• Title/Summary/Keyword: inference Control

Search Result 660, Processing Time 0.025 seconds

Covariate selection criteria for controlling confounding bias in a causal study (인과연구에서 중첩편향을 제거하기 위한 공변량선택기준)

  • Thepepomma, Seethad;Kim, Ji-Hyun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.29 no.5
    • /
    • pp.849-858
    • /
    • 2016
  • It is important to control confounding bias when estimating the causal effect of treatment in an observational study. We illustrated that the covariate selection in the causal inference is different from the variable selection in the ANCOVA model. We then investigated the three criteria of covariate selection for controlling confounding bias, which can be used when we have inadequate information to draw a complete causal graph. VanderWeele and Shpitser (2011) proposed one of them and claimed it was better than the other two. We show by example that their criterion also has limitations and some disadvantages. There is no clear winner; however, their criterion is better (if some correction is made on its condition) than the other two because it can remove the confounding bias.

Development of Water Demand Forecasting Simulator and Performance Evaluation (단기 물 수요예측 시뮬레이터 개발과 예측 알고리즘 성능평가)

  • Shin, Gang-Wook;Kim, Ju-Hwan;Yang, Jae-Rheen;Hong, Sung-Taek
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
    • /
    • v.25 no.4
    • /
    • pp.581-589
    • /
    • 2011
  • Generally, treated water or raw water is transported into storage reservoirs which are receiving facilities of local governments from multi-regional water supply systems. A water supply control and operation center is operated not only to manage the water facilities more economically and efficiently but also to mitigate the shortage of water resources due to the increase in water consumption. To achieve the goal, important information such as the flow-rate in the systems, water levels of storage reservoirs or tanks, and pump-operation schedule should be considered based on the resonable water demand forecasting. However, it is difficult to acquire the pattern of water demand used in local government, since the operating information is not shared between multi-regional and local water systems. The pattern of water demand is irregular and unpredictable. Also, additional changes such as an abrupt accident and frequent changes of electric power rates could occur. Consequently, it is not easy to forecast accurate water demands. Therefore, it is necessary to introduce a short-term water demands forecasting and to develop an application of the forecasting models. In this study, the forecasting simulator for water demand is developed based on mathematical and neural network methods as linear and non-linear models to implement the optimal water demands forecasting. It is shown that MLP(Multi-Layered Perceptron) and ANFIS(Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System) can be applied to obtain better forecasting results in multi-regional water supply systems with a large scale and local water supply systems with small or medium scale than conventional methods, respectively.

Design of RBFNN-Based Pattern Classifier for the Classification of Precipitation/Non-Precipitation Cases (강수/비강수 사례 분류를 위한 RBFNN 기반 패턴분류기 설계)

  • Choi, Woo-Yong;Oh, Sung-Kwun;Kim, Hyun-Ki
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
    • /
    • v.24 no.6
    • /
    • pp.586-591
    • /
    • 2014
  • In this study, we introduce Radial Basis Function Neural Networks(RBFNNs) classifier using Artificial Bee Colony(ABC) algorithm in order to classify between precipitation event and non-precipitation event from given radar data. Input information data is rebuilt up through feature analysis of meteorological radar data used in Korea Meteorological Administration. In the condition phase of the proposed classifier, the values of fitness are obtained by using Fuzzy C-Mean clustering method, and the coefficients of polynomial function used in the conclusion phase are estimated by least square method. In the aggregation phase, the final output is obtained by using fuzzy inference method. The performance results of the proposed classifier are compared and analyzed by considering both QC(Quality control) data and CZ(corrected reflectivity) data being used in Korea Meteorological Administration.

Genetic relationship between purebred and synthetic pigs for growth performance using single step method

  • Hong, Joon Ki;Cho, Kyu Ho;Kim, Young Sin;Chung, Hak Jae;Baek, Sun Young;Cho, Eun Seok;Sa, Soo Jin
    • Animal Bioscience
    • /
    • v.34 no.6
    • /
    • pp.967-974
    • /
    • 2021
  • Objective: The objective of this study was to estimate the genetic correlation (rpc) of growth performance between purebred (Duroc and Korean native) and synthetic (WooriHeukDon) pigs using a single-step method. Methods: Phenotypes of 15,902 pigs with genotyped data from 1,792 pigs from a nucleus farm were used for this study. We estimated the rpc of several performance traits between WooriHeukDon and purebred pigs: day of target weight (DAY), backfat thickness (BF), feed conversion rate (FCR), and residual feed intake (RFI). The variances and covariances of the studied traits were estimated by an animal multi-trait model that applied the Bayesian inference. Results: rpc within traits was lower than 0.1 for DAY and BF, but high for FCR and RFI; in particular, rpc for RFI between Duroc and WooriHeukDon pigs was nearly 1. Comparison between different traits revealed that RFI in Duroc pigs was associated with different traits in WooriHeukDon pigs. However, the most of rpc between different traits were estimated with low or with high standard deviation. Conclusion: The results indicated that there were substantial differences in rpc of traits in the synthetic WooriHeukDon pigs, which could be caused by these pigs having a more complex origin than other crossbred pigs. RFI was strongly correlated between Duroc and WooriHeukDon pigs, and these breeds might have similar single nucleotide polymorphism effects that control RFI. RFI is more essential for metabolism than other growth traits and these metabolic characteristics in purebred pigs, such as nutrient utilization, could significantly affect those in synthetic pigs. The findings of this study can be used to elucidate the genetic architecture of crossbred pigs and help develop new breeds with target traits.

Machine learning application for predicting the strawberry harvesting time

  • Yang, Mi-Hye;Nam, Won-Ho;Kim, Taegon;Lee, Kwanho;Kim, Younghwa
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
    • /
    • v.46 no.2
    • /
    • pp.381-393
    • /
    • 2019
  • A smart farm is a system that combines information and communication technology (ICT), internet of things (IoT), and agricultural technology that enable a farm to operate with minimal labor and to automatically control of a greenhouse environment. Machine learning based on recently data-driven techniques has emerged with big data technologies and high-performance computing to create opportunities to quantify data intensive processes in agricultural operational environments. This paper presents research on the application of machine learning technology to diagnose the growth status of crops and predicting the harvest time of strawberries in a greenhouse according to image processing techniques. To classify the growth stages of the strawberries, we used object inference and detection with machine learning model based on deep learning neural networks and TensorFlow. The classification accuracy was compared based on the training data volume and training epoch. As a result, it was able to classify with an accuracy of over 90% with 200 training images and 8,000 training steps. The detection and classification of the strawberry maturities could be identified with an accuracy of over 90% at the mature and over mature stages of the strawberries. Concurrently, the experimental results are promising, and they show that this approach can be applied to develop a machine learning model for predicting the strawberry harvesting time and can be used to provide key decision support information to both farmers and policy makers about optimal harvest times and harvest planning.

Power peaking factor prediction using ANFIS method

  • Ali, Nur Syazwani Mohd;Hamzah, Khaidzir;Idris, Faridah;Basri, Nor Afifah;Sarkawi, Muhammad Syahir;Sazali, Muhammad Arif;Rabir, Hairie;Minhat, Mohamad Sabri;Zainal, Jasman
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • v.54 no.2
    • /
    • pp.608-616
    • /
    • 2022
  • Power peaking factors (PPF) is an important parameter for safe and efficient reactor operation. There are several methods to calculate the PPF at TRIGA research reactors such as MCNP and TRIGLAV codes. However, these methods are time-consuming and required high specifications of a computer system. To overcome these limitations, artificial intelligence was introduced for parameter prediction. Previous studies applied the neural network method to predict the PPF, but the publications using the ANFIS method are not well developed yet. In this paper, the prediction of PPF using the ANFIS was conducted. Two input variables, control rod position, and neutron flux were collected while the PPF was calculated using TRIGLAV code as the data output. These input-output datasets were used for ANFIS model generation, training, and testing. In this study, four ANFIS model with two types of input space partitioning methods shows good predictive performances with R2 values in the range of 96%-97%, reveals the strong relationship between the predicted and actual PPF values. The RMSE calculated also near zero. From this statistical analysis, it is proven that the ANFIS could predict the PPF accurately and can be used as an alternative method to develop a real-time monitoring system at TRIGA research reactors.

Strawberry disease diagnosis service using EfficientNet (EfficientNet 활용한 딸기 병해 진단 서비스)

  • Lee, Chang Jun;Kim, Jin Seong;Park, Jun;Kim, Jun Yeong;Park, Sung Wook;Jung, Se Hoon;Sim, Chun Bo
    • Smart Media Journal
    • /
    • v.11 no.5
    • /
    • pp.26-37
    • /
    • 2022
  • In this paper, images are automatically acquired to control the initial disease of strawberries among facility cultivation crops, and disease analysis is performed using the EfficientNet model to inform farmers of disease status, and disease diagnosis service is proposed by experts. It is possible to obtain an image of the strawberry growth stage and quickly receive expert feedback after transmitting the disease diagnosis analysis results to farmers applications using the learned EfficientNet model. As a data set, farmers who are actually operating facility cultivation were recruited and images were acquired using the system, and the problem of lack of data was solved by using the draft image taken with a cell phone. Experimental results show that the accuracy of EfficientNet B0 to B7 is similar, so we adopt B0 with the fastest inference speed. For performance improvement, Fine-tuning was performed using a pre-trained model with ImageNet, and rapid performance improvement was confirmed from 100 Epoch. The proposed service is expected to increase production by quickly detecting initial diseases.

Bayesian logit models with auxiliary mixture sampling for analyzing diabetes diagnosis data (보조 혼합 샘플링을 이용한 베이지안 로지스틱 회귀모형 : 당뇨병 자료에 적용 및 분류에서의 성능 비교)

  • Rhee, Eun Hee;Hwang, Beom Seuk
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.35 no.1
    • /
    • pp.131-146
    • /
    • 2022
  • Logit models are commonly used to predicting and classifying categorical response variables. Most Bayesian approaches to logit models are implemented based on the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. However, the algorithm has disadvantages of slow convergence and difficulty in ensuring adequacy for the proposal distribution. Therefore, we use auxiliary mixture sampler proposed by Frühwirth-Schnatter and Frühwirth (2007) to estimate logit models. This method introduces two sequences of auxiliary latent variables to make logit models satisfy normality and linearity. As a result, the method leads that logit model can be easily implemented by Gibbs sampling. We applied the proposed method to diabetes data from the Community Health Survey (2020) of the Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency and compared performance with Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. In addition, we showed that the logit model using auxiliary mixture sampling has a great classification performance comparable to that of the machine learning models.

Microcode based Controller for Compact CNN Accelerators Aimed at Mobile Devices (모바일 디바이스를 위한 소형 CNN 가속기의 마이크로코드 기반 컨트롤러)

  • Na, Yong-Seok;Son, Hyun-Wook;Kim, Hyung-Won
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
    • /
    • v.26 no.3
    • /
    • pp.355-366
    • /
    • 2022
  • This paper proposes a microcode-based neural network accelerator controller for artificial intelligence accelerators that can be reconstructed using a programmable architecture and provide the advantages of low-power and ultra-small chip size. In order for the target accelerator to support various neural network models, the neural network model can be converted into microcode through microcode compiler and mounted on accelerator to control the operators of the accelerator such as datapath and memory access. While the proposed controller and accelerator can run various CNN models, in this paper, we tested them using the YOLOv2-Tiny CNN model. Using a system clock of 200 MHz, the Controller and accelerator achieved an inference time of 137.9 ms/image for VOC 2012 dataset to detect object, 99.5ms/image for mask detection dataset to detect wearing mask. When implementing an accelerator equipped with the proposed controller as a silicon chip, the gate count is 618,388, which corresponds to 65.5% reduction in chip area compared with an accelerator employing a CPU-based controller (RISC-V).

Phylogeny, Morphology and Pathogenicity of Biscogniauxia mediterranea Causing Charcoal Canker Disease on Quercus brantii in Southern Iran

  • Samaneh, Ahmadi;Fariba, Ghaderi;Habiballah, Charehgani;Soraya, Karami;Dariush, Safaee
    • Research in Plant Disease
    • /
    • v.28 no.4
    • /
    • pp.209-220
    • /
    • 2022
  • Charcoal canker of oak, which has recently increased in southern Iran, could pose a serious threat to the entire forest ecosystem in the near future. In addition, it seems that climate change and its consequences, such as drought in the southern regions of Iran, have exacerbated this phenomenon. Consequently, the objective of this study was to identify the fungal pathogens that could cause charcoal canker disease in the oak forests of South Zagros. It was also sought to find associations between changes in the occurrence/exacerbation of charcoal canker disease under non and intense drought stress in non-inoculated or inoculated Quercus brantii seedlings. In total, 120 isolates were obtained from eight oak forests located in the Zagros Mountains of Southern Iran, Kohgiluyeh & Boyer-Ahmad and Fars provinces, which were classified as Biscogniauxia mediterranea based on morphological assessment. Subsequently, molecular assay confirmed the result by phylogenetic inference of internal transcribed spacer-rDNA regions, α-actin, and β-tubulin genes. The results of the pathogenicity test showed that the response of isolates of B. mediterranea (Iran-G1 and Iran-M70) was varied in different environments for the measured necrotic lesion length. In comparison with the control moisture treatments (non-stress), the necrotic lesion length in inoculated treatments increased under intense drought stress. In general, inoculated oak seedlings' exposure to water-deficient stress by the pathogen of B. mediterranea could affect the spread/severity of the charcoal canker disease.