• Title/Summary/Keyword: housing price estimation

Search Result 36, Processing Time 0.024 seconds

Market sentiment and its effect on real estate return: evidence from China Shenzhen

  • LI, ZHUO
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
    • /
    • v.27 no.9
    • /
    • pp.243-251
    • /
    • 2022
  • In this paper, we propose a phenomenon that analyze the impact of market sentiment on China's real estate market through the perspective of behavioral economics. Previously, real estate market analyzation basically focus on some fundamental principles which include market price, monetary policies and income, etc. However, little research has explored market sentiment and its influence. By using principal components analysis (PCA), this study first creates buyer's sentiment and seller's sentiment to measure the heat of China's real estate market. Different from using traditional estimation method, the vector autoregressive model (VAR) is used to analyze how both sentiments affect real estate return. The overall results show that from unit root test and impulse response analyzation, the impact of seller's sentiment is positive to real estate market while buyer's sentiment is negative. At the same time, the higher seller's sentiment will have different influence on the housing market compared with the higher buyer's sentiment.

Estimation of the Value of Road Traffic Noise within Apartment Housing Prices (아파트가격에 내재된 도로교통소음가치 추정)

  • 임영태;손의영
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.19 no.4
    • /
    • pp.19-33
    • /
    • 2001
  • In the developed countries, traffic noise is one of most serious problems faced by people's lives. So the importance of the traffic noise is quite well recognized by the infrastructure planners as well as the people. The traffic noise is valued in monetary terms in some countries and it is reflected in estimating the net present value or benefit/cost ratio. On the contrary, the effects of traffic noise are not reflected in the assessment of infrastructure in most cases in Korea. However, as the income level has been increasing, more people have been becoming to put more importance on their living conditions. The purpose of this paper is to estimate the value of traffic noise in the Seoul metropolitan area. The housing price were surveyed to use the quasi-hedonic price technique. By this way, two housing prices at the same floor level in different 128 complexes in the Seoul metropolitan area were surveyed. the actual traffic noise level was also measured. The differences of housing prices and noise levels were analyzed using the various types of regression models. The value is quite different by size of house. The value of large house is higher than that of small house. Since the income level of people in large house is higher than that in small house. it might be said that value of traffic noise for high income people is higher than that for low income people. Moreover, the increase of 1dB(A) noise affects the house price by about 0.3% in Seoul metropolitan area.

  • PDF

Development of Basic Construction Cost Estimation Model for Expansion of Underground Parking Lot Remodeling in Apartment Housing (공동주택 지하주차장 확대 리모델링 개략 공사비 산정 모델 개발)

  • Jeong, Eunbeen;Koo, Choongwan;Kim, Taewan;Lee, Chansik
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
    • /
    • v.22 no.2
    • /
    • pp.42-52
    • /
    • 2021
  • The cost of remodeling parking lots of apartment houses accounts for about 20 percent of the total cost of remodeling. This means that when the remodeling cost of the underground parking lot is known, it becomes possible to estimate the total construction cost. The standard of estimation referenced when calculating the construction cost is difficult to apply to calculating the remodeling cost. Thus, a construction cost estimation model that reflects the characteristics of remodeling construction is necessary. This study developed a basic construction cost estimation model for expansion remodeling of underground parking lots of apartment houses that calculates the approximate cost of construction by reflecting the characteristics and design elements of remodeling. Based on literature review and consultation with experts, 37 activities of underground parking lot remodeling construction were derived. In order to enable calculation of approximate construction cost before the remodeling design drawing is finalized, the quantity calculation formula and unit price for each activity were presented. Based on expert advice, 13 factors that affect the increase in construction cost and weights of each factor were determined. As a result of applying three cases of remodeling complexes to the basic cost estimation model, the accuracy was confirmed to be 93 percent on average.

The estimation of selection probability on the preference of unbundled parking system and sales discount rate -targeted for the public apartment residents in Seoul- (공동주택 주차장 분리분양제의 선호 및 분양 할인율에 대한 선택 확률 추정 -서울시 공동주택 입주민을 대상으로-)

  • Chung, Sang-Woon;Rho, Jung-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.18 no.5
    • /
    • pp.587-595
    • /
    • 2017
  • The study examinesthe hindrance factors including various laws and institutions with regard to the Unbundled Parking System (UPS) that has recently attracted the greatest attention as a way to manage traffic demand for sustainable development, efficient utilization of parking spaces, and to overcome the unstable housing market.The direction of improvement of related laws and institutions is also suggested. Its usage is proven by countries such as the United States of America and France, as they have already implemented this institution. To lay the foundation for the introduction of UPS of our own country, a survey on the preference for UPS was conducted. The survey equally divided 300 respondents into three clusters based on the sales price of apartments in Seoul. The analyses revealed that all three clusters have similar preferences (cluster 1: 68%, cluster 2: 62%, cluster 3: 65%) on UPS, and younger groups seem to answer in the affirmative more than the other age groups no matter what cluster they belong to. In conclusion, the results on the estimation of selection probability on the preference of unbundled parking system and sales discount rate are as follow. The groups of non-vehicle users have higher preference on UPS. When the discount rate is 14%, 69%, 77% and 62%ofrespondents would choose unbundled parking system for clusters 1, 2 and 3, respectively (₩6,370,000/PY,₩3,930,000/PY and ₩2,270,000/PY reduce when applying avg. sales price, respectively).

The Rationalization through Comparative Analysis of Price Fluctuation Adjustment Method (물가변동 조정방법의 비교분석을 통한 합리화 방안)

  • Kim, Seong-Hee
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
    • /
    • v.13 no.1
    • /
    • pp.67-76
    • /
    • 2012
  • There are index adjustment method and item adjustment method in estimation methods for price fluctuation rate of public constructions. A relevant regulation has put item adjustment method as a principle, but in most construction, contract sum adjustment has been made by index adjustment method. Hence, this study, by figuring out width and causes of the gap between index adjustment method and item adjustment method through direct comparative analysis, solved inequality caused by difference between them and suggested a rational way against irrationality of each method. For building operations of public housing construction, a detailed fluctuation rate by index adjustment method and item adjustment method of construction cost elements of the same construction, that is, direct material cost, direct labor cost and historical construction cost was estimated to analyze difference between two adjustments and establish its cause. Across the analysis, it was found that fluctuation rate by item adjustment method was estimated lower than that by index adjustment method and difference between methods for estimating fluctuation rate of quotation unit price and application of index unrelated to construction type and construction nature are main causes of the difference. This study has a significance in that, for smooth contract sum adjustment between contracting parties, it practically proved the real difference between adjustment methods by conducting comparative analysis of the difference in direct correspondence way.

Asset Prices and Consumption Dynamics in Korea (자산가격변동과 민간소비의 동태적 반응)

  • Kim, Young Il
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
    • /
    • v.32 no.4
    • /
    • pp.35-73
    • /
    • 2010
  • This paper examines consumption dynamics in relation to asset prices in Korea. Empirical analysis based on the error correction model shows that personal consumption is affected by changes in asset prices but the consumption converges to the long-run level of consumption corresponding to the total income flow in two years. This adjustment in consumption implies that the consumption error, reflected in the error correction term, should have predictability for the future consumption growth during the adjustment period. It is found that the error correction term has a long-run predictability for consumption over up to about 3 years; thus, confirming the error correction model. It is also found that housing prices have larger effects on consumption compared with stock prices in Korea. In addition, the effects of income and asset prices on consumption show bigger effects during contractionary period than expansionary period in business cycles. This paper also analyzes effects of asset wealth that reflects changes in both price and quantity. It is found that asset wealth has a long-run effect on consumption in addition to total income as determinants of consumption. Since wealth effects usually indicate the long-run effect of changes in asset wealth on consumption that is not explained by labor income, which is the proxy for human source of wealth, it is estimated with labor income used as a control variable. According to the estimation, the marginal propencity to consume out of asset wealth is approximately 2%. It means that 1,000won increase in asset wealth may lead to 20 won increase in consumption.

  • PDF