• Title/Summary/Keyword: hourly volume

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Estimating Road Design Hourly Volume via Inflection Point Identification (변곡점 탐색을 통한 도로설계시간계수 산정)

  • Ahn, Seongchae;Choi, Keechoo;Kim, Boowon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.2427-2435
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    • 2013
  • Design hourly volume and the K-factor, first proposed by FHWA in the 1950s, is based on the 30th hourly traffic volume during a year (out of 8,760 hours). It was used when surveying the traffic volume was laborious in the past and is still being used now although it leaves some to be desired for practical applications. More reasonable K-factor for better design, based on theoretical evidence, is needed. This paper proposes the knee searching method based on simple linear regression to find out the inflection point of the volume ranking curve that describe the annual 8,760 hourly traffic volumes. The method was applied to the Chungcheong province's national highway, and the results were compared to the existing guidelines' values of K-factors. Identified design hourly traffic volumes ranked between 43rd to 694th, which is much lower than the 30th volume, meaning that some overdesign examples are inevitable if the conventional $30^{th}$ volume is used.

A Study on Characteristic Design Hourly Factor by Road Type for National Highways (일반국도 도로유형별 설계시간계수 특성에 관한 연구)

  • Ha, Jung-Ah
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.52-62
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    • 2013
  • Design Hourly Factor(DHF) is defined as the ratio of design hourly volume(DHV) to Average Annual Daily Traffic(AADT). Generally DHV used the 30th rank hourly volume. But this case DHV is affected by holiday volumes so the road is at risk for overdesigning. Computing K factor is available for counting 8,760 hour traffic volume, but it is impossible except permanent traffic counts. This study applied three method to make DHF, using 30th rank hourly volume to make DHF(method 1), using peak hour volume to make DHF(method 2). Another way to make DHF, rank hourly volumes ordered descending connect a curve smoothly to find the point which changes drastic(method 3). That point is design hour, thus design hourly factor is able to be computed. In addition road classified 3 type for national highway using factor analysis and cluster analysis, so we can analyze the characteristic of DHF by road type. DHF which was used method 1 is the largest at any other method. There is no difference in DHF by road type at method 2. This result shows for this reason because peak hour is hard to describe the characteristic of hourly volume change. DHF which was used method 3 is similar to HCM except recreation road but 118th rank hourly volume is appropriate.

Development of Nth Highest Hourly Traffic Volume Forecasting Models (고속국도에서의 연평균일교통량에 따른 N번째 고순위 시간교통량 추정모형 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Oh, Ju-Sam
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.13-20
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    • 2007
  • For calculating the number of lane, it is essential to gain the 30th or 100th highest design hourly volume. The design hourly volume obtained from AADT multiplied by design hour factor. In this paper, we developed the regression models fur estimating the 30th highest hour volume and 100th highest hour volume as defined by AADT 50,000 criterion based on the data obtained the 34 monitoring sites in highway. By comparing the performance of the proposed models and conventional models using MAPE, the proposed model for 30th highest design hourly volume reduced the estimator error of 11.83% than that of conventional methods for less than AADT 50,000 and decreased estimation error of 22.17% than that of conventional method for more than AADT 50,000. Moreover, the proposed model for 100th highest design hourly volume reduced the estimator error of 8.16% than that of conventional methods for less than AADT 50,000 and decreased estimation error of 15.25% than that of conventional method for more than AADT 50,000.

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Estimating Annual Average Daily Traffic Using Hourly Traffic Pattern and Grouping in National Highway (일반국도 그룹핑과 시간 교통량 추이를 이용한 연평균 일교통량 추정)

  • Ha, Jung-Ah;Oh, Sei-Chang
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.10-20
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    • 2012
  • This study shows how to estimate AADT(Annual Average Daily Traffic) on temporary count data using new grouping method. This study deals with clustering permanent traffic counts using monthly adjustment factor, daily adjustment factor and a percentage of hourly volume. This study uses a percentage of hourly volume comparing with other studies. Cluster analysis is used and 5 groups is suitable. First, make average of monthly adjustment factor, average of daily adjustment factor, a percentage of hourly volume for each group. Next estimate AADT using 24 hour volume(not holiday) and two adjustment factors. Goodness of fit test is used to find what groups are applicable. MAPE(Mean Absolute Percentage Error) is 8.7% in this method. It is under 1.5% comparing with other method(using adjustment factors in same section). This method is better than other studies because it can apply all temporary counts data.

Directional Design Hourly Volume Estimation Model for National Highways (일반국도의 중방향 설계시간 교통량 추정 모형)

  • Lim, Sung-Han;Ryu, Seung-Ki;Byun, Sang-Cheol;Moon, Hak-Yong
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.13-22
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    • 2012
  • Estimating directional design hourly volume (DDHV) is an important aspect of traffic or road engineering practice. DDHV on highway without permanent traffic counters (PTCs) is usually determined by the annual average daily traffic (AADT) being multiplied by the ratio of DHV to AADT (K factor) and the directional split ratio (D factor) recommended by Korea highway capacity manual (KHCM). However, about the validity of this method has not been clearly proven. The main intent of this study is to develop more accurate and efficient DDHV estimation models for national highway in Korea. DDHV characteristics are investigated using the data from permanent traffic counters (PTCs) on national highways in Korea. A linear relationship between DDHV and AADT was identified. So DDHV estimation models using AADT were developed. The results show that the proposed models outperform the KHCM method with the mean absolute percentage errors (MAPE).

Estimating Design Hour Factor Using Permanent Survey (상시 교통량 자료를 이용한 설계시간계수 추정)

  • Ha, Jung Ah;Kim, Sung Hyun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.2D
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    • pp.155-162
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    • 2008
  • This study shows how to estimate the design hour factor when the counting stations don't have all of the hourly volumes such as in a coverage survey. A coverage survey records traffic volume from 1 to 5 times in a year so it lacks the detailed information to calculate the design hour factor. This study used the traffic volumes of permanent surveys to estimate the design hour factor in coverage surveys using correlation and regression analysis. A total 7 independent variables are used : the coefficient of variance of hourly volume, standard deviation of hourly volume, peak hour volume, AADT, heavy traffic volume proprotion, day time traffic volume proportion and D factor. All of variables are plotted on a curve, so it must use non-linear regression to analyze the data. As a result the coefficient of determination and MAE are good at logarith model using AADT.

Analysis on Time Dependent Traffic Volume Characteristics on Highways linked to Recreation Areas (관광지 종류별 일반국도 교통량의 시간별 특성 연구)

  • Kim, Yun Seob;Oh, Ju Sam;Kim, Hyun Seok
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.1D
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    • pp.23-30
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    • 2006
  • The variation in the traffic volume on any given roads is the reflection of its user's economic activities and life patterns. And traffic volume flows in every hour usually take different charateristics depending on the location and the function of the roads. This study produced the Monthly Adjustment Factor, Weekly Adjustment Factor and Design hourly Factor, each of which is the index indicating the traffic volume charaterirstics on the highways leading to the recreation areas in the mountainous and seaside tourist sites. Applying these results, it might be possible to calculate the optimal AADT (Annual Average Daily Traffic) and DHV (Design Hour Volume), also be a help to establish a traffic management policy. Finally, it hopes to promote new version of KHCM (Korea Highway Capacity Manual) which includes traffic volume characteristics on recreation areas.

The Development of Capacity Estimation Methods from Statistical Distribution of Observed Traffic Flow (관측교통량의 통계적 분포에 의한 도로교통용량 산정 기법에 관한 연구 -이상적인 조건하의 고속도로 기본구간 대상-)

  • 김용걸;장명순
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.167-183
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    • 1995
  • The objective of study is to evaluate highway capaicty estimation alternative and to develop capacity from statistical distribution of observed traffic flow. Speed-Volume relation is analyzed from vehicle's headway distribution eliminating the long headway by confidence intervals 99%, 95%, 90%. Capacity estimate alternatives were evaluated from 95% , 90%, 85% level of cummulative distribution of observed hourly traffic flow adjusted to confidence intervals. The result of investigation revealed that maximum hourly rate of flow is 2, 130pcu at confidence interval of 995, 2, 233pcu at 95%, 2, 315pcu at 90% respectively. Compared to the capacity of 2, 200pcu per hour per lane used in HCM and KHCM(Korea Highway Capacity Manual), capa챠y appears to correspond to confidence interval of 95%. Using the traffic flow rate at confidence interval of 95% the maximum hourly flow rate is 2, 187pcu at 95% of cummulative volume distribution, 2, 153pcu at 90%, 2, 215pcu at 85%. The study suggests that raional capacity esimation alternative is to take the 95% of cummulative distribution of observed hourly traffic flow at 95% confidence headway interval eliminating 5% long headway.(i.e. 95-95 rule)

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A Study on the Optimum Design for a Solar Domestic Hot Water System (小規模 太陽熱 給湯시스템 의 最適設計 에 관한 硏究)

  • 서정일;이영수
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.8 no.6
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    • pp.517-525
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    • 1984
  • This paper presents a typical solar domestic hot water system and estimates their performances with variance of collector size, storage volume, collector tilt and other factors. The analysis is performed by th computer simulation for which conceptual system against 8760 hourly solar intensities and ambient temperature for a model year stored in the computer has been running. System performance is analyzed on hourly, monthly and yearly basis respectively and at the same time, the economics of various systems are evaluated. And also, this paper shows how an optimized design can be selected for any locality for which solar data and collector performance are provided. The results of this study are as follows. (1)Storage volume of 45 liter per square meter of solar collector lead to the best design. (2)Tilting the collectors to the same angle of the latitude is generally the best (3)Optimal size of collector is approximately 6.68-8.35m$^{2}$ when the latitude is 37.6 .deg. N and storage volume is 300 liter. (4)The performances of a solar domestic hot water system does not depend on the hourly usage but the daily usage.

Estimation Problem of Design Hour Factor (K) on Urban Expressways and its Improved Direction (도시부 고속도로 설계시간계수(K) 추정방법의 문제점 및 개선방향 제시)

  • Kim, Sang-Gu;Gang, Seon-Uk;Kim, Yeong-Chun;Go, Seung-Yeong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.111-121
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    • 2010
  • DHV (Design-Hour Volume) for the estimation of number of lanes is determined by design-hour factor (K). The design-hour factor is defined as the proportion between the 30th highest hourly volume and AADT and determines the level of road planning. However, the K-factor estimated by an existing method has a problem because the hourly volumes on holiday and weekend appear in the relatively low rank in real world in spite of expected high volumes. To improve this problem, this study make use of the concept of traffic demand in estimating the design-hour factor. After the congested hourly volumes transfer to traffic hourly demand, the K-factors are estimated on urban expressways and are compared to the existing K-factors. It is perceived that the new K-factors have more realistic values due to utilizing the traffic demand. reflecting the congested flow.