• 제목/요약/키워드: inference model

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다양한 의료 분석 방식을 지원하는 효과적 추론 기법 설계 및 적용 지침 (A Design of Effective Inference Methods and Their Application Guidelines for Supporting Various Medical Analytics Schemes)

  • 김문권;라현정;김수동
    • 정보과학회 논문지
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    • 제42권12호
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    • pp.1590-1599
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    • 2015
  • 다양한 개인 의료 장비들이 등장함에 따라 개인 의료 컨텍스트가 풍부하게 수집되고 있다. 이렇게 수집된 의료 컨텍스트를 분석함으로써 소프트웨어적으로 질병을 진단하기 위한 노력이 이어지고 있다. 본 논문에서는 의료 전문가들이 사용하는 의료 분석 기법을 정형화하고, 각 의료 기법을 실현화하기 위한 추론 기법을 식별하며, 추론기법의 적용 지침을 제시한다. 또한, 의료 기법을 제공하는 추론 시스템을 PoC 수준에서 개발하고, 실제 의료 컨텍스트를 분석하여 질병 진단 실험을 수행함으로써 제시하는 의료 분석 기법 및 추론 기법 적용 지침의 실효성과 그 효과를 검증한다.

뉴로 퍼지 시스템을 이용한 비선형 시스템의 IMC 제어기 설계 (Design of IMC for Nonlinear Systems by Using Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System)

  • 김성호;강정규
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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    • 제7권11호
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    • pp.958-961
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    • 2001
  • Control of Industrial processes is very difficult due to nonlinear dynamics, effect of disturbances and modeling errors. M.Morari proposed Internal Model Control(IMC) system that can be effectively applied to the systems with model uncertainties and time delays. The advantage of IMC is their robustness with respect to a model mismatch and disturbances. But it is difficult to apply for nonlinear systems. ANFIS(Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System) which contains multiple linear models as consequent part is used to model nonlinear systems. Generally, the linear parameters in ANFIS can be effectively utilized to control a nonlinear systems. In this paper, we propose new ANFIS-based IMC controller for nonlinear systems. Numerical simulation results show that the proposed control scheme has good performances.

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몬테칼로 깁스방법을 적용한 소프트웨어 신뢰도 성장모형에 대한 베이지안 추론과 모형선택에 관한 연구 (Bayesian Inference and Model Selection for Software Growth Reliability Models using Gibbs Sampler)

  • 김희철;이승주
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.125-141
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    • 1999
  • Bayesian inference and model selection method for software reliability growth models are studied. Software reliability growth models are used in testing stages of software development to model the error content and time intervals between software failures. In this paper, we could avoid the multiple integration by the use of Gibbs sampling, which is a kind of Markov Chain Monte Carlo method to compute the posterior distribution. Bayesian inference and model selection method for Jelinski-Moranda and Goel-Okumoto and Schick-Wolverton models in software reliability with Poisson prior information are studied. For model selection, we explored the relative error.

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HCM 클러스터링과 유전자 알고리즘을 이용한 다중 퍼지 모델 동정 (Identification of Multi-Fuzzy Model by means of HCM Clustering and Genetic Algorithms)

  • 박호성;오성권
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 2000년도 제15차 학술회의논문집
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    • pp.370-370
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, we design a Multi-Fuzzy model by means of HCM clustering and genetic algorithms for a nonlinear system. In order to determine structure of the proposed Multi-Fuzzy model, HCM clustering method is used. The parameters of membership function of the Multi-Fuzzy ate identified by genetic algorithms. A aggregate performance index with a weighting factor is used to achieve a sound balance between approximation and generalization abilities of the model. We use simplified inference and linear inference as inference method of the proposed Multi-Fuzzy mode] and the standard least square method for estimating consequence parameters of the Multi-Fuzzy. Finally, we use some of numerical data to evaluate the proposed Multi-Fuzzy model and discuss about the usefulness.

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클러스터링 기법과 유전자 알고리즘에 의한 다중 퍼지 모델으 동정 (The Identification of Multi-Fuzzy Model by means of HCM and Genetic Algorithms)

  • 박병준;이수구;오성권;김현기
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2000년도 하계학술대회 논문집 D
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    • pp.3007-3009
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, we design a Multi-Fuzzy model by means of clustering method and genetic algorithms for a nonlinear system. In order to determine structure of the proposed Multi-Fuzzy model. HCM clustering method is used. The parameters of membership function of the Multi-Fuzzy are identified by genetic algorithms. We use simplified inference and linear inference as inference method of the proposed Multi-Fuzzy model and the standard least square method for estimating consequence parameters of the Multi-Fuzzy. Finally, we use some of numerical data to evaluate the proposed Multi-Fuzzy model and discuss about the usefulness.

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Variational Bayesian inference for binary image restoration using Ising model

  • Jang, Moonsoo;Chung, Younshik
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.27-40
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    • 2022
  • In this paper, the focus on the removal noise in the binary image based on the variational Bayesian method with the Ising model. The observation and the latent variable are the degraded image and the original image, respectively. The posterior distribution is built using the Markov random field and the Ising model. Estimating the posterior distribution is the same as reconstructing a degraded image. MCMC and variational Bayesian inference are two methods for estimating the posterior distribution. However, for the sake of computing efficiency, we adapt the variational technique. When the image is restored, the iterative method is used to solve the recursive problem. Since there are three model parameters in this paper, restoration is implemented using the VECM algorithm to find appropriate parameters in the current state. Finally, the restoration results are shown which have maximum peak signal-to-noise ratio (PSNR) and evidence lower bound (ELBO).

퍼지 객체 추론 모델의 정형화 (A Formal Specification of Fuzzy Object Inference Model)

  • 양재동;양형정
    • 한국정보과학회논문지:데이타베이스
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    • 제27권2호
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    • pp.141-150
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    • 2000
  • 기존의 퍼지 규칙 기반 전문가 시스템 언어에는 크게 세 가지 단점들이 있다. 첫째, 복합 객체 추론 기능이 없으며, 둘째, 의미적으로 이해하기 쉽고 개념적으로 사용하기 용이한 퍼지 추론을 지원하지 못할 뿐 아니라, 세째, 지식 표현과 추론 방식이 기존의 데이터베이스 모텔과 구문이나 의미에서 현격 한 차이를 보이고 있기 때문에 서로 통합되기 어렵다. 본 논문에서는 이 세가지 단점들을 해결하기 위한 퍼지 객체 추론 모델의 정형화를 보이고, GIS 응용을 예로 들어 제시하는 모델이 데이타베이스내 GIS 복합 객체들을 자연스럽게 모델링하고, 이들 사이의 퍼지 추론을 성공적으로 수행함을 보인다.

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퍼지 이론을 이용한 교통사고 위험수준 평가모형 (A Development of Fuzzy Logic-Based Evaluation Model for Traffic Accident Risk Level)

  • 변완희;최기주
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.119-136
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    • 1996
  • The evaluation of risk level or possibility of traffic accidents is a fundamental task in reducing the dangers associated with current transportation system. However, due to the lack of data and basic researches for identifying such factors, evaluations so far have been undertaken by only the experts who can use their judgements well in this regard. Here comes the motivation this thesis to evaluate such risk level more or less in an automatic manner. The purpose of this thesis is to test the fuzzy-logic theory in evaluating the risk level of traffic accidents. In modeling the process of expert's logical inference of risk level determination, only the geometric features have been considered for the simplicity of the modeling. They are the visibility of road surface, horizontal alignment, vertical grade, diverging point, and the location of pedestrain crossing. At the same time, among some inference methods, fuzzy composition inference method has been employed as a back-bone inference mechanism. In calibration, the proposed model used four sites' data. After that, using calibrated model, six sites' risk levels have been identified. The results of the six sites' outcomes were quite similar to those of real world other than some errors caused by the enforcement of the model's output. But it seems that this kind of errors can be overcome in the future if some other factors such as driver characteristics, traffic environment, and traffic control conditions have been considered. Futhermore, the application of site's specific time series data would produce better results.

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Bayesian Inference for Predicting the Default Rate Using the Power Prior

  • Kim, Seong-W.;Son, Young-Sook;Choi, Sang-A
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제13권3호
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    • pp.685-699
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    • 2006
  • Commercial banks and other related areas have developed internal models to better quantify their financial risks. Since an appropriate credit risk model plays a very important role in the risk management at financial institutions, it needs more accurate model which forecasts the credit losses, and statistical inference on that model is required. In this paper, we propose a new method for estimating a default rate. It is a Bayesian approach using the power prior which allows for incorporating of historical data to estimate the default rate. Inference on current data could be more reliable if there exist similar data based on previous studies. Ibrahim and Chen (2000) utilize these data to characterize the power prior. It allows for incorporating of historical data to estimate the parameters in the models. We demonstrate our methodologies with a real data set regarding SOHO data and also perform a simulation study.

HCM과 유전자 알고리즘에 기반한 확장된 다중 FNN 모델 설계 (Design of Extended Multi-FNNs model based on HCM and Genetic Algorithm)

  • 박호성;오성권
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2001년도 합동 추계학술대회 논문집 정보 및 제어부문
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    • pp.420-423
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, the Multi-FNNs(Fuzzy-Neural Networks) architecture is identified and optimized using HCM(Hard C-Means) clustering method and genetic algorithms. The proposed Multi-FNNs architecture uses simplified inference and linear inference as fuzzy inference method and error back propagation algorithm as learning rules. Here, HCM clustering method, which is carried out for the process data preprocessing of system modeling, is utilized to determine the structure of Multi-FNNs according to the divisions of input-output space using I/O process data. Also, the parameters of Multi-FNNs model such as apexes of membership function, learning rates and momentum coefficients are adjusted using genetic algorithms. An aggregate performance index with a weighting factor is used to achieve a sound balance between approximation and generalization abilities of the model. To evaluate the performance of the proposed model we use the time series data for gas furnace and the NOx emission process data of gas turbine power plant.

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