• 제목/요약/키워드: interval factor method

검색결과 206건 처리시간 0.028초

오픈 캐소드형 고분자전해질 연료전지의 성능향상과 회복기법 (Performance Enhancement and Recovery Method of Open Cathode PEMFC)

  • 이기택;김준범
    • 공업화학
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.118-124
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    • 2017
  • 공랭식 고분자전해질 연료전지는 개방된 cathode구조로 인하여 시스템의 단순화와 부품 수 저감의 장점이 있다. 공랭식 연료전지는 최근에 많이 연구되고 있지만, 성능이 외부 환경에 영향을 받으며, 공기의 상대습도가 낮은 경우 전해질막의 건조로 인한 성능 감소가 발생할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 공랭식 연료전지의 성능에 영향을 주는 요인인 cathode 측 공기 유량과 anode 측 purge interval영향에 대해 분석하였으며, 스택을 운전하지 않는 상태로 장기간 보관하는 것이 성능에 미치는 영향에 대하여 실험을 수행하였다. 연료전지 외부에 설치한 fan의 전압을 조절하면 cathode 측 공기의 공급유량을 변화시킬 수 있고 스택의 온도도 제어할 수 있으므로, fan전압은 공랭식 연료전지의 성능에 영향을 주는 중요한 인자이다. 연료전지 시스템을 단순화하고 수소의 사용률을 높이기 위하여 anode 측은 dead ended anode (DEA) 기법을 사용하였다. 주기적인 purge를 실행하여 생성된 물과 가스를 배출하였으며, purge 주기를 변경하면서 스택의 성능에 미치는 영향에 대하여 실험을 수행하였다. 스택의 보관기간이 길어질수록 membrane dehydration으로 인해 성능이 감소하는 것을 실험을 통해 파악하였고, 단시간에 성능을 회복할 수 있는 기법을 제시하였다.

2거더 강-콘크리트 합성형 철도교의 거동에 대한 2차부재의 영향 평가 (The Effect of Secondary Members on the Behavior of Steel-Concrete Composite Two-Girder Railway Bridges)

  • 배두병;조준희
    • 한국철도학회논문집
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.41-50
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    • 2005
  • Steel -Concrete Composite two girder railway bridges applying high performance steel with extra thick plate have economic and aesthetic advantages due to the simplification of manufacturing and construction process. However, steel bridges are seldom adopted in domestic railway bridge, since steel bridges are not efficient as R.C bridges considering dynamic characteristics and noise, etc. While highway bridges do not have lower horizontal bracing and larger interval of diaphragm cross beam, railway bridges install lower horizontal bracings to control the torsion due to heavy eccentrical line load. Accurate finite element analysis were performed with the parameters of existence of bracing and bracing shape, with the cross beam interval and stiffness, etc. To find out the effects of secondary members such as horizontal bracings and diaphragms, static md dynamic analysis have been performed by using finite element method. In this study, few member plate-girder bridges are analyzed with variable span lengths to examine the dynamic behavior and limits of damping. And though lateral bracings are members against torsion, but lateral bracing's absence is no big problem. Time history analysis using mode superposition method makes proof of this result.

간헐적 수요예측을 위한 이항가중 지수평활 방법 (A Binomial Weighted Exponential Smoothing for Intermittent Demand Forecasting)

  • 하정훈
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제41권1호
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    • pp.50-58
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    • 2018
  • Intermittent demand is a demand with a pattern in which zero demands occur frequently and non-zero demands occur sporadically. This type of demand mainly appears in spare parts with very low demand. Croston's method, which is an initiative intermittent demand forecasting method, estimates the average demand by separately estimating the size of non-zero demands and the interval between non-zero demands. Such smoothing type of forecasting methods can be suitable for mid-term or long-term demand forecasting because those provides the same demand forecasts during the forecasting horizon. However, the smoothing type of forecasting methods aims at short-term forecasting, so the estimated average forecast is a factor to decrease accuracy. In this paper, we propose a forecasting method to improve short-term accuracy by improving Croston's method for intermittent demand forecasting. The proposed forecasting method estimates both the non-zero demand size and the zero demands' interval separately, as in Croston's method, but the forecast at a future period adjusted by binomial weight according to occurrence probability. This serves to improve the accuracy of short-term forecasts. In this paper, we first prove the unbiasedness of the proposed method as an important attribute in forecasting. The performance of the proposed method is compared with those of five existing forecasting methods via eight evaluation criteria. The simulation results show that the proposed forecasting method is superior to other methods in terms of all evaluation criteria in short-term forecasting regardless of average size and dispersion parameter of demands. However, the larger the average demand size and dispersion are, that is, the closer to continuous demand, the less the performance gap with other forecasting methods.

점근해법에 의한 열자격 전류식의 분석 (The Analysis of TSC Equation by Asymptotic Estimation)

  • 오용철;홍진웅;김기준
    • 한국전기전자재료학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전기전자재료학회 2003년도 제5회 학술대회 논문집 일렉트렛트 및 응용기술연구회
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    • pp.96-99
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, it presents a method to calculate the escape frequency factor$(\nu)$ and its verification from TSC(Thermally Stimulated Current) equation and their simulation curves. To apply calculation method of $\nu$ using asymptotic estimation, it utilized TSC data with 1K interval. This method enables one to get the exact value of $\nu$ and activation energy at the same time by using computer programming. So, it regards their calculation method as a useful process to obtain the value of physical behavior.

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Logit Confidence Intervals Using Pseudo-Bayes Estimators for the Common Odds Ratio in 2 X 2 X K Contingency Tables

  • Kim, Donguk;Chun, Eunhee
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.479-496
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    • 2003
  • We investigate logit confidence intervals for the odds ratio based on the delta method. These intervals are constructed using pseudo-Bayes estimators. The Gart method and Agresti method smooth the observed counts toward the model of equiprobability and independence, respectively. We obtain better coverage probability by smoothing the observed counts toward the pseudo-Bayes estimators in 2$\times$2 table. We also improve legit confidence intervals in 2$\times$2$\times$K tables by generalizing these ideas. Utilizing pseudo-Bayes estimators, we obtain better coverage probability by smoothing the observed counts toward the conditional independence model, no three-factor interaction model and saturated model in 2$\times$2$\times$K tables.

자동차 환경에서의 패킷 충돌 회피 방법에 대한 연구 (A Study on Packet Collision Avoidance Method in Vehicular Ad Hoc Network)

  • 이민우;임재훈;김민기;박귀태
    • 대한전자공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전자공학회 2009년도 정보 및 제어 심포지움 논문집
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    • pp.201-203
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    • 2009
  • In the VANET, density is a most important factor for reception rate of packet. So, we have to find solutions to reduce packet collision. There are two approaches. First, packet collision avoid by controlling transmission interval. Second, packet collision avoid by controlling transmission power. In this paper, we propose a simple method to reduce a packet collision by controlling transmission power. It uses the number of neighbors and adaptive controlling method. This method have better performance about packet reception rate.

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DSP 제어에 의한 3상 Boost 컨버터의 역률개선 (Power factor correction of the three phase boost converter using DSP control)

  • 백종현;홍성태
    • 대한전자공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전자공학회 1998년도 하계종합학술대회논문집
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    • pp.958-961
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, a three phase boost converter that operates with unity power factor and sinusodial input currents is presented. The current control of the converter is based on the space vector strategy with fixed switching frequency and the input current tracks the reference current within one sampling time interval. Space vector strategy for current control was materialized as a digital control method by using DSP. By using this control strategy low ripples in the output voltage, low harmonics in the input current and fast dynamic responses are achieved with a small capacitance in the dc link.

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Bayesian analysis of a repairable system subject to overhauls with bounded failure intensity

  • Preeti Wanti, Srivastava;Nidhi, Jain
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.55-70
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    • 2013
  • This paper deals with the Bayesian analysis of the failure data of a repairable mechanical system subject to minimal repairs and periodic overhauls. The effect of overhauls on the reliability of the system is modeled by a proportional age reduction model and the failure process between two successive overhauls is assumed to be 2-parameter Engelhardt-Bain process (2-EBP). Power Law Process (PLP) model has a disadvantage which 2-EBP can overcome. On the basis of the observed data and of a number of suitable prior densities, point and interval estimation of model parameters, as well as quantities of relevant interest are found. Also hypothesis tests on the effectiveness of performed overhauls have been developed using Bayes factor. Sensitivity analysis of improvement parameter is carried out. Finally, a numerical application is used to illustrate the proposed method.

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Inference for exponentiated Weibull distribution under constant stress partially accelerated life tests with multiple censored

  • Nassr, Said G.;Elharoun, Neema M.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.131-148
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    • 2019
  • Constant stress partially accelerated life tests are studied according to exponentiated Weibull distribution. Grounded on multiple censoring, the maximum likelihood estimators are determined in connection with unknown distribution parameters and accelerated factor. The confidence intervals of the unknown parameters and acceleration factor are constructed for large sample size. However, it is not possible to obtain the Bayes estimates in plain form, so we apply a Markov chain Monte Carlo method to deal with this issue, which permits us to create a credible interval of the associated parameters. Finally, based on constant stress partially accelerated life tests scheme with exponentiated Weibull distribution under multiple censoring, the illustrative example and the simulation results are used to investigate the maximum likelihood, and Bayesian estimates of the unknown parameters.

사면(斜面)의 삼차원(三次元) 파괴확률(破壞確率)에 관(關)한 연구(硏究)(II) (A Three Dimensional Study on the Probability of Slope Failure(II))

  • 김영수;차홍준;정성관
    • 산업기술연구
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    • 제3권
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    • pp.53-63
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    • 1983
  • The probability of failure is used to analyze the reliability of three dimensional slope failure, instead of conventional factor of safety. The strength parameters are assumed to be normal variated and beta variated. These are interval estimated under the specified confidence level and maximum likelihood estimation. The pseudonormal and beta random variables are generated using the uniform probability transformation method according to central limit theorem and rejection method. By means of a Monte-Carlo Simulation, the probability of failure is defined as; Pf=M/N N : Total number of trials M : Total number of failures Some of the conclusions derived from the case study include; 1. Three dimensional factors of safety are generally much higher than 2-D factors of safety. However situations appear to exist where the 3-D factor of safety can be lower than the 2-D factor of safety. 2. The F3/F2 ratio appears to be quite sensitive to c and ${\phi}$ and to the shape of the 3-D shear surface and the slope but not to be to the unit weight of soil. 3. In cases that strength parameters are assumed to be normal variated and beta variated, the relationships between safety factor and the probability of failure are fairly consistent, regardless of the shape of the 3-D shear surface and the slope. 4. As the c-value is increased, the probability of failure for the same safety factor is increased and as the ${\phi}-value$ is increased, the probability of failure for the same safety factor is decreased.

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