• Title/Summary/Keyword: interval estimate

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On the Performance of Empiricla Bayes Simultaneous Interval Estimates for All Pairwise Comparisons

  • Kim, Woo-Chul;Han, Kyung-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.161-181
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    • 1995
  • The goal of this article is to study the performances of various empirical Bayes simultaneous interval estimates for all pairwise comparisons. The considered empirical Bayes interval estimaters are those based on unbiased estimate, a hierarchical Bayes estimate and a constrained hierarchical Bayes estimate. Simulation results for small sample cases are given and an illustrative example is also provided.

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Regression analysis of interval censored competing risk data using a pseudo-value approach

  • Kim, Sooyeon;Kim, Yang-Jin
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.555-562
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    • 2016
  • Interval censored data often occur in an observational study where the subject is followed periodically. Instead of observing an exact failure time, two inspection times that include it are available. There are several methods to analyze interval censored failure time data (Sun, 2006). However, in the presence of competing risks, few methods have been suggested to estimate covariate effect on interval censored competing risk data. A sub-distribution hazard model is a commonly used regression model because it has one-to-one correspondence with a cumulative incidence function. Alternatively, Klein and Andersen (2005) proposed a pseudo-value approach that directly uses the cumulative incidence function. In this paper, we consider an extension of the pseudo-value approach into the interval censored data to estimate regression coefficients. The pseudo-values generated from the estimated cumulative incidence function then become response variables in a generalized estimating equation. Simulation studies show that the suggested method performs well in several situations and an HIV-AIDS cohort study is analyzed as a real data example.

Interval Regression Models Using Variable Selection

  • Choi Seung-Hoe
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.125-134
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    • 2006
  • This study confirms that the regression model of endpoint of interval outputs is not identical with that of the other endpoint of interval outputs in interval regression models proposed by Tanaka et al. (1987) and constructs interval regression models using the best regression model given by variable selection. Also, this paper suggests a method to minimize the sum of lengths of a symmetric difference among observed and predicted interval outputs in order to estimate interval regression coefficients in the proposed model. Some examples show that the interval regression model proposed in this study is more accuracy than that introduced by Inuiguchi et al. (2001).

Feasibility of Total Body Score (TBS) and Accumulated Degree Days (ADD) in the Estimation of Postmortem Interval for Forensic Murder Casework

  • Kim, Young Sam;Kim, Jong Hee;Yoon, Kwang Sang;Kweon, Bong Soo;Kim, Young Sik;Lee, Gwang Yeon;Cho, Hae-Won;Kim, Hye-Rim;Eom, Yong-Bin
    • Biomedical Science Letters
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.35-42
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    • 2018
  • Postmortem interval (PMI) is very important in the crime scene investigation. However, it is very difficult to estimate of the interval since death after a decomposition. Recently, there have been various studies on the postmortem interval since a decomposition. In particular, the total body score (TBS) and accumulated degree days (ADD) used to estimate the postmortem interval after a decomposition. This study was conducted with the aim of applying the TBS and ADD to estimate the postmortem interval in real forensic caseworks. In first murder case, TBS was 12 and ADD value was 132, respectively. An estimated time of PMI was around 23:00 on June 21, and the suspect's statement was 01:20 on June 22. Our estimated interval since death and the suspect's statement for the PMI differ by only 2 hours and 20 minutes. In second forensic case, TBS was 3 and ADD value was 55, respectively, an estimated time of PMI was around 02:26 on September 23. The suspect's statement was 10:30 on September 23. Our estimated time and the suspect's statement for the PMI differ by 8 hours. In these cases, we were able to have confirmed the feasibility of TBS and ADD on the real forensic cases. Overall, our finding suggested that the quantitative method could be used to produce PMI estimates that are accurate to within days or even hours.

Interval estimate of physiological fluctuation of peak latency of ERP waveform based on a limited number of single sweep records

  • Nishida, Shigeto;Nakamura, Masatoshi;Suwazono, Shugo;Honda, Manabu;Nagamine, Takashi;Shibasaki, Hiroshi
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1994.10a
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    • pp.1.1-5
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    • 1994
  • In the single sweep record of event-related potential (ERP), the peak latency of P300, which is one of the most prominent positive peaks in the ERP record, might fluctuate according to the recording conditions. The fluctuation of the peak latency (measurement fluctuation) is the summation of the fluctuation caused by physiological factor (physiological fluctuation) and one by noise of background EEG (noise fluctuation). We propsed a method for estimating the interval of the physiological fluctuation based on a limited number of single sweep records. The noise fluctuation was estimated by using the relationship between the signal-to-noise (SN) ratio and the noise fluctuation based on the P300 model and the background EEG model. The interval estimate of the physiological fluctuation were obtained by subtracting the interval estimate of the noise fluctuation from that of the measurement fluctuation. The proposed method was tested by using simulation data of ERP and applied to actual ERP and data of normal subjects, and gave satisfactory results.

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Forecasting Using Interval Neural Networks: Application to Demand Forecasting

  • Kwon, Ki-Taek;Ishibuchi, Hisao;Tanaka, Hideo
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.135-149
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    • 1994
  • Demand forecasting is to estimate the demand of customers for products and services. Since the future is uncertain in nature, it is too difficult for us to predict exactly what will happen. Therefore, when the forecasting is performed upon the uncertain future, it is realistic to estimate the value of demand as an interval or a fuzzy number instead of a crisp number. In this paper, we propose a demand forecasting method using the standard back-propagation algorithm and then we extend the method to the case of interval inputs. Next, we demonstrate that the proposed method using the interval neural networks can represent the fuzziness of forecasting values as intervals. Last, we propose a demand forecasting method using the transformed input variables that can be obtained by taking account of the degree of influence between an input and an output.

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Heritability and Repeatability Estimates for Reproductive Traits of Japanese Black Cows

  • Oyama, K.;Katsuta, T.;Anada, K.;Mukai, F.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.15 no.12
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    • pp.1680-1685
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    • 2002
  • Reproductive data collected from more than 20,000 Japanese Black cows of Hyogo and Shimane Prefectures were analyzed. Averages of age at first calving, gestation length, days open and calving interval were 25.1 mo, 289 d, 112 d and 401 d, respectively. Variance components were obtained by REML procedure and the heritability estimate of age at first calving was 0.22. In gestation length the heritability estimate was 0.40 and no permanent environmental effect was estimated. Estimated variance components of calving interval were similar to those of days open and the heritability and repeatability of calving interval were 0.05 and 0.09, respectively. Random farm effects accounted for approximately 10% of phenotypic variations in all traits. Genetic and farm correlations between age at first calving and calving interval were 0.27 and 0.39, respectively. It was found that temporary environment was an important source of variation for calving intervals of Japanese Black.

An elaboration on sample size determination for correlations based on effect sizes and confidence interval width: a guide for researchers

  • Mohamad Adam Bujang
    • Restorative Dentistry and Endodontics
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    • v.49 no.2
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    • pp.21.1-21.8
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    • 2024
  • Objectives: This paper aims to serve as a useful guide for sample size determination for various correlation analyses that are based on effect sizes and confidence interval width. Materials and Methods: Sample size determinations are calculated for Pearson's correlation, Spearman's rank correlation, and Kendall's Tau-b correlation. Examples of sample size statements and their justification are also included. Results: Using the same effect sizes, there are differences between the sample size determination of the 3 statistical tests. Based on an empirical calculation, a minimum sample size of 149 is usually adequate for performing both parametric and non-parametric correlation analysis to determine at least a moderate to an excellent degree of correlation with acceptable confidence interval width. Conclusions: Determining data assumption(s) is one of the challenges to offering a valid technique to estimate the required sample size for correlation analyses. Sample size tables are provided and these will help researchers to estimate a minimum sample size requirement based on correlation analyses.

A Study on the Uncertainty of Structural Cross-Sectional Area Estimate by using Interval Method for Allowable Stress Design

  • Lee, Dongkyuc;Park, Sungsoo;Shin, Soomi
    • Architectural research
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.31-37
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    • 2007
  • This study presents the so-called Modified Allowable Stress Design (MASD) method for structural designs. The objective of this study is to qualitatively estimate uncertainties of tensile steel member's cross-sectional structural designs and find the optimal resulting design which can resist all uncertainty cases. The design parameters are assumed to be interval associated with lower and upper bounds and consequently interval methods are implemented to non-stochastically produce design results including the structural uncertainties. By seeking optimal uncertainty combinations among interval parameters, engineers can qualitatively describe uncertain design solutions which were not considered in conventional structural designs. Under the assumption that structures have basically uncertainties like displacement responses, the safety range of resulting designs is represented by lower and upper bounds depending on given tolerance error and structural parameters. As a numerical example uncertain cross-sectional areas of members that can resist applied loads are investigated and it demonstrates that the present design method is superior to conventional allowable stress designs (ASD) with respect to a reliably structural safety as well as an economical material.

Epidemiological application of the cycle threshold value of RT-PCR for estimating infection period in cases of SARS-CoV-2

  • Soonjong Bae;Jong-Myon Bae
    • Journal of Medicine and Life Science
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.107-114
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    • 2023
  • Epidemiological control of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is needed to estimate the infection period of confirmed cases and identify potential cases. The present study, targeting confirmed cases for which the time of COVID-19 symptom onset was disclosed, aimed to investigate the relationship between intervals (day) from symptom onset to testing the cycle threshold (CT) values of real-time reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction. Of the COVID-19 confirmed cases, those for which the date of suspected symptom onset in the epidemiological investigation was specifically disclosed were included in this study. Interval was defined as the number of days from symptom onset (as disclosed by the patient) to specimen collection for testing. A locally weighted regression smoothing (LOWESS) curve was applied, with intervals as explanatory variables and CT values (CTR for RdRp gene and CTE for E gene) as outcome variables. After finding its non-linear relationship, a polynomial regression model was applied to estimate the 95% confidence interval values of CTR and CTE by interval. The application of LOWESS in 331 patients identified a U-shaped curve relationship between the CTR and CTE values according to the number of interval days, and both CTR and CTE satisfied the quadratic model for interval days. Active application of these results to epidemiological investigations would minimize the chance of failing to identify individuals who are in contact with COVID-19 confirmed cases, thereby reducing the potential transmission of the virus to local communities.