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A Study on the Diffusion Pattern of Mongolian Mobile Market (몽골 이동통신 시장의 확산 패턴 연구)

  • Enkhzaya Batmunkh;Jungsik Hong;TaeguKim
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.51 no.4
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    • pp.691-700
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: This study aims to analyze the diffusion pattern of the Mongolian mobile phone market. In particular, we used a generalized diffusion model to explore the factors affecting market potenial. Methods: We used three diffusion models to estimate the number of mobile subscribers in Mongolia. Based on the Logistic model with the best fitness, we introduced time-varying market potential and explored the influence of various independent variables such as GDP and inflation. Results: Among the basic diffusion models, the Logistic model was the best in terms of estimation performance and statistical significance. The estimation results of the Generalized Logistic model confirm that investment in the telecommunication sector has a significant positive effect on market potential. The estimation of the Generalized Logistic model effectively describes the continuous growth of the Mongolian telecommunications market until recently. Conclusion: We have analyzed the diffusion pattern of the Mongolian telecommunications market and found that the amount of investment in the sector leads to the growth of the market size. This study is original in terms of its subject - Mongolian telecommunications market and methodology - time-varying market potential.

Minimizing Security Hole and Improving Performance in Stateful Inspection for TCP Connections (TCP연결의 스테이트풀 인스펙션에 있어서의 보안 약점 최소화 및 성능 향상 방법)

  • Kim, Hyo-Gon;Kang, In-Hye
    • Journal of KIISE:Information Networking
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.443-451
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    • 2005
  • Stateful inspection devices must maintain flow information. These devices create the flow information also for network attack packets, and it can fatally inflate the dynamic memory allocation on stateful inspection devices under network attacks. The memory inflation leads to memory overflow and subsequent performance degradation. In this paper, we present a guideline to set the flow entry timeout for a stateful inspection device to remove harmful embryonic entries created by network attacks. Considering Transmission Control Protocol (TCP) if utilized by most of these attacks as well as legitimate traffic, we propose a parsimonious memory management guideline based on the design of the TCP and the analysis of real-life Internet traces. In particular, we demonstrate that for all practical purposes one should not reserve memory for an embryonic TCP connection with more than (R+T) seconds of inactivity where R=0, 3, 9 and $1\leqq{T}\leqq{2}$ depending on the load level.

The Role of the Value Added Network Service Industry in the Korean Economy: Using An Input-Output Analysis (부가통신서비스산업의 경제적 파급효과 분석: 산업연관분석을 이용하여)

  • Shin, Yong Jea;Choi, Sung Wook
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.11 no.12
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2013
  • The value added network service industry has played and important role in the telecommunication service industry and in the economic development of Korea. This study uses input-output analysis to investigate the role of value added network service sector in the Korean national economy for the period 2000, 2005, 2009, focusing on four topics in its application: production inducing effects, value-added inducing effect, employment-inducing effects by demand-driven model and supply shortage effect by supply-driven model, inflation impacts by the Leontief price model, finally analysing inter-industry linkage effects. The results of this study are as follows: production inducing effects analysis 2000 0.5253won to 2009 1.31314won, value-added inducing effects 0.25112won to 0.5337won employment inducing effects from 0.09749 to 0.21025 people grew, the supply shortage effect from 1.29003 to 2.12048won, price impact of Leontief price model was increased from 0.0022% to 0.00258%. Finally, inter-industry linkage effects, appeared to have the characteristics of final demand raw industrial.

Labor Market Governance and Regional Development in The Philippines: Uneven Trends and Outcomes

  • Sale, Jonathan P.
    • World Technopolis Review
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    • v.1 no.3
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    • pp.192-205
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    • 2012
  • Globalization has fuelled the desire for simplicity and flexibility in rules and processes within nations. de Soto (2000) calls for the simplification of rules to enable people to join the formal economy. Friedman (2005) echoes the need for simpler rules, to attract business and capital. Market-based approaches to governing have been adopted in many nations due to globalization. Recent developments demonstrate that such approaches fail. Globalization may lead to impoverishment in the absence of proper forms of governance (Cooney 2000). That is why it has the tendency to become a "race to the bottom." Regulatory measures can be costly, and the costs of doing business are uneven across nations. This unevenness is being used as a comparative advantage. Others call this regulatory competition (Smith-Bozek 2007) or competitive governance (Schachtel and Sahmel 2000), which is similar to the model of Charles Tiebout. Collaborative governance is an approach that governments could use in lieu of the competitive method. Mechanisms that enable stakeholders to exchange information, harmonize activities, share resources, and enhance capacities (Himmelman 2002) are needed. Philippine public policy encourages a shift in modes of realizing labor market governance outcomes from command to collaboration (Sale and Bool 2010B; Sale 2011). Is labor market governance and regional development in the Philippines collaborative? Or is the opposite - competitive governance (Tiebout model) - more evident? What is the dominant approach? This preliminary research tackles these questions by looking at recent data on average and minimum wages, wage differentials, trade union density, collective bargaining coverage, small and bigger enterprises, employment, unemployment and underemployment, inflation, poverty incidence, labor productivity, family income, among others, across regions of the country. The issue is studied in the context of legal origins. Cultural explanations are broached.

Empirical Analysis on Economic Factors of Infringement on Ocean Sovereignty from Chinese fishing boats (중국어선 해양주권 침해의 경제적 요인에 관한 실증적 연구)

  • Oh, Sang-Jin;Choi, Kyoung-Hoon;Park, Gyei-Kark
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.69-90
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    • 2017
  • Areas of marine activity have expanded into exclusive economic zones and the continental shelf since the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea(UNCLOS) in 1994, The signatory countries have been enforcing their maritime rights and competition in the international community has become intensified. Marine-related issues, including maritime sovereignty, has become an increasingly important issue with many national security and related studies following this trend. However, while there are many policy-related studies there remain few empirical studies. This paper conducted a study of illegal cases of Chinese fishing boats which are quite frequently for an empirical study on maritime sovereignty. This study conducted empirical analysis regarding factors relating to ocean sovereignty infringement by using correlation and multiple regression analysis. The result of observed increases in illegal Chinese fishing boats decreased the production of aquatic products, whish resulted in economic fishery losses to Korea households and inflation in the Korean economy.

Characteristics of Soil Stress using Expansion Liquid Sheet (팽창약액시트를 이용한 지중응력 특성에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Hyounhoi;Kim, Juho;Chung, Yoonseok;Park, Jeongjun
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.43-50
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    • 2017
  • In this study, to investigate the strength enhancement and stress transfer effect of the inflatable chemicals used in the recovery of soft ground or partial settlement, the dilatant solution was prepared and classified by measuring the density and the earth pressure in the sand ground. The inflation reinforcing agent was prepared by injecting into a separate impervious vacuum sheet by dividing into a relatively high expansion group and a low expansion group, and a cementation experiment was performed in the lower part of the homogeneously formed model ground. As a result, reinforcing effect was shown up to about 15cm above the expansion reinforcement, and the soil pressure showed a compaction tendency similar to the concentrated load of $1.150{\sim}11.298t/m^2$.

The Variables Affecting the Fluctuation of Visitors and the Construction of Models of Demand Projection in National Park (국립공원 이용객의 변동요인과 수요예측 모형설정)

  • 정하광
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.12-22
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    • 1991
  • The purpose of this study is to identify demand and methods of projection, including to prove the variables affecting the fluctuation of visitors and to analyze the relationship between these variables in National Park. Statistical analysis method (Multiple Linear Regression Analysis, ANOVA, and Model diagnostics) was carried out by computer program SAS/pc. 13 variables (1. Total Population, 2. Per Capita PDI, 3. Employment Ratio of S.O.C. & others, 4. NO. of Passenger Car, 5. Length of Roads, 6. Leisure Expenditure of Farm Household, 7. Leisure Expenditure of Urban Household, 8. Price Index, 9. NO. of Bus, 10. Exchange on Dollars, 11. Export, 12. Import, and 13. Visitors in National Park) had been used to this study. The scope of time period is during the last 17 years (1970-1986). The results were as follows; 1) Participation depends only on the specific characteristics of the economic factors (Price Index and Leisure Expenditure of Urban Household). These factors are the importance factors directly affecting the participation of visitors. The statistical Model for projecting the visitors in National Parks is the function of "Visitors in National Parks (thousand)=14915+0.210311*Leisure Expenditure of Urband Household (won)-157.835619*Price Index(1985=100)" 2) The external factors affecting the participation depends upon the interelated features of availability and accessibility (NO. of Passenger Car, Length of Roads, and NO. of Bus) of recreation resources or sites, and the economic factors (Per Capita PDI, Export, and Import). These factors are the factors indirectly affecting the participation of visitors. 3) The participation depends on the specific characteristics of demographic factors (Total Population and Employment Ratio of S.O.C. & others). These factors are the factors indirectly affecting the participation of visitors. 4) The unexpected fluctuation of yearly visitors depends on oil shock or inflation (1971, 1973-1974, 1979-1980), promulgation of national emergency decrees (1971-1972, 1974-1975, 1979-1980), and national events (assassination of president Park's wife, Madame Yuk in 1974 and president Park I 1979).

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An Export and Import Effect Analysis among the Eurozone Members of Using the Euro (EU 내 단일통화(Euro) 사용이 회원국들 간 수출.입에 미치는 효과 분석)

  • Kang, Bo-Kyung;Choi, Young-Doo
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.31-47
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    • 2012
  • The Eurozone was launched to set a goal on using the single currency perfectly in 1999. Using the Euro could get rid of exchange cost and cost of Foreign exchange risk management which was approximately 1% of each member's GDP. It was possible that members has maintained a stable level of inflation and stimulate investment and employment with low interest rate. In addition, they could lead to economic growth and investment as well as increase the Euro demand in financial market. Especially, members has used the Euro as the method of payment on trade each other so that the volume of trade among the Eurozone members has increased continuously which was called "the effect of single market." This paper analyzes the correlation between using the Euro and members' export/import by using random effect estimation and fixed effect estimation. As a result, Eurozone members can get export decreasing effect of 4.68% and import increasing effect of 10.5% respectively on average by using the Euro.

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The Inflation Effect on Optimal Bank Capital Structure and Asset Riskiness (인플레이션이 은행(銀行)의 재무구조(財務構造)와 자산위험도(資産危險度)에 미치는 영향(影響))

  • Oh, Young-Soo
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.155-177
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    • 1991
  • 기업의 재무구조와 인플레이션과의 관계는 세율에 대한 다양한 형태의 가정을 통하여 연구, 분석되어 왔으나, 이 문제를 확실히 해결하지는 못하였다. 근자에 A. Marcus(1983)가 미국의 은행의 재무구조를 대상으로 한 시계열분석 결과에 의하면 명목이자율의 상승이 미국은행의 부채 대비 자본금 비율을 하락시키는 절대적 요인이 되었다고 한다. 본 연구의 목적은 인플레이션과 은행의 부채 대비 자본금 비율의 상관관계, 더욱 나아가서 은행자산의 위험도가 이 상관관계에 미치는 영향을 분석코자 한다. 본고는 은행규제기관(FDIC 등)의 부채비율과 은행자산(포트폴리오)의 위험도에 대한 규제하에서 은행이 부채(예금)와 자본금의 가치를 극대화하고자 하는 모델을 설정하여 기대 인플레이션 수준이 은행의 적정 자본비율과 자산의 위험도와 어떤 관계가 있는가를 밀러의 균형모델(Miller Equilibrium Model)을 원용하여 분석하였다. 밀러의 균형모델하에서는 기업의 재무구조는 기업가치와 무관한 것으로 나타나고 있다. 즉, 부채를 통한 자금조달에 의해 발생되는 한계세금혜택은 균형하에서는 사라진다는 이론이다. 따라서 인플레이션은 적정 재무구조에는 영향을 미치지 못하게 된다. 왜냐하면 인플레이션은 기업의 세후 부채조달비용과 회사채 투자자 수익에 동일한 영향을 미치기 때문이다. 그러나 은행의 경우 일반 기업과는 달리 은행규제기관의 부채비율 및 자산위험도에 대한 규제압력이 소위 암묵적 규제비용으로 작용하여 은행의 적정자본금비율은 부채(예금)를 통한 자금조달의 한계세금혜택과 이에 따른 한계규제바용이 동일하게 되는 경우에 결정된다. 밀러의 단순균형 모델하에서 한계세금혜택이 없는 것과는 달리 은행의 부채조달에 따른 한계규제비용이 존재하는 이유로 균형조건으로 한계세금이익이 존재하게 된다. 이 경우 인플레이션은 예금자의 실질 세후 예금이자를 상승시키는 것 이상으로 은행의 실질 세후 예금이자 지급비용을 하락시키게 되어 은행의 부채비율을 더욱 높이게 되는 원인이 된다. 또한 은행의 부채비율이 인플레이션과 정(正)의 관계에 있다면 은행규제의 강도에 따라 이 상관계수는 은행자산의 위험도와도 역시 정(正)의 관계에 있게 된다. 미국은행을 대상으로 한 회귀분석에서도 그들의 부채(예금)비율이 기대 인플레이션과 정(正)의 상관관계가 있음이 나타났고 그 상관계수는 은행자산의 위험도와 동일 방향으로 움직임이 판명되었다.

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Determinants of Health Care Expenditures and the Contribution of Associated Factors: 16 Cities and Provinces in Korea, 2003-2010

  • Han, Kimyoung;Cho, Minho;Chun, Kihong
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.46 no.6
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    • pp.300-308
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    • 2013
  • Objectives: The purpose of this study was to classify determinants of cost increases into two categories, negotiable factors and non-negotiable factors, in order to identify the determinants of health care expenditure increases and to clarify the contribution of associated factors selected based on a literature review. Methods: The data in this analysis was from the statistical yearbooks of National Health Insurance Service, the Economic Index from Statistics Korea and regional statistical yearbooks. The unit of analysis was the annual growth rate of variables of 16 cities and provinces from 2003 to 2010. First, multiple regression was used to identify the determinants of health care expenditures. We then used hierarchical multiple regression to calculate the contribution of associated factors. The changes of coefficients ($R^2$) of predictors, which were entered into this analysis step by step based on the empirical evidence of the investigator could explain the contribution of predictors to increased medical cost. Results: Health spending was mainly associated with the proportion of the elderly population, but the Medicare Economic Index (MEI) showed an inverse association. The contribution of predictors was as follows: the proportion of elderly in the population (22.4%), gross domestic product (GDP) per capita (4.5%), MEI (-12%), and other predictors (less than 1%). Conclusions: As Baby Boomers enter retirement, an increasing proportion of the population aged 65 and over and the GDP will continue to increase, thus accelerating the inflation of health care expenditures and precipitating a crisis in the health insurance system. Policy makers should consider providing comprehensive health services by an accountable care organization to achieve cost savings while ensuring high-quality care.