• Title/Summary/Keyword: intensity estimation

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Empirical Analysis on the Estimation of Total Factor Productivity and its Determinants in the Korean Manufacturing and Service Industries (한국의 총요소생산성 추정과 생산성 결정요인에 관한 실증연구)

  • Zhu, Yan Hua
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.19-35
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    • 2018
  • This paper is to estimate the total factor productivity(TFP) in the Korean manufacturing and service industries during the period 1975:1-2016:4 using the stochastic frontier analysis model. In order to analyze the determinants for the total factor productivity the paper estimates the industry-specific determinant elasticities of TFP using the autoregressive distributed model. The industry-specific determinants, which reflect the industrial structure and properties include markup, the ratio of capital to labor(KL), and the ratio of foreign intermediate goods (FIG) to industrial output. The average value for total factor productivity growth was estimated to be 0.0199 in manufacturing and 0.0063 in the service industry. The markup and KL elasticities of TFP were estimated to be 2.481 and 0.651 in manufacturing respectively and -1.403 and 0.042 in the service industry respectively. The empirical results suggest that the industrial markup and the ratio of capital to labor have had decisive effects on the changes in the total factor productivity in the Korean manufacturing and service industries during the period 1975:1-2016:4.

Probabilistic Analysis of Drought Propagation Over The Han River Basin Under Climate Change (기후변화에 따른 한강 유역의 확률론적 가뭄 전이 분석)

  • Muhammad, Nouman Sattar;Kim, Ji-Eun;Lee, Joo-Heon;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.39 no.1
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    • pp.155-163
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    • 2019
  • The knowledge about drought propagation is very important in accurate estimation of hydrological drought characteristics and efficient development of early warning system. This study investigated a probabilistic relationship of drought propagation based on Bayesian network model for historic period and for future projection under climate change scenario RCP 8.5 over the Han River basin. The results revealed that the propagation rate and lag time have increasing and decreasing trends from the historic period of 1967-2013 to the future periods of 2014-2053 and 2054-2100 under climate change, respectively. The probabilistic results of Bayesian model revealed that the probability of occurrence of lag time varied spatially and decreased when the intensity of meteorological drought changed from moderate to severe and extreme condition during 1967-2013. The values of probability increased in the first future period of 2014-2053 in several sub-basins and slight decreased in the second period of 2054-2100. The proposed probabilistic results will be useful for the decision makers to develop related policies with an appropriate insight toward the future drought status.

A Study of Quantitative Snow Water Equivalent (SWE) Estimation by Comparing the Snow Measurement Data (적설 관측자료 비교를 통한 정량적 SWE 산출에 관한 연구)

  • Ro, Yonghun;Chang, Ki-Ho;Cha, Joo-Wan;Chung, Gunhui;Choi, Jiwon;Ha, Jong-Chul
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.269-282
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    • 2019
  • While it is important to obtain the accurate information on snowfall data due to the increase in damage caused by the heavy snowfall in the winter season, it is not easy to observe the snowfall quantitatively. Recently, snow measurements using a weighing precipitation gauge have been carried out, but there is a problem that high snowfall intensity results in low accuracy. Also, the observed snowfall data are sensitive depending on wind speed, temperature, and humidity. In this study, a new process of quality control for snow water equivalent (SWE) data of the weighing precipitation gauge were proposed to cover the low accuracy of snow data and maximize the data utilization. Snowfall data (SWE) observed by Pluvio, Parsivel, snow-depth meter using laser or ultrasonic, and rainfall gauge in Cloud Physics Observation Site (CPOS) were compared and analyzed. Applying the QC algorithm including the use of number of hydrometeor particles as reference, the increased SWE per the unit time was determined and the data noise was removed and marked by flag. The SWE data converted by the number concentration of hydrometeor particles are tested as a method to restore the QC-removed data, and show good agreement with those of the weighing precipitation gauge, though requiring more case studies. The three events data for heavy snowfall disaster in Pyeongchang area was analyzed. The SWE data with improved quality was showed a good correlation with the eye-measured data ($R^2$ > 0.73).

Ocean bottom reverberation and its statistical characteristics in the East Sea (동해 해역에서 해저면 잔향음 및 통계적 특징)

  • Jung, Young-Cheol;Lee, Keun-Hwa;Seong, Woojae;Kim, Seongil
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.82-95
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    • 2019
  • In this study, we analyzed the beam time series of ocean reverberation which was conducted in the eastsouthern region of East Sea, Korea during the August, 2015. The reverberation data was gathered by moving research vessel towing LFM (Linear Frequency Modulation) source and triplet receiver array. After signal processing, we analyzed the variation of ocean reverberation level according to the seafloor bathymetry, source/receiver depth and sound speed profile. In addition, we used the normalized data by using cell averaging algorithm and identified the statistical characteristics of seafloor scatterer by using moment estimation method and estimated shape parameter. Also, we analyzed the coincidence of data with Rayleigh and K-distribution probability by Kolmogorov-Smirnov test. The results show that there is range dependency of reverberation according to the bathymetry and also that the time delay and the intensity level change depend on the depths of source and receiver. In addition, we observed that statistical characteristics of similar Rayleigh probability distribution in the ocean reverberation.

Energy Demand Estimation in Metropolitan Area in Case of Emergency using Spatial Information (공간정보를 활용한 대도시권역 비상시 에너지 수요량 예측)

  • Nam, Gyeongmok;Lee, Hong Chul;Lee, Dong-Eun
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.105-112
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    • 2019
  • Due to abnormal high temperature, electric power demand has exceeded the backup power reserved for emergency case, hence, resulting in a major power outage. In today's overcrowded cities, the unexpected disruption in energy supply and demand is a major threat to the enormous economic damage and urban malfunctions. Existing methods for estimating the demand of the emergency power source do not lend themselves to predict the actual demand in the spatial dimension of the city. In addition, the reserve power is arbitrarily distributed in the case of emergency. This paper presents a method that predicts the emergency power demand using the spatial distribution of emergency power demand by applying the daily energy consumption intensity and emergency power demand according to urban spatial information and building use.

A study of comparison about estimation methods of sediment yield (토사유출량 산정식에 대한 비교연구)

  • Kwon, Hyuk Jae;Kim, Hyeong Gi
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.12
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    • pp.1109-1117
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    • 2020
  • In this study, results of RUSLE which is most popular equation for estimating sediment and MSDPM and LADMP have been compared and analyzed by applying to real watershed of mountain area. Crop factor (C), preservation factor (P), and soil erosion factor (VM) of RUSLE can be subjectively selected and differently applied. Therefore, effects of those factors were estimated and compared with different values of factors. Furthermore, sediment yield has been estimated by MSDPM and LADMP according to 10, 20, 30, 50, 100, and 200 year return period. From the results, it was found that sediment yield can be resulted with 400% diffrence. And it was also found that MSDPM and LADMP can be applied in mountain area of Korea.

Long-run Relationship between R&D Expenditures and Economic Growth (공적분 관계를 고려한 연구개발과 경제성장의 상호관계 연구)

  • Han, Woongyong;Jeon, Yongil
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.147-165
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    • 2016
  • We empirically examine the validity of second generation endogenous growth theory suing 21 OECD countries' panel data(1981~2011). Due to non-stationarity in all variables, we test the cointegrated relationships strongly supporting the semi-endogenous growth model. In the estimation of total factor productivity growth function, the growth of domestic and foreign R&D investment levels statistically significantly affect total factor productivity growth. R&D intensity, however, has significant impacts on the total factor productivity growth only in a few models, and international technology gap also has positive impacts on GDP growth. Thus the semi-endogenous growth model is relatively supported while fully endogenous growth model is weakly and occasionally supported in OECD countries. The policy implication of supporting the semi-endogenous growth model is that the sustaining growth requires increasing R&D expenditures.

A Study on the Improvement of Risk Assessment Method in Laboratory (연구실 위험성평가방법 개선에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Soo-Tae
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.444-456
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: Laboratories require Preliminary Risk Analysis of Hazard Factors, but there are many laboratories that do not. For the purpose of securing the safety of the laboratory, it is intended to find improvements so that the Risk Assessment can be easily applied. Method: Research papers and data from the Laboratory Safety Management Survey Report by the Ministry of Science and ICT were used. The study was conducted by comparing Preliminary Risk Analysis of Hazard Factors and Risk Assessment under the Occopational Safety and Health Act. Result: A technique for Risk Assessment of a laboratory was proposed. When Risk Assessment of the laboratory, a method was proposed to estimate the size of the possibility(frequency) and severity(intensity). Conclusion: For easy application in the laboratory, a checklist-type Risk Assessment technique was presented and actual evaluation was conducted. It is expected that the laboratory will improve through Risk Assessment to help prevent safety accidents.

Estimation of seismic effective energy based parameter

  • Nemutlu, Omer Faruk;Sari, Ali;Balun, Bilal
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.82 no.6
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    • pp.785-799
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    • 2022
  • The effect of earthquakes in earthquake resistant structure design stages is influenced by the highest ground acceleration value, which is generally a strength-based approach in seismic codes. In this context, an energy-oriented approach can be suggested as an alternative to evaluate structure demands. Contrary to the strength-based approach, the strength and displacement demands of the structure cannot be evaluated separately, but can be evaluated together. In addition, in the energy-oriented approach, not only the maximum effects of earthquakes are taken into account, but also the duration of the earthquake. In this respect, it can be said that the use of energy-oriented earthquake parameters is a more rational approach besides being an alternative. In this study, strength and energy-oriented approaches of earthquake parameters of 11 different periods of single degree of freedom systems were evaluated over 28 different earthquake situations. The energy spectra intended to be an alternative to the traditional acceleration spectra were created using the acceleration parameter equivalent to the input energy. Two new energy parameters, which take into account the effective duration of the earthquake, are proposed, and the relationship between the strength-oriented spectral acceleration parameters and the energy parameters used in the literature is examined by correlation study. According to the results obtained, it has been seen that energy oriented earthquake parameters, which give close values in similar period situations, will be a good alternative to strength oriented earthquake parameters. It was observed that the energy parameters were affected by the effective duration of the earthquake, unlike the strength-based parameters. It has been revealed that the newly proposed energy parameters considering the effective duration give good correlations. Finally, it was concluded that the energy parameters can be used in the design, and the newly proposed effective energy parameters can shorten the analysis durations.

Determinants of a Firm's Exit from Exporting: Evidence from Korean Manufacturing Firms (우리나라 제조업 기업의 수출중단 결정요인 분석)

  • Nam, Yunmi;Choi, Moon Jung
    • Economic Analysis
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.98-136
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    • 2020
  • We empirically investigate the determinants of a firm's exit from exporting, using Korean manufacturing firm-level data for the period from 2006 to 2014. Specifically, we estimate the effects of not only firm-level and industry-level characteristics, but also macroeconomic variables on the probability that a firm stops exporting by applying a Complementary Log-Log Model analysis. The results of our estimation suggest that firm-level heterogeneity, such as workforce size, capital intensity, intangible assets and foreign ownership, industry-level variation, such as the labor displacement rate, and macroeconomic variables, such as domestic demand and world demand, significantly affect the possibility of a firm ceasing exports. Also, we show that market interest rates increase the possibility of an export cessation and that the effects of market interest rates are more pronounced on firms with a higher debt ratio. In the primary exporting industries, the probability of a firm ceasing exports decreases as productivity at the firm rises.