• Title/Summary/Keyword: interval estimate

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A Study for Verification of the Performance Index Model of EVMS in Credible Interval (신뢰구간상에서 EVMS 성과지수모델의 검정에 관한 연구)

  • Kang Byung-Wook;Lee Young-Dai;Park Hyuk;Chun Yong-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • autumn
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    • pp.478-481
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    • 2002
  • In these days, Cost and Scheduling was managed effectively because of introduction of EVMS to construction project. However the EVMS is appropriate methods to advanced country, so it is difficult to apply into domestic construction project. in this paper weighted value n, m was used of compositive index(CI) to forecast Estimate At Completion (EAC) using statistical analysis in credible interval the objective of this paper is to verify compositive index(CI) and to forecast Estimate At Completion (EAC).

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A two-parameter discrete distribution with a bathtub hazard shape

  • Sarhan, Ammar M.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.15-27
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    • 2017
  • This paper introduces a two-parameter discrete distribution based on a continuous two-parameter bathtub distribution. It is the only two-parameter discrete distribution that shows a bathtub-shaped hazard function. Some statistical properties of the distribution are discussed. Three different methods are used to estimate its two unknown parameters. The point estimators of the parameters have no closed form. The bootstrap method is used to estimate the distributions of these point estimators. Different approximations of the interval estimations for the two-parameters are discussed. Real data sets are analyzed to show how this distribution works in practice. A simulation study is performed to investigate the properties of the estimations obtained and compare their performances.

Piecewise Fuzzy Linear Model with Measurement Error Variable (측정오차가 있는 경우의 분할 퍼지회귀모형)

  • 안정용;한범수;최승현
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 1995.10b
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    • pp.303-306
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    • 1995
  • In this study we present the inverse correlation method to select the exploratory variables, while Sugeno used RC method in his paper[6] We assume linear model with measurement error variables as in Fuller's Book[9]. we provide possibilistic linear model and predict the fuzzy response variable in case of fuzzy exploratory variables. By plotting data we can divide them for piecewise plane and provide the piecwise possibilistic linear model. If the exploratory variable is fuzzy trapezoidal variable or interval variable, then we estimate fuzzy trapezoidal variable or interval variable, then we estimate fuzzy trapezoidal response variable respondent to it. We will illustrate using Nonlinear System data in Sugeno's paper

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A Parameter Estimation Method of Multiple Time Interval for Low Frequency Oscillation Analysis (저주파진동 해석을 위한 다구간 파라미터 추정 방법)

  • Shim, Kwan-Shik;Kim, Sang-Tae;Choi, Joon-Ho;Nam, Hae-Kon;Ahn, Seon-Ju
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.63 no.7
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    • pp.875-882
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, we propose a new parameter estimation method that can deal with the data of multiple time intervals simultaneously. If there are common modes in the multiple time intervals, it is possible to create a new polynomial by summing the coefficients of the prediction error polynomials of each time interval. By calculating the roots of the new polynomial, it is possible to estimate the common modes that exist in each time interval. The accuracy of the proposed parameter estimation method has been proven by using appropriate test signals.

Evaluating Interval Estimates for Comparing Two Proportions with Rare Events

  • Park, Jin-Kyung;Kim, Yong-Dai;Lee, Hak-Bae
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.435-446
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    • 2012
  • Epidemiologic studies frequently try to estimate the impact of a specific risk factor. The risk difference and the risk ratio are generally useful measurements for this purpose. When using such measurements for rare events, the standard approaches based on the normal approximation may fail, in particular when no events are observed. In this paper, we discuss and evaluate several existing methods to construct confidence intervals around risk differences and risk ratios using Monte-Carlo simulations when the disease of interest is rare. The results in this paper provide guidance how to construct interval estimates of the risk differences and the risk ratios when no events are detected.

Inverse Offset Method for Adaptive Cutter Path Generation from Point-based Surface

  • Kayal, Prasenjit
    • International Journal of CAD/CAM
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.21-30
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    • 2007
  • The inverse offset method (IOM) is widely used for generating cutter paths from the point-based surface where the surface is characterised by a set of surface points rather than parametric polynomial surface equations. In the IOM, cutter path planning is carried out by specifying the grid sizes, called the step-forward and step-interval distances respectively in the forward and transverse cutting directions. The step-forward distance causes the chordal deviation and the step-forward distance produces the cusp. The chordal deviation and cusp are also functions of local surface slopes and curvatures. As the slopes and curvatures vary over the surface, different step-forward and step-interval distances are appropriate in different areas for obtaining the machined surface accurately and efficiently. In this paper, the chordal deviation and cusp height are calculated in consideration with the surface slopes and curvatures, and their combined effect is used to estimate the machined surface error. An adaptive grid generation algorithm is proposed, which enables the IOM to generate cutter paths adaptively using different step-forward and step-interval distances in different regions rather than constant step-forward and step-interval distances for entire surface.

Mixing matrix estimation method for dual-channel time-frequency overlapped signals based on interval probability

  • Liu, Zhipeng;Li, Lichun;Zheng, Ziru
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.41 no.5
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    • pp.658-669
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    • 2019
  • For dual-channel time-frequency (TF) overlapped signals with low sparsity in underdetermined blind source separation (UBSS), this paper proposes an effective method based on interval probability to estimate and expand the types of mixing matrices. First, the detection of TF single-source points (TF-SSP) is used to improve the TF sparsity of each source. For more distinguishability, as the ratios of the coefficients from different columns of the mixing matrix are close, a local peak-detection mechanism based on interval probability (LPIP) is proposed. LPIP utilizes uniform subintervals to optimize and classify the TF coefficient ratios of the detected TF-SSP effectively in the case of a high level of TF overlap among sources and reduces the TF interference points and redundant signal features greatly to enhance the estimation accuracy. The simulation results show that under both noiseless and noisy cases, the proposed method performs better than the selected mainstream traditional methods, has good robustness, and has low algorithm complexity.

Topological optimized design considering dynamic problem with non-stochastic structural uncertainty

  • Lee, Dong-Kyu;Starossek, Uwe;Shin, Soo-Mi
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.79-94
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    • 2010
  • This study shows how uncertainties of data like material properties quantitatively have an influence on structural topology optimization results for dynamic problems, here such as both optimal topology and shape. In general, the data uncertainties may result in uncertainties of structural behaviors like deflection or stress in structural analyses. Therefore optimization solutions naturally depend on the uncertainties in structural behaviors, since structural behaviors estimated by the structural analysis method like FEM need to execute optimization procedures. In order to quantitatively estimate the effect of data uncertainties on topology optimization solutions of dynamic problems, a so-called interval analysis is utilized in this study, and it is a well-known non-stochastic approach for uncertainty estimate. Topology optimization is realized by using a typical SIMP method, and for dynamic problems the optimization seeks to maximize the first-order eigenfrequency subject to a given material limit like a volume. Numerical applications topologically optimizing dynamic wall structures with varied supports are studied to verify the non-stochastic interval analysis is also suitable to estimate topology optimization results with dynamic problems.

Estimating the Difference of Two Normal Means

  • M. Aimahmeed;M. S. Son;H. I. Hamdy
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.297-312
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    • 2000
  • A three stage sampling procedure designed to estimate the difference betweentwo normal means is proposed and evaluated within a unified decision-theoretic framework. Both point and fixed-width confidence interval estimation are combined in a single decision rule to make full use of the available data. Adjustments to previous solutions focusing on only one of the latter objectives are indicated. The sensitivity of the confidence interval for detecting shifts in true mean difference is also investigated Numerical and simulation studies are presented to supplement the theoretical results.

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H infinity control design for Eight-Rotor MAV attitude system based on identification by interval type II fuzzy neural network

  • CHEN, Xiangjian;SHU, Kun;LI, Di
    • International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.195-203
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    • 2016
  • In order to overcome the influence of system stability and accuracy caused by uncertainty, estimation errors and external disturbances in Eight-Rotor MAV, L2 gain control method was proposed based on interval type II fuzzy neural network identification here. In this control strategy, interval type II fuzzy neural network is used to estimate the uncertainty and non-linearity factor of the dynamic system, the adaptive variable structure controller is applied to compensate the estimation errors of interval type II fuzzy neural network, and at last, L2 gain control method is employed to suppress the effect produced by external disturbance on system, which is expected to possess robustness for the uncertainty and non-linearity. Finally, the validity of the L2 gain control method based on interval type II fuzzy neural network identifier applied to the Eight-Rotor MAV attitude system has been verified by three prototy experiments.