• Title/Summary/Keyword: kriging model

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Effects of Latin hypercube sampling on surrogate modeling and optimization

  • Afzal, Arshad;Kim, Kwang-Yong;Seo, Jae-won
    • International Journal of Fluid Machinery and Systems
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.240-253
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    • 2017
  • Latin hypercube sampling is widely used design-of-experiment technique to select design points for simulation which are then used to construct a surrogate model. The exploration/exploitation properties of surrogate models depend on the size and distribution of design points in the chosen design space. The present study aimed at evaluating the performance characteristics of various surrogate models depending on the Latin hypercube sampling (LHS) procedure (sample size and spatial distribution) for a diverse set of optimization problems. The analysis was carried out for two types of problems: (1) thermal-fluid design problems (optimizations of convergent-divergent micromixer coupled with pulsatile flow and boot-shaped ribs), and (2) analytical test functions (six-hump camel back, Branin-Hoo, Hartman 3, and Hartman 6 functions). The three surrogate models, namely, response surface approximation, Kriging, and radial basis neural networks were tested. The important findings are illustrated using Box-plots. The surrogate models were analyzed in terms of global exploration (accuracy over the domain space) and local exploitation (ease of finding the global optimum point). Radial basis neural networks showed the best overall performance in global exploration characteristics as well as tendency to find the approximate optimal solution for the majority of tested problems. To build a surrogate model, it is recommended to use an initial sample size equal to 15 times the number of design variables. The study will provide useful guidelines on the effect of initial sample size and distribution on surrogate construction and subsequent optimization using LHS sampling plan.

Precipitation Analysis Based on Spatial Linear Regression Model (공간적 상관구조를 포함하는 선형회귀모형을 이용한 강수량 자료 분석)

  • Jung, Ji-Young;Jin, Seo-Hoon;Park, Man-Sik
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.1093-1107
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    • 2008
  • In this study, we considered linear regression model with various spatial dependency structures in order to make more reliable prediction of precipitation in South Korea. The prediction approaches are based on semi-variogram models fitted by least-squares estimation method and restricted maximum likelihood estimation method. We validated some candidate models from the two different estimation methods in terms of cross-validation and comparison between predicted values and observed values measured at different locations.

Tolerance Optimization of Lower Arm Used in Automobile Parts Considering Six Sigma Constraints (식스시그마 제약조건을 고려한 로워암의 공차 최적설계)

  • Lee, Kwang-Ki;Han, Seung-Ho
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.35 no.10
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    • pp.1323-1328
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    • 2011
  • In the current design process for the lower arm used in automobile parts, an optimal solution of its various design variables should be found through exploration of the design space approximated using the response surface model formulated with a first- or second-order polynomial equation. In this study, a multi-level computational DOE (design of experiment) was carried out to explore the design space showing nonlinear behavior, in terms of factors such as the total weight and applied stress of the lower arm, where a fractional-factorial orthogonal array based on the artificial neural network model was introduced. In addition, the tolerance robustness of the optimal solution was estimated using a tolerance optimization with six sigma constraints, taking into account the tolerances occurring in the design variables.

Approximate Optimization with Discrete Variables of Fire Resistance Design of A60 Class Bulkhead Penetration Piece Based on Multi-island Genetic Algorithm (다중 섬 유전자 알고리즘 기반 A60 급 격벽 관통 관의 방화설계에 대한 이산변수 근사최적화)

  • Park, Woo-Chang;Song, Chang Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.33-43
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    • 2021
  • A60 class bulkhead penetration piece is a fire resistance system installed on a bulkhead compartment to protect lives and to prevent flame diffusion in a fire accident on a ship and offshore plant. This study focuses on the approximate optimization of the fire resistance design of the A60 class bulkhead penetration piece using a multi-island genetic algorithm. Transient heat transfer analysis was performed to evaluate the fire resistance design of the A60 class bulkhead penetration piece. For approximate optimization, the bulkhead penetration piece length, diameter, material type, and insulation density were considered discrete design variables; moreover, temperature, cost, and productivity were considered constraint functions. The approximate optimum design problem based on the meta-model was formulated by determining the discrete design variables by minimizing the weight of the A60 class bulkhead penetration piece subject to the constraint functions. The meta-models used for the approximate optimization were the Kriging model, response surface method, and radial basis function-based neural network. The results from the approximate optimization were compared to the actual results of the analysis to determine approximate accuracy. We conclude that the radial basis function-based neural network among the meta-models used in the approximate optimization generates the most accurate optimum design results for the fire resistance design of the A60 class bulkhead penetration piece.

A Novel Skewed-Type Iron Slot Wedge for Permanent Magnet Synchronous Generators for Improving Output Power and Reducing Cogging Torque

  • Kang, Sun-Il;Moon, Jae-Won;You, Yong-Min;Lee, Jin-Hee;Kwon, Byung-Il
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.243-250
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    • 2015
  • This paper proposes a novel skewed-type iron slot wedge that can improve both the cogging torque and the output power of a permanent magnet synchronous generator (PMSG). Generally the open slot structure is adopted in a PMSG due to its convenient winding work, but the high cogging torque is undesired. Firstly, an iron slot wedge was utilized to reduce the cogging torque of an open slot type PMSG. However, the output power of the machine decreased rapidly with this method. Thus, a proposed skewed type iron slot wedge is presented to improve the output power as well as the cogging torque as compared to the open slot type. Shape optimization of the skewed-type iron slot wedge is performed to simultaneously maximize the output power and reduce the cogging torque. The Kriging model based on the Halton sequence method and a genetic algorithm are used to optimize the design.

Optimal Shape of Blunt Device for High Speed Vehicle

  • Rho, Joo-Hyun;Jeong, Seongmin;Kim, Kyuhong
    • International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.285-295
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    • 2016
  • A contact strip shape of a high speed train pantograph system was optimized with CFD to increase the aerodynamic performance and stability of contact force, and the results were validated by a wind tunnel test. For design of the optimal contact strip shape, a Kriging model and genetic algorithm were used to ensure the global search of the optimal point and reduce the computational cost. To enhance the performance and robustness of the contact strip for high speed pantograph, the drag coefficient and the fluctuation of the lift coefficient along the angle of attack were selected as design objectives. Aerodynamic forces were measured by a load cell and HWA (Hot Wire Anemometer) was used to measure the Strouhal number of wake flow. PIV (Particle Image Velocimetry) was adopted to visualize the flow fields. The optimized contact strip shape was shown a lower drag with smaller fluctuation of vertical lift force than the general shaped contact strip. And the acoustic noise source strength of the optimized contact strip was also reduced. Finally, the reduction amount of drag and noise was assessed when the optimized contact strip was applied to three dimensional pantograph system.

DESIGN OPTIMIZATION AND PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS OF INTERNAL COOLING PASSAGE WITH VARIOUS TYPE OF RIB TURBULATOR FOR HIGH PRESSURE TURBINE NOZZLE (전산유체해석을 이용한 다양한 요철 형상에 대한 고압터빈 노즐 냉각유로 최적화 및 냉각 성능 비교)

  • Lee, S.A.;Rhee, D.H.;Kang, Y.S.;Yee, K.J.;Kim, K.H.
    • Journal of computational fluids engineering
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.14-19
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    • 2014
  • This study conducts shape optimization of rib turbulator on the internal cooling passage that has triangular cross-section of high pressure turbine nozzle. During optimization, various types of rib turbulator including angled, V-shaped, A-shaped and angled rib with intersecting rib are considered. Each type of rib turbulator is parameterized with attack angle(s), rib height, spacing ratio and bending/intersecting location. For optimization, Design of Experiment (DOE) and Kriging surrogate model are used to utilize computational resource more efficiently and Genetic Algorithm (GA) is used to search the optimum points. As a result, Pareto front of each type of rib turbulator with friction factor that relates to pressure drop in cooling passage and spatially averaged Nusselt number that relates to heat transfer on the wall is drawn and optimum points on the Pareto front are suggested.

Assessing the Impacts of Errors in Coarse Scale Data on the Performance of Spatial Downscaling: An Experiment with Synthetic Satellite Precipitation Products

  • Kim, Yeseul;Park, No-Wook
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.445-454
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    • 2017
  • The performance of spatial downscaling models depends on the quality of input coarse scale products. Thus, the impact of intrinsic errors contained in coarse scale satellite products on predictive performance should be properly assessed in parallel with the development of advanced downscaling models. Such an assessment is the main objective of this paper. Based on a synthetic satellite precipitation product at a coarse scale generated from rain gauge data, two synthetic precipitation products with different amounts of error were generated and used as inputs for spatial downscaling. Geographically weighted regression, which typically has very high explanatory power, was selected as the trend component estimation model, and area-to-point kriging was applied for residual correction in the spatial downscaling experiment. When errors in the coarse scale product were greater, the trend component estimates were much more susceptible to errors. But residual correction could reduce the impact of the erroneous trend component estimates, which improved the predictive performance. However, residual correction could not improve predictive performance significantly when substantial errors were contained in the input coarse scale data. Therefore, the development of advanced spatial downscaling models should be focused on correction of intrinsic errors in the coarse scale satellite product if a priori error information could be available, rather than on the application of advanced regression models with high explanatory power.

Estimation of Radial Spectrum for Orographic Storm (산지성호우의 환상스팩트럼 추정)

  • Lee, Jae Hyoung;Sonu, Jung Ho;Kim, Min Hwan;Shim, Myung Pil
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.53-66
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    • 1990
  • Rainfall is a phenomenon that shows a high variability both in space and time, Hy drologists are usually interested in the description of spatial distribution of rainfall over watershed. The theory of Kriging, generalized covariance technique using nonstationary mean in the regions under orographic effect, was chosen to construct random surface of total storm depth. For the constructed random surface, the double Fourier analysis of the total storm depths was performed, and the principal harmonics of storm were determined. The local component, or storm residuals was obtained by subtracting the periodic component of the storm from total storm depths. It is assumed that the residuals are a sample function of a homogeneous random field. This random field can be characterized by an isotropic one dimensional autocorrelation function or its corresponding spectral density function. Under this assumption, this study proposed a theorectical model for spectral density function adapted to two watersheds.

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Numerical Optimization of Foundation place for Domestic Offshore Wind Turbine by using Statistical Models for Wind Data Analysis (기상풍황자료 통계적 분석을 통한 한국형 해상풍력터빈 설치지점 선정 최적화 연구)

  • Lee, Ki-Hak;Jun, Sang-Ook;Ku, Yo-Cheon;Pak, Kyung-Hyun;Lee, Dong-Ho
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2007.06a
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    • pp.404-408
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    • 2007
  • 현재 국내에서 운용중인 풍력발전시스템은 국내 풍력자원에 대한 정확한 정보의 부재와 국내 풍황에 맞지 않는 국외 모델을 그대로 운용하는 등의 몇 가지 문제를 드러내었다. 본 연구의 목적은 국내 연안의 해상에서 한국형 해상풍력터빈을 설치하기 위한 잠재적 최적위치와 풍황자료 산출 최적화 알고리즘을 구현하는 것이다. 최적화 알고리즘은 얕은 수심 분포와 연안에서의 거리를 제약조건으로 하고 최대 에너지밀도를 가진 지점을 구하는 것으로 정식화하였다. 풍황자료 산출을 위해서 국내 연안의 해상 풍황자료를 포함하는 기상풍황자료를 통계적 모델로 분석하여 바람지도를 작성하였다. 이 바람지도를 이용하여 지질 통계학 분야의 관측기법인 크리깅 모델을 구성하고, 전역최적화기법인 유전자알고리즘을 이용하여 제약조건을 만족하는 최대에너지밀도값과 그 위치를 도출하였다. 수치최적화 결과 우리나라 풍력 자원의 대략적인 잠재량과 현황파악이 가능하였고, 해상풍력발전단지가 조성 가능한 개략적인 위치를 예측할 수 있었다.

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