• 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국방재학회 2008년도 정기총회 및 학술발표대회
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• pp.269-272
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• 2008

구조물의 지진취약도곡선은 임의의 크기를 가진 지진에 대하여 구조물에 어느 규모이상의 손상이 발생할 확률을 의미하는 것으로 구조물의 내진성능평가 및 손실평가 하는데 아주 중요하다. 본 논문은 선진국의 지진취약도 추정기법을 분석하여 국내 실정에 적합한 지진취약도 추정 기법을 확립하기 위한 연구방법론을 제시하는 데 그 목적이 있다. 이를 위해 우선 지진취약도함수의 개발현황을 조사하였다. 그 다음 이러한 평가방법을 국내에 적용하기 위하여 국내의 교량구조물을 분류하였다. 마지막으로는 PSC Box 거더교에 대해서 지진취약도곡선을 평가하였다. 평가 결과 구조물의 분류와 손상상태는 구조물의 손상평가와 지진취약도해석에 아주 큰 영향을 미치는 것을 확인할 수 있었다.

• 한국지진공학회논문집
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• 제23권2호
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• pp.101-108
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• 2019

The seismic safety of nuclear power plants has always been emphasized by the effects of accidents. In general, the seismic safety evaluation of nuclear power plants carries out a seismic probabilistic safety assessment. The current probabilistic safety assessment assumes that damage to the structure, system, and components (SSCs) occurs independently to each other or perfect dependently to each other. In case of earthquake events, the failure event occurs with the correlation due to the correlation between the seismic response of the SSCs and the seismic performance of the SSCs. In this study, the EEMS (External Event Mensuration System) code is developed which can perform the seismic probabilistic safety assessment considering correlation. The developed code is verified by comparing with the multiplier n, which is for calculating the joint probability of failure, which is proposed by Mankamo. It is analyzed the changes in seismic fragility curves and seismic risks with correlation. As a result, it was confirmed that the seismic fragility curves and seismic risk change according to the failure correlation coefficient. This means that it is important to select an appropriate failure correlation coefficient in order to perform a seismic probabilistic safety assessment. And also, it was confirmed that carrying out the seismic probabilistic safety assessment in consideration of the seismic correlation provides more realistic results, rather than providing conservative or non-conservative results comparing with that damage to the SSCs occurs independently.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• 제15권21호
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• pp.9453-9458
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• 2014

Background: Breast cancer is the second leading cause of cancer death for women in the United States. Differences in survival of breast cancer have been noted among racial and ethnic groups, but the reasons for these disparities remain unclear. This study presents the characteristics and the survival curve of two racial and ethnic groups and evaluates the effects of race on survival times by measuring the lifetime data-based half-normal model. Materials and Methods: The distributions among racial and ethnic groups are compared using female breast cancer patients from nine states in the country all taken from the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results cancer registry. The main end points observed are: age at diagnosis, survival time in months, and marital status. The right skewed half-normal statistical probability model is used to show the differences in the survival times between black Hispanic (BH) and black non-Hispanic (BNH) female breast cancer patients. The Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazard ratio are used to estimate and compare the relative risk of death in two minority groups, BH and BNH. Results: A probability random sample method was used to select representative samples from BNH and BH female breast cancer patients, who were diagnosed during the years of 1973-2009 in the United States. The sample contained 1,000 BNH and 298 BH female breast cancer patients. The median age at diagnosis was 57.75 years among BNH and 54.11 years among BH. The results of the half-normal model showed that the survival times formed positive skewed models with higher variability in BNH compared with BH. The Kaplan-Meir estimate was used to plot the survival curves for cancer patients; this test was positively skewed. The Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazard ratio for survival analysis showed that BNH had a significantly longer survival time as compared to BH which is consistent with the results of the half-normal model. Conclusions: The findings with the proposed model strategy will assist in the healthcare field to measure future outcomes for BH and BNH, given their past history and conditions. These findings may provide an enhanced and improved outlook for the diagnosis and treatment of breast cancer patients in the United States.

• 한국전산구조공학회논문집
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• 제27권6호
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• pp.517-524
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• 2014

구조물의 내용연수 동안 예상되는 지진에 대한 피해와 손실을 최소화하는 것이 내진설계의 최종적인 목표로 볼 수 있다. 이러한 목표를 만족시키기 위한 개념으로 지진하중에 대한 구조물의 손상확률을 나타내는 지진취약도를 작성하여 지진에 대한 구조물의 확률론적 성능평가를 수행한 후, 해당 지역에서 발생 가능한 지진에 대한 연간 초과확률로 표현되는 지진위험도를 활용하여 연간 손실 발생확률을 산정하는 절차를 제시한다. 본 연구는 미국 강진지역의 지진하중을 고려하여 설계된 철골모멘트골조에 대해 취약도를 정량적으로 평가하고 연간 손실 발생확률을 예측하다. 또한 HAZUS의 철골모멘트골조 대표건축물에 대한 손실 평가결과를 비교하였으며, 그 결과 HAZUS에 의한 연간손실이 보수적으로 산정됨을 알 수 있었다. 제시된 방법으로부터 해당 구조물의 내진성능 및 연간 손실 평가를 할 수 있으며, 향후 관련 연구에 활용할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

• 대한토목학회논문집
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• 제39권1호
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• pp.183-194
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• 2019

최근 국지적인 호우사상의 증가 등으로 인하여 국가주요시설물에 대한 외부침수의 위험성은 2000년 이후 크게 증가하고 있다. 국내 중요한 국가시설물에 있어서는 집중호우 등으로 인한 국가주요시설물 부지내의 홍수발생시 주요시설물에 기능마비가 발생할 수 있고, 궁극적으로는 대규모 사고로 이어질 수 있기 때문에 외부침수에 대비할 수 있는 위험도 분석이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 주요시설물 및 그 부속시설물의 안전도를 높은 수준에서 관리하기 위해서는 극한홍수가 유입될 때 침수심, 침수유속, 침수시간, 침수강도 등의 재해도를 분석하여야하고, 이들 부속시설물의 취약도 평가를 실시하고 재해도와 취약도를 결합한 연계분석을 통하여 위험도를 재평가하여야 한다. 본 연구 결과 집중호우 조건하에서 국가 주요시설물에서의 침수심, 침수강도 등에 대한 새로운 재해도 곡선을 산정함으로써 중요한 SOC시설물의 내수 설계, 홍수 방지기능 설계, 홍수 방지 대책 및 절차의 고도화 및 홍수 저감 기능 평가에 기준이 될 것으로 판단된다.

• 한국강구조학회 논문집
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• 제21권1호
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• pp.45-53
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• 2009

우리나라 기존철도 교량의 40% 이상이 무도상 강판형교로 구성되어 있으며, 이들 중 대부분은 1970년대 이전에 건설되었기에 일반적으로 지진하중의 고려 없이 설계되었다. 이들 무도상 강판형 철도교의 내진성능을 향상시키기 위해서는 내진성능이 부족한 요소들에 대하여 여러가지 방법의 내진보강을 수행할 수 있는데, 내진보강의 적정수위를 정하기 위해서는 이에 대한 지진위험도 평가가 필수적이라 할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 확률적 지진 위험도 해석과 확률적 손상해석을 통해서 무도상 강판형교에 대한 지진위험도 평가를 수행하였다. 먼저 받침 및 교각을 교량의 지진 응답에 주 영향을 미치는 주요 요소로 정의하고 각 요소 별로 지진취약도를 작성하였다. 그 후 작성된 취약도를 지진재해도함수와 결합하여 각 손상상태에 해당하는 연간 손상확률을 산정하였다. 지진 위험도 해석을 통하여 50년 초과손상확률을 계산한 결과, 무근콘크리트로 되어 있는 무도상 강판형 철도교의 교각은 우리나라의 지진상황에서 위험도가 매우 낮게 나타났다. 이는 무도상 강판형교의 특성 상 가벼운 상부구조로 인하여 지진 시 하부구조에 전달되는 횡하중이 상대적으로 적기 때문인 것으로 분석된다. 반면에 선받침으로 구성된 무도상 강판형교의 받침요소들의 50년 초과 손상확률은 상대적으로 크게 나타났는데, 그 중 자유단 받침의 경우 slight damage에 대한 초과손상확률이 12.78%로 고정단 받침의 4.23%보다 높게 나타난 반면 complete damage에 대해서는 자유단 받침과 고정단 받침 모두 비슷한 수준의 초과손상확률($0.18%{\sim}0.19%$)을 보였다. 본 연구에서 수행한 지진 위험도 평가는 추후 강판형 철도교의 내진보강을 수행함에 있어서 의사결정을 뒷받침할 수 있는 자료로 효과적으로 사용될 수 있을 것이다.

• Geomechanics and Engineering
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• 제13권1호
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• pp.63-77
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• 2017

The failure mechanism of a deep hard rock tunnel under high geostress and high geothermalactivity is extremely complex. Uniaxial compression tests of granite at different temperatures were conducted. The complete stress-strain curves, mechanical parameters and macroscopic failure types of the rock were analyzed in detail. The brittleness index, which represents the possibility of a severe brittleness hazard, is proposed in this paperby comparing the peak stress and the expansion stress. The results show that the temperature range from 20 to $60^{\circ}C$ is able to aggravate the brittle failure of hard rock based on the brittleness index. The closure of internal micro cracks by thermal stress can improve the strength of hard rock and the storage capacity of elastic strain energy. The failure mode ofthe samples changes from shear failure to tensile failure as the temperature increases. In conclusion, the brittle failure mechanism of hard rock under the action of thermal coupling is revealed, and the analysis result offers significant guidance for deep buried tunnels at high temperatures and under high geostress.

• Computers and Concrete
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• 제22권5호
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• pp.439-447
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• 2018

One of the important factors is the infill walls in the change of the structural rigidity, ductility, dynamic and static characteristics of the structures. The infill walls are not generally included in numerical analysis of reinforced concrete (RC) structural system due to lack of suitable theory and the difficulty of calculating the recommended models. In seismic regions worldwide, the residential structures are generally RC buildings with infill wall. Therefore, understanding the contribution of the infill walls to seismic performance of buildings may have a vital importance. This paper investigates the effects of infill walls on seismic performance of the existing RC residential buildings by considering requirements of the Turkish Earthquake Code (TEC). Seismic performance levels of residential RC buildings with and without walls in high-hazard zones were determined according to the nonlinear procedure given in the code. Pushover curves were obtained by considering the effect of masonry infill walls on seismic performance of RC buildings. The analysis results showed that the infill walls beneficially effected to the rigidity, roof displacements and seismic performance of the building.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• 제14권9호
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• pp.5043-5047
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• 2013

Background: This is a part of a larger effort to characterize the effects on socio-economic factors (SEFs) on cancer outcome. Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Result (SEER) bone and joint sarcoma (BJS) data were used to identify potential disparities in cause specific survival (CSS). Materials and Methods: This study analyzed SEFs in conjunction with biologic and treatment factors. Absolute BJS specific risks were calculated and the areas under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve were computed for predictors. Actuarial survival analysis was performed with Kaplan-Meier method. Kolmogorov-Smirnov's 2-sample test was used to for comparing two survival curves. Cox proportional hazard model was used for multivariate analysis. Results: There were 13501 patients diagnosed BJS from 1973 to 2009. The mean follow up time (SD) was 75.6 (90.1) months. Staging was the highest predictive factor of outcome (ROC area of 0.68). SEER stage, histology, primary site and sex were highly significant pre-treatment predictors of CSS. Under multivariate analysis, patients living in low income neighborhoods and rural areas had a 2% and 5% disadvantage in cause specific survival respectively. Conclusions: This study has found 2-5% decrement of CSS of BJS due to SEFs. These data may be used to generate testable hypothesis for future clinical trials to eliminate BJS outcome disparities.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제7권7호
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• pp.85-93
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• 2020

In peer-to-peer (P2P) loan markets, as most lenders are unskilled and inexperienced ordinary individuals, it is important to know the characteristics of borrowers that significantly impact their repayment performance. This study investigates the effects and importance of borrowers' past repayment performance track record within the platform to identify its predictive power. To this end, I analyze the detailed loan repayment data from two leading P2P lending platforms in Korea using a Cox proportional hazard, multiple linear regression, and logit models. Furthermore, the predictive power of the factors proxied by borrowers' track records are evaluated through the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. As a result, it is found that the borrowers' past track record within the platform have the most important impact on the repayment performance of their current loans. In addition, this study also reveals that the borrowers' track record is much more predictive of their repayment performance than any other factor. The findings of this study emphasize that individual lenders must take into account the quality of borrowers' past transaction history when making a funding decision, and that platform operators should actively share the borrowers' past records within the markets with lenders.