• 제목/요약/키워드: inflation

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A Study on the Interrelationship of Trade, Investment and Economic Growth in Myanmar: Policy Implications from South Korea's Economic Growth

  • Oo, Thunt Htut;Lee, Keon-Hyeong
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.146-170
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    • 2020
  • Purpose - This paper addresses the concepts of FDI-Trade-Growth nexus in Myanmar's economy and empirically investigates the interrelationships of trade, investment and economic growth to reveal the growth model of Myanmar's economy. Additionally, this paper also addresses the cooperative strategies between Myanmar and South Korea through a case study related to South Korea's economic growth. Design/methodology - Our empirical model considers the interrelationship among FDI, trade, growth, labor force and inflation in Myanmar. This study employs ARDL (Autoregressive Distributed Lag) to conduct an analysis of the FDI-Trade-Growth relationships using the time series data from 1970 to 2016 and a conducted case study of South Korea provided for practical implication on cooperative strategies between Myanmar and Korea. Findings - Export equation was chosen through the diagnostic tests. Our main findings can be summarized as follows: Export in Myanmar is positively influenced by labor force, FDI, capital formation and negatively impacted by import and instable inflation rate in the long run. In the short run, GDP and import positively influence export. The Granger causality test proves that Myanmar is an FDI/labor force-led Growth economy, where FDI and labor force are main drivers of export followed by GDP in Myanmar. The case study of South Korea provided that Korea's tax and credit system for promoting export-led FDI industries and cooperative units for joint ventures between Korea and Myanmar in export-led FDI industries are recommended. Originality/value - No study has yet to be conducted on the interrelationships of macroeconomic factors from the perspectives of FDI-Trade-Growth Nexus in Myanmar under the assumption of labor force and inflation rate as fundamental conditions. The current study also covered a relatively longer period of time series data from 1970 to 2016. This paper also conducts a case study of South Korea's experience in order to evaluate the findings and provide better policy implications.

Investigating the Interaction Between Terms of Trade and Domestic Economy: In the Case of the Korean Economy

  • Han, Yongseung;Kim, Myeong Hwan;Nam, Eun-Young
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.34-46
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    • 2021
  • Purpose - This paper aims to analyze the impact of the terms of trade, export price, and import price on the Korean economy (that is, real GDP, CPI, money market rate, and real effective exchange rate), and vice versa in the simple vector autoregression. Design/methodology - We impose two assumptions, i.e., diagonality and bloc exogeneity, to correctly identify the impact of a factor to the others in the structural equation. With two contemporaneous assumptions in the structural VAR, this paper investigates the impacts of the terms of trade on the Korean economy and vice versa. Findings - Impulse responses to the shocks in the terms of trade and Korean economy show that 1) an impact of the terms of trade on the economy is different in export prices and in import prices. A higher export price is beneficial to the economy while a higher import price hurts the economy, and 2) an increase in real effective exchange rate and in interest rate constrains domestic production and lowers consumer prices. Originality/value - Unlike the conventional perception that a depreciation of a currency would promote exports and domestic production at the price of inflation, our result shows the opposite, and 3) real GDP and consumer prices are positively correlated. That is, an increase in real GDP does not only cause inflation, but an increase in consumer prices also promote domestic production. Yet, the only difference is that export prices and import prices end up higher with an increase in real GDP, but lower with inflation.

표준시장단가 공고시기 조정에 따른 영향분석 연구 (Analysis of the Influence of Changing the Announcement Date of Standard for Construction Cost Estimation)

  • 이주현;백승호
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2020년도 봄 학술논문 발표대회
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    • pp.204-205
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    • 2020
  • Construction Standard Unit Price is the unit price calculated based on the market price for work items in construction projects that have already been conducted. It is used as basic data for calculating the budget price of public construction projects. In the Construction Standard Unit Price Book implemented in the second half of 2020, there are 1,810 types of unit prices. Since 2017, 100-150 construction standard unit prices have been revised semiannually (on January 1 and July 1 of each year) through Construction Site Surveys. Other work items have been set based on the rate of inflation during the corresponding period. Later in 2020, this procedure was changed, with on-site survey period extended to one year to strengthen the construction standard unit price investigation. The revisions previous announced during the second half of the year were changed only to reflect the price inflation rates. With such changes in the revisions to construction standard unit prices, one important issue that was raised: The timing of announcing the revisions during the second half of the year (reflecting the price inflation rates). The market unit wage, which is the unit price standard of labor cost that takes up a large part of the construction cost, is announced in January and September. The figures announced in September is reflected on the construction standard unit price four months later in January, but the market unit wage announced in January is reflected only six months after in July, which causes a timing issue. As such, the current study analyzed problems rising from the changed timing of the announcements of the construction standard unit price during the second half of the year, in addition to analyzing their impact on public construction projects.

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재정(財政)·통화정책(通貨政策)의 적정관계(適正關係)에 대한 고찰(考察) : 재정우위(財政優位)모델에 의한 실증적(實證的) 분석(分析) (A Simple Test for Optimal Fiscal and Monetary Policy Regimes: The Case of Korea)

  • 황성현
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.141-153
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    • 1991
  • 본고(本稿)에서는 재정당국(財政當局)과 통화당국(通貨當局)를 포괄하는 통합정부(統合政府)의 최적재원조달(最適財源調達)의 관점에서 재정정책(財政政策)과 통화정책간(通貨政策間)의 체계적(體系的)인 연관(聯關)의 존재 여부와 그 내용을 재정우위(財政優位)모델의 이론적 결과에 입각하여 실증적(實證的)으로 고찰하였다. 재정우위(財政優位)모델에서는 통화(通貨)에 의한 직접적(直接的) 재원조달(財源調達) 경로(經路)로서의 seigniorage의 확보와, 간접적(間接的) 경로(經路)로서의 인플레적 편의(偏倚)를 모델화하여 정부예산제약하(政府豫算制約下)에서 최적(最適) 인플레이션율(率) 조세부담율(租稅負擔率)의 선택문제를 다루고 있으며, 이 모델에서 밝혀진 재정(財政) 통화정책(通貨政策)의 적정관계(適正關係)는 최적 인플레이션율(率)/조세부담률(租稅負擔率) 비율(比率)과 한계수입비율간(限界收入比率間)의 정(正)의 상관관계(相關關係)와, 인플레이션율(率)과 조세부담률간(租稅負擔率間)의 정(正)의 상관관계(相關關係)로 함축된다. 1970~80년대 한국경제(韓國經濟)의 거시경제정책영역(巨視經濟政策領域)의 성격 규명을 위한 가설검정(假說檢定) 결과는 이 기간의 재정(財政) 통화변수(通貨變數)의 추이가 통화에 의한 직접적 재원조달측면(財源調達側面)을 강조하는 재정우위(財政優位)의 최적화(最適化) 과정(過程)의 이론적(理論的) 결과(結果)와 부합됨을 보여주고 있다. 본(本) 연구결과(硏究結果)는 한국(韓國)의 거시경제정책기조(巨視經濟政策基調) 설명(說明)에 있어 재정우위(財政優位)의 최적화(最適化)모델이 유용할 수 있으며 재정(財政) 통화정책변수(通貨政策變數)들이 기대되는 수준 이상으로 체계적인 연관을 가지고 있음을 보여주고 있다. 또한 재정우위(財政優位)모델의 이론적 결과의 엄밀한 해석을 통하여 통화공급(通貨供給)과 물가(物價)의 설명변수(說明變數)로서의 재정(財政)의 중요성과 그 구체적 내용을 보여주고 있다.

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인구구조의 변화에 따른 의료비 추계 (The Projection of Medical Care Expenditure in View of Population Age Change)

  • 유승흠;정상혁;남정모;오현주
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.303-311
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    • 1992
  • It is very important to estimate the future medical care expenditure, because medical care expenditure escalation is a big problem not only in the health industry but also in the Korean economy today. This study was designed to project the medical care expenditure in view of population age change. The data of this study were the population projection data based on National Census Data(1990) of the National Statistical Office and the Statistical Reports of the Korea Medical Insurance Corporation. The future medical care expenditure was eatimated by the regression model and the optional simulation model. The significant results are as follows : 1. The future medical care expenditure will be 3,963 billion Won in the year 2000, 4,483 billion Won in 2010, and 4,826 billion Won in 2020, based on the 1990 market price considering only the population age change. 2. The proportion of the total medical care expenditure in the elderly over 65 will be 10.4% in 2000, 13.5% in 2010, and 16.9% in 2020. 3. The future medical care expenditure will be 4,306 billion Won in the year 2000, 5,101 billion Won in 2010, and 5,699 billion Won in 2020 based on the 1990 market price considering the age structure change and the change of the case-cost estimated by the regression model. 4. When we consider the age-structure change and inflation compared with the preceding year, the future medical care expenditurein 2020 will be 21 trillion Won based on a 5% inflation rate, 42 trillion Won based on a 7.5% inflation rate, and 84 trillion Won based on a 10% inflation rate. Consideration of the aged(65 years old and over) will be essential to understand the acute increase of medical care expenditure due to changes in age structure of the population. Therefore, alternative policies and programs for the caring of the aged should be further studied.

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Equipment replacement cost analysis within the construction industry

  • Oh, Hyun-Seung
    • 경영과학
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.41-50
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    • 1991
  • Within the current construction industry, constractor equipment management practices lack structure and often are not addressed through an economic analysis and evaluation process. This paper explores two areas...cost of capital and inflation...with the intention of providing insight for a more structured and economic based approach to contractor equipment replacement practices rather than by the traditional "rule of thumb".umb".uot;.

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Micro- and Macro-Level Factors Determining Financial Performance of UAE Insurance Companies

  • SASIDHARAN, Soumya;RANJITH, V.K.;PRABHURAM, Sunitha
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권12호
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    • pp.909-917
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    • 2020
  • The research aims to analyze the firm-specific and macroeconomic factors that affect insurance company's financial performance. The research explores the variables that influence the financial performance of the United Arab Emirates (UAE)' insurance companies. The analysis for determining financial performance considers the following variables: the firm's age, retention ratio, capital adequacy, underwriting risk/loss ratio, financial-leverage, reinsurance dependency, and macro-economic factors such as GDP per capita, inflation rate considered as independent factors. The return-on-asset (ROA) is the key measuring indicator; it is regarded as the dependent variable for financial performance measures. The research focuses on secondary information obtained from insurance companies' financial statements. The researcher targeted 18 insurance companies listed on the UAE stock exchanges for study purposes. The research examines the overall factors that influence the financial performance of an insurance company. For analysis of data, software package of social sciences (SPSS version 20) is used. The studies used correlation and multiple linear regression analysis to determine financial performance and their effects. The analysis suggests that there are important and constructive relationships between the size, capital adequacy, and reinsurance dependency, while loss ratio, retention ratio, and financial leverage indicate a major negative relationship. And there's no link between GDP per capita and inflation.

복합이자율과 민감도분석에 기반한 LCC 기법에 의한 LNG 연료추진 선박 경제성 평가 사례 연구 (A Study on Economic Analysis of LNG Fuel Propulsion Ships using Life Cycle Cost(LCC) Based on Combined Interest Rates and Sensitivity Analysis)

  • 홍진표;김수영;김좌진
    • 대한조선학회논문집
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    • 제51권6호
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    • pp.451-458
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study is to compare the economics between a diesel propulsion vessel and a LNG fuel propulsion vessel through the analysis of the present value using the LCC(Life Cycle Cost) method. This study is also to judge the economics for long-term operation of a LNG fuel propulsion vessel as a result of analysis about the equivalent uniform annual cost. In particular, LCC method was strengthened by sensitivity analysis based on combined interest rate which is considering discount rate and inflation rate simultaneously.