• 제목/요약/키워드: innovation uncertainty

검색결과 199건 처리시간 0.023초

차세대 컨버전스서비스 핵심불확실성요인 도출에 관한 분석 (Deduction for Key Uncertainty Factors for the Next-generation Convergence Service)

  • 송영화;박선영;이중만
    • 기술혁신학회지
    • /
    • 제12권1호
    • /
    • pp.212-236
    • /
    • 2009
  • 본 연구는 차세대 컨버전스서비스를 대상으로 고객, 기술, 사업자, 규제의 4대 이슈별로 환경 불확실성요인을 규명하고, 이들 환경 불확실성요인 중 특히 핵심이 되는 불확실성 요인을 도출하였다. 이어 도출된 핵심불확실성요인(KUF: Key Uncertainty Factor)을 중심으로 환경의 잔여불확실성 수준에 대한 평가를 시나리오 플래닝에 의해 실시하고, 이를 기반으로 차세대 컨버전스서비스의 진입전략 수립을 위한 방향을 제시하였다. 본 연구의 차세대 컨버전스서비스 사업의 불확실성 평가 및 진입 시나리오 구성에 대한 연구결과를 종합하면 다음과 같다. 2가지 잔여 불확실성 수준(선택 가능한 미래 수준, 예측 범위의 미래 수준)의 6개 시나리오를 대상으로 각각의 전략적 속성을 평가한 결과 시장 진입의 성공 요소로 2가지 핵심성공요인(KSF: Key Success Factor)을 도출하였다. 즉, 고객수요추세, 광고규제 완화를 핵심성공요인(KSF: Key Success Factor)으로 도출하였으며, 이를 토대로 4가지 전략적 시나리오 유형 및 각 시나리오 별 요구되는 사업자 대응역량에 대한 방향성을 제시하였다. 본 연구의 결과는 컨버전스 시장의 활성화는 물론 관련 사업자의 자원의 효율적 배분, 진입형태, 진입 적정시기 등 진입전략 수립에 많은 시사점을 제공할 것이다.

  • PDF

The impact of 5G multi-access edge computing cooperation announcement on the telecom operators' firm value

  • Nam, Sangjun
    • ETRI Journal
    • /
    • 제44권4호
    • /
    • pp.588-598
    • /
    • 2022
  • Since multi-access edge computing (MEC) was established as a key enabler of 5G, MEC based on 5G networks (5G MEC) has been perceived as a new business opportunity for many industry players, including telecom operators. Numerous 5G MEC cooperation announcements among companies playing their respective roles in the MEC ecosystem have been recently released. However, because of cooperative and competitive relationships among key players in the MEC ecosystem and the uncertainty of 5G MEC, the announcement of 5G MEC cooperation can negatively affect the telecom operators' firm value. This study investigates the market reaction to announcements of 5G MEC cooperation for telecom operators using an event study methodology. The empirical results show that announcements of 5G MEC cooperation have a negative impact on the telecom operators' firm value. The results also show that the early deployment of 5G networks may reduce the negative impact of 5G MEC cooperation announcements by reducing uncertainty.

Improving streamflow and flood predictions through computational simulations, machine learning and uncertainty quantification

  • Venkatesh Merwade;Siddharth Saksena;Pin-ChingLi;TaoHuang
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국수자원학회 2023년도 학술발표회
    • /
    • pp.29-29
    • /
    • 2023
  • To mitigate the damaging impacts of floods, accurate prediction of runoff, streamflow and flood inundation is needed. Conventional approach of simulating hydrology and hydraulics using loosely coupled models cannot capture the complex dynamics of surface and sub-surface processes. Additionally, the scarcity of data in ungauged basins and quality of data in gauged basins add uncertainty to model predictions, which need to be quantified. In this presentation, first the role of integrated modeling on creating accurate flood simulations and inundation maps will be presented with specific focus on urban environments. Next, the use of machine learning in producing streamflow predictions will be presented with specific focus on incorporating covariate shift and the application of theory guided machine learning. Finally, a framework to quantify the uncertainty in flood models using Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling Averaging will be presented. Overall, this presentation will highlight that creating accurate information on flood magnitude and extent requires innovation and advancement in different aspects related to hydrologic predictions.

  • PDF

한국 수출기업의 혁신활동에 따른 영향요인과 수출성과에 관한 실증연구 (An Empirical Study on the Factors Influencing the Innovations of Korea's Exporting Companies and Export Performance)

  • 김귀옥
    • 통상정보연구
    • /
    • 제14권2호
    • /
    • pp.201-225
    • /
    • 2012
  • 새로운 기술개발과 신제품 출시에는 막대한 연구개발비가 필요하고, 시장의 불확실성도 존재한다. 이에 비해 우리나라의 수출기업들은 선진기업에 비해 연구개발 투자비의 절대규모가 작고 누적 기술자산도 부족한 실정이다. 그러므로 개방형 혁신을 통해 외부의 기술을 활용하고 상대적으로 적은 연구개발 투자비의 효율성을 제고할 필요가 있다. 본 연구에서는 우리나라 수출기업의 혁신활동에 따른 각각의 영향요인을 도출하고, 이러한 혁신활동이 수출성과에 어떠한 영향을 미치는가를 분석하고자 하였다. 이를 위해 먼저 혁신활동을 폐쇄형 혁신활동과 개방형 혁신활동으로 구분하고, 혁신활동의 영향요인인 기업특성요인, 연구특성요인, 상품특성요인을 독립변수로, 수출성과를 종속변수로 하는 다중회귀분석을 실시하였다. 회귀분석결과 기업규모, 신상품 출시기간은 혁신활동 각각에 유의한 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났으나, 연구역량과 연구성과는 폐쇄형 혁신활동에만 유의한 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 개방형 혁신활동은 수출성과에 유의한 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났으나, 폐쇄형 혁신활동은 수출성과에는 유의한 영향을 미치지 못하는 것으로 나타났다.

  • PDF

기업의 연구협력 선택에 미치는 요인분석 : 한국 제조업체를 대상으로 (An Analysis of the Factors that Influence the Choice of R&D Collaboration : Evidence from Korean Manufacturing Companies)

  • 최형필;이재호
    • 기술혁신연구
    • /
    • 제18권1호
    • /
    • pp.153-175
    • /
    • 2010
  • 기업은 경쟁우위를 확보하고 지속적인 성장을 이끌기 위해 기술개발을 위한 R&D 투자 및 혁신활동에 집중해야 한다. 그러나, 기업의 이러한 활동은 언제나 성공하는 것이 아니며, 기술개발의 위험도가 높고 이익의 전용가능성이 낮거나 기업내부의 역량이나 자원이 부족할 경우, 기업의 혁신활동은 저해되기 쉽다. 이러한 상황에서 외부파트너와의 연구협력은 이러한 문제들을 해결할 수 있는 좋은 전략이라고 할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 한국의 제조업체를 대상으로 각 기업이 기술혁신을 위해 연구협력을 선택할 때 어떤 요인들이 연구 협력결정에 영향을 미치는지를 분석하였다. 이를 위해서 과학기술정책연구원(STEPI)에서 수행한 기술혁신조사 데이터를 활용하였으며, 분석결과 기업의 규모가 클수록, 과거의 연구 협력경험이 많을수록, 하이테크 기업에 속한 기업일수록 연구협력을 통해 제품혁신을 수행하는 것으로 나타났으며, 혁신실패의 위험성, 자금조달의 어려움, 조직내부의 역량부족, 외부환경요인 등과 같은 혁신활동저해요소들은 제품혁신활동 수행시 외부와의 연구협력에 영향을 미치지 못하는 것으로 나타났다.

  • PDF

기술혁신을 촉진하는 심리적 작업환경의 측정-척도의 신뢰성과 타당성 검증을 중심으로- (Measurement of Psychological Work Environment for Technology Innovation)

  • 한인수;박경환
    • 기술혁신연구
    • /
    • 제6권1호
    • /
    • pp.163-186
    • /
    • 1998
  • The psychological work environments which facilitate technology innovations in organizations are divided into two dimensions of supportive work environments and uncertain work environments. The measurement variables have significant reliability. And the confirmatory factor analysis confirm the construct validity of two dimensional work environments. Two work environments have the significant effects on motivations to the technology innovations. So, simple and hierarchical regression analyses confirm criterion-related validity. Therefore, Both of the uncertain work environments(uncertainty of external-organizational environments and tasks) and the two important work environments(supporting idea, resource supply, job autonomy) are the two important psychological work environments which indicate technology innovations in organizations. Measures for innovative psychological work environments are provided.

  • PDF

한중 벤처기업의 정보기술 활용 및 성과에 관한 연구: 대덕밸리와 중관촌을 중심으로 (Factors Affecting Usage and Performance of Information Technology in Daedeok Valley and Zhongguancun Venture Firms)

  • 황경연;문희철
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
    • /
    • 제12권2호
    • /
    • pp.163-184
    • /
    • 2005
  • The purpose of this research is to examine the major determinants affecting the usage and performance of information technologies in Daedeok Valley and Zhongguancun venture firms. The development of the research model is based on the theoretical linkages of IDT (Innovation Diffusion Theory) and TAM(Technology Acceptance Model). Seven hypotheses are derived and tested using regression analysis. The results from regression analysis suggest that the usage of Information technologies is affected by innovation characteristics (perceived usefulness) as well as organizational characteristics (top management support, employee capability on information technology acceptance) in Daedeok Valley venture firms. But, The results from regression analysis suggest that the usage of Information technologies is affected by innovation characteristics (perceived usefulness), organizational characteristics (top management support, employee capability on information technology acceptance), and external pressure (environmental uncertainty, intensity of competition) in Zhongguancun venture firms.

  • PDF

Informational and Methodological Approach to Ensuring the Economic Security of the State in the Banking Sphere

  • Shemayeva, Luidmila;Hladkykh, Dmytro;Mihus, Iryna;Onofriichuk, Andrii;Onofriichuk, Vitalii
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
    • /
    • 제21권12spc호
    • /
    • pp.477-482
    • /
    • 2021
  • The existing approaches to ensuring the banking security of the state do not take into account the peculiarities of the banking system in the rapid development of the information economy (increasing uncertainty, imbalance and nonlinearity of processes in the banking system under the influence of innovation, institutions, information asymmetry, etc.). A methodological approach to determining the synergetic effect in the implementation of the regulatory influence of the state on the development of innovation processes related to informatization in the banking system, based on the use of differential equations and modelling the sensitivity of innovation processes related to informatization in the banking system, to the regulatory influence of the state to prevent the deployment of risks and threats to economic security of the state in this area has been suggested in the present article.

시맨틱 웹 기술혁신의 채택과 확산: 질적연구접근법 (The Adoption and Diffusion of Semantic Web Technology Innovation: Qualitative Research Approach)

  • 주재훈
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
    • /
    • 제19권1호
    • /
    • pp.33-62
    • /
    • 2009
  • Internet computing is a disruptive IT innovation. Semantic Web can be considered as an IT innovation because the Semantic Web technology possesses the potential to reduce information overload and enable semantic integration, using capabilities such as semantics and machine-processability. How should organizations adopt the Semantic Web? What factors affect the adoption and diffusion of Semantic Web innovation? Most studies on adoption and diffusion of innovation use empirical analysis as a quantitative research methodology in the post-implementation stage. There is criticism that the positivist requiring theoretical rigor can sacrifice relevance to practice. Rapid advances in technology require studies relevant to practice. In particular, it is realistically impossible to conduct quantitative approach for factors affecting adoption of the Semantic Web because the Semantic Web is in its infancy. However, in an early stage of introduction of the Semantic Web, it is necessary to give a model and some guidelines and for adoption and diffusion of the technology innovation to practitioners and researchers. Thus, the purpose of this study is to present a model of adoption and diffusion of the Semantic Web and to offer propositions as guidelines for successful adoption through a qualitative research method including multiple case studies and in-depth interviews. The researcher conducted interviews with 15 people based on face-to face and 2 interviews by telephone and e-mail to collect data to saturate the categories. Nine interviews including 2 telephone interviews were from nine user organizations adopting the technology innovation and the others were from three supply organizations. Semi-structured interviews were used to collect data. The interviews were recorded on digital voice recorder memory and subsequently transcribed verbatim. 196 pages of transcripts were obtained from about 12 hours interviews. Triangulation of evidence was achieved by examining each organization website and various documents, such as brochures and white papers. The researcher read the transcripts several times and underlined core words, phrases, or sentences. Then, data analysis used the procedure of open coding, in which the researcher forms initial categories of information about the phenomenon being studied by segmenting information. QSR NVivo version 8.0 was used to categorize sentences including similar concepts. 47 categories derived from interview data were grouped into 21 categories from which six factors were named. Five factors affecting adoption of the Semantic Web were identified. The first factor is demand pull including requirements for improving search and integration services of the existing systems and for creating new services. Second, environmental conduciveness, reference models, uncertainty, technology maturity, potential business value, government sponsorship programs, promising prospects for technology demand, complexity and trialability affect the adoption of the Semantic Web from the perspective of technology push. Third, absorptive capacity is an important role of the adoption. Fourth, suppler's competence includes communication with and training for users, and absorptive capacity of supply organization. Fifth, over-expectance which results in the gap between user's expectation level and perceived benefits has a negative impact on the adoption of the Semantic Web. Finally, the factor including critical mass of ontology, budget. visible effects is identified as a determinant affecting routinization and infusion. The researcher suggested a model of adoption and diffusion of the Semantic Web, representing relationships between six factors and adoption/diffusion as dependent variables. Six propositions are derived from the adoption/diffusion model to offer some guidelines to practitioners and a research model to further studies. Proposition 1 : Demand pull has an influence on the adoption of the Semantic Web. Proposition 1-1 : The stronger the degree of requirements for improving existing services, the more successfully the Semantic Web is adopted. Proposition 1-2 : The stronger the degree of requirements for new services, the more successfully the Semantic Web is adopted. Proposition 2 : Technology push has an influence on the adoption of the Semantic Web. Proposition 2-1 : From the perceptive of user organizations, the technology push forces such as environmental conduciveness, reference models, potential business value, and government sponsorship programs have a positive impact on the adoption of the Semantic Web while uncertainty and lower technology maturity have a negative impact on its adoption. Proposition 2-2 : From the perceptive of suppliers, the technology push forces such as environmental conduciveness, reference models, potential business value, government sponsorship programs, and promising prospects for technology demand have a positive impact on the adoption of the Semantic Web while uncertainty, lower technology maturity, complexity and lower trialability have a negative impact on its adoption. Proposition 3 : The absorptive capacities such as organizational formal support systems, officer's or manager's competency analyzing technology characteristics, their passion or willingness, and top management support are positively associated with successful adoption of the Semantic Web innovation from the perceptive of user organizations. Proposition 4 : Supplier's competence has a positive impact on the absorptive capacities of user organizations and technology push forces. Proposition 5 : The greater the gap of expectation between users and suppliers, the later the Semantic Web is adopted. Proposition 6 : The post-adoption activities such as budget allocation, reaching critical mass, and sharing ontology to offer sustainable services are positively associated with successful routinization and infusion of the Semantic Web innovation from the perceptive of user organizations.

빅데이터 분석방법을 활용한 제조업 혁신성과예측 방법에 대한 연구 : 딥 러닝 알고리즘을 중심으로 (Forecasting Innovation Performance via Deep Learning Algorithm : A Case of Korean Manufacturing Industry)

  • 황정재;김재영;박재민
    • 기술혁신학회지
    • /
    • 제21권2호
    • /
    • pp.818-837
    • /
    • 2018
  • 기술혁신에는 본질적인 어려움이 따르는데, 이는 상당부분 기술이 지닌 불확실성에 기인한다. 따라서 혁신과정에서 불확실성에 따른 위험을 감소시키기 위한 예측 방법론은 정량적 분야와 정성적 분야 모두에서 제시되어 왔다. 한편 최근 빅 데이터와 인공지능에 큰 관심이 이어지며 특히 알파고의 알고리즘 중 하나인 딥 러닝이 뛰어난 성능을 보이고 있다. 이에 본 연구는 혁신성과 예측에 있어 딥 러닝을 이용한 방법론을 접목하여 연구를 진행하였다. 모델 구축 및 학습에 있어 KIS 2016 데이터를 이용하였으며, 투입 요인으로는 정보 원천의 사용도와 혁신 목적을 사용하였고 산출 요인으로는 혁신 성과 지표를 구성하여 사용하였다. 분석 결과 선행 연구들에 비해 예측의 정확도가 향상되었음을 확인할 수 있었다. 또한 학습이 진행됨에 따라 예측의 자유도 역시 향상됨을 확인하였다.