• Title/Summary/Keyword: hazard model

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A Study on the Spatiotemporal Characteristics of Chemical Discharges and Quantified Hazard-Based Result Scores Using Pollutant Release and Transfer Register Data (화학물질배출이동량 자료를 활용한 화학물질배출량 및 유해기반지수 정량화와 시공간 특성 연구)

  • Lim, Yu-Ra;Gan, Sun-Yeong;Bae, Hyun-Joo
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.48 no.5
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    • pp.272-281
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    • 2022
  • Background: The constant consumption of chemical products owing to expanding industrialization has led to an increase in public interest in chemical substances. As the production and disposal processes for these chemical products cause environmental problems, regional information on the hazard level of chemical substances is required considering their effects on humans and in order to ensure environmental safety. Objectives: This study aimed to identify hazard contribution and spatiotemporal characteristics by region and chemical by calculating a hazard-based result score using pollutant release and transfer register (PRTR) data. Methods: This study calculated the chemical discharge and hazard-based result score from the Risk-Screening Environmental Indicators (RSEI) model, analyzed their spatiotemporal patterns, and identified hotspot areas where chemical discharges and high hazard-based scores were concentrated. The amount of chemical discharge and hazard-based risk scores for 250 cities and counties across South Korea were calculated using PRTR data from 2011 to 2018. Results: The chemical discharge (high densities in Incheon, Daegu, and Busan) and hazard-based result scores (high densities in Incheon, Chungcheongnam-do, and some areas of Gyeongsangnam-do Province) showed varying spatial patterns. The chemical discharge (A, B) and hazard-based result score (C, D) hotspots were identified. Additionally, identification of the hazard-based result scores revealed differences in the type of chemicals contributing to the discharge. Ethylbenzene accounted for ≥80% of the discharged chemicals in the discharge hotspots, while chromium accounted for >90% of the discharged chemicals in the hazard-based result score hotspots. Conclusions: The RSEI hazard-based result score is a quantitative indicator that considers the degree of impact on human health as a toxicity-weighted value. It can be used for the management of industries discharging chemical substances as well as local environmental health management.

Consequence Modeling Methodology for Prediction of Hazard Distance for Two-phase Flow Release from the Pressurized Chlorine Saturated Liquid Storage Tank (가압 염소포화액체 저장탱크의 2상 흐름 누출에 대한 유해위험거리의 예측을 위한 결과영향 모델링 방법론)

  • Song D. M.;Park Y. S.;Park J. K.
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.2 no.4
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    • pp.7-17
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    • 1998
  • This study is to develop the consequence modeling methodology for quantitative prediction of the hazard distance(or toxic buffer distance) for two-phase flow continuous releases from the pressurized chlorine saturated liquid storage tank of the chemical plant facilities. The source term modeling was peformed by the refined analysis method based on USEPA's guideline and SuperChems model self-calculation, respectively. The hazard distance was predicted for STEL, IDLH and ERPGs(ERPG-2 and ERPG-3) concentrations being used as the toxic regultaion concentration in hazard estimation. To use as hazard estimation guideline for the establishment of the emergency response planning, the effects of source characteristics and meteorological vaiations on the hazard distance was especially considered for ERPG-2 concentration.

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Analysis of Uniform Hazard Spectra for Metropolises in the Korean Peninsula (국내 주요 광역 도시에 대한 등재해도 스펙트럼 분석)

  • Rhee, Hyun-Me;Kim, Min Kyu;Sheen, Dong-Hoon;Choi, In-Kil
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.71-77
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    • 2013
  • The uniform hazard spectra for seven major cities in Korea, Seoul, Daejeon, Daegu, Busan, Gwangju, Ulsan, and Inchon are suggested. Probabilistic seismic hazard analyses were performed using the attenuation equations derived from seismology research in Korea since 2000 and the seismotectonic models selected by expert assessment. For the estimation of the uniform hazard spectra, the seismic hazard curves for several frequencies and PGAs were calculated by using the spectral attenuation equations. The seismic hazards (annual exceedance probability) calculated for the 7 metropolises ranged from about $1.4305{\times}0^{-4}/yr$ to $1.7523{\times}10^{-4}/yr$ and averaged out at about $1.5902{\times}10^{-4}/yr$ with a log standard deviation of about 0.085 at 0.2 g. The uniform hazard spectra with recurrence intervals of 500, 1000, and 2500 years estimated by using the calculated mean seismic hazard on the frequencies presented peak values at 10.0 Hz, and the log standard deviations of the difference between metropolises ranged from about 0.013 to 0.209. In view of the insignificant difference between the estimated uniform hazard spectra obtained for the considered metropolises, the mean uniform hazard spectrum was estimated. This mean uniform hazard spectrum is expected to be used as input seismic response spectrum for rock sites in Korea.

Application and Assessment on the Effectiveness of the Hazard-Based Deployment Model for Oil Recovery Capacity on Water (위해도 기반 해상기름회수능력 배치모델 적용 및 유효성 평가)

  • Ha, Min-Jae;Moon, Jung-Hwan;Yun, Jong-Hwui
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.486-490
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    • 2014
  • In this study, the Hazard-based model to decide regional oil recovery capacity by using AHP is suggested and regional oil recovery capacity is calculated by applying the model. The simulation for oil recovery capacity by mobilization of regional oil recovery equipments is carried out to verify the availability of the model. The worst oil spill accident in Daesan Taean Pyeongtaek region, which is located in geographically disadvantageous position among the regions that the worst oil spill accident may occur, is supposed for the simulation. As a result of simulation, the quantity of oil that can be recovered for three days on the scene of oil spill accident is worked out as $15,841k{\ell}$, which can satisfy the goal of national oil recovery capacity for the worst oil spill accident, therefore the model is verified as practicable.

FLO-2D Simulation of the Flood Inundation Zone in the Case of Failure of the Sandae Reservoir Gyeongju, Gyeongbuk (댐붕괴 모형과 FLO-2D를 연동한 산대저수지 붕괴 침수 모의)

  • Go, Dae-hong;Lee, Khil-Ha;Kim, Jin-Man;Kim, Sung-Wook
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.449-458
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    • 2015
  • The compilation of a flood hazard map is an efficient technique in managing areas at risk of flooding in the case of a dam-break. A scenario-based numerical modeling approach is commonly used to compile a flood hazard map related to dam-break and to determine the model parameters that capture peak discharge, including breach formation and progress, which are important in the modeling method. This approach might be considered less reliable if an existing model is used without local validation. In this study, a dam-break model is linked to a routing model to identify flood-risk areas in the case of failure of the Sandae Reservoir Gyeongju, Gyeongbuk. Model parameters are extracted from a DEM, and maps of land use and soil texture. The simulation results are compared with on-site investigations in terms of inundation and depth. The model reproduces the inundation zone with reasonable accuracy.

Prediction of Landslide Using Artificial Neural Network Model (인공신경망모델을 이용한 산사태 예측)

  • 홍원표;김원영;송영석;임석규
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.20 no.8
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    • pp.67-75
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    • 2004
  • The landslide is one of the most significant natural disasters, which cause a lot of loss of human lives and properties. The landslides in natural slopes generally occur by complicated problems such as soil properties, topography, and geology. Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model is efficient computing technique that is widely used to solve complicated problems in many research fields. In this paper, the ANN model with application of error back propagation method was proposed for estimation of landslide hazard in natural slope. This model can evaluate the possibility of landslide hazard with two different approaches: one considering only soil properties; the other considering soil properties, topography, and geology. In order to evaluate reasonably the landslide hazard, the SlideEval (Ver, 1.0) program was developed using the ANN model. The evaluation of slope stability using the ANN model shows a high accuracy. Especially, the prediction of landslides using the ANN model gives more stable and accurate results in the case of considering such factors as soil, topographic and geological properties together. As a result of comparison with the statistical analysis(Korea Institute of Geosciences and Mineral Resources, 2003), the analysis using the ANN model is approximately equal to the statistical analysis. Therefore, the SlideEval (Ver. 1.0) program using ANN model can predict landslides hazard and estimate the slope stability.

Development of a Combined Model for Flood Inundation Simulation (홍수범람모의를 위한 내외수 연계모형 개발)

  • Yu, Jae-Hong;Kim, Hyung-Jun;Cho, Yong-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.5 no.4 s.19
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2005
  • In this study, a numerical model combined by a river model and an inland model developed to simulated a flood event. The river model describing an inundation in a river solves the two-dimensional Saint Venant equations with a finite difference method. The inland model based on the ILLUDAS describes the conveyance capacity of a storm sewer system. The combined model is applied to a real situation. The model simulates reasonably the real flood event occurred in a river and inland simultaneously.

Development of Seismic Hazard Analysis Technique and the Determination of Design Earthquake (지진위험도해석기법과 설계지진결정 연구)

  • Oh, Byung Hwan;Kang, Young Jin
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.29-42
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    • 1992
  • Presented is a study on the development of seismic hazard analysis techniques to determine a reasonable design earthquake. To this end, the methods of seismic hazard analysis are first derived and the earthquake occurrence models are established. The present method yields the appropriate level of seismic hazard for any specific site. The characteristics of each hazard model are compared. The seismic hazards for several important sites where some nuclear power plants were installed are evaluated on the basis of the present models. The present study allows more realistic determination of design earthquakes at any specific sites for the design of major structures.

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Studies on the HACCP Model of Steak-Set Menu in Hotel (HACCP 모델 적용시 호텔 .레스토랑의 세트 메뉴 중 스테이크에 관한 연구)

  • 양신철
    • Journal of Applied Tourism Food and Beverage Management and Research
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.5-24
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    • 2001
  • This study was focused on the sanitary analysis of hazard factors and the establishment of critical control points on steak-set menu In hotel by the documents and microbiological investigation. The hazard factors of shrimp cocktail were microbial contamination, residual pesticides, unsuitable healing and cross contamination. The hazard factors of potato soap were residual pesticides, microorganisms contamination, unsuitable heating and solanine in potato. The hazard factors of simple salad were microorganisms contamination, unsuitable heating and cross contamination by inappropriate package. The hazard factors of steal were residual antimicrobial drugs, microorganisms contamination, unsuitable heating and cross contamination. The critical control points of shrimp cocktail were temperature control , number of washing and center temperature control of heating step. The critical control points of potato soup were stock temperature control , number of washing and center temperature control of Heating step. The critical control points of simple salad were number of washing and dryness of utensil. The critical control points of steak were stock temperature control , number of washing, center temperature and time control of heating step.

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Techniques for Hazard Analysis of Curved Road Based on USN (굴곡 도로를 위한 USN 기반 위험 분석 기술)

  • Ko, Ik-June;Oh, Byoung-Woo
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.25-37
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, we propose techniques for hazard analysis of curved road based on USN. The techniques consist of models and algorithms. Models of curved road, road direction, sensor, vehicle and hazard are proposed. To analyze hazard in curved road and give warning to corresponding vehicle in realtime multi-level algorithms are proposed. An application program implements the models and algorithms to simulate proposed techniques with real-time visualization.

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