacterial cell counts were enumerated on xylose lysine deoxycholate agar, and the modified Gompertz model was fitted to the Salmonella cell counts to calculate the kinetic parameters as a function of NaCl concentration on the growth rate (GR; Log CFU/g/h) and lag phase duration (LPD; h). A linear equation was then fitted to the parameters to evaluate the effect of NaCl concentration on the kinetic parameters. The GR values of Salmonella on sausages were higher (p<0.05) with 10 ppm NaNO2 concentration than with 0 ppm NaNO2. The GR values of Salmonella decreased (p<0.05) as NaCl concentration increased, especially at 10℃. This result indicates that 10 ppm NaNO2 may increase Salmonella growth at low NaCl concentrations, and that NaCl plays an important role in inhibiting Salmonella growth in sausages with low NaNO2.

Data Analysis and Mining for Fish Growth Data in Fish-Farms (양식장 어류 생육 데이터 분석 및 마이닝)

  • Seoung-Bin Ye;Jeong-Seon Park;Soon-Hee Han;Hyi-Thaek Ceong
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.127-142
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    • 2023
  • The management of size and weight, which are the growth information of aquaculture fish in fish-farms, is the most basic goal. In this study, the epoch is defined in fish-farms from the time of stocking or dividing to the time of shipment, and the growth data for a total of three epoch is analyzed from a time series perspective. Growth information such as the size and weight of aquaculture fish that occur over time in fish-farms is compared and analyzed with water quality environmental information and feeding information, and a model is presented using the analysis results. In this study, linear, exponential, and logarithmic regression models are presented using the Box-Jenkins method for size and weight by epoch using data obtained in the field.