• Title/Summary/Keyword: limit in distribution

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Estimating home fire severity with statistical distributions (통계적 분포를 통한 주택 화재 심도 추정)

  • Yunjung Park;Inha Song;Soyoun Lee;Kwang Hyun Nam;Rosy Oh;Jaeyoun Ahn
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.36 no.6
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    • pp.591-618
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    • 2023
  • This paper evaluates the performance of various distribution assumptions in regression settings for estimating insurance loss. The gamma distribution is commonly used to handle the asymmetry property of loss distribution. However, recent studies highlight the significance of heavy-tailedness in loss distribution. Through an analysis of real home fire insurance data, we compare the effectiveness of different distribution assumptions in regression methods. Our findings show that the choice of parametric distributional assumption is crucial in determining premiums for various insurance products, including "excess of loss insurance" and "limit insurance". Additionally, we discuss practical considerations for applying our results in home fire insurance.

A New Two-Dimensional Model for the Drain-Induced Barrier Lowering of Fully Depleted Short-Channel SOI-MESFET's

  • Jit, S.;Pandey, Prashant;Pal, B.B.
    • JSTS:Journal of Semiconductor Technology and Science
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.217-222
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    • 2003
  • A new two-dimensional analytical model for the potential distribution and drain-induced barrier lowering (DIBL) effect of fully depleted short-channel Silicon-on-insulator (SOI)-MESFET's has been presented in this paper. The two dimensional potential distribution functions in the active layer of the device is approximated as a simple parabolic function and the two-dimensional Poisson's equation has been solved with suitable boundary conditions to obtain the bottom potential at the Si/oxide layer interface. It is observed that for the SOI-MESFET's, as the gate-length is decreased below a certain limit, the bottom potential is increased and thus the channel barrier between the drain and source is reduced. The similar effect may also be observed by increasing the drain-source voltage if the device is operated in the near threshold or sub-threshold region. This is an electrostatic effect known as the drain-induced barrier lowering (DIBL) in the short-gate SOI-MESFET's. The model has been verified by comparing the results with that of the simulated one obtained by solving the 2-D Poisson's equation numerically by using the pde toolbox of the widely used software MATLAB.

Analysis of GPR Exploration Limit of Open-Cut Type Excavation (개착식 굴착현장의 GPR 탐사한계 분석기법 연구)

  • Han, Yushik;Kim, Woo-Seok
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.47-53
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    • 2017
  • Accurate exploration of the risk factors of the ground subsidence is needed to predict and evaluate the subsidence of the surrounding ground due to the excavation of the ground. In this study, we analyzed the distribution of soil relaxation area by analyzing the behavior around the ground excavation site and simulated the GPR exploration under various conditions. As a result, Although there are some differences according to the water content, distribution of the strata and the distribution of the relaxation region were confirmed in the unsaturated soil, and it was found that there was a difficulty in the GPR exploration in the saturated soil.

Design of the Robust CV Control Chart using Location Parameter (위치모수를 이용한 로버스트 CV 관리도의 설계)

  • Chun, Dong-Jin;Chung, Young-Bae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.39 no.1
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    • pp.116-122
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    • 2016
  • Recently, the production cycle in manufacturing process has been getting shorter and different types of product have been produced in the same process line. In this case, the control chart using coefficient of variation would be applicable to the process. The theory that random variables are located in the three times distance of the deviation from mean value is applicable to the control chart that monitor the process in the manufacturing line, when the data of process are changed by the type of normal distribution. It is possible to apply to the control chart of coefficient of variation too. ${\bar{x}}$, s estimates that taken in the coefficient of variation have just used all of the data, but the upper control limit, center line and lower control limit have been settled by the effect of abnormal values, so this control chart could be in trouble of detection ability of the assignable value. The purpose of this study was to present the robust control chart than coefficient of variation control chart in the normal process. To perform this research, the location parameter, ${\bar{x_{\alpha}}}$, $s_{\alpha}$ were used. The robust control chart was named Tim-CV control chart. The result of simulation were summarized as follows; First, P values, the probability to get away from control limit, in Trim-CV control chart were larger than CV control chart in the normal process. Second, ARL values, average run length, in Trim-CV control chart were smaller than CV control chart in the normal process. Particularly, the difference of performance of two control charts was so sure when the change of the process was getting to bigger. Therefore, the Trim-CV control chart proposed in this paper would be more efficient tool than CV control chart in small quantity batch production.

Numerical Study of Fire Behavior Induced by Gas Leakage in Combined Cycle Power Plant (복합발전플랜트 내의 가스 화재 거동에 관한 수치해석)

  • Park, Jaeyong;Sung, Kunhyuk;Li, Longnan;Choi, Jinwook;Kim, Daejoong;Lee, Seong Hyuk;Ryou, Hong Sun
    • Journal of ILASS-Korea
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.107-113
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    • 2015
  • To date, the demand for Combined Cycle Power Plant (CCPP) has been continuously increased to overcome the problem of air pollution and lack of energy. In particular, the underground CCPP is exposed to substantial fire and explosion risks induced by gas leakage. The present study conducted numerical simulations to examine the fire behavior and gas leakage characteristics for a restricted region including gas turbine and other components used in a typical CCPP system. The commercial code of FLUENT V.14 was used for simulation. From the results, it was found that flammable limit distribution of leakage gas affects fire behavior. Especially, the flame is propagated in an instant in restricted region with LNG gas. In addition, consequence analysis factors such as critical temperature and radiation heat flux are introduced. These results would be useful in making the safety guidelines for the underground CCPP.

Thermal Distribution in Living Tissue during Warm Needling Therapy (온침 시술 시 생체 조직 내 열분포 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jongyeon;Lee, Jong-Soo
    • Journal of Korean Medicine Rehabilitation
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.111-119
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    • 2014
  • Objectives This study aims to analyze a thermal distribution in biological living tissue during warm needling therapy by using a finite element method. The analysis provides an understanding of warm needling's efficacy and safety. Methods A model which consisted of four-layered tissue and stainless steel needle was adopted to analyze the thermal distribution in living tissue with a bioheat transfer analysis. The governing equation for the analysis was a Pennes' bioheat equation. A heat source characteristic of warm needling therapy was obtained by previous experimental measurements. The first analysis of the time-dependent temperature distribution was conducted through points on a boundary between the needle and the tissue. The second analysis was conducted to visualize the horizontal temperature distribution. Results When heat source's peak temperatures was above $500^{\circ}C$ and temperature rising rates were relatively slow, the peak temperature at skin surface exceeded a threshold of pain and tissue damage ($45^{\circ}C$), whereas when the peak temperature was around $400^{\circ}C$, the peak temperature at the skin surface was within a safe limit. In addition, the conduction of combustion energy from the moxa was limited to the skin layer around the needle. Conclusions The results suggest that the skin layer around the needle can be heated effectively by warm needling therapy, but it appears to have little effect at the deeper tissue. These findings enhance our understanding of the efficacy and the safety of the warm needling therapy.

Evaluation of the limit ice thickness for the hull of various Finnish-Swedish ice class vessels navigating in the Russian Arctic

  • Kujala, Pentti;Korgesaar, Mihkel;Kamarainen, Jorma
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.376-384
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    • 2018
  • Selection of suitable ice class for ships operation is an important but not simple task. The increased exploitation of the Polar waters, both seasonal periods and geographical areas, as well as the introduction of new international design standards such as Polar Code, reduces the relevancy of using existing experience as basis for the selection, and new methods and knowledge have to be developed. This paper will analyse what can be the limiting ice thickness for ships navigating in the Russian Arctic and designed according to the Finnish-Swedish ice class rules. The permanent deformations of ice-strengthened shell structures for various ice classes is determined using MT Uikku as the typical size of a vessel navigating in ice. The ice load in various conditions is determined using the ARCDEV data from the winter 1998 as the basic database. By comparing the measured load in various ice conditions with the serviceability limit state of the structures, the limiting ice thickness for various ice classes is determined. The database for maximum loads includes 3-weeks ice load measurements during April 1998 on the Kara Sea mainly by icebreaker assistance. Gumbel 1 distribution is fitted on the measured 20 min maximum values and the data is divided into various classes using ship speed, ice thickness and ice concentration as the main parameters. Results encouragingly show that present designs are safer than assumed in the Polar Code suggesting that assisted operation in Arctic conditions is feasible in rougher conditions than indicated in the Polar Code.

Estimation of Shelf Life Distribution of Seasoned Soybean Sprouts Using the Probability of Bacillus cereus Contamination and Growth

  • Lee, Dong-Sun;Hwang, Keum-Jin;Seo, II;Park, Jin-Pyo;Paik, Hyun-Dong
    • Food Science and Biotechnology
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.773-777
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    • 2006
  • Growth of Bacillus cereus was assessed during the storage of seasoned soybean sprouts at 0,5, 10, and $15^{\circ}C$. No lag time in its growth curve was observed and thus the specific growth rate of B. cereus in the exponential growth phase was estimated for bootstrapped microbial count data. The distribution of the specific growth rate could be explained by the BetaGeneral distribution function, and temperature dependence was described by the Ratkowsky square root model. The temperature dependence of the growth could be successfully incorporated into the differential equation of microbial growth to predict the B. cereus count on the seasoned soybean sprouts under fluctuating temperature conditions. Safe shelf lives with different probabilities to reach $10^5\;CFU/g$ were presented at four different temperatures, considering the variation in initial contamination and specific growth rate by the Monte Carlo method and 2-step bootstrapping, respectively. Safe shelf lives defined as the time with a probability of less than 0.1% of reaching the critical limit, were 13.4, 5.2, 3.6, and 2.8 days at 0, 5, 10, and $15^{\circ}C$, respectively.

Spray Deposit Distribution of a Small Orchard Sprayer (소형 과수방제기 살포입자의 부착량 분포)

  • Koo, Young-Mo
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.145-152
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    • 2007
  • Uniformity of spray deposit is one of the important factors in spray performance affecting efficacy of pest management. Distributions of spray deposit on artificial targets were measured and analyzed to enhance the efficiency of spray application. The research was studied to understand the deposition characteristics of spray droplets and to determine the optimum conditions of chemical application. The deposit and its pattern by the lower fan speed was more uniform and higher than that by the higher fan speed. The upward blasting distance was limited within 3 m, but the limit to the ground level was expanded the distance more than 3.5 m because of the accumulated droplets. When the fan speed was higher at the distance of 2.5 m, deposit reached to maximum. When the distance increased, deposit was getting lower. At the both fan speeds, the deposit was concentrated below $30^{\circ}$ because of the gravitation and the resistance of wind. This research can be useful in designing an orchard sprayer and its operation for various tree canopies. To achieve a uniform distribution of deposit using the air-blast type orchard sprayer, the application rate from the middle boom should be increased as the air velocity to the upward increased. The spray rate to the side boom should be limited in a minimal level.

Texture of Cooked Rice and Molecular Weight Distribution of Rice Amylose (밥의 텍스쳐와 쌀 아밀로오스의 분자량 분포에 관한 연구)

  • Rho, Eun-Sook;Ahn, Seung-Yo
    • Korean Journal of Food Science and Technology
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.486-491
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    • 1989
  • The textural properties of cooked rice and the molecular weight distribution of amyloses of three rice cultivars different in cooking quality were investigated by the method involving rheometry and gel chromatography he tested rice cultivals were Chunmabyeo (short grain), Yongmunbyeo (medium grain) and Mahatma (long grain) The cooked rice prepared with Mahatma was higher in hardness and lower in adhesiveness than those prepared with the other two cultivars. The molecular wright distribution of amylose from Mahatma was found to be higher than those from the other cultivars.

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